Karlsruher SC vs Holstein Kiel

2. Bundesliga

Karlsruher SC

HT: 1–0

Holstein Kiel

21 Feb 2026

13:00

BBBank Wildpark

Stadium

BBBank Wildpark

Karlsruhe, Germany

Capacity: 34302 Surface: grass Address: Adenauerring 17

Score Summary

Karlsruher SC

3 1

FT HT 1–0

Holstein Kiel

90' M. Muller

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

49% Win

Karlsruher SC 1466 1476 ▲ 10

51% Win

Holstein Kiel 1473 1463 ▼ -10

xPi Expected win probability

37% Win

Karlsruher SC -0.55 -0.56 ▼ -0.02

39% Win

Holstein Kiel -0.42 -0.27 ▲ 0.15

Top Performers

Top Rated

Marvin Wanitzek

Karlsruher SC

8.5

8.5 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Marvin Wanitzek

Karlsruher SC

8.5

2 goals

Best Creator

John Tolkin

Holstein Kiel

6.9

4 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Christoph Kobald

Karlsruher SC

6.3

1 tackles · 4 interceptions

Match Momentum

Karlsruher SC 64% Holstein Kiel 36%

Key Stats Snapshot

32 Possession 68

14 Shots 15

7 On Target 4

Form Context

Karlsruher SC

W L W L L

Holstein Kiel

W D W W W

Smart Insight

Karlsruher SC controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Elo movement favors Karlsruher SC after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 35.3%

Draw 27.1%

Away Win 37.6%

Expected Goals 1.42 - 1.48

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04	64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07	58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96	57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg	56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98	51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC	48	W W L D L

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32 Possession 68

7 Shots 4

14 Shots 15

3 Offsides 0

5 Shots Off Goal 8

7 Shots On Goal 4

14 Total Shots 15

32 Ball Possession 68

160 Passes Accurate 450

236 Total Passes 533

68% Passes % 84%

2 Blocked Shots 3

3 Goalkeeper Saves 4

23 Fouls 12

0 Red Cards 0

5 Yellow Cards 5

3 Corner Kicks 4

11 Shots Insidebox 9

3 Shots Outsidebox 6

2.39 expected_goals 1.37

0 goals_prevented 0

Karlsruher SC — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.missed	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Andreas Müller	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	16	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Christoph Kobald	0	2	1	1	13	7	1	1	False	90	22	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	24	-	32	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	4	1
👤 David Herold	0	1	1	1	12	8	2	1	False	90	20	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	14	-	22	-	0	-	-	2	2	-	1	3
👤 Dženis Burnić	1	-	2	-	7	2	3	-	False	76	7	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	14	-	16	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Fabian Schleusener	0	-	-	-	4	3	1	2	False	28	24	F	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	4	-	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Hans Christian Bernat	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	False	90	1	G	6.9	False	0	1	3	-	-	15	-	40	-	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Hyeok-kyu Kwon	1	1	1	-	13	3	3	-	False	53	8	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	10	-	11	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Leon Opitz	0	2	-	2	4	3	1	-	False	13	17	M	7.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	2	8	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Louey Ben Farhat	1	4	-	1	9	2	2	1	False	77	19	F	8.2	False	1	0	-	1	1	4	2	7	-	0	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Marcel Franke	0	-	-	-	5	2	2	1	False	90	28	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	12	1	17	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	-	1
👤 Marvin Wanitzek	0	4	-	3	12	5	2	2	True	90	10	M	8.5	False	0	0	-	2	1	20	1	27	-	1	-	-	4	6	-	-	-
👤 Meiko Wäschenbach	1	-	1	-	7	4	2	1	False	37	21	M	7	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	7	-	0	-	1	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Paul Scholl	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	15	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Philipp Forster	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	11	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Rafael Pinto Pedrosa	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	14	36	D	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Robin Himmelmann	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	30	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Roko Šimić	1	1	2	-	11	4	2	1	False	62	9	F	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	1	4	-	7	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Sebastian Jung	0	1	1	-	7	4	1	-	False	90	2	D	6.9	False	1	0	-	-	-	11	2	15	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1	3
👤 Shio Fukuda	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	13	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Stephan Ambrosius	0	-	-	-	10	6	1	-	False	90	5	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	18	-	22	-	0	-	-	-	1	2	-	3

Holstein Kiel — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Adrián Kaprálik	0	4	1	2	12	4	1	-	False	45	20	F	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	11	1	16	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	2
👤 Aldin Jakupovic	1	2	-	-	3	-	1	-	False	21	18	F	5.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	4	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Andu Yobel Kelati	1	2	1	1	15	10	2	7	False	69	16	F	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	20	-	29	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 David Zec	1	1	-	-	9	5	2	-	False	90	26	D	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	87	-	90	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	4
👤 Frederik Roslyng	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	2	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ivan Nekić	1	-	-	-	11	6	2	1	False	81	13	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	49	-	56	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	2
👤 John Tolkin	1	1	1	-	7	3	2	2	False	69	47	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	29	4	38	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Jonas Krumrey	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	21	G	7.2	False	0	3	4	-	-	24	-	31	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jonas Meffert	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	60	28	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	49	-	52	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jonas Therkelsen	0	7	1	3	11	4	-	1	False	90	10	F	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	41	4	42	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Kasper Davidsen	0	-	2	-	14	7	-	4	False	90	15	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	36	1	45	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Lasse Rosenboom	0	1	-	-	3	1	-	-	False	45	23	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	14	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marco Komenda	0	1	1	1	9	7	-	3	True	90	3	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	77	-	88	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Marcus Müller	0	-	-	-	3	1	1	-	False	21	25	F	7.5	True	0	0	-	1	-	1	-	2	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	-
👤 Marko Ivezić	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	6	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Niklas Niehoff	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	9	29	M	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Phil Harres	0	1	-	1	12	9	1	2	False	90	19	F	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	9	1	16	-	-	-	2	4	2	1	-
👤 Stefan Schwab	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	22	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Timon Weiner	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Umut Tohumcu	0	2	1	1	7	4	-	2	False	30	8	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	7	-	7	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Karlsruher SC and Holstein Kiel

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04		31	19	7	5	48	28	20	64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07		31	17	7	7	54	38	16	58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96		31	16	9	6	53	37	16	57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg		31	16	8	7	55	35	20	56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98		31	13	12	6	55	40	15	51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC		31	13	9	9	44	36	8	48	W W L D L
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern		31	14	4	13	49	46	3	46	L W W L L
8	1. FC Nürnberg		31	11	8	12	40	41	-1	41	W D L D W
9	Karlsruher SC	3-1	31	11	7	13	48	59	-11	40	W L W L L
10	VfL Bochum		31	10	9	12	45	44	1	39	L L W L W
11	Holstein Kiel	3-1	31	10	8	13	40	43	-3	38	W D W W W
12	Dynamo Dresden		31	9	8	14	50	50	0	35	L L W W L
13	Arminia Bielefeld		31	9	8	14	46	47	-1	35	L W L D W
14	Eintracht Braunschweig		31	9	7	15	34	50	-16	34	L D L D W
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf		31	10	4	17	30	48	-18	34	L L L L W
16	1. FC Magdeburg		31	10	3	18	48	56	-8	33	W W L W L
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth		31	9	6	16	44	65	-21	33	L L D W L
18	Preußen Münster		31	6	10	15	34	54	-20	28	L D D L L

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Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Karlsruher SC and Holstein Kiel

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	FC Schalke 04	31	69	1
2	SC Paderborn 07	31	62	3
3	Hannover 96	31	61	3
4	SV Elversberg	31	60	3
5	SV Darmstadt 98	31	55	5
6	Hertha BSC	31	51	6
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern	31	50	7
8	1. FC Nürnberg	31	45	9
9	Karlsruher SC	31	43	10
10	VfL Bochum	31	43	10
11	Holstein Kiel	31	41	11
12	Dynamo Dresden	31	39	13
13	Arminia Bielefeld	31	40	12
14	Eintracht Braunschweig	31	38	15
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf	31	38	15
16	1. FC Magdeburg	31	38	14
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	31	36	16
18	Preußen Münster	31	31	18

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

35.3%

Home Win

27.1%

Draw

37.6%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Karlsruher SC 1.42

Holstein Kiel 1.48

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Karlsruher SC

Holstein Kiel

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Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

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Dixon-Coles Predictions

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