SV Darmstadt 98 vs Karlsruher SC

2. Bundesliga

SV Darmstadt 98

HT: 1–1

Karlsruher SC

06 Dec 2025

20:30

Merck-Stadion am Bollenfalltor

Stadium

Merck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor

Darmstadt, Germany

Capacity: 17810 Surface: grass Address: Nieder-Ramstädter Straße 170

Score Summary

SV Darmstadt 98

3 2

FT HT 1–1

Karlsruher SC

38' M. Maglica
60' F. Schleusener

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

56% Win

SV Darmstadt 98 1535 1544 ▲ 9

44% Win

Karlsruher SC 1490 1482 ▼ -9

xPi Expected win probability

58% Win

SV Darmstadt 98 0.25 -0.03 ▼ -0.28

29% Win

Karlsruher SC -0.32 -0.56 ▼ -0.24

Top Performers

Top Rated

Marco Richter

SV Darmstadt 98

9.2

9.2 rating · 82 min

Most Clinical

Matej Maglica

SV Darmstadt 98

7.7

1 goals

Best Creator

Marco Richter

SV Darmstadt 98

9.2

6 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Kai Klefisch

SV Darmstadt 98

6.5

0 tackles · 2 interceptions

Match Momentum

SV Darmstadt 98 77% Karlsruher SC 23%

Key Stats Snapshot

58 Possession 42

25 Shots 10

10 On Target 3

Form Context

SV Darmstadt 98

D L L L D

Karlsruher SC

W L W L L

Smart Insight

SV Darmstadt 98 controlled momentum for most phases of play.
SV Darmstadt 98 generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors SV Darmstadt 98 after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 52.3%

Draw 25.4%

Away Win 22.3%

Expected Goals 1.79 - 1.11

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04		64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07		58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96		57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg		56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98	3-2	51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC		48	W W L D L

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58 Possession 42

10 Shots 3

25 Shots 10

1 Offsides 0

9 Shots Off Goal 5

10 Shots On Goal 3

25 Total Shots 10

58 Ball Possession 42

416 Passes Accurate 251

478 Total Passes 329

87% Passes % 76%

6 Blocked Shots 2

2 Goalkeeper Saves 7

6 Fouls 10

0 Red Cards 0

1 Yellow Cards 2

8 Corner Kicks 9

18 Shots Insidebox 6

7 Shots Outsidebox 4

4.06 expected_goals 0.53

N/A goals_prevented N/A

SV Darmstadt 98 — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Aleksandar Vukotić	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	8	20	D	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Alexander Brunst	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	30	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Bartosz Białek	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	27	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Fabian Holland	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	1	False	17	32	D	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Fabian Nürnberger	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	False	73	15	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	31	2	32	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Fynn Lakenmacher	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	19	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Hiroki Akiyama	1	-	-	-	3	2	1	1	False	73	16	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	43	-	45	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Isac Lidberg	0	-	-	-	12	5	1	3	False	90	7	F	7.9	False	0	0	-	1	-	9	1	15	-	-	-	3	6	-	-	-
👤 Kai Klefisch	0	-	2	-	5	-	1	-	False	90	17	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	59	2	64	-	-	-	-	2	-	2	-
👤 Killian Corredor	0	1	-	1	5	4	-	1	False	90	34	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	23	2	27	-	-	-	-	3	-	-	-
👤 Luca Marseiler	0	2	1	2	6	4	-	2	False	89	8	M	7.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	16	-	19	-	-	-	3	4	-	-	-
👤 Marcel Schuhen	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	True	90	1	G	6.3	False	0	2	2	-	-	33	-	46	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marco Richter	0	-	1	-	4	2	1	1	False	82	23	M	9.2	False	1	0	-	1	1	18	6	23	-	-	-	2	2	1	-	-
👤 Matej Maglica	0	-	-	-	5	5	-	-	False	90	5	D	7.7	False	0	0	-	1	-	76	-	81	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Matondo-Merveille Papela	0	1	-	-	3	1	-	-	False	17	21	M	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	7	-	7	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	1
👤 Matthias Bader	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	False	17	26	D	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	1	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Patric Pfeiffer	0	-	-	-	10	7	1	1	False	90	6	D	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	60	1	71	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Paul Will	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	28	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Sergio López	0	1	1	1	3	1	-	-	False	73	2	D	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	31	2	32	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Yosuke Furukawa	0	1	-	1	1	1	-	-	False	10	44	F	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Karlsruher SC — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Andreas Müller	0	-	1	-	3	1	1	-	False	54	16	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	14	1	19	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 David Herold	0	2	1	2	10	7	1	3	False	90	20	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	26	3	36	-	-	-	1	1	1	1	-
👤 Dženis Burnić	0	-	-	-	2	-	2	-	False	79	7	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	18	-	21	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Eymen Laghrissi	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	11	44	F	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Fabian Schleusener	0	1	-	-	6	3	1	-	False	79	24	F	7.5	False	0	0	-	1	-	7	-	12	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Hans Christian Bernat	0	-	-	-	2	1	-	1	False	90	1	G	7.5	False	0	3	7	-	-	24	-	34	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Leon Opitz	0	1	-	1	1	1	-	-	False	23	17	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marcel Beifus	1	-	-	-	9	5	1	1	False	90	4	D	5.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	35	-	45	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	-
👤 Marcel Franke	0	-	-	-	3	2	-	-	False	90	28	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	30	-	40	-	-	-	-	-	3	1	-
👤 Marvin Wanitzek	0	1	-	-	5	1	-	-	True	90	10	M	6.5	False	1	0	-	-	-	23	2	28	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Meiko Wäschenbach	1	2	1	2	5	3	1	-	False	36	21	M	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	15	-	19	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	1
👤 Niclas Dühring	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	29	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Paul Scholl	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	15	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Philipp Forster	0	1	1	-	8	-	2	-	False	67	11	F	6	False	0	0	-	-	-	16	1	19	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Rafael Pinto Pedrosa	0	-	-	-	3	1	1	1	False	90	36	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	13	1	17	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	-
👤 Robin Himmelmann	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	30	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Roko Šimić	0	-	-	-	2	-	-	-	False	11	9	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Sebastian Jung	0	-	1	-	5	1	-	-	False	90	2	D	5.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	23	-	28	-	-	-	-	2	-	1	1
👤 Shio Fukuda	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	13	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: SV Darmstadt 98 and Karlsruher SC

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04		31	19	7	5	48	28	20	64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07		31	17	7	7	54	38	16	58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96		31	16	9	6	53	37	16	57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg		31	16	8	7	55	35	20	56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98	3-2	31	13	12	6	55	40	15	51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC		31	13	9	9	44	36	8	48	W W L D L
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern		31	14	4	13	49	46	3	46	L W W L L
8	1. FC Nürnberg		31	11	8	12	40	41	-1	41	W D L D W
9	Karlsruher SC	3-2	31	11	7	13	48	59	-11	40	W L W L L
10	VfL Bochum		31	10	9	12	45	44	1	39	L L W L W
11	Holstein Kiel		31	10	8	13	40	43	-3	38	W D W W W
12	Dynamo Dresden		31	9	8	14	50	50	0	35	L L W W L
13	Arminia Bielefeld		31	9	8	14	46	47	-1	35	L W L D W
14	Eintracht Braunschweig		31	9	7	15	34	50	-16	34	L D L D W
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf		31	10	4	17	30	48	-18	34	L L L L W
16	1. FC Magdeburg		31	10	3	18	48	56	-8	33	W W L W L
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth		31	9	6	16	44	65	-21	33	L L D W L
18	Preußen Münster		31	6	10	15	34	54	-20	28	L D D L L

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Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: SV Darmstadt 98 and Karlsruher SC

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	FC Schalke 04	31	69	1
2	SC Paderborn 07	31	62	3
3	Hannover 96	31	61	3
4	SV Elversberg	31	60	3
5	SV Darmstadt 98	31	55	5
6	Hertha BSC	31	51	6
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern	31	50	7
8	1. FC Nürnberg	31	45	9
9	Karlsruher SC	31	43	10
10	VfL Bochum	31	43	10
11	Holstein Kiel	31	41	11
12	Dynamo Dresden	31	39	13
13	Arminia Bielefeld	31	40	12
14	Eintracht Braunschweig	31	38	15
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf	31	38	15
16	1. FC Magdeburg	31	38	14
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	31	36	16
18	Preußen Münster	31	31	18

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

52.3%

Home Win

25.4%

Draw

22.3%

Away Win

Expected Goals

SV Darmstadt 98 1.79

Karlsruher SC 1.11

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

SV Darmstadt 98

Karlsruher SC

Merck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

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