FC Schalke 04 vs SC Paderborn 07

2. Bundesliga

FC Schalke 04

HT: 1–1

SC Paderborn 07

28 Nov 2025

18:30

Veltins Arena

Stadium

Veltins Arena

Gelsenkirchen

Score Summary

FC Schalke 04

2 1

FT HT 1–1

SC Paderborn 07

K. Karaman 45'
B. Lasme 86'

38' L. Curda

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

49% Win

FC Schalke 04 1532 1542 ▲ 10

51% Win

SC Paderborn 07 1542 1532 ▼ -10

xPi Expected win probability

42% Win

FC Schalke 04 0.16 0.57 ▲ 0.41

36% Win

SC Paderborn 07 0.09 0.46 ▲ 0.37

Top Performers

Top Rated

Kenan Karaman

FC Schalke 04

8.9

8.9 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Kenan Karaman

FC Schalke 04

8.9

1 goals

Best Creator

Raphael Obermair

SC Paderborn 07

7.3

3 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Hasan Kuruçay

FC Schalke 04

7.0

3 tackles · 1 interceptions

Match Momentum

FC Schalke 04 83% SC Paderborn 07 17%

Key Stats Snapshot

38 Possession 62

14 Shots 8

5 On Target 1

Form Context

FC Schalke 04

D W W W W

SC Paderborn 07

W W W D L

Smart Insight

FC Schalke 04 controlled momentum for most phases of play.
FC Schalke 04 generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors FC Schalke 04 after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 39.6%

Draw 27.0%

Away Win 33.4%

Expected Goals 1.52 - 1.38

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04	2-1	64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07	2-1	58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96		57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg		56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98		51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC		48	W W L D L

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38 Possession 62

5 Shots 1

14 Shots 8

3 Offsides 3

5 Shots Off Goal 4

5 Shots On Goal 1

14 Total Shots 8

38 Ball Possession 62

143 Passes Accurate 316

239 Total Passes 413

60% Passes % 77%

4 Blocked Shots 3

0 Goalkeeper Saves 3

7 Fouls 14

0 Red Cards 0

2 Yellow Cards 4

3 Corner Kicks 3

10 Shots Insidebox 5

4 Shots Outsidebox 3

1.54 expected_goals 0.72

N/A goals_prevented N/A

FC Schalke 04 — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Ayman Gulasi	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	34	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Bryan Lasme	0	-	-	-	2	1	-	1	False	23	11	F	7.9	True	0	0	-	1	-	4	1	5	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	-
👤 Christopher Antwi-Adjei	0	2	-	1	3	1	-	-	False	67	18	F	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	3	2	8	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Felipe Sánchez	0	-	-	-	3	3	-	1	False	10	2	D	7	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Finn Porath	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	14	27	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Hasan Kuruçay	0	1	1	1	16	11	-	3	False	90	4	D	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	20	1	29	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	3
👤 Henning Matriciani	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	41	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Janik Bachmann	0	-	-	-	4	1	1	-	False	10	14	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	1	2	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kenan Karaman	1	3	-	2	14	7	2	1	True	90	19	F	8.9	False	1	0	-	1	1	15	2	20	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	1
👤 Loris Karius	1	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	90	1	G	6.7	False	0	1	-	-	-	11	-	18	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Luca Podlech	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	32	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Max Grüger	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	37	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mertcan Ayhan	0	1	-	1	6	4	-	-	False	90	43	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	13	-	26	-	-	-	-	-	2	1	1
👤 Mika Wallentowitz	0	2	2	2	10	7	-	-	False	85	35	M	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	12	1	25	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	2
👤 Moussa Sylla	0	-	-	-	4	1	-	1	False	89	9	F	6.2	False	1	0	-	-	1	6	1	9	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Nikola Katić	0	-	-	-	19	14	-	3	False	90	25	D	7.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	20	1	30	-	-	-	-	1	1	-	3
👤 Paul Friedrich Pöpperl	0	-	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	14	46	M	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Ron Schallenberg	0	-	-	-	6	4	1	1	False	85	6	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	9	-	16	-	-	-	-	1	-	2	1
👤 Soufiane El-Faouzi	0	-	1	-	15	6	3	3	False	90	23	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	15	2	28	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	3
👤 Vitalie Becker	0	-	-	-	9	3	-	-	False	89	33	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	9	-	17	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	2

SC Paderborn 07 — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Calvin Brackelmann	1	1	-	-	9	5	1	-	False	62	4	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	26	-	34	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Dennis Seimen	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	41	G	7.3	False	0	2	3	-	-	42	-	54	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Felix Götze	1	1	-	-	10	4	3	-	True	90	20	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	36	-	46	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Filip Bilbija	0	1	1	1	9	5	2	-	False	62	7	F	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	6	-	11	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Jonah Sticker	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	3	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Laurin Curda	1	1	1	-	12	5	2	-	False	90	17	F	7.7	False	0	0	-	1	2	18	1	27	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	2
👤 Lucas Copado	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	28	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Luis Engelns	0	2	-	-	3	1	-	-	False	16	6	M	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	-	8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Marco Wörner	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	18	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Markus Schubert	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mattes Hansen	0	1	-	-	8	2	3	-	False	88	22	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	1	28	1	33	-	-	-	-	-	2	2	1
👤 Mika Baur	0	-	2	-	7	1	2	1	False	74	14	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	26	-	31	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Nick Bätzner	1	-	1	-	3	1	-	-	False	16	9	M	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	2	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Raphael Obermair	0	2	1	1	8	2	-	-	False	90	23	M	7.3	False	1	0	-	-	-	24	3	37	-	-	-	-	-	1	2	-
👤 Santiago Castaneda	0	-	-	-	6	4	-	-	False	74	5	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	18	-	24	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Sebastian Klaas	0	-	-	-	5	4	-	2	False	28	26	M	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	11	-	11	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Stefano Marino	0	-	-	-	2	-	-	-	False	11	30	F	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Steffen Tigges	0	3	1	1	18	8	-	-	False	90	27	F	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	10	-	21	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Sven Michel	0	4	-	1	9	3	1	2	False	28	11	F	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	6	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Tjark Lasse Scheller	0	-	-	-	5	4	-	2	False	90	25	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	58	1	67	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: FC Schalke 04 and SC Paderborn 07

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04	2-1	31	19	7	5	48	28	20	64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07	2-1	31	17	7	7	54	38	16	58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96		31	16	9	6	53	37	16	57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg		31	16	8	7	55	35	20	56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98		31	13	12	6	55	40	15	51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC		31	13	9	9	44	36	8	48	W W L D L
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern		31	14	4	13	49	46	3	46	L W W L L
8	1. FC Nürnberg		31	11	8	12	40	41	-1	41	W D L D W
9	Karlsruher SC		31	11	7	13	48	59	-11	40	W L W L L
10	VfL Bochum		31	10	9	12	45	44	1	39	L L W L W
11	Holstein Kiel		31	10	8	13	40	43	-3	38	W D W W W
12	Dynamo Dresden		31	9	8	14	50	50	0	35	L L W W L
13	Arminia Bielefeld		31	9	8	14	46	47	-1	35	L W L D W
14	Eintracht Braunschweig		31	9	7	15	34	50	-16	34	L D L D W
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf		31	10	4	17	30	48	-18	34	L L L L W
16	1. FC Magdeburg		31	10	3	18	48	56	-8	33	W W L W L
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth		31	9	6	16	44	65	-21	33	L L D W L
18	Preußen Münster		31	6	10	15	34	54	-20	28	L D D L L

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Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: FC Schalke 04 and SC Paderborn 07

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	FC Schalke 04	31	69	1
2	SC Paderborn 07	31	62	3
3	Hannover 96	31	61	3
4	SV Elversberg	31	60	3
5	SV Darmstadt 98	31	55	5
6	Hertha BSC	31	51	6
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern	31	50	7
8	1. FC Nürnberg	31	45	9
9	Karlsruher SC	31	43	10
10	VfL Bochum	31	43	10
11	Holstein Kiel	31	41	11
12	Dynamo Dresden	31	39	13
13	Arminia Bielefeld	31	40	12
14	Eintracht Braunschweig	31	38	15
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf	31	38	15
16	1. FC Magdeburg	31	38	14
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	31	36	16
18	Preußen Münster	31	31	18

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

39.6%

Home Win

27.0%

Draw

33.4%

Away Win

Expected Goals

FC Schalke 04 1.52

SC Paderborn 07 1.38

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

FC Schalke 04

SC Paderborn 07

Veltins Arena

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

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