Arminia Bielefeld vs Holstein Kiel

2. Bundesliga

Arminia Bielefeld

HT: 0–2

Holstein Kiel

23 Jan 2026

18:30

SchücoArena

Stadium

SchücoArena

Bielefeld, Germany

Capacity: 27300 Surface: grass Address: Melanchthonstr. 31a

Score Summary

Arminia Bielefeld

2 2

FT HT 0–2

Holstein Kiel

J. Grodowski 70'
N. Sarenren Bazee 87'

33' L. Schneider
45' I. Nekic

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

43% Win

Arminia Bielefeld 1464 1466 ▲ 1

57% Win

Holstein Kiel 1511 1510 ▼ -1

xPi Expected win probability

58% Win

Arminia Bielefeld -0.02 0.07 ▲ 0.09

29% Win

Holstein Kiel -0.24 -0.27 ▼ -0.03

Top Performers

Top Rated

Stefano Russo

Arminia Bielefeld

7.9

7.9 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Joel Grodowski

Arminia Bielefeld

7.0

1 goals

Best Creator

Niklas Niehoff

Holstein Kiel

6.9

3 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Marko Ivezić

Holstein Kiel

6.6

1 tackles · 3 interceptions

Match Momentum

Arminia Bielefeld 83% Holstein Kiel 17%

Key Stats Snapshot

62 Possession 38

14 Shots 8

5 On Target 1

Form Context

Arminia Bielefeld

L W L D W

Holstein Kiel

W D W W W

Smart Insight

Arminia Bielefeld controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Arminia Bielefeld generated the clearer shot volume edge.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 52.6%

Draw 25.3%

Away Win 22.1%

Expected Goals 1.80 - 1.10

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04	64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07	58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96	57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg	56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98	51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC	48	W W L D L

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62 Possession 38

5 Shots 1

14 Shots 8

1 Offsides 1

2 Shots Off Goal 4

5 Shots On Goal 1

14 Total Shots 8

62 Ball Possession 38

416 Passes Accurate 236

509 Total Passes 321

82% Passes % 74%

7 Blocked Shots 3

0 Goalkeeper Saves 3

10 Fouls 16

0 Red Cards 1

1 Yellow Cards 3

5 Corner Kicks 6

7 Shots Insidebox 5

7 Shots Outsidebox 3

1.43 expected_goals 0.98

N/A goals_prevented N/A

Arminia Bielefeld — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.scored	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Arne Sicker	0	-	1	-	4	2	-	-	False	90	17	M	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	59	2	67	-	-	0	-	1	1	2	1	-
👤 Benjamin Boakye	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	27	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Christopher Lannert	0	-	-	-	6	4	-	1	False	45	24	D	7	True	0	0	-	-	-	25	-	30	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Eyyub Yasar	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	44	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jannik Rochelt	0	-	-	-	7	3	-	-	False	64	22	F	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	1	16	-	24	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Joel Felix	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	17	3	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	10	-	11	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Joel Grodowski	1	1	-	1	8	3	5	2	False	86	11	F	7	False	0	0	-	1	-	15	-	18	-	-	1	-	1	2	-	-	-
👤 Jonas Thomas Kersken	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	6.3	False	0	2	-	-	-	19	-	26	-	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Leo Oppermann	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	18	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Leon Schneider	0	-	3	-	10	4	1	1	False	45	23	D	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	32	-	41	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Mael Corboz	0	2	-	-	12	6	1	1	True	90	6	M	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	26	1	32	-	-	0	-	2	2	-	-	4
👤 Marius Wörl	0	2	-	2	3	3	-	1	False	26	38	M	7.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	20	3	24	-	-	0	1	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Marvin Mehlem	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	10	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Maximilian Bauer	0	-	1	-	13	6	-	-	False	90	5	D	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	71	1	84	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	2	2
👤 Maximilian Großer	0	-	2	-	6	3	-	-	False	73	19	D	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	50	1	53	-	-	0	-	-	-	1	-	1
👤 Monju Momuluh	0	3	2	1	22	13	3	8	False	90	14	M	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	14	-	21	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	3
👤 Noah Joel Sarenren Bazee	0	-	1	-	2	1	-	-	False	11	37	F	7.3	True	0	0	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Roberts Uldriķis	0	-	-	-	9	6	-	-	False	26	28	F	6.6	True	1	0	-	-	-	3	1	8	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Semir Telalović	0	2	-	1	12	2	-	-	False	64	7	F	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	7	-	13	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Stefano Russo	0	-	1	-	14	10	-	2	False	90	21	M	7.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	49	1	57	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	3

Holstein Kiel — Player Statistics

Player	cards.red	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Adrián Kaprálik	0	0	1	-	-	7	3	-	-	False	24	20	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Aldin Jakupovic	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	18	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Andu Yobel Kelati	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	16	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 David Zec	0	0	1	2	-	18	11	-	1	False	90	26	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	31	-	37	-	-	-	-	1	2	2	2
👤 Frederik Roslyng	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	2	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ivan Nekić	1	2	-	-	-	7	5	2	1	False	67	13	D	7.5	False	0	0	-	1	-	24	-	28	1	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 John Tolkin	0	0	1	-	1	11	9	-	1	False	90	47	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	23	1	36	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	2
👤 Jonas Krumrey	0	0	-	-	-	3	2	-	-	True	90	21	G	7.7	False	0	2	3	-	-	23	-	39	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jonas Meffert	0	0	2	-	1	9	5	-	1	False	90	28	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	45	-	53	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	1
👤 Jonas Therkelsen	0	0	7	-	3	19	5	3	-	False	74	10	F	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	9	-	14	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Kasper Davidsen	0	0	-	-	-	6	1	2	1	False	32	15	M	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lasse Rosenboom	0	0	-	-	-	6	2	1	-	False	16	23	D	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Marco Komenda	0	0	-	-	-	2	1	-	1	False	23	3	D	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Marko Ivezić	0	1	-	1	-	9	4	3	-	False	67	6	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	27	1	34	-	-	-	-	-	1	3	1
👤 Niklas Niehoff	0	0	1	1	1	6	2	-	1	False	90	29	M	6.9	False	1	0	-	-	-	7	3	10	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Phil Harres	0	0	1	-	1	10	5	2	-	False	74	19	F	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	1	7	-	10	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Stefan Schwab	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	1	-	False	16	22	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Steven Skrzybski	0	0	4	1	4	7	5	-	-	False	66	7	F	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	16	1	23	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Timon Weiner	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Umut Tohumcu	0	0	-	-	-	6	2	2	2	False	58	8	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	19	-	23	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Arminia Bielefeld and Holstein Kiel

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04		31	19	7	5	48	28	20	64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07		31	17	7	7	54	38	16	58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96		31	16	9	6	53	37	16	57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg		31	16	8	7	55	35	20	56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98		31	13	12	6	55	40	15	51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC		31	13	9	9	44	36	8	48	W W L D L
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern		31	14	4	13	49	46	3	46	L W W L L
8	1. FC Nürnberg		31	11	8	12	40	41	-1	41	W D L D W
9	Karlsruher SC		31	11	7	13	48	59	-11	40	W L W L L
10	VfL Bochum		31	10	9	12	45	44	1	39	L L W L W
11	Holstein Kiel	2-2	31	10	8	13	40	43	-3	38	W D W W W
12	Dynamo Dresden		31	9	8	14	50	50	0	35	L L W W L
13	Arminia Bielefeld	2-2	31	9	8	14	46	47	-1	35	L W L D W
14	Eintracht Braunschweig		31	9	7	15	34	50	-16	34	L D L D W
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf		31	10	4	17	30	48	-18	34	L L L L W
16	1. FC Magdeburg		31	10	3	18	48	56	-8	33	W W L W L
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth		31	9	6	16	44	65	-21	33	L L D W L
18	Preußen Münster		31	6	10	15	34	54	-20	28	L D D L L

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Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Arminia Bielefeld and Holstein Kiel

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	FC Schalke 04	31	69	1
2	SC Paderborn 07	31	62	3
3	Hannover 96	31	61	3
4	SV Elversberg	31	60	3
5	SV Darmstadt 98	31	55	5
6	Hertha BSC	31	51	6
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern	31	50	7
8	1. FC Nürnberg	31	45	9
9	Karlsruher SC	31	43	10
10	VfL Bochum	31	43	10
11	Holstein Kiel	31	41	11
12	Dynamo Dresden	31	39	13
13	Arminia Bielefeld	31	40	12
14	Eintracht Braunschweig	31	38	15
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf	31	38	15
16	1. FC Magdeburg	31	38	14
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	31	36	16
18	Preußen Münster	31	31	18

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

52.6%

Home Win

25.3%

Draw

22.1%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Arminia Bielefeld 1.80

Holstein Kiel 1.10

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Arminia Bielefeld

Holstein Kiel

SchücoArena

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

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