Holstein Kiel vs FC Schalke 04

2. Bundesliga

Holstein Kiel

HT: 0–2

FC Schalke 04

15 Feb 2026

13:30

Holstein-Stadion

Stadium

Holstein-Stadion

Kiel, Germany

Capacity: 15034 Surface: grass Address: Westring 501

Score Summary

Holstein Kiel

1 2

FT HT 0–2

FC Schalke 04

D. Zec 55'

16' K. Karaman
29' H. Kurucay

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

43% Win

Holstein Kiel 1482 1473 ▼ -9

57% Win

FC Schalke 04 1533 1541 ▲ 9

xPi Expected win probability

34% Win

Holstein Kiel -0.35 -0.27 ▲ 0.08

47% Win

FC Schalke 04 0.23 0.57 ▲ 0.34

Top Performers

Top Rated

Hasan Kuruçay

FC Schalke 04

8.3

8.3 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

David Zec

Holstein Kiel

6.9

1 goals

Best Creator

Adil Aouchiche

FC Schalke 04

7.6

5 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Jonas Meffert

Holstein Kiel

6.9

4 tackles · 1 interceptions

Match Momentum

Holstein Kiel 33% FC Schalke 04 67%

Key Stats Snapshot

54 Possession 46

10 Shots 21

4 On Target 8

Form Context

Holstein Kiel

W D W W W

FC Schalke 04

D W W W W

Smart Insight

FC Schalke 04 carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
FC Schalke 04 produced more shot pressure than expected.
Elo movement favors FC Schalke 04 after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 29.5%

Draw 26.7%

Away Win 43.8%

Expected Goals 1.29 - 1.61

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04	1-2	64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07		58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96		57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg		56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98		51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC		48	W W L D L

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54 Possession 46

4 Shots 8

10 Shots 21

3 Offsides 4

5 Shots Off Goal 7

4 Shots On Goal 8

10 Total Shots 21

54 Ball Possession 46

244 Passes Accurate 193

362 Total Passes 298

67% Passes % 65%

1 Blocked Shots 6

6 Goalkeeper Saves 2

19 Fouls 12

0 Red Cards 0

3 Yellow Cards 1

9 Corner Kicks 6

7 Shots Insidebox 16

3 Shots Outsidebox 5

1.35 expected_goals 3.06

0 goals_prevented 0

Holstein Kiel — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.scored	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Adrián Kaprálik	1	3	-	2	12	3	3	-	False	58	20	F	6	False	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	8	-	-	0	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Aldin Jakupovic	0	2	-	2	13	7	2	2	False	32	18	F	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	8	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Andu Yobel Kelati	1	4	3	3	17	8	2	2	False	90	16	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	27	-	38	-	-	0	-	-	1	2	-	1
👤 David Zec	0	-	1	-	7	4	-	-	True	90	26	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	1	-	32	-	42	-	-	1	-	1	1	-	1	1
👤 Frederik Roslyng	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	2	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Hamza Muqaj	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	48	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ivan Nekić	0	2	-	1	21	9	1	-	False	90	13	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	2	25	2	40	-	-	0	-	1	2	1	-	4
👤 John Tolkin	0	3	1	2	8	4	-	-	False	90	47	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	29	2	43	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	4	1
👤 Jonas Krumrey	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	90	21	G	7.9	False	0	2	6	-	-	28	-	45	-	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Jonas Meffert	0	-	1	-	15	6	1	1	False	90	28	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	30	-	37	-	-	0	-	-	-	2	1	4
👤 Jonas Therkelsen	0	9	-	7	20	11	2	4	False	90	10	F	7.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	13	-	21	-	-	0	1	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Lasse Rosenboom	0	2	-	1	14	8	2	1	False	84	23	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	11	-	23	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Leon Parduzi	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	40	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marco Komenda	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	3	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marcus Müller	1	-	-	-	5	-	1	-	False	12	25	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marko Ivezić	0	2	-	1	10	4	2	-	False	84	6	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	33	-	41	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Niklas Niehoff	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	False	12	29	M	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	4	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Phil Harres	0	1	1	-	10	2	3	-	False	90	19	F	6	False	0	0	-	-	1	6	-	12	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Stefan Schwab	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	22	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Timon Weiner	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-

FC Schalke 04 — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Adil Aouchiche	0	2	-	1	13	9	-	3	False	84	24	M	7.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	20	5	25	-	-	-	1	2	-	1	4
👤 Christian Gomis	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	7	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dejan Ljubičić	0	2	3	1	11	2	2	-	False	79	21	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	1	7	3	12	-	-	-	2	3	-	1	1
👤 Edin Džeko	0	2	1	1	22	14	1	1	False	90	10	F	7.9	False	2	0	-	-	1	19	3	28	-	-	-	2	5	-	-	-
👤 Felipe Sánchez	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	12	2	D	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Finn Porath	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	27	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Hasan Kuruçay	0	1	1	1	8	6	-	3	False	90	4	D	8.3	False	0	0	-	1	-	16	1	24	-	-	-	1	1	1	-	-
👤 Janik Bachmann	0	1	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	11	14	M	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kenan Karaman	0	7	2	3	17	8	1	1	True	85	19	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	1	2	14	1	18	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Kevin Muller	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	22	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Loris Karius	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	90	1	G	6.3	False	0	1	2	-	-	7	-	32	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Max Grüger	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	37	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mertcan Ayhan	0	-	2	-	10	5	2	2	False	45	43	D	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	9	-	15	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	2
👤 Mika Wallentowitz	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	35	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Moussa Ndiaye	0	1	2	-	21	11	3	3	False	90	16	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	23	3	37	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	4
👤 Moussa Sylla	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	11	9	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	3	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Nikola Katić	1	-	2	-	16	11	1	1	False	90	25	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	15	-	23	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	3
👤 Ron Schallenberg	0	-	2	-	16	11	2	1	False	90	6	M	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	31	1	38	1	-	-	-	1	-	2	3
👤 Soufiane El-Faouzi	0	2	3	-	11	4	-	2	False	90	23	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	16	-	25	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	2
👤 Timo Becker	0	-	1	-	4	2	-	-	False	45	5	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	10	2	10	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Holstein Kiel and FC Schalke 04

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04	1-2	31	19	7	5	48	28	20	64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07		31	17	7	7	54	38	16	58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96		31	16	9	6	53	37	16	57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg		31	16	8	7	55	35	20	56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98		31	13	12	6	55	40	15	51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC		31	13	9	9	44	36	8	48	W W L D L
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern		31	14	4	13	49	46	3	46	L W W L L
8	1. FC Nürnberg		31	11	8	12	40	41	-1	41	W D L D W
9	Karlsruher SC		31	11	7	13	48	59	-11	40	W L W L L
10	VfL Bochum		31	10	9	12	45	44	1	39	L L W L W
11	Holstein Kiel	1-2	31	10	8	13	40	43	-3	38	W D W W W
12	Dynamo Dresden		31	9	8	14	50	50	0	35	L L W W L
13	Arminia Bielefeld		31	9	8	14	46	47	-1	35	L W L D W
14	Eintracht Braunschweig		31	9	7	15	34	50	-16	34	L D L D W
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf		31	10	4	17	30	48	-18	34	L L L L W
16	1. FC Magdeburg		31	10	3	18	48	56	-8	33	W W L W L
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth		31	9	6	16	44	65	-21	33	L L D W L
18	Preußen Münster		31	6	10	15	34	54	-20	28	L D D L L

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Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Holstein Kiel and FC Schalke 04

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	FC Schalke 04	31	69	1
2	SC Paderborn 07	31	62	3
3	Hannover 96	31	61	3
4	SV Elversberg	31	60	3
5	SV Darmstadt 98	31	55	5
6	Hertha BSC	31	51	6
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern	31	50	7
8	1. FC Nürnberg	31	45	9
9	Karlsruher SC	31	43	10
10	VfL Bochum	31	43	10
11	Holstein Kiel	31	41	11
12	Dynamo Dresden	31	39	13
13	Arminia Bielefeld	31	40	12
14	Eintracht Braunschweig	31	38	15
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf	31	38	15
16	1. FC Magdeburg	31	38	14
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	31	36	16
18	Preußen Münster	31	31	18

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

29.5%

Home Win

26.7%

Draw

43.8%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Holstein Kiel 1.29

FC Schalke 04 1.61

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Holstein Kiel

FC Schalke 04

Holstein-Stadion

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

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