SC Paderborn 07 vs 1. FC Nürnberg

2. Bundesliga

SC Paderborn 07

HT: 2–0

1. FC Nürnberg

07 Feb 2026

13:00

Home Deluxe Arena

Stadium

Home Deluxe Arena

Paderborn, Germany

Capacity: 15306 Surface: grass Address: Wilfried-Finke-Allee 1

Score Summary

SC Paderborn 07

2 1

FT HT 2–0

1. FC Nürnberg

S. Klaas 26'
L. Curda 29'

75' L. Lochoshvili

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

51% Win

SC Paderborn 07 1517 1527 ▲ 10

49% Win

1. FC Nürnberg 1507 1497 ▼ -10

xPi Expected win probability

53% Win

SC Paderborn 07 0.46 0.46 ▲ 0.00

32% Win

1. FC Nürnberg 0.11 0.08 ▼ -0.03

Top Performers

Top Rated

Laurin Curda

SC Paderborn 07

8.9

8.9 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Laurin Curda

SC Paderborn 07

8.9

1 goals

Best Creator

Laurin Curda

SC Paderborn 07

8.9

2 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Jonah Sticker

SC Paderborn 07

7.3

8 tackles · 3 interceptions

Match Momentum

SC Paderborn 07 70% 1. FC Nürnberg 30%

Key Stats Snapshot

55 Possession 45

15 Shots 7

7 On Target 3

Form Context

SC Paderborn 07

W W W D L

1. FC Nürnberg

W D L D W

Smart Insight

SC Paderborn 07 controlled momentum for most phases of play.
SC Paderborn 07 generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors SC Paderborn 07 after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 47.8%

Draw 26.2%

Away Win 26.0%

Expected Goals 1.70 - 1.20

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04		64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07	2-1	58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96		57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg		56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98		51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC		48	W W L D L

Promotion - Bundesliga

2. Bundesliga (Relegation)

55 Possession 45

7 Shots 3

15 Shots 7

6 Offsides 2

4 Shots Off Goal 3

7 Shots On Goal 3

15 Total Shots 7

55 Ball Possession 45

332 Passes Accurate 258

403 Total Passes 326

82% Passes % 79%

4 Blocked Shots 1

2 Goalkeeper Saves 5

16 Fouls 14

0 Red Cards 1

2 Yellow Cards 3

6 Corner Kicks 5

7 Shots Insidebox 5

8 Shots Outsidebox 2

N/A expected_goals N/A

N/A goals_prevented N/A

SC Paderborn 07 — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.scored	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Bennit Bröger	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	38	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 David Kinsombi	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	1	8	M	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dennis Seimen	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	90	41	G	6.2	False	0	1	2	-	-	23	-	26	-	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Felix Götze	0	-	-	-	5	4	-	-	True	90	20	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	42	-	45	-	-	0	-	-	-	1	1	-
👤 Jonah Sticker	0	-	-	-	19	12	1	3	False	90	3	D	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	43	1	44	-	-	0	-	1	1	-	3	8
👤 Kennedy Okpala	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	10	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Laurin Curda	0	5	2	3	20	13	2	3	False	90	17	M	8.9	False	0	0	-	1	-	28	2	45	-	-	0	1	1	2	-	1	4
👤 Lucas Copado	0	-	2	-	7	5	-	2	False	15	28	F	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	1	2	1	4	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Markus Schubert	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mika Baur	0	-	1	-	8	4	1	-	False	90	14	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	35	1	42	-	-	0	-	1	2	-	3	4
👤 Nick Bätzner	0	-	-	-	5	3	2	1	False	24	9	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	7	-	8	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Niklas Mohr	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	24	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Raphael Obermair	1	4	-	3	12	10	1	2	False	90	23	M	7.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	26	1	32	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	2	4
👤 Ruben Müller	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	2	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Santiago Castaneda	0	1	-	-	9	4	1	1	False	89	5	M	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	31	-	39	-	-	0	-	1	1	-	3	1
👤 Sebastian Klaas	0	-	3	-	5	1	1	-	False	75	26	F	6.9	False	0	0	-	1	2	14	1	16	-	-	1	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Stefano Marino	1	3	-	1	10	2	2	-	False	24	30	F	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	1	4	1	6	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Steffen Tigges	0	1	-	1	10	7	2	1	False	66	27	F	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	14	1	21	-	-	0	-	1	1	-	1	1
👤 Sven Michel	0	3	-	1	11	3	3	1	False	66	11	F	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	2	8	1	11	-	-	0	-	1	2	-	-	1
👤 Tjark Lasse Scheller	0	-	-	-	9	4	-	-	False	90	25	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	55	-	64	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	3	3

1. FC Nürnberg — Player Statistics

Player	cards.red	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Adam Markhiev	0	1	2	1	1	15	7	3	4	False	90	6	M	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	38	1	42	-	-	-	-	1	1	2	-
👤 Adriano Grimaldi	0	0	-	-	-	9	4	-	1	False	45	33	F	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	1	4	-	8	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Berkay Yılmaz	0	0	3	1	1	15	8	-	4	False	90	21	D	6.6	False	1	0	-	-	-	25	1	33	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	3
👤 Christian Mathenia	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	26	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Eric Porstner	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	41	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Finn Ole Becker	0	1	2	2	1	12	4	1	-	False	90	25	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	34	-	41	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	1
👤 Jan Reichert	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	True	90	1	G	7.2	False	0	2	5	-	-	35	-	46	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Javier Fernandez	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	20	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Julian Justvan	0	0	-	1	-	8	2	2	1	False	65	10	M	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	15	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Luka Lochoshvili	0	0	-	1	-	15	9	2	1	False	90	24	D	8.2	False	0	0	-	1	-	34	-	36	-	-	-	1	1	2	3	6
👤 Marko Soldic	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	16	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mohamed Ali Zoma	0	0	4	-	1	9	4	-	1	False	90	23	F	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	1	15	-	18	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Noah Le Bret Maboulou	0	0	3	-	2	7	4	1	-	False	25	37	F	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Piet Scobel	0	0	1	-	-	10	3	-	-	False	65	39	F	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Rabby Nzingoula	0	0	1	-	1	5	4	1	1	False	25	22	M	7.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	10	1	12	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Rafael Lubach	1	0	1	-	1	12	4	2	2	False	51	18	M	5.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	11	1	13	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Styopa Mkrtchyan	0	0	-	2	-	10	5	1	1	False	90	44	D	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	30	-	31	1	-	-	-	-	-	2	-
👤 Tarek Buchmann	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	28	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tim Janisch	0	1	1	1	-	3	-	1	-	False	45	32	D	5.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	14	-	21	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tom Baack	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	5	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: SC Paderborn 07 and 1. FC Nürnberg

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04		31	19	7	5	48	28	20	64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07	2-1	31	17	7	7	54	38	16	58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96		31	16	9	6	53	37	16	57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg		31	16	8	7	55	35	20	56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98		31	13	12	6	55	40	15	51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC		31	13	9	9	44	36	8	48	W W L D L
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern		31	14	4	13	49	46	3	46	L W W L L
8	1. FC Nürnberg	2-1	31	11	8	12	40	41	-1	41	W D L D W
9	Karlsruher SC		31	11	7	13	48	59	-11	40	W L W L L
10	VfL Bochum		31	10	9	12	45	44	1	39	L L W L W
11	Holstein Kiel		31	10	8	13	40	43	-3	38	W D W W W
12	Dynamo Dresden		31	9	8	14	50	50	0	35	L L W W L
13	Arminia Bielefeld		31	9	8	14	46	47	-1	35	L W L D W
14	Eintracht Braunschweig		31	9	7	15	34	50	-16	34	L D L D W
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf		31	10	4	17	30	48	-18	34	L L L L W
16	1. FC Magdeburg		31	10	3	18	48	56	-8	33	W W L W L
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth		31	9	6	16	44	65	-21	33	L L D W L
18	Preußen Münster		31	6	10	15	34	54	-20	28	L D D L L

Promotion - Bundesliga

2. Bundesliga (Relegation)

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: SC Paderborn 07 and 1. FC Nürnberg

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	FC Schalke 04	31	69	1
2	SC Paderborn 07	31	62	3
3	Hannover 96	31	61	3
4	SV Elversberg	31	60	3
5	SV Darmstadt 98	31	55	5
6	Hertha BSC	31	51	6
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern	31	50	7
8	1. FC Nürnberg	31	45	9
9	Karlsruher SC	31	43	10
10	VfL Bochum	31	43	10
11	Holstein Kiel	31	41	11
12	Dynamo Dresden	31	39	13
13	Arminia Bielefeld	31	40	12
14	Eintracht Braunschweig	31	38	15
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf	31	38	15
16	1. FC Magdeburg	31	38	14
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	31	36	16
18	Preußen Münster	31	31	18

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2. Bundesliga (Relegation)

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

47.8%

Home Win

26.2%

Draw

26.0%

Away Win

Expected Goals

SC Paderborn 07 1.70

1. FC Nürnberg 1.20

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

SC Paderborn 07

1. FC Nürnberg

Home Deluxe Arena

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)