SV Darmstadt 98 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf

2. Bundesliga

SV Darmstadt 98

HT: 1–1

Fortuna Düsseldorf

21 Feb 2026

13:00

Merck-Stadion am Bollenfalltor

Stadium

Merck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor

Darmstadt, Germany

Capacity: 17810 Surface: grass Address: Nieder-Ramstädter Straße 170

Score Summary

SV Darmstadt 98

2 1

FT HT 1–1

Fortuna Düsseldorf

F. Hornby 6'
M. Maglica 88'

11' J. de Wijs

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

63% Win

SV Darmstadt 98 1565 1572 ▲ 7

37% Win

Fortuna Düsseldorf 1473 1466 ▼ -7

xPi Expected win probability

56% Win

SV Darmstadt 98 0.25 -0.03 ▼ -0.28

31% Win

Fortuna Düsseldorf -0.04 -0.18 ▼ -0.14

Top Performers

Top Rated

Marco Richter

SV Darmstadt 98

8.9

8.9 rating · 89 min

Most Clinical

Matej Maglica

SV Darmstadt 98

7.3

1 goals

Best Creator

Marco Richter

SV Darmstadt 98

8.9

3 key passes · 2 assists

Defensive Leader

Niklas Schmidt

SV Darmstadt 98

6.9

2 tackles · 4 interceptions

Match Momentum

SV Darmstadt 98 31% Fortuna Düsseldorf 69%

Key Stats Snapshot

54 Possession 46

14 Shots 18

4 On Target 9

Form Context

SV Darmstadt 98

D L L L D

Fortuna Düsseldorf

L L L L W

Smart Insight

Fortuna Düsseldorf carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
Fortuna Düsseldorf produced more shot pressure than expected.
Elo movement favors SV Darmstadt 98 after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 50.3%

Draw 25.8%

Away Win 23.9%

Expected Goals 1.75 - 1.15

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04		64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07		58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96		57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg		56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98	2-1	51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC		48	W W L D L

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2. Bundesliga (Relegation)

54 Possession 46

4 Shots 9

14 Shots 18

0 Offsides 1

5 Shots Off Goal 5

4 Shots On Goal 9

14 Total Shots 18

54 Ball Possession 46

365 Passes Accurate 287

446 Total Passes 361

82% Passes % 80%

5 Blocked Shots 4

9 Goalkeeper Saves 2

12 Fouls 14

0 Red Cards 1

4 Yellow Cards 0

4 Corner Kicks 11

10 Shots Insidebox 12

4 Shots Outsidebox 6

1.87 expected_goals 1.66

0 goals_prevented 0

SV Darmstadt 98 — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Aleksandar Vukotić	0	-	-	-	3	2	1	1	False	1	20	D	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Alexander Brunst	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	30	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Fabian Holland	0	-	-	-	6	4	1	1	False	45	32	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	12	1	15	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Fraser Hornby	0	-	-	-	6	3	1	2	False	90	9	M	7.7	False	0	0	-	1	-	29	-	32	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	-
👤 Fynn Lakenmacher	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	19	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Grayson Dettoni	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	4	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Hiroki Akiyama	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	16	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Isac Lidberg	1	1	1	-	8	4	-	2	False	68	7	F	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	10	2	18	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Kai Klefisch	0	-	1	-	4	1	2	1	False	90	17	M	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	61	1	66	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Killian Corredor	1	2	1	1	9	4	1	3	False	90	34	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	23	1	28	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Luca Marseiler	0	2	-	1	4	3	-	1	False	45	8	F	7.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	13	2	18	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	1
👤 Marcel Schuhen	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	True	90	1	G	8.3	False	0	1	9	-	-	25	-	31	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marco Richter	1	1	3	-	7	2	1	1	False	89	23	M	8.9	False	2	0	-	-	-	23	3	35	-	-	-	1	3	-	1	1
👤 Matej Maglica	0	-	1	-	9	3	2	-	False	90	5	D	7.3	False	0	0	-	1	-	30	-	34	-	-	-	1	1	1	3	1
👤 Matondo-Merveille Papela	0	-	-	-	4	1	1	-	False	17	21	M	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	8	-	12	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Niklas Schmidt	0	1	1	-	6	4	-	1	False	73	31	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	37	-	47	-	-	-	-	1	-	4	2
👤 Patric Pfeiffer	0	-	-	-	6	4	1	1	False	90	6	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	46	1	55	-	-	-	-	-	1	2	-
👤 Raoul Petretta	0	-	-	-	3	2	-	-	False	22	18	D	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	15	-	16	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Sergio López	1	1	1	1	4	1	1	-	False	90	2	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	33	2	38	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Yosuke Furukawa	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	44	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Fortuna Düsseldorf — Player Statistics

Player	cards.red	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Anouar El Azzouzi	0	6	-	3	15	8	1	2	False	90	8	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	33	5	41	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Cedric Itten	0	1	-	-	11	7	1	2	False	90	13	F	7	False	0	0	-	-	1	18	1	22	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	1
👤 Christian Rasmussen	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	10	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Christopher Lenz	0	1	-	1	2	1	1	-	False	45	3	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	9	-	12	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Elias Egouli	0	-	-	-	7	3	1	1	False	90	44	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	25	-	27	-	-	-	-	-	2	4	1
👤 Emmanuel Iyoha	0	-	-	-	5	2	2	2	False	90	19	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	18	1	25	-	-	-	1	4	1	-	-
👤 Florent Muslija	0	2	-	2	8	5	1	2	False	90	24	M	7.3	False	1	0	-	-	-	23	4	27	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	1
👤 Florian Kastenmeier	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	True	90	33	G	6.7	False	0	2	2	-	-	21	1	39	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jesper Daland	1	-	-	-	3	1	1	-	False	80	2	D	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	24	-	29	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jordi Paulina	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	False	8	27	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jordy de Wijs	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	16	30	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	1	-	7	-	10	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Marcel Lotka	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Matthias Zimmermann	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	25	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Moritz Heyer	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	5	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Satoshi Tanaka	0	1	1	1	6	3	1	-	False	82	16	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	20	-	26	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	2
👤 Shinta Karl Appelkamp	0	-	1	-	9	4	1	1	False	89	23	F	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	29	1	32	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	2
👤 Sotiris Alexandropoulos	0	-	1	-	2	1	-	1	False	8	14	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tim Christopher Oberdorf	0	2	-	2	6	5	1	1	False	90	15	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	38	-	46	-	-	-	-	1	1	2	2
👤 Valgeir Lunddal	0	-	-	-	4	1	2	-	False	45	12	D	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	20	-	22	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	-
👤 Žan Celar	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	9	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: SV Darmstadt 98 and Fortuna Düsseldorf

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04		31	19	7	5	48	28	20	64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07		31	17	7	7	54	38	16	58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96		31	16	9	6	53	37	16	57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg		31	16	8	7	55	35	20	56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98	2-1	31	13	12	6	55	40	15	51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC		31	13	9	9	44	36	8	48	W W L D L
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern		31	14	4	13	49	46	3	46	L W W L L
8	1. FC Nürnberg		31	11	8	12	40	41	-1	41	W D L D W
9	Karlsruher SC		31	11	7	13	48	59	-11	40	W L W L L
10	VfL Bochum		31	10	9	12	45	44	1	39	L L W L W
11	Holstein Kiel		31	10	8	13	40	43	-3	38	W D W W W
12	Dynamo Dresden		31	9	8	14	50	50	0	35	L L W W L
13	Arminia Bielefeld		31	9	8	14	46	47	-1	35	L W L D W
14	Eintracht Braunschweig		31	9	7	15	34	50	-16	34	L D L D W
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf	2-1	31	10	4	17	30	48	-18	34	L L L L W
16	1. FC Magdeburg		31	10	3	18	48	56	-8	33	W W L W L
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth		31	9	6	16	44	65	-21	33	L L D W L
18	Preußen Münster		31	6	10	15	34	54	-20	28	L D D L L

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Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: SV Darmstadt 98 and Fortuna Düsseldorf

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	FC Schalke 04	31	69	1
2	SC Paderborn 07	31	62	3
3	Hannover 96	31	61	3
4	SV Elversberg	31	60	3
5	SV Darmstadt 98	31	55	5
6	Hertha BSC	31	51	6
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern	31	50	7
8	1. FC Nürnberg	31	45	9
9	Karlsruher SC	31	43	10
10	VfL Bochum	31	43	10
11	Holstein Kiel	31	41	11
12	Dynamo Dresden	31	39	13
13	Arminia Bielefeld	31	40	12
14	Eintracht Braunschweig	31	38	15
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf	31	38	15
16	1. FC Magdeburg	31	38	14
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	31	36	16
18	Preußen Münster	31	31	18

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

50.3%

Home Win

25.8%

Draw

23.9%

Away Win

Expected Goals

SV Darmstadt 98 1.75

Fortuna Düsseldorf 1.15

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

SV Darmstadt 98

Fortuna Düsseldorf

Merck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

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