1. FC Magdeburg vs Dynamo Dresden

2. Bundesliga

1. FC Magdeburg

HT: 1–2

Dynamo Dresden

24 Jan 2026

20:30

Avnet Arena

Score Summary

1. FC Magdeburg

1 2

FT HT 1–2

Dynamo Dresden

M. Zukowski 29'

34' K. Amoako
45' T. Keller

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

56% Win

1. FC Magdeburg 1500 1488 ▼ -11

44% Win

Dynamo Dresden 1459 1470 ▲ 11

xPi Expected win probability

54% Win

1. FC Magdeburg 0.34 0.21 ▼ -0.13

32% Win

Dynamo Dresden 0.04 0.06 ▲ 0.02

Top Performers

Top Rated

Thomas Keller

Dynamo Dresden

8.3

8.3 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Thomas Keller

Dynamo Dresden

8.3

1 goals

Best Creator

Laurin Ulrich

1. FC Magdeburg

7.5

5 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Julian Pauli

Dynamo Dresden

6.5

2 tackles · 3 interceptions

Match Momentum

1. FC Magdeburg 62% Dynamo Dresden 38%

Key Stats Snapshot

63 Possession 37

21 Shots 13

5 On Target 3

Form Context

1. FC Magdeburg

W W L W L

Dynamo Dresden

L L W W L

Smart Insight

1. FC Magdeburg controlled momentum for most phases of play.
1. FC Magdeburg generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors Dynamo Dresden after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 48.7%

Draw 26.1%

Away Win 25.2%

Expected Goals 1.72 - 1.18

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04	64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07	58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96	57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg	56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98	51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC	48	W W L D L

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63 Possession 37

5 Shots 3

21 Shots 13

0 Offsides 1

12 Shots Off Goal 5

5 Shots On Goal 3

21 Total Shots 13

63 Ball Possession 37

430 Passes Accurate 211

520 Total Passes 293

83% Passes % 72%

4 Blocked Shots 5

1 Goalkeeper Saves 4

9 Fouls 9

0 Red Cards 0

2 Yellow Cards 0

10 Corner Kicks 5

12 Shots Insidebox 11

9 Shots Outsidebox 2

N/A expected_goals N/A

N/A goals_prevented N/A

1. FC Magdeburg — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Albert Millgramm	0	1	-	-	2	-	-	-	False	1	36	F	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Alexander Nollenberger	0	2	-	1	5	4	-	2	False	90	17	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	31	-	35	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Baris Atik	0	2	-	2	10	5	2	1	False	90	23	F	7.2	False	1	0	-	-	-	32	4	43	-	-	-	1	2	-	1	2
👤 Daniel Heber	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	15	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dariusz Stalmach	1	1	1	-	7	2	1	-	False	45	6	M	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	24	-	34	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	-
👤 Dominik Reimann	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	True	90	1	G	6.3	False	0	2	1	-	-	53	-	63	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Falko Michel	0	1	-	-	8	4	2	2	False	88	21	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	27	1	33	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Herbert Bockhorn	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	7	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jean Hugonet	0	-	1	-	3	1	-	-	False	45	24	M	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	40	-	45	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	-
👤 Laurin Ulrich	0	1	1	-	10	4	1	1	False	89	8	M	7.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	33	5	37	-	-	-	-	1	1	-	2
👤 Lubambo Musonda	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	19	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marcus Mathisen	0	-	1	-	7	4	-	-	False	90	16	D	7.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	77	-	93	-	-	-	1	3	2	1	1
👤 Mateusz Żukowski	0	1	-	1	3	3	-	1	False	90	22	F	7.9	False	0	0	-	1	-	8	3	12	-	-	-	2	6	-	-	-
👤 Maximilian Breunig	0	1	-	-	4	1	-	1	False	14	9	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Noah Kruth	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	30	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Noah Pesch	0	4	1	1	10	4	-	1	False	67	10	F	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	12	-	17	-	-	-	-	1	1	-	1
👤 Philipp Hercher	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	False	90	27	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	29	1	36	-	-	-	1	1	1	-	-
👤 Rayan Ghrieb	0	2	-	2	2	2	-	-	False	23	29	F	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	8	3	10	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Silas Gnaka	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	45	25	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	22	-	25	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tobias Müller	1	-	1	-	4	-	2	-	False	45	5	D	6	False	0	0	-	-	-	34	-	37	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Dynamo Dresden — Player Statistics

Player	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Alexander Rossipal	1	2	1	7	4	-	1	False	90	19	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	14	1	22	-	-	-	-	-	1	2	2
👤 Christoph Daferner	-	-	-	2	-	-	-	False	17	33	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Daniel Mesenholer	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	37	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jakob Lemmer	-	-	-	2	2	-	1	False	75	10	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	8	-	9	-	-	-	-	2	-	-	1
👤 Jason Ceka	3	1	1	10	4	2	2	False	89	7	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	10	1	15	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Jonas Sterner	2	1	1	6	2	2	-	False	90	32	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	20	-	29	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Julian Pauli	1	2	-	5	2	-	-	False	90	13	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	23	-	29	-	-	-	-	1	1	3	2
👤 Kofi Jeremy Amoako	1	-	1	3	2	-	-	False	85	6	M	7.3	False	0	0	-	1	-	17	1	22	-	-	-	1	2	-	1	1
👤 Lars Bünning	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	23	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Luca Herrmann	-	-	-	2	1	1	1	False	15	8	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	-
👤 Lukas Boeder	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	29	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Niklas Hauptmann	1	-	-	12	6	2	2	True	89	27	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	18	1	22	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Robert Wagner	2	-	1	6	4	1	1	False	90	18	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	26	1	33	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	1
👤 Sascha Risch	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	28	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Stefan Kutschke	-	-	-	5	4	-	-	False	9	30	F	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Thomas Keller	-	1	-	6	4	-	-	False	90	39	D	8.3	False	0	0	-	1	-	24	-	32	-	-	-	1	1	1	1	-
👤 Tim Schreiber	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	90	1	G	8	False	0	1	4	-	-	18	-	33	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tony Menzel	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	17	24	M	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	1
👤 Vincent Vermeij	1	-	1	6	4	-	-	False	85	9	F	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	1	25	4	31	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Vinko Šapina	-	-	-	3	2	1	-	False	9	5	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: 1. FC Magdeburg and Dynamo Dresden

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04		31	19	7	5	48	28	20	64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07		31	17	7	7	54	38	16	58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96		31	16	9	6	53	37	16	57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg		31	16	8	7	55	35	20	56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98		31	13	12	6	55	40	15	51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC		31	13	9	9	44	36	8	48	W W L D L
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern		31	14	4	13	49	46	3	46	L W W L L
8	1. FC Nürnberg		31	11	8	12	40	41	-1	41	W D L D W
9	Karlsruher SC		31	11	7	13	48	59	-11	40	W L W L L
10	VfL Bochum		31	10	9	12	45	44	1	39	L L W L W
11	Holstein Kiel		31	10	8	13	40	43	-3	38	W D W W W
12	Dynamo Dresden	1-2	31	9	8	14	50	50	0	35	L L W W L
13	Arminia Bielefeld		31	9	8	14	46	47	-1	35	L W L D W
14	Eintracht Braunschweig		31	9	7	15	34	50	-16	34	L D L D W
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf		31	10	4	17	30	48	-18	34	L L L L W
16	1. FC Magdeburg	1-2	31	10	3	18	48	56	-8	33	W W L W L
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth		31	9	6	16	44	65	-21	33	L L D W L
18	Preußen Münster		31	6	10	15	34	54	-20	28	L D D L L

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Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: 1. FC Magdeburg and Dynamo Dresden

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	FC Schalke 04	31	69	1
2	SC Paderborn 07	31	62	3
3	Hannover 96	31	61	3
4	SV Elversberg	31	60	3
5	SV Darmstadt 98	31	55	5
6	Hertha BSC	31	51	6
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern	31	50	7
8	1. FC Nürnberg	31	45	9
9	Karlsruher SC	31	43	10
10	VfL Bochum	31	43	10
11	Holstein Kiel	31	41	11
12	Dynamo Dresden	31	39	13
13	Arminia Bielefeld	31	40	12
14	Eintracht Braunschweig	31	38	15
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf	31	38	15
16	1. FC Magdeburg	31	38	14
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	31	36	16
18	Preußen Münster	31	31	18

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CatBoost Prediction

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

48.7%

Home Win

26.1%

Draw

25.2%

Away Win

Expected Goals

1. FC Magdeburg 1.72

Dynamo Dresden 1.18

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

1. FC Magdeburg

Dynamo Dresden

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)