1. FC Kaiserslautern vs Holstein Kiel

2. Bundesliga

1. FC Kaiserslautern

Coach : D. Grammozis

HT: 4–1

Holstein Kiel

23 Nov 2025

13:30

Fritz Walter Stadion

Stadium

Fritz-Walter-Stadion

Kaiserslautern, Germany

Capacity: 49780 Surface: grass Address: Fritz-Walter-Straße 1

Score Summary

1. FC Kaiserslautern

4 1

FT HT 4–1

Holstein Kiel

28' A. Bernhardsson

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

52% Win

1. FC Kaiserslautern 1522 1532 ▲ 10

48% Win

Holstein Kiel 1511 1502 ▼ -10

xPi Expected win probability

47% Win

1. FC Kaiserslautern 0.01 -0.06 ▼ -0.07

34% Win

Holstein Kiel -0.04 -0.27 ▼ -0.23

Top Performers

Top Rated

Naatan Skyttä

1. FC Kaiserslautern

10.0

10.0 rating · 87 min

Most Clinical

Naatan Skyttä

1. FC Kaiserslautern

10.0

3 goals

Best Creator

Marlon Ritter

1. FC Kaiserslautern

7.9

4 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Luca Sirch

1. FC Kaiserslautern

8.7

5 tackles · 5 interceptions

Match Momentum

1. FC Kaiserslautern 82% Holstein Kiel 18%

Key Stats Snapshot

63 Possession 37

28 Shots 8

9 On Target 2

Form Context

1. FC Kaiserslautern

L W W L L

Holstein Kiel

W D W W W

Smart Insight

1. FC Kaiserslautern controlled momentum for most phases of play.
1. FC Kaiserslautern generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors 1. FC Kaiserslautern after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 43.7%

Draw 26.7%

Away Win 29.5%

Expected Goals 1.61 - 1.29

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04	64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07	58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96	57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg	56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98	51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC	48	W W L D L

Promotion - Bundesliga

2. Bundesliga (Relegation)

63 Possession 37

9 Shots 2

28 Shots 8

2 Offsides 0

11 Shots Off Goal 5

9 Shots On Goal 2

28 Total Shots 8

63 Ball Possession 37

419 Passes Accurate 216

506 Total Passes 303

83% Passes % 71%

8 Blocked Shots 1

1 Goalkeeper Saves 5

14 Fouls 16

0 Red Cards 1

2 Yellow Cards 5

10 Corner Kicks 3

22 Shots Insidebox 4

6 Shots Outsidebox 4

3.87 expected_goals 1.64

N/A goals_prevented N/A

1. FC Kaiserslautern — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Daniel Hanslik	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	3	19	F	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	1	3	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Dickson Abiama	0	4	1	2	9	4	-	-	False	76	27	F	7	True	0	0	-	-	-	33	-	34	-	-	-	2	3	-	1	1
👤 Dion Hofmeister	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	3	44	M	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	-	7	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Fabian Kunze	1	-	-	-	15	6	5	1	False	87	6	M	7.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	47	1	57	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	3
👤 Faride Alidou	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	48	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Florian Kleinhansl	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	3	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ivan Prtajin	0	1	-	-	14	5	-	-	False	90	9	F	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	1	13	2	15	-	-	-	2	7	-	-	-
👤 Jan Elvedi	0	-	-	-	4	4	-	-	False	32	33	D	7.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	33	1	33	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	2
👤 Julian Krahl	0	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	6.7	False	0	1	1	-	-	23	-	34	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Leon Robinson	0	2	1	2	11	6	3	-	False	90	37	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	46	-	53	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	4
👤 Luca Sirch	0	1	2	1	15	12	-	4	False	90	31	D	8.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	58	2	78	-	-	-	-	1	-	5	5
👤 Marlon Ritter	0	1	-	-	6	5	-	3	True	87	7	F	7.9	False	1	0	-	-	1	22	4	32	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Maxwell Gyamfi	1	-	-	-	11	6	3	1	False	58	4	D	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	16	-	20	1	-	-	-	1	-	3	2
👤 Mika Haas	0	1	1	-	13	8	1	4	False	90	22	M	8.3	False	0	0	-	1	-	29	1	35	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	3
👤 Naatan Skyttä	0	1	1	-	10	4	1	2	False	87	15	F	10	False	0	0	-	3	-	28	4	36	-	-	-	3	3	-	-	2
👤 Paul Joly	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	14	26	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Richmond Tachie	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	29	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Semih Şahin	0	4	-	3	8	5	1	-	False	90	8	M	7.6	False	1	0	-	-	-	51	2	56	-	-	-	1	2	-	1	1
👤 Simon Simoni	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	25	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tobias Raschl	0	-	-	-	3	1	-	1	False	3	20	M	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	10	-	10	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Holstein Kiel — Player Statistics

Player	cards.red	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.scored	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Adrián Kaprálik	0	0	2	-	1	12	6	2	4	False	67	20	F	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	9	1	15	-	-	0	1	-	-	1	-	1
👤 Alexander Bernhardsson	0	1	4	1	2	15	8	2	2	True	79	11	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	1	-	10	-	18	-	-	1	-	2	3	-	-	3
👤 Carl Johansson	0	0	-	-	-	5	5	-	-	False	90	5	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	28	-	33	-	-	0	-	-	-	2	-	-
👤 David Zec	1	2	-	-	-	4	-	4	-	False	49	26	D	4.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	17	-	20	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Frederik Roslyng	0	1	-	-	-	2	-	1	-	False	11	2	D	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	2	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ivan Nekić	0	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	False	23	13	D	7.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	6	-	-	0	-	-	-	1	1	1
👤 John Tolkin	0	0	1	3	-	9	4	-	1	False	90	47	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	19	-	32	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Jonas Krumrey	0	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	90	21	G	7.9	False	0	4	5	-	-	35	1	44	-	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jonas Therkelsen	0	0	3	-	1	10	4	1	1	False	67	10	F	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	13	-	18	-	-	0	-	-	1	2	1	2
👤 Kasper Davidsen	0	0	2	3	-	19	9	-	2	False	90	15	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	23	-	28	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	1	3
👤 Lasse Rosenboom	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	23	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Louis Köster	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	45	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Magnus Knudsen	0	0	2	-	1	6	1	-	-	False	35	24	M	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	6	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marco Komenda	0	0	-	-	-	12	6	1	1	False	90	3	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	24	-	35	-	-	0	-	-	-	1	-	2
👤 Marcus Müller	0	0	2	-	1	8	2	1	1	False	55	25	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	8	-	12	-	-	0	-	-	2	1	-	-
👤 Marko Ivezić	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	35	6	D	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	9	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Niklas Niehoff	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	29	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Phil Harres	0	0	3	-	1	8	2	2	-	False	23	19	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	4	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Stefan Schwab	0	1	-	1	-	7	4	2	2	False	55	22	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	14	2	21	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Timon Weiner	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: 1. FC Kaiserslautern and Holstein Kiel

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04		31	19	7	5	48	28	20	64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07		31	17	7	7	54	38	16	58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96		31	16	9	6	53	37	16	57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg		31	16	8	7	55	35	20	56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98		31	13	12	6	55	40	15	51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC		31	13	9	9	44	36	8	48	W W L D L
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern	4-1	31	14	4	13	49	46	3	46	L W W L L
8	1. FC Nürnberg		31	11	8	12	40	41	-1	41	W D L D W
9	Karlsruher SC		31	11	7	13	48	59	-11	40	W L W L L
10	VfL Bochum		31	10	9	12	45	44	1	39	L L W L W
11	Holstein Kiel	4-1	31	10	8	13	40	43	-3	38	W D W W W
12	Dynamo Dresden		31	9	8	14	50	50	0	35	L L W W L
13	Arminia Bielefeld		31	9	8	14	46	47	-1	35	L W L D W
14	Eintracht Braunschweig		31	9	7	15	34	50	-16	34	L D L D W
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf		31	10	4	17	30	48	-18	34	L L L L W
16	1. FC Magdeburg		31	10	3	18	48	56	-8	33	W W L W L
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth		31	9	6	16	44	65	-21	33	L L D W L
18	Preußen Münster		31	6	10	15	34	54	-20	28	L D D L L

Promotion - Bundesliga

2. Bundesliga (Relegation)

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: 1. FC Kaiserslautern and Holstein Kiel

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	FC Schalke 04	31	69	1
2	SC Paderborn 07	31	62	3
3	Hannover 96	31	61	3
4	SV Elversberg	31	60	3
5	SV Darmstadt 98	31	55	5
6	Hertha BSC	31	51	6
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern	31	50	7
8	1. FC Nürnberg	31	45	9
9	Karlsruher SC	31	43	10
10	VfL Bochum	31	43	10
11	Holstein Kiel	31	41	11
12	Dynamo Dresden	31	39	13
13	Arminia Bielefeld	31	40	12
14	Eintracht Braunschweig	31	38	15
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf	31	38	15
16	1. FC Magdeburg	31	38	14
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	31	36	16
18	Preußen Münster	31	31	18

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2. Bundesliga (Relegation)

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

43.7%

Home Win

26.7%

Draw

29.5%

Away Win

Expected Goals

1. FC Kaiserslautern 1.61

Holstein Kiel 1.29

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

1. FC Kaiserslautern

Holstein Kiel

Fritz-Walter-Stadion

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)