Fortuna Düsseldorf vs VfL Bochum

2. Bundesliga

Fortuna Düsseldorf

HT: 1–0

VfL Bochum

27 Feb 2026

18:30

Merkur Spiel-Arena

Stadium

Merkur Spiel-Arena

Düsseldorf

Score Summary

Fortuna Düsseldorf

2 1

FT HT 1–0

VfL Bochum

C. Itten 45'
F. Muslija 57'

79' F. Alfa-Ruprecht

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

43% Win

Fortuna Düsseldorf 1466 1477 ▲ 11

57% Win

VfL Bochum 1515 1504 ▼ -11

xPi Expected win probability

46% Win

Fortuna Düsseldorf -0.02 -0.18 ▼ -0.16

35% Win

VfL Bochum 0.12 -0.03 ▼ -0.15

Top Performers

Top Rated

Florent Muslija

Fortuna Düsseldorf

8.9

8.9 rating · 70 min

Most Clinical

Cedric Itten

Fortuna Düsseldorf

8.3

1 goals

Best Creator

Christian Rasmussen

Fortuna Düsseldorf

6.9

3 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Tim Christopher Oberdorf

Fortuna Düsseldorf

8.2

2 tackles · 3 interceptions

Match Momentum

Fortuna Düsseldorf 75% VfL Bochum 25%

Key Stats Snapshot

55 Possession 45

20 Shots 10

9 On Target 3

Form Context

Fortuna Düsseldorf

L L L L W

VfL Bochum

L L W L W

Smart Insight

Fortuna Düsseldorf controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Fortuna Düsseldorf generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors Fortuna Düsseldorf after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 42.8%

Draw 26.8%

Away Win 30.4%

Expected Goals 1.59 - 1.31

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04	64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07	58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96	57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg	56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98	51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC	48	W W L D L

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2. Bundesliga (Relegation)

55 Possession 45

9 Shots 3

20 Shots 10

2 Offsides 0

7 Shots Off Goal 5

9 Shots On Goal 3

20 Total Shots 10

55 Ball Possession 45

372 Passes Accurate 290

452 Total Passes 367

82% Passes % 79%

4 Blocked Shots 2

2 Goalkeeper Saves 7

10 Fouls 13

0 Red Cards 0

1 Yellow Cards 1

10 Corner Kicks 3

14 Shots Insidebox 9

6 Shots Outsidebox 1

1.71 expected_goals 1.32

0 goals_prevented 0

Fortuna Düsseldorf — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Anouar El Azzouzi	1	7	-	5	18	9	4	1	False	90	8	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	1	25	-	32	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	3
👤 Cedric Itten	0	1	-	1	19	9	1	3	False	90	13	F	8.3	False	0	0	-	1	-	14	2	18	-	-	-	2	2	-	1	-
👤 Christian Rasmussen	0	4	-	2	13	4	1	1	False	69	10	F	6.9	False	1	0	-	-	-	12	3	17	-	-	-	2	3	-	1	-
👤 Elias Egouli	0	-	-	-	5	3	-	-	False	90	44	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	64	-	69	-	-	-	-	1	1	3	-
👤 Emmanuel Iyoha	0	1	-	-	6	4	-	1	False	86	19	M	7.3	False	1	0	-	-	-	18	2	21	-	-	-	1	2	1	1	2
👤 Florent Muslija	0	2	-	1	3	2	-	-	False	70	24	M	8.9	True	0	0	-	1	-	31	2	36	-	-	-	1	3	-	-	-
👤 Florian Kastenmeier	0	1	-	1	2	2	-	1	True	90	33	G	7.9	False	0	1	2	-	-	36	-	56	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jordi Paulina	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	27	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Luca Raimund	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	7	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marcel Lotka	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marin Ljubičić	0	-	-	-	7	1	3	-	False	21	20	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	1	3	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Matthias Zimmermann	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	10	25	D	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Moritz Heyer	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	5	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Satoshi Tanaka	0	-	-	-	8	7	-	2	False	90	16	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	22	-	29	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	2
👤 Shinta Karl Appelkamp	0	3	-	-	3	-	-	-	False	86	23	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	22	3	26	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	-
👤 Sima Suso	0	1	1	-	5	3	-	1	False	90	46	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	62	-	69	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	2
👤 Sotiris Alexandropoulos	0	-	-	-	4	2	1	1	False	10	14	M	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Tim Christopher Oberdorf	0	3	1	2	13	10	-	2	False	90	15	D	8.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	56	1	67	-	-	-	1	1	-	3	2
👤 Valgeir Lunddal	0	-	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	20	12	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	6	-	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Žan Celar	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	9	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

VfL Bochum — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Cajetan Lenz	0	-	3	-	12	7	-	2	False	90	34	M	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	32	2	40	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Callum Marshall	0	1	-	1	5	3	-	-	False	61	16	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	8	-	11	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Erhan Mašović	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	4	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Farid Alfa-Ruprecht	0	-	-	-	2	-	2	-	False	29	29	F	7.2	True	0	0	-	1	-	3	1	4	-	-	-	1	1	1	-	-
👤 Francis Onyeka	0	1	-	-	7	2	2	-	False	45	21	M	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	10	1	10	-	-	-	-	3	-	-	1
👤 Gerrit Holtmann	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	45	17	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	8	-	11	-	-	-	-	2	-	-	-
👤 Kjell Wätjen	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	8	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Koji Miyoshi	0	-	1	-	4	-	-	-	False	61	23	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	9	-	13	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Leandro Morgalla	0	1	-	-	5	4	-	2	False	90	39	D	7.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	37	-	41	-	-	-	1	1	1	1	2
👤 Marcel Sobottka	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	31	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mats Pannewig	0	-	3	-	11	4	-	1	False	45	24	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	16	-	18	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	2
👤 Matus Bero	0	-	1	-	3	1	-	1	False	29	19	M	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	15	-	19	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mikkel Rakneberg	0	1	1	-	7	3	-	1	False	76	18	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	19	1	29	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Moritz-Broni Kwarteng	1	3	2	1	12	4	3	2	False	45	11	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	9	2	13	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Niclas Thiede	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	22	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Noah Loosli	0	-	-	-	15	10	2	-	False	90	20	D	8.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	52	-	56	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	5
👤 Oliver Olsen	0	1	-	-	2	-	1	-	False	14	13	D	7.3	True	1	0	-	-	-	8	1	11	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Philipp Hofmann	0	-	1	-	4	1	-	-	False	90	33	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	10	1	16	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Philipp Strompf	0	-	-	-	19	12	3	1	True	90	3	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	35	-	50	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	2
👤 Timo Horn	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	8.7	False	0	2	7	-	-	19	-	25	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Fortuna Düsseldorf and VfL Bochum

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04		31	19	7	5	48	28	20	64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07		31	17	7	7	54	38	16	58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96		31	16	9	6	53	37	16	57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg		31	16	8	7	55	35	20	56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98		31	13	12	6	55	40	15	51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC		31	13	9	9	44	36	8	48	W W L D L
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern		31	14	4	13	49	46	3	46	L W W L L
8	1. FC Nürnberg		31	11	8	12	40	41	-1	41	W D L D W
9	Karlsruher SC		31	11	7	13	48	59	-11	40	W L W L L
10	VfL Bochum	2-1	31	10	9	12	45	44	1	39	L L W L W
11	Holstein Kiel		31	10	8	13	40	43	-3	38	W D W W W
12	Dynamo Dresden		31	9	8	14	50	50	0	35	L L W W L
13	Arminia Bielefeld		31	9	8	14	46	47	-1	35	L W L D W
14	Eintracht Braunschweig		31	9	7	15	34	50	-16	34	L D L D W
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf	2-1	31	10	4	17	30	48	-18	34	L L L L W
16	1. FC Magdeburg		31	10	3	18	48	56	-8	33	W W L W L
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth		31	9	6	16	44	65	-21	33	L L D W L
18	Preußen Münster		31	6	10	15	34	54	-20	28	L D D L L

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Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Fortuna Düsseldorf and VfL Bochum

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	FC Schalke 04	31	69	1
2	SC Paderborn 07	31	62	3
3	Hannover 96	31	61	3
4	SV Elversberg	31	60	3
5	SV Darmstadt 98	31	55	5
6	Hertha BSC	31	51	6
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern	31	50	7
8	1. FC Nürnberg	31	45	9
9	Karlsruher SC	31	43	10
10	VfL Bochum	31	43	10
11	Holstein Kiel	31	41	11
12	Dynamo Dresden	31	39	13
13	Arminia Bielefeld	31	40	12
14	Eintracht Braunschweig	31	38	15
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf	31	38	15
16	1. FC Magdeburg	31	38	14
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	31	36	16
18	Preußen Münster	31	31	18

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

42.8%

Home Win

26.8%

Draw

30.4%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Fortuna Düsseldorf 1.59

VfL Bochum 1.31

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Fortuna Düsseldorf

VfL Bochum

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Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

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