Fortuna Düsseldorf vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth

2. Bundesliga

Fortuna Düsseldorf

HT: 1–0

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

20 Dec 2025

13:00

Merkur Spiel-Arena

Stadium

Merkur Spiel-Arena

Düsseldorf

Score Summary

Fortuna Düsseldorf

2 1

FT HT 1–0

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

C. Itten 24'
F. Muslija 65'

86' N. Futkeu

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

48% Win

Fortuna Düsseldorf 1450 1460 ▲ 10

52% Win

SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1462 1452 ▼ -10

xPi Expected win probability

36% Win

Fortuna Düsseldorf -0.19 -0.18 ▲ 0.01

43% Win

SpVgg Greuther Fürth -0.14 -0.26 ▼ -0.12

Top Performers

Top Rated

Florent Muslija

Fortuna Düsseldorf

8.7

8.7 rating · 89 min

Most Clinical

Florent Muslija

Fortuna Düsseldorf

8.7

1 goals

Best Creator

Florent Muslija

Fortuna Düsseldorf

8.7

2 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Anouar El Azzouzi

Fortuna Düsseldorf

7.3

4 tackles · 2 interceptions

Match Momentum

Fortuna Düsseldorf 70% SpVgg Greuther Fürth 30%

Key Stats Snapshot

35 Possession 65

15 Shots 10

7 On Target 3

Form Context

Fortuna Düsseldorf

L L L L W

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

L L D W L

Smart Insight

Fortuna Düsseldorf controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Fortuna Düsseldorf generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors Fortuna Düsseldorf after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 32.4%

Draw 27.0%

Away Win 40.7%

Expected Goals 1.36 - 1.54

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04	64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07	58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96	57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg	56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98	51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC	48	W W L D L

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2. Bundesliga (Relegation)

35 Possession 65

7 Shots 3

15 Shots 10

3 Offsides 0

3 Shots Off Goal 3

7 Shots On Goal 3

15 Total Shots 10

35 Ball Possession 65

271 Passes Accurate 559

322 Total Passes 633

84% Passes % 88%

5 Blocked Shots 4

2 Goalkeeper Saves 5

11 Fouls 5

0 Red Cards 0

4 Yellow Cards 2

6 Corner Kicks 4

8 Shots Insidebox 8

7 Shots Outsidebox 2

1.79 expected_goals 1.19

N/A goals_prevented N/A

Fortuna Düsseldorf — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Anouar El Azzouzi	0	1	-	1	10	6	3	1	False	74	8	M	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	1	32	-	34	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	4
👤 Cedric Itten	0	-	1	-	5	1	1	-	False	90	13	F	7.2	False	0	0	-	1	-	8	-	9	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	1
👤 Christian Rasmussen	1	3	1	1	12	2	2	-	False	75	10	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	1	7	1	10	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	-
👤 Christopher Lenz	0	1	-	-	2	1	-	1	False	15	3	D	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	1	8	-	10	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	-
👤 Danny Schmidt	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	22	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Elias Egouli	1	-	-	-	10	8	1	1	False	90	44	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	38	1	42	-	-	-	-	-	1	2	-
👤 Emmanuel Iyoha	0	1	-	-	7	4	-	-	False	90	19	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	14	-	19	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	3
👤 Florent Muslija	1	2	2	-	9	2	2	-	False	89	24	M	8.7	False	1	0	-	1	-	25	2	30	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	2
👤 Florian Kastenmeier	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	True	90	33	G	7.6	False	0	1	2	-	-	31	-	36	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jesper Daland	1	1	1	-	5	2	1	-	False	87	2	D	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	26	-	33	1	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Jordy de Wijs	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	30	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kenneth Schmidt	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	9	4	D	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Luca Raimund	0	1	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	15	7	F	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	1	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marcel Lotka	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Matthias Zimmermann	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	False	1	25	D	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Moritz Heyer	0	1	-	1	2	2	-	1	False	16	5	D	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Shinta Karl Appelkamp	0	-	-	-	2	-	-	-	False	75	23	M	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	23	2	23	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Sima Suso	0	1	2	-	6	1	-	-	False	90	46	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	26	1	29	-	-	-	2	3	-	1	1
👤 Tim Christopher Oberdorf	0	-	2	-	8	5	-	-	False	90	15	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	26	1	37	-	-	-	-	-	3	-	4
👤 Žan Celar	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	9	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.scored	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Aaron Keller	0	5	-	4	8	5	-	-	False	90	16	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	36	1	40	-	-	0	-	1	1	1	1	1
👤 Branimir Hrgota	0	2	1	1	12	6	-	3	True	90	10	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	25	-	33	-	-	0	-	-	-	1	-	1
👤 Dennis Srbeny	0	-	-	-	4	2	-	-	False	24	7	F	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	12	-	13	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	1	1
👤 Felix Higl	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	18	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Gian-Luca Itter	0	1	-	-	5	3	1	-	False	86	27	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	43	1	57	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Jannik Dehm	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	False	77	23	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	37	-	42	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jomaine Consbruch	0	2	-	1	5	3	-	1	False	66	14	M	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	13	-	18	-	-	0	-	1	2	1	-	1
👤 Julian Green	0	1	1	1	8	5	-	1	False	86	37	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	49	2	55	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Lado Akhalaia	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	49	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lukas Reich	1	-	-	-	2	1	1	-	False	10	2	D	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	3	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Mathias Olesen	1	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	False	24	8	M	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	22	-	24	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Maximilian Dietz	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	False	90	33	M	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	93	-	99	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Mehmet Avlayici	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	44	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Noel Futkeu	0	2	-	-	9	2	1	2	False	90	9	F	6.9	False	0	0	-	1	-	19	-	21	-	-	1	1	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Omar Sillah	0	-	-	-	2	1	1	-	False	13	42	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	3	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Pelle Boevink	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	26	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Philipp Ziereis	0	-	-	-	8	6	-	1	False	66	4	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	64	-	68	-	-	0	-	-	1	2	-	2
👤 Raul Marița	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	10	38	D	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	7	-	7	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Reno Münz	0	1	1	1	12	8	-	2	False	90	5	D	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	89	1	96	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	4
👤 Timo Schlieck	0	1	-	1	1	1	-	-	False	90	21	G	6.2	False	0	2	5	-	-	46	-	54	-	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Fortuna Düsseldorf and SpVgg Greuther Fürth

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04		31	19	7	5	48	28	20	64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07		31	17	7	7	54	38	16	58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96		31	16	9	6	53	37	16	57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg		31	16	8	7	55	35	20	56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98		31	13	12	6	55	40	15	51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC		31	13	9	9	44	36	8	48	W W L D L
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern		31	14	4	13	49	46	3	46	L W W L L
8	1. FC Nürnberg		31	11	8	12	40	41	-1	41	W D L D W
9	Karlsruher SC		31	11	7	13	48	59	-11	40	W L W L L
10	VfL Bochum		31	10	9	12	45	44	1	39	L L W L W
11	Holstein Kiel		31	10	8	13	40	43	-3	38	W D W W W
12	Dynamo Dresden		31	9	8	14	50	50	0	35	L L W W L
13	Arminia Bielefeld		31	9	8	14	46	47	-1	35	L W L D W
14	Eintracht Braunschweig		31	9	7	15	34	50	-16	34	L D L D W
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf	2-1	31	10	4	17	30	48	-18	34	L L L L W
16	1. FC Magdeburg		31	10	3	18	48	56	-8	33	W W L W L
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	2-1	31	9	6	16	44	65	-21	33	L L D W L
18	Preußen Münster		31	6	10	15	34	54	-20	28	L D D L L

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Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Fortuna Düsseldorf and SpVgg Greuther Fürth

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	FC Schalke 04	31	69	1
2	SC Paderborn 07	31	62	3
3	Hannover 96	31	61	3
4	SV Elversberg	31	60	3
5	SV Darmstadt 98	31	55	5
6	Hertha BSC	31	51	6
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern	31	50	7
8	1. FC Nürnberg	31	45	9
9	Karlsruher SC	31	43	10
10	VfL Bochum	31	43	10
11	Holstein Kiel	31	41	11
12	Dynamo Dresden	31	39	13
13	Arminia Bielefeld	31	40	12
14	Eintracht Braunschweig	31	38	15
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf	31	38	15
16	1. FC Magdeburg	31	38	14
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	31	36	16
18	Preußen Münster	31	31	18

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

32.4%

Home Win

27.0%

Draw

40.7%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Fortuna Düsseldorf 1.36

SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1.54

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Fortuna Düsseldorf

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

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Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

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