SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Arminia Bielefeld

2. Bundesliga

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

HT: 1–1

Arminia Bielefeld

20 Feb 2026

18:30

Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer

Stadium

Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer

Fürth, Germany

Capacity: 18000 Surface: grass Address: Laubenweg 60

Score Summary

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

2 1

FT HT 1–1

Arminia Bielefeld

B. Hrgota 4'
D. Srbeny 53'

19' R. Knoche

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

43% Win

SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1437 1448 ▲ 11

57% Win

Arminia Bielefeld 1487 1475 ▼ -11

xPi Expected win probability

37% Win

SpVgg Greuther Fürth -0.31 -0.26 ▲ 0.05

38% Win

Arminia Bielefeld 0.07 0.07 ▲ 0.00

Top Performers

Top Rated

Silas Prüfrock

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

8.0

8.0 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Branimir Hrgota

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

7.5

1 goals

Best Creator

Tim Handwerker

Arminia Bielefeld

6.9

3 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Reno Münz

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

6.6

3 tackles · 5 interceptions

Match Momentum

SpVgg Greuther Fürth 50% Arminia Bielefeld 50%

Key Stats Snapshot

45 Possession 55

5 Shots 15

3 On Target 3

Form Context

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

L L D W L

Arminia Bielefeld

L W L D W

Smart Insight

Momentum stayed balanced with no clear sustained dominance.
Arminia Bielefeld produced more shot pressure than expected.
Elo movement favors SpVgg Greuther Fürth after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 36.0%

Draw 27.1%

Away Win 36.9%

Expected Goals 1.44 - 1.46

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04	64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07	58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96	57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg	56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98	51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC	48	W W L D L

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45 Possession 55

3 Shots 3

5 Shots 15

2 Offsides 5

2 Shots Off Goal 4

3 Shots On Goal 3

5 Total Shots 15

45 Ball Possession 55

291 Passes Accurate 343

371 Total Passes 444

78% Passes % 77%

0 Blocked Shots 8

2 Goalkeeper Saves 1

11 Fouls 18

0 Red Cards 0

2 Yellow Cards 3

0 Corner Kicks 10

5 Shots Insidebox 7

0 Shots Outsidebox 8

1.70 expected_goals 1.12

0 goals_prevented 0

SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Aaron Keller	0	3	-	2	7	4	-	1	False	90	16	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	25	-	29	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Aiman Dardari	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	11	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Branimir Hrgota	0	9	-	3	23	12	1	6	True	90	10	F	7.5	False	0	0	-	1	-	21	-	25	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	3
👤 Brynjar Ingi Bjarnason	0	-	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	11	25	D	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dennis Srbeny	0	2	1	-	12	1	1	-	False	72	7	F	6.5	False	0	0	-	1	-	11	-	16	-	-	-	1	1	1	-	1
👤 Doni Arifi	0	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	False	45	28	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	15	-	17	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jan Elvedi	0	-	1	-	3	-	1	-	False	88	15	D	6.5	False	1	0	-	-	-	30	2	38	-	-	-	-	1	-	2	-
👤 Jannik Dehm	0	-	-	-	8	7	1	5	False	72	23	M	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	12	2	19	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	2
👤 Keyan Varela	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	45	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lukas Reich	0	-	1	-	3	1	-	-	False	18	2	D	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Maximilian Dietz	0	-	-	-	4	1	-	1	False	45	33	D	7	True	0	0	-	-	-	24	-	26	-	-	-	-	-	2	1	-
👤 Mehmet Avlayici	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	44	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Noel Futkeu	1	-	-	-	6	1	2	1	False	45	9	F	7.2	True	1	0	-	-	1	3	1	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Paul Will	0	2	-	1	12	7	2	1	False	90	13	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	39	1	45	-	-	-	-	-	1	4	3
👤 Pelle Boevink	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	26	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Philipp Ziereis	0	-	-	-	8	3	1	-	False	90	4	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	38	-	44	-	-	-	-	-	2	3	-
👤 Raul Marița	0	-	-	-	3	1	-	-	False	18	38	D	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	1	2	-	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Reno Münz	1	1	-	-	7	5	1	-	False	90	5	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	34	-	43	-	-	-	-	1	-	5	3
👤 Sayfallah Ltaief	0	3	1	2	9	3	1	1	False	45	47	F	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	7	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Silas Prüfrock	0	-	-	-	3	3	-	2	False	90	43	G	8	False	0	1	2	-	-	28	-	43	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-

Arminia Bielefeld — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Arne Sicker	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	17	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Benjamin Boakye	0	1	-	-	5	3	1	1	False	30	27	F	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	10	-	20	-	-	-	-	2	-	1	1
👤 Christopher Lannert	0	1	-	-	8	5	2	1	False	60	24	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	18	-	24	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	3
👤 Eyyub Yasar	0	-	-	-	4	3	1	-	False	20	44	M	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	2	8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Jannik Rochelt	0	1	-	1	3	1	2	-	False	60	22	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	8	1	13	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Joel Grodowski	1	3	-	1	6	2	1	-	False	30	11	F	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	1	4	-	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jonas Thomas Kersken	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	6.3	False	0	2	1	-	-	25	-	35	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Leo Oppermann	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	18	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mael Corboz	0	-	2	-	5	1	1	-	True	60	6	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	17	-	21	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Marius Wörl	0	2	1	-	6	2	1	-	False	70	38	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	18	-	23	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Marvin Mehlem	1	-	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	30	10	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	7	-	8	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Maximilian Bauer	0	1	1	1	18	14	1	3	False	90	5	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	54	-	67	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	3
👤 Maximilian Großer	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	19	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Monju Momuluh	0	5	2	2	12	5	2	1	False	79	14	F	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	2	16	-	23	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Noah Joel Sarenren Bazee	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	37	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Roberts Uldriķis	0	-	-	-	15	8	1	1	False	90	28	F	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	2	17	2	31	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Robin Knoche	0	-	-	-	5	4	-	-	False	90	31	D	7.9	False	0	0	-	1	-	53	-	56	-	-	-	2	2	-	2	1
👤 Semir Telalović	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	False	11	7	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	1	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Stefano Russo	0	-	1	-	10	6	3	1	False	90	21	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	47	1	54	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	2
👤 Tim Handwerker	1	1	1	-	11	5	2	1	False	90	29	D	6.9	False	1	0	-	-	-	39	3	49	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	3

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: SpVgg Greuther Fürth and Arminia Bielefeld

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04		31	19	7	5	48	28	20	64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07		31	17	7	7	54	38	16	58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96		31	16	9	6	53	37	16	57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg		31	16	8	7	55	35	20	56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98		31	13	12	6	55	40	15	51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC		31	13	9	9	44	36	8	48	W W L D L
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern		31	14	4	13	49	46	3	46	L W W L L
8	1. FC Nürnberg		31	11	8	12	40	41	-1	41	W D L D W
9	Karlsruher SC		31	11	7	13	48	59	-11	40	W L W L L
10	VfL Bochum		31	10	9	12	45	44	1	39	L L W L W
11	Holstein Kiel		31	10	8	13	40	43	-3	38	W D W W W
12	Dynamo Dresden		31	9	8	14	50	50	0	35	L L W W L
13	Arminia Bielefeld	2-1	31	9	8	14	46	47	-1	35	L W L D W
14	Eintracht Braunschweig		31	9	7	15	34	50	-16	34	L D L D W
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf		31	10	4	17	30	48	-18	34	L L L L W
16	1. FC Magdeburg		31	10	3	18	48	56	-8	33	W W L W L
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	2-1	31	9	6	16	44	65	-21	33	L L D W L
18	Preußen Münster		31	6	10	15	34	54	-20	28	L D D L L

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Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: SpVgg Greuther Fürth and Arminia Bielefeld

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	FC Schalke 04	31	69	1
2	SC Paderborn 07	31	62	3
3	Hannover 96	31	61	3
4	SV Elversberg	31	60	3
5	SV Darmstadt 98	31	55	5
6	Hertha BSC	31	51	6
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern	31	50	7
8	1. FC Nürnberg	31	45	9
9	Karlsruher SC	31	43	10
10	VfL Bochum	31	43	10
11	Holstein Kiel	31	41	11
12	Dynamo Dresden	31	39	13
13	Arminia Bielefeld	31	40	12
14	Eintracht Braunschweig	31	38	15
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf	31	38	15
16	1. FC Magdeburg	31	38	14
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	31	36	16
18	Preußen Münster	31	31	18

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

36.0%

Home Win

27.1%

Draw

36.9%

Away Win

Expected Goals

SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1.44

Arminia Bielefeld 1.46

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

Arminia Bielefeld

Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer

Prediction (dixon_coles)

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