1. FC Magdeburg vs Arminia Bielefeld

2. Bundesliga

1. FC Magdeburg

HT: 0–1

Arminia Bielefeld

32' M. Bauer
88' B. Boakye

15 Feb 2026

13:30

Avnet Arena

Score Summary

1. FC Magdeburg

0 2

FT HT 0–1

Arminia Bielefeld

32' M. Bauer
88' B. Boakye

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

52% Win

1. FC Magdeburg 1488 1478 ▼ -10

48% Win

Arminia Bielefeld 1476 1487 ▲ 10

xPi Expected win probability

53% Win

1. FC Magdeburg 0.27 0.21 ▼ -0.06

32% Win

Arminia Bielefeld 0.06 0.07 ▲ 0.01

Top Performers

Top Rated

Maximilian Bauer

Arminia Bielefeld

8.5

8.5 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Maximilian Bauer

Arminia Bielefeld

8.5

1 goals

Best Creator

Baris Atik

1. FC Magdeburg

8.3

7 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Tim Handwerker

Arminia Bielefeld

8.3

5 tackles · 2 interceptions

Match Momentum

1. FC Magdeburg 43% Arminia Bielefeld 57%

Key Stats Snapshot

60 Possession 40

19 Shots 14

3 On Target 4

Form Context

1. FC Magdeburg

W W L W L

Arminia Bielefeld

L W L D W

Smart Insight

Arminia Bielefeld carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
1. FC Magdeburg generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors Arminia Bielefeld after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 47.8%

Draw 26.2%

Away Win 26.0%

Expected Goals 1.70 - 1.20

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04	64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07	58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96	57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg	56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98	51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC	48	W W L D L

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60 Possession 40

3 Shots 4

19 Shots 14

1 Offsides 0

11 Shots Off Goal 3

3 Shots On Goal 4

19 Total Shots 14

60 Ball Possession 40

354 Passes Accurate 196

438 Total Passes 288

81% Passes % 68%

5 Blocked Shots 7

2 Goalkeeper Saves 3

8 Fouls 14

0 Red Cards 0

2 Yellow Cards 2

4 Corner Kicks 4

12 Shots Insidebox 10

7 Shots Outsidebox 4

1.59 expected_goals 1.14

0 goals_prevented 0

1. FC Magdeburg — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Alexander Nollenberger	0	1	-	1	5	4	-	1	False	90	17	M	7.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	24	2	28	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Baris Atik	0	4	1	3	10	7	-	3	False	90	23	F	8.3	False	0	0	-	-	1	27	7	39	-	-	-	-	3	-	1	1
👤 Dariusz Stalmach	0	3	4	1	17	7	1	3	False	80	6	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	23	-	32	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	-
👤 Dominik Reimann	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	True	90	1	G	6.9	False	0	2	2	-	-	39	-	52	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Falko Michel	0	-	-	-	2	-	-	-	False	10	21	M	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Herbert Bockhorn	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	7	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jean Hugonet	0	-	-	-	8	3	1	1	False	90	24	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	62	1	74	-	-	-	-	1	4	1	-
👤 Laurin Ulrich	0	1	1	1	9	4	2	2	False	80	8	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	27	1	30	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Lubambo Musonda	0	1	-	1	6	5	-	2	False	89	19	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	18	-	23	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	2
👤 Marcus Mathisen	1	-	-	-	16	8	2	-	False	90	16	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	42	2	53	-	-	-	1	1	1	1	-
👤 Mateusz Żukowski	0	1	-	-	8	3	1	1	False	89	22	F	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	10	-	10	-	-	-	-	3	-	-	-
👤 Max Geschwill	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	28	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Maximilian Breunig	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	1	9	F	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Noah Kruth	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	30	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Noah Pesch	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	10	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Philipp Hercher	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	1	27	D	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Rayan Ghrieb	1	2	-	1	4	1	-	-	False	64	29	F	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	7	-	11	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	-
👤 Richmond Tachie	0	2	-	-	6	2	-	-	False	26	18	F	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	6	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Silas Gnaka	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	False	10	25	M	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	8	-	10	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tobias Müller	0	2	2	-	10	1	1	-	False	90	5	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	59	-	63	-	-	-	-	1	1	-	1

Arminia Bielefeld — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Arne Sicker	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	17	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Benjamin Boakye	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	20	27	F	7.7	True	0	-	1	-	4	1	6	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Christopher Lannert	1	-	1	-	4	-	2	-	False	70	24	D	6.6	False	0	-	-	-	18	2	27	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Eyyub Yasar	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	1	44	M	-	True	0	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jannik Rochelt	0	-	2	-	4	2	-	1	False	90	22	M	6.6	False	0	-	-	-	15	-	25	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Joel Grodowski	0	1	-	-	2	-	-	-	False	10	11	F	6.7	True	0	-	-	-	2	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jonas Thomas Kersken	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	90	1	G	7.2	False	0	3	-	-	16	-	35	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Leo Oppermann	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	18	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mael Corboz	0	3	1	3	12	6	2	-	True	89	6	M	6.7	False	0	-	-	-	14	-	20	-	-	-	1	1	-	2	3
👤 Marius Wörl	0	3	-	3	9	7	1	3	False	71	38	M	7.3	False	0	-	-	-	14	-	18	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marvin Mehlem	0	1	-	1	1	1	-	-	False	19	10	M	6.7	True	0	-	-	-	2	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Maximilian Bauer	0	-	2	-	14	9	1	-	False	90	5	D	8.5	False	0	-	1	-	23	-	32	-	-	-	1	2	3	1	1
👤 Maximilian Großer	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	19	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Monju Momuluh	0	2	1	1	11	6	3	2	False	80	14	M	6.6	False	0	-	-	-	10	-	12	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Noah Joel Sarenren Bazee	0	-	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	10	37	F	6.6	True	1	-	-	-	2	1	3	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Roberts Uldriķis	0	1	-	-	21	9	1	-	False	80	28	F	6.5	False	0	-	-	-	12	1	23	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	1
👤 Robin Knoche	0	-	-	-	5	2	1	-	False	90	31	D	7.2	False	0	-	-	-	20	1	25	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	-
👤 Semir Telalović	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	7	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Stefano Russo	1	-	1	-	8	5	2	2	False	90	21	M	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	24	1	29	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	3
👤 Tim Handwerker	0	-	-	-	10	8	1	-	False	90	29	D	8.3	False	1	-	-	-	20	2	25	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	5

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: 1. FC Magdeburg and Arminia Bielefeld

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04		31	19	7	5	48	28	20	64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07		31	17	7	7	54	38	16	58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96		31	16	9	6	53	37	16	57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg		31	16	8	7	55	35	20	56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98		31	13	12	6	55	40	15	51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC		31	13	9	9	44	36	8	48	W W L D L
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern		31	14	4	13	49	46	3	46	L W W L L
8	1. FC Nürnberg		31	11	8	12	40	41	-1	41	W D L D W
9	Karlsruher SC		31	11	7	13	48	59	-11	40	W L W L L
10	VfL Bochum		31	10	9	12	45	44	1	39	L L W L W
11	Holstein Kiel		31	10	8	13	40	43	-3	38	W D W W W
12	Dynamo Dresden		31	9	8	14	50	50	0	35	L L W W L
13	Arminia Bielefeld	0-2	31	9	8	14	46	47	-1	35	L W L D W
14	Eintracht Braunschweig		31	9	7	15	34	50	-16	34	L D L D W
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf		31	10	4	17	30	48	-18	34	L L L L W
16	1. FC Magdeburg	0-2	31	10	3	18	48	56	-8	33	W W L W L
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth		31	9	6	16	44	65	-21	33	L L D W L
18	Preußen Münster		31	6	10	15	34	54	-20	28	L D D L L

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Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: 1. FC Magdeburg and Arminia Bielefeld

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	FC Schalke 04	31	69	1
2	SC Paderborn 07	31	62	3
3	Hannover 96	31	61	3
4	SV Elversberg	31	60	3
5	SV Darmstadt 98	31	55	5
6	Hertha BSC	31	51	6
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern	31	50	7
8	1. FC Nürnberg	31	45	9
9	Karlsruher SC	31	43	10
10	VfL Bochum	31	43	10
11	Holstein Kiel	31	41	11
12	Dynamo Dresden	31	39	13
13	Arminia Bielefeld	31	40	12
14	Eintracht Braunschweig	31	38	15
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf	31	38	15
16	1. FC Magdeburg	31	38	14
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	31	36	16
18	Preußen Münster	31	31	18

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

47.8%

Home Win

26.2%

Draw

26.0%

Away Win

Expected Goals

1. FC Magdeburg 1.70

Arminia Bielefeld 1.20

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

1. FC Magdeburg

Arminia Bielefeld

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

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