Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Arminia Bielefeld

2. Bundesliga

Fortuna Düsseldorf

HT: 0–0

Arminia Bielefeld

86' C. Itten

16 Jan 2026

18:30

Merkur Spiel-Arena

Stadium

Merkur Spiel-Arena

Düsseldorf

Score Summary

Fortuna Düsseldorf

1 0

FT HT 0–0

Arminia Bielefeld

C. Itten 86'

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

48% Win

Fortuna Düsseldorf 1460 1470 ▲ 10

52% Win

Arminia Bielefeld 1475 1464 ▼ -10

xPi Expected win probability

44% Win

Fortuna Düsseldorf -0.15 -0.18 ▼ -0.03

36% Win

Arminia Bielefeld 0.02 0.07 ▲ 0.05

Top Performers

Top Rated

Kenneth Schmidt

Fortuna Düsseldorf

7.9

7.9 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Cedric Itten

Fortuna Düsseldorf

7.7

1 goals

Best Creator

Florent Muslija

Fortuna Düsseldorf

7.3

4 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Maximilian Bauer

Arminia Bielefeld

7.5

5 tackles · 3 interceptions

Match Momentum

Fortuna Düsseldorf 75% Arminia Bielefeld 25%

Key Stats Snapshot

54 Possession 46

12 Shots 6

3 On Target 1

Form Context

Fortuna Düsseldorf

L L L L W

Arminia Bielefeld

L W L D W

Smart Insight

Fortuna Düsseldorf controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Fortuna Düsseldorf generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors Fortuna Düsseldorf after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 41.1%

Draw 26.9%

Away Win 32.0%

Expected Goals 1.55 - 1.35

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04	64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07	58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96	57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg	56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98	51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC	48	W W L D L

Promotion - Bundesliga

2. Bundesliga (Relegation)

54 Possession 46

3 Shots 1

12 Shots 6

0 Offsides 1

7 Shots Off Goal 3

3 Shots On Goal 1

12 Total Shots 6

54 Ball Possession 46

354 Passes Accurate 294

452 Total Passes 383

78% Passes % 77%

2 Blocked Shots 2

1 Goalkeeper Saves 2

12 Fouls 17

0 Red Cards 0

0 Yellow Cards 0

2 Corner Kicks 2

9 Shots Insidebox 3

3 Shots Outsidebox 3

1.42 expected_goals 0.31

N/A goals_prevented N/A

Fortuna Düsseldorf — Player Statistics

Player	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Anouar El Azzouzi	4	1	3	12	7	-	1	False	81	8	M	6.3	False	0	-	-	-	35	1	41	-	-	-	1	2	-	3	2
👤 Cedric Itten	2	-	-	17	7	2	-	False	90	13	F	7.7	False	0	-	1	-	7	1	13	-	-	-	2	4	-	-	1
👤 Christian Rasmussen	6	-	4	10	5	-	1	False	62	10	F	7.6	False	0	-	-	-	12	-	14	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Christopher Lenz	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	3	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Elias Egouli	-	-	-	13	7	1	-	False	90	44	D	7.3	False	0	-	-	-	48	-	51	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Emmanuel Iyoha	1	-	1	9	7	1	1	False	81	19	M	7.9	False	0	-	-	-	27	1	36	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	2
👤 Florent Muslija	4	1	2	18	8	5	2	False	90	24	M	7.3	False	1	-	-	-	35	4	44	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	4
👤 Florian Kastenmeier	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	True	90	33	G	6.9	False	0	1	-	-	34	-	54	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jordy de Wijs	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	30	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kenneth Schmidt	-	1	-	12	9	-	1	False	90	4	D	7.9	False	0	-	-	-	43	-	49	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	5
👤 Luca Raimund	1	1	-	8	2	-	-	False	28	7	F	6.5	True	0	-	-	-	1	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marcel Lotka	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Matthias Zimmermann	-	1	-	3	1	-	1	False	9	25	D	6.7	True	0	-	-	-	1	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Moritz Heyer	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	1	5	D	-	True	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Satoshi Tanaka	1	1	1	12	10	1	2	False	89	16	M	7.2	False	0	-	-	-	35	-	46	-	-	-	-	1	1	2	4
👤 Shinta Karl Appelkamp	-	-	-	2	1	1	-	False	9	23	M	6.7	True	0	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Sima Suso	5	-	3	13	9	1	4	False	89	46	M	7.2	False	0	-	-	-	31	2	41	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	2
👤 Tim Breithaupt	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	1	6	M	-	True	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tim Christopher Oberdorf	1	-	-	5	4	-	3	False	90	15	D	7.3	False	0	-	-	-	45	1	58	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	-
👤 Žan Celar	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	9	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Arminia Bielefeld — Player Statistics

Player	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Arne Sicker	1	3	-	15	6	1	-	False	90	17	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	28	-	38	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	3
👤 Benjamin Boakye	1	-	1	3	3	-	2	False	16	27	F	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	1	10	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Christopher Lannert	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	24	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Eyyub Yasar	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	2	44	M	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Felix Hagmann	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	2	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jannik Rochelt	3	2	1	7	1	-	-	False	45	22	M	6	True	0	0	-	-	-	11	-	15	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Joel Felix	-	2	-	8	5	-	-	False	83	3	D	7.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	39	-	48	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	3
👤 Joel Grodowski	1	1	-	7	2	-	2	False	45	11	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	8	-	11	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jonas Thomas Kersken	1	-	1	2	2	-	1	False	90	1	G	7.5	False	0	1	2	-	-	20	-	30	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Leo Oppermann	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	18	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Leon Schneider	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	23	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mael Corboz	1	1	-	7	2	2	1	True	90	6	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	24	1	29	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	1
👤 Marius Wörl	3	1	2	12	5	3	2	False	74	38	F	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	27	2	33	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Marvin Mehlem	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	12	10	M	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Maximilian Bauer	1	-	-	20	15	-	1	False	90	5	D	7.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	36	1	46	-	-	-	-	-	1	3	5
👤 Maximilian Großer	-	1	-	8	4	1	-	False	90	19	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	35	-	42	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	2
👤 Monju Momuluh	6	1	1	15	5	4	3	False	88	14	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	9	1	12	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Roberts Uldriķis	1	-	-	7	2	1	-	False	12	28	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Semir Telalović	1	-	-	17	4	3	-	False	83	7	F	6	False	0	0	-	-	1	11	-	18	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Stefano Russo	-	2	-	7	1	2	-	False	90	21	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	41	-	47	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	1

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Fortuna Düsseldorf and Arminia Bielefeld

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04		31	19	7	5	48	28	20	64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07		31	17	7	7	54	38	16	58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96		31	16	9	6	53	37	16	57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg		31	16	8	7	55	35	20	56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98		31	13	12	6	55	40	15	51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC		31	13	9	9	44	36	8	48	W W L D L
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern		31	14	4	13	49	46	3	46	L W W L L
8	1. FC Nürnberg		31	11	8	12	40	41	-1	41	W D L D W
9	Karlsruher SC		31	11	7	13	48	59	-11	40	W L W L L
10	VfL Bochum		31	10	9	12	45	44	1	39	L L W L W
11	Holstein Kiel		31	10	8	13	40	43	-3	38	W D W W W
12	Dynamo Dresden		31	9	8	14	50	50	0	35	L L W W L
13	Arminia Bielefeld	1-0	31	9	8	14	46	47	-1	35	L W L D W
14	Eintracht Braunschweig		31	9	7	15	34	50	-16	34	L D L D W
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf	1-0	31	10	4	17	30	48	-18	34	L L L L W
16	1. FC Magdeburg		31	10	3	18	48	56	-8	33	W W L W L
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth		31	9	6	16	44	65	-21	33	L L D W L
18	Preußen Münster		31	6	10	15	34	54	-20	28	L D D L L

Promotion - Bundesliga

2. Bundesliga (Relegation)

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Fortuna Düsseldorf and Arminia Bielefeld

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	FC Schalke 04	31	69	1
2	SC Paderborn 07	31	62	3
3	Hannover 96	31	61	3
4	SV Elversberg	31	60	3
5	SV Darmstadt 98	31	55	5
6	Hertha BSC	31	51	6
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern	31	50	7
8	1. FC Nürnberg	31	45	9
9	Karlsruher SC	31	43	10
10	VfL Bochum	31	43	10
11	Holstein Kiel	31	41	11
12	Dynamo Dresden	31	39	13
13	Arminia Bielefeld	31	40	12
14	Eintracht Braunschweig	31	38	15
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf	31	38	15
16	1. FC Magdeburg	31	38	14
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	31	36	16
18	Preußen Münster	31	31	18

Promotion - Bundesliga

2. Bundesliga (Relegation)

Predict the score

Loading API predictions…

CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

41.1%

Home Win

26.9%

Draw

32.0%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Fortuna Düsseldorf 1.55

Arminia Bielefeld 1.35

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Fortuna Düsseldorf

Arminia Bielefeld

Merkur Spiel-Arena

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)