Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth

2. Bundesliga

Dynamo Dresden

HT: 1–0

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

35' T. Keller
49' J. Lemmer

17 Jan 2026

13:00

Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion

Stadium

Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion

Dresden, Germany

Capacity: 32066 Surface: grass Address: Lennéstraße 12

Score Summary

Dynamo Dresden

2 0

FT HT 1–0

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

T. Keller 35'
J. Lemmer 49'

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

50% Win

Dynamo Dresden 1449 1459 ▲ 10

50% Win

SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1452 1442 ▼ -10

xPi Expected win probability

50% Win

Dynamo Dresden -0.01 0.06 ▲ 0.07

34% Win

SpVgg Greuther Fürth -0.18 -0.26 ▼ -0.08

Top Performers

Top Rated

Thomas Keller

Dynamo Dresden

8.5

8.5 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Thomas Keller

Dynamo Dresden

8.5

1 goals

Best Creator

Jonas Sterner

Dynamo Dresden

6.3

2 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Maximilian Dietz

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

6.7

1 tackles · 5 interceptions

Match Momentum

Dynamo Dresden 100% SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0%

Key Stats Snapshot

51 Possession 49

12 Shots 9

4 On Target 0

Form Context

Dynamo Dresden

L L W W L

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

L L D W L

Smart Insight

Dynamo Dresden controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Dynamo Dresden generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors Dynamo Dresden after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 45.5%

Draw 26.5%

Away Win 28.0%

Expected Goals 1.65 - 1.25

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04	64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07	58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96	57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg	56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98	51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC	48	W W L D L

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51 Possession 49

4 Shots 0

12 Shots 9

4 Offsides 1

5 Shots Off Goal 6

4 Shots On Goal 0

12 Total Shots 9

51 Ball Possession 49

355 Passes Accurate 342

431 Total Passes 418

82% Passes % 82%

3 Blocked Shots 3

0 Goalkeeper Saves 2

11 Fouls 14

0 Red Cards 0

3 Yellow Cards 3

7 Corner Kicks 3

7 Shots Insidebox 6

5 Shots Outsidebox 3

1.79 expected_goals 0.49

N/A goals_prevented N/A

Dynamo Dresden — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Alexander Rossipal	0	2	3	1	14	5	2	-	False	90	19	D	6.9	False	1	-	-	-	37	1	52	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Christoph Daferner	0	-	-	-	4	3	-	-	False	21	33	F	6.9	True	0	-	-	-	3	-	5	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Daniel Mesenholer	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	37	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jakob Lemmer	1	2	-	-	10	6	1	5	False	89	10	M	8.3	False	0	-	1	-	19	2	21	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	-
👤 Jason Ceka	0	3	2	2	13	5	1	2	False	76	7	M	6.6	False	0	-	-	2	19	1	23	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Jonas Sterner	0	1	1	-	6	1	1	-	False	90	32	D	6.3	False	0	-	-	-	25	2	37	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Julian Pauli	0	-	1	-	14	7	2	1	False	90	13	D	7.2	False	1	-	-	-	62	1	74	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	4
👤 Kofi Jeremy Amoako	0	1	1	-	5	1	1	-	False	90	6	M	6.6	False	0	-	-	-	40	-	45	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Konrad Faber	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	False	14	2	D	6.9	True	0	-	-	-	3	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Lars Bünning	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	1	23	D	-	True	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Luca Herrmann	0	-	2	-	3	1	-	1	False	14	8	M	6.3	True	0	-	-	1	3	-	3	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Lukas Boeder	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	29	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Niklas Hauptmann	0	2	-	1	8	6	-	3	True	76	27	M	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	13	1	17	-	-	-	-	2	1	-	2
👤 Robert Wagner	1	-	2	-	9	4	2	1	False	90	18	M	6.7	False	0	-	-	-	36	-	43	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	1
👤 Stefan Kutschke	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	30	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Thomas Keller	0	-	-	-	7	4	-	-	False	90	39	D	8.5	False	0	-	1	-	60	-	63	-	-	-	2	2	-	3	2
👤 Tim Schreiber	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	6.6	False	0	-	-	-	27	1	36	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tony Menzel	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	24	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Vincent Vermeij	1	1	-	-	6	2	1	-	False	69	9	F	6.3	False	0	-	-	1	8	1	9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Vinko Šapina	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	5	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Aaron Keller	0	2	-	1	8	5	1	2	False	80	16	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	10	1	13	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Aiman Dardari	0	3	-	3	4	4	-	-	False	31	11	F	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	-	8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Branimir Hrgota	0	5	-	2	12	5	2	1	True	75	10	F	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	14	-	22	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Brynjar Ingi Bjarnason	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	25	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dennis Srbeny	0	2	-	2	6	4	2	-	False	15	7	F	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	8	2	10	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Doni Arifi	0	1	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	10	28	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	-	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Felix Klaus	0	2	1	1	17	6	1	4	False	80	30	F	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	14	1	18	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Gian-Luca Itter	0	1	1	1	6	3	-	-	False	90	27	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	39	-	49	-	-	-	-	1	-	3	1
👤 Jannik Dehm	1	-	-	-	2	1	1	1	False	75	23	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	21	1	29	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	-
👤 Jomaine Consbruch	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	14	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Julian Green	0	-	-	-	5	5	-	2	False	59	37	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	18	1	20	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Lukas Reich	0	-	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	15	2	D	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	8	1	10	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Maximilian Dietz	1	-	-	-	3	1	1	-	False	90	33	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	34	-	41	-	-	-	-	-	2	5	1
👤 Noel Futkeu	0	1	-	1	9	5	2	-	False	90	9	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	1	15	-	19	-	-	-	-	2	-	-	-
👤 Omar Sillah	0	-	-	-	2	-	-	-	False	10	42	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Philipp Ziereis	1	-	1	-	10	5	3	-	False	90	4	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	53	-	61	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	4
👤 Raul Marița	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	38	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Reno Münz	0	1	1	1	10	5	1	-	False	90	5	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	71	-	80	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Silas Prüfrock	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	43	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Timo Schlieck	0	-	-	-	4	4	-	1	False	90	21	G	6.2	False	0	2	2	-	-	25	-	31	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Dynamo Dresden and SpVgg Greuther Fürth

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04		31	19	7	5	48	28	20	64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07		31	17	7	7	54	38	16	58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96		31	16	9	6	53	37	16	57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg		31	16	8	7	55	35	20	56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98		31	13	12	6	55	40	15	51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC		31	13	9	9	44	36	8	48	W W L D L
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern		31	14	4	13	49	46	3	46	L W W L L
8	1. FC Nürnberg		31	11	8	12	40	41	-1	41	W D L D W
9	Karlsruher SC		31	11	7	13	48	59	-11	40	W L W L L
10	VfL Bochum		31	10	9	12	45	44	1	39	L L W L W
11	Holstein Kiel		31	10	8	13	40	43	-3	38	W D W W W
12	Dynamo Dresden	2-0	31	9	8	14	50	50	0	35	L L W W L
13	Arminia Bielefeld		31	9	8	14	46	47	-1	35	L W L D W
14	Eintracht Braunschweig		31	9	7	15	34	50	-16	34	L D L D W
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf		31	10	4	17	30	48	-18	34	L L L L W
16	1. FC Magdeburg		31	10	3	18	48	56	-8	33	W W L W L
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	2-0	31	9	6	16	44	65	-21	33	L L D W L
18	Preußen Münster		31	6	10	15	34	54	-20	28	L D D L L

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Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Dynamo Dresden and SpVgg Greuther Fürth

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	FC Schalke 04	31	69	1
2	SC Paderborn 07	31	62	3
3	Hannover 96	31	61	3
4	SV Elversberg	31	60	3
5	SV Darmstadt 98	31	55	5
6	Hertha BSC	31	51	6
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern	31	50	7
8	1. FC Nürnberg	31	45	9
9	Karlsruher SC	31	43	10
10	VfL Bochum	31	43	10
11	Holstein Kiel	31	41	11
12	Dynamo Dresden	31	39	13
13	Arminia Bielefeld	31	40	12
14	Eintracht Braunschweig	31	38	15
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf	31	38	15
16	1. FC Magdeburg	31	38	14
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	31	36	16
18	Preußen Münster	31	31	18

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

45.5%

Home Win

26.5%

Draw

28.0%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Dynamo Dresden 1.65

SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1.25

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Dynamo Dresden

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)