1. FC Magdeburg vs Holstein Kiel

2. Bundesliga

1. FC Magdeburg

HT: 2–1

Holstein Kiel

43' D. Zec
45' N. Pesch
45' B. Atik
68' D. Zec
84' M. Zukowski
90' S. Skrzybski

13 Dec 2025

13:00

Avnet Arena

Score Summary

1. FC Magdeburg

3 3

FT HT 2–1

Holstein Kiel

43' D. Zec
68' D. Zec
90' S. Skrzybski

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

48% Win

1. FC Magdeburg 1478 1479 ▲ 0

52% Win

Holstein Kiel 1492 1492 ▼ 0

xPi Expected win probability

58% Win

1. FC Magdeburg 0.14 0.21 ▲ 0.07

29% Win

Holstein Kiel -0.24 -0.27 ▼ -0.03

Top Performers

Top Rated

Baris Atik

1. FC Magdeburg

8.3

8.3 rating · 89 min

Most Clinical

David Zec

Holstein Kiel

6.9

2 goals

Best Creator

Mateusz Żukowski

1. FC Magdeburg

7.9

4 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Lubambo Musonda

1. FC Magdeburg

5.9

1 tackles · 4 interceptions

Match Momentum

1. FC Magdeburg 57% Holstein Kiel 43%

Key Stats Snapshot

57 Possession 43

18 Shots 14

8 On Target 6

Form Context

1. FC Magdeburg

W W L W L

Holstein Kiel

W D W W W

Smart Insight

1. FC Magdeburg controlled momentum for most phases of play.
1. FC Magdeburg generated the clearer shot volume edge.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 52.2%

Draw 25.4%

Away Win 22.4%

Expected Goals 1.79 - 1.11

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04	64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07	58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96	57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg	56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98	51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC	48	W W L D L

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2. Bundesliga (Relegation)

57 Possession 43

8 Shots 6

18 Shots 14

3 Offsides 1

8 Shots Off Goal 3

8 Shots On Goal 6

18 Total Shots 14

57 Ball Possession 43

329 Passes Accurate 219

402 Total Passes 303

82% Passes % 72%

2 Blocked Shots 5

3 Goalkeeper Saves 5

11 Fouls 14

0 Red Cards 0

2 Yellow Cards 3

6 Corner Kicks 4

12 Shots Insidebox 7

6 Shots Outsidebox 7

2.73 expected_goals 2.35

N/A goals_prevented N/A

1. FC Magdeburg — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.scored	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Abu-Bekir Ömer El-Zein	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	14	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Alexander Nollenberger	0	2	-	1	5	3	1	1	False	90	17	D	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	23	-	29	-	-	0	-	1	3	-	2	-
👤 Andi Hoti	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	3	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Baris Atik	0	4	-	3	9	5	-	2	False	89	23	F	8.3	False	0	0	-	1	1	20	2	22	-	-	0	-	2	2	1	-	-
👤 Dariusz Stalmach	0	-	-	-	4	3	1	2	False	21	6	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	1	6	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Dominik Reimann	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	True	90	1	G	6.9	False	0	3	3	-	-	46	-	58	-	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Eldin Džogović	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	4	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Falko Michel	1	2	1	1	16	11	2	1	False	90	21	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	22	-	33	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	3	1
👤 Kandet Diawara	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	39	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Laurin Ulrich	1	-	-	-	6	4	1	1	False	69	8	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	15	2	17	-	-	0	-	-	-	2	-	3
👤 Lubambo Musonda	0	-	-	-	8	5	1	4	False	90	19	D	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	27	1	32	1	-	0	-	-	1	-	4	1
👤 Marcus Mathisen	0	1	2	1	6	2	3	-	False	90	16	D	6	False	0	0	-	-	-	54	-	65	1	-	0	-	-	-	-	4	1
👤 Mateusz Żukowski	0	1	-	-	9	3	1	1	False	90	22	F	7.9	False	1	0	-	1	1	7	4	12	-	-	1	-	2	4	1	-	1
👤 Max Geschwill	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	8	28	D	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	1	5	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Maximilian Breunig	0	1	-	-	5	2	-	1	False	21	9	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	1	4	1	5	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Noah Kruth	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	30	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Noah Pesch	0	-	1	-	3	1	1	-	False	69	10	F	7.6	False	0	0	-	1	-	17	-	21	-	-	0	-	2	3	-	-	1
👤 Philipp Hercher	0	1	-	-	2	-	-	-	False	8	27	D	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	-	0	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Silas Gnaka	0	2	2	-	6	2	-	-	False	89	25	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	35	-	41	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Tobias Müller	0	-	-	-	4	4	-	1	False	90	5	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	50	-	55	-	-	0	1	-	-	1	2	1

Holstein Kiel — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.scored	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Adrián Kaprálik	0	-	-	-	4	1	1	-	False	60	20	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	5	-	-	0	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 David Zec	1	-	-	-	5	3	2	-	False	90	26	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	2	-	34	1	43	1	-	2	-	2	2	1	-	-
👤 Frederik Roslyng	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	2	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ivan Nekić	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	13	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 John Tolkin	0	-	-	-	5	5	-	1	False	90	47	M	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	21	1	26	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Jonas Krumrey	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	90	21	G	6.7	False	0	3	5	-	-	21	-	33	-	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jonas Therkelsen	0	7	-	2	12	4	-	1	False	76	10	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	13	1	18	-	-	0	-	1	1	-	1	1
👤 Kasper Davidsen	0	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	False	14	15	M	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	4	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Louis Köster	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	14	45	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Magnus Knudsen	0	-	2	-	8	3	2	-	False	84	24	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	18	1	19	-	-	0	-	-	1	1	-	2
👤 Marco Komenda	0	-	-	-	4	2	1	1	True	85	3	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	22	2	35	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Marcus Müller	1	-	-	-	2	-	1	-	False	15	25	F	6.3	True	1	0	-	-	-	2	1	2	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Marko Ivezić	0	-	-	-	9	4	3	1	False	90	6	D	5.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	27	-	36	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Mladen Cvjetinović	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	17	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Niklas Niehoff	0	4	-	1	10	5	-	2	False	90	29	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	12	-	18	-	-	0	1	1	2	-	-	-
👤 Phil Harres	0	3	-	3	8	6	1	1	False	90	19	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	1	9	-	18	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Robert Wagner	0	1	1	-	5	3	-	2	False	60	39	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	20	-	25	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Stefan Schwab	1	-	2	-	7	-	3	-	False	30	22	M	6	True	0	0	-	-	-	9	1	12	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Steven Skrzybski	0	1	-	-	4	1	-	-	False	30	7	F	7.7	True	0	0	-	1	-	7	-	8	-	-	0	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Timon Weiner	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: 1. FC Magdeburg and Holstein Kiel

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04		31	19	7	5	48	28	20	64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07		31	17	7	7	54	38	16	58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96		31	16	9	6	53	37	16	57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg		31	16	8	7	55	35	20	56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98		31	13	12	6	55	40	15	51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC		31	13	9	9	44	36	8	48	W W L D L
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern		31	14	4	13	49	46	3	46	L W W L L
8	1. FC Nürnberg		31	11	8	12	40	41	-1	41	W D L D W
9	Karlsruher SC		31	11	7	13	48	59	-11	40	W L W L L
10	VfL Bochum		31	10	9	12	45	44	1	39	L L W L W
11	Holstein Kiel	3-3	31	10	8	13	40	43	-3	38	W D W W W
12	Dynamo Dresden		31	9	8	14	50	50	0	35	L L W W L
13	Arminia Bielefeld		31	9	8	14	46	47	-1	35	L W L D W
14	Eintracht Braunschweig		31	9	7	15	34	50	-16	34	L D L D W
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf		31	10	4	17	30	48	-18	34	L L L L W
16	1. FC Magdeburg	3-3	31	10	3	18	48	56	-8	33	W W L W L
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth		31	9	6	16	44	65	-21	33	L L D W L
18	Preußen Münster		31	6	10	15	34	54	-20	28	L D D L L

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Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: 1. FC Magdeburg and Holstein Kiel

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	FC Schalke 04	31	69	1
2	SC Paderborn 07	31	62	3
3	Hannover 96	31	61	3
4	SV Elversberg	31	60	3
5	SV Darmstadt 98	31	55	5
6	Hertha BSC	31	51	6
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern	31	50	7
8	1. FC Nürnberg	31	45	9
9	Karlsruher SC	31	43	10
10	VfL Bochum	31	43	10
11	Holstein Kiel	31	41	11
12	Dynamo Dresden	31	39	13
13	Arminia Bielefeld	31	40	12
14	Eintracht Braunschweig	31	38	15
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf	31	38	15
16	1. FC Magdeburg	31	38	14
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	31	36	16
18	Preußen Münster	31	31	18

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

52.2%

Home Win

25.4%

Draw

22.4%

Away Win

Expected Goals

1. FC Magdeburg 1.79

Holstein Kiel 1.11

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

1. FC Magdeburg

Holstein Kiel

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)