SC Paderborn 07 vs SV Elversberg

2. Bundesliga

SC Paderborn 07

HT: 0–1

SV Elversberg

06 Dec 2025

13:00

Home Deluxe Arena

Stadium

Home Deluxe Arena

Paderborn, Germany

Capacity: 15306 Surface: grass Address: Wilfried-Finke-Allee 1

Score Summary

SC Paderborn 07

1 2

FT HT 0–1

SV Elversberg

S. Michel 52'

32' Y. Ebnoutalib
76' F. Schmahl

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

52% Win

SC Paderborn 07 1532 1522 ▼ -10

48% Win

SV Elversberg 1520 1530 ▲ 10

xPi Expected win probability

40% Win

SC Paderborn 07 0.06 0.46 ▲ 0.41

37% Win

SV Elversberg 0.05 0.33 ▲ 0.28

Top Performers

Top Rated

Dennis Seimen

SC Paderborn 07

8.3

8.3 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Sven Michel

SC Paderborn 07

7.9

1 goals

Best Creator

Tom Zimmerschied

SV Elversberg

7.2

4 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Mika Baur

SC Paderborn 07

6.9

4 tackles · 3 interceptions

Match Momentum

SC Paderborn 07 38% SV Elversberg 62%

Key Stats Snapshot

49 Possession 51

9 Shots 16

3 On Target 5

Form Context

SC Paderborn 07

W W W D L

SV Elversberg

W D L W D

Smart Insight

SV Elversberg carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
SV Elversberg produced more shot pressure than expected.
Elo movement favors SV Elversberg after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 38.4%

Draw 27.1%

Away Win 34.6%

Expected Goals 1.49 - 1.41

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04		64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07	1-2	58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96		57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg	1-2	56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98		51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC		48	W W L D L

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49 Possession 51

3 Shots 5

9 Shots 16

1 Offsides 4

4 Shots Off Goal 5

3 Shots On Goal 5

9 Total Shots 16

49 Ball Possession 51

328 Passes Accurate 357

411 Total Passes 426

80% Passes % 84%

2 Blocked Shots 6

3 Goalkeeper Saves 2

19 Fouls 5

1 Red Cards 0

4 Yellow Cards 1

3 Corner Kicks 10

7 Shots Insidebox 13

2 Shots Outsidebox 3

0.63 expected_goals 0.78

N/A goals_prevented N/A

SC Paderborn 07 — Player Statistics

Player	cards.red	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Calvin Brackelmann	1	0	2	1	2	10	8	1	-	False	58	4	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	21	1	29	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	5
👤 Dennis Seimen	0	0	1	-	1	1	1	-	-	False	90	41	G	8.3	False	0	2	3	-	-	33	1	45	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Felix Götze	0	0	1	3	-	9	2	1	-	True	90	20	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	35	-	39	-	-	-	-	1	3	-	1
👤 Filip Bilbija	0	0	-	-	-	2	1	-	1	False	10	7	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jonah Sticker	0	0	-	-	-	3	1	-	-	False	30	3	D	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	-	8	-	-	-	-	-	2	-	1
👤 Lucas Copado	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	28	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Luis Engelns	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	6	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marco Wörner	0	0	-	-	-	5	1	1	-	False	45	18	F	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	5	1	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Markus Schubert	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mattes Hansen	0	0	-	-	-	11	8	1	-	False	45	22	M	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	11	1	16	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	6
👤 Mika Baur	0	0	-	1	-	9	5	2	-	False	90	14	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	42	1	51	-	-	-	-	-	1	3	4
👤 Nick Bätzner	0	1	-	3	-	10	-	3	-	False	60	9	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	1	11	-	15	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Raphael Obermair	0	1	1	2	1	13	5	2	-	False	90	23	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	30	-	35	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	2
👤 Ruben Müller	0	1	1	1	1	8	3	-	1	False	45	2	M	7.2	True	1	0	-	-	-	19	1	25	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Santiago Castaneda	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	5	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Sebastian Klaas	0	0	1	2	1	8	3	2	1	False	80	26	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	43	1	52	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Stefano Marino	0	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	1	False	10	30	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Steffen Tigges	0	0	-	-	-	8	6	1	-	False	80	27	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	10	-	14	-	-	-	-	2	-	-	-
👤 Sven Michel	0	1	-	-	-	6	3	3	1	False	45	11	F	7.9	True	0	0	-	1	-	8	-	13	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Tjark Lasse Scheller	0	0	1	-	-	7	2	2	-	False	90	25	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	48	-	50	-	-	-	1	1	-	4	-

SV Elversberg — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Amara Condé	0	2	-	1	5	2	1	-	False	9	6	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	1	9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Bambasé Conté	0	2	-	2	16	14	-	7	False	90	10	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	19	2	25	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	4
👤 Carlo Sickinger	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	23	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Daniel Pantschenko	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	32	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Felix Keidel	0	2	1	1	7	3	1	-	False	45	43	D	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	14	-	21	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Florian Le Joncour	0	-	-	-	5	1	1	-	False	90	3	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	59	-	68	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Frederik Schmahl	0	3	-	3	8	6	-	2	False	81	17	M	7.9	False	0	0	-	1	-	21	2	22	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	-
👤 Jan Gyamerah	0	6	-	3	15	8	-	1	False	90	30	D	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	38	1	47	-	-	-	1	1	-	2	3
👤 Jarzinho Malanga	0	1	1	-	4	1	-	1	False	13	14	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	1	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lasse Günther	0	-	-	-	4	2	-	-	False	45	21	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	15	-	16	-	-	-	-	1	1	-	1
👤 Luca Schnellbacher	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	13	24	M	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	1	2	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lukas Finn Pinckert	0	-	-	-	7	4	1	1	True	90	19	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	53	-	61	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Lukas Petkov	0	5	3	3	15	8	-	2	False	89	25	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	25	-	31	-	-	-	-	2	-	-	2
👤 Manuel Feil	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	7	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nicolas Kristof	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	90	20	G	7.6	False	0	1	2	-	-	31	-	35	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Otto Stange	1	-	-	-	2	-	1	-	False	13	9	F	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Tim Boss	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	28	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tom Zimmerschied	0	4	-	-	8	3	-	2	False	77	29	M	7.2	False	1	0	-	-	-	24	4	27	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Younes Ebnoutalib	0	-	1	-	4	1	-	-	False	89	22	F	7.3	False	0	0	-	1	3	7	1	11	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	-
👤 Łukasz Poręba	0	-	-	-	10	6	-	3	False	90	8	M	7.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	39	-	44	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: SC Paderborn 07 and SV Elversberg

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04		31	19	7	5	48	28	20	64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07	1-2	31	17	7	7	54	38	16	58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96		31	16	9	6	53	37	16	57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg	1-2	31	16	8	7	55	35	20	56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98		31	13	12	6	55	40	15	51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC		31	13	9	9	44	36	8	48	W W L D L
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern		31	14	4	13	49	46	3	46	L W W L L
8	1. FC Nürnberg		31	11	8	12	40	41	-1	41	W D L D W
9	Karlsruher SC		31	11	7	13	48	59	-11	40	W L W L L
10	VfL Bochum		31	10	9	12	45	44	1	39	L L W L W
11	Holstein Kiel		31	10	8	13	40	43	-3	38	W D W W W
12	Dynamo Dresden		31	9	8	14	50	50	0	35	L L W W L
13	Arminia Bielefeld		31	9	8	14	46	47	-1	35	L W L D W
14	Eintracht Braunschweig		31	9	7	15	34	50	-16	34	L D L D W
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf		31	10	4	17	30	48	-18	34	L L L L W
16	1. FC Magdeburg		31	10	3	18	48	56	-8	33	W W L W L
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth		31	9	6	16	44	65	-21	33	L L D W L
18	Preußen Münster		31	6	10	15	34	54	-20	28	L D D L L

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Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: SC Paderborn 07 and SV Elversberg

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	FC Schalke 04	31	69	1
2	SC Paderborn 07	31	62	3
3	Hannover 96	31	61	3
4	SV Elversberg	31	60	3
5	SV Darmstadt 98	31	55	5
6	Hertha BSC	31	51	6
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern	31	50	7
8	1. FC Nürnberg	31	45	9
9	Karlsruher SC	31	43	10
10	VfL Bochum	31	43	10
11	Holstein Kiel	31	41	11
12	Dynamo Dresden	31	39	13
13	Arminia Bielefeld	31	40	12
14	Eintracht Braunschweig	31	38	15
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf	31	38	15
16	1. FC Magdeburg	31	38	14
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	31	36	16
18	Preußen Münster	31	31	18

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

38.4%

Home Win

27.1%

Draw

34.6%

Away Win

Expected Goals

SC Paderborn 07 1.49

SV Elversberg 1.41

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

SC Paderborn 07

SV Elversberg

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Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

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