Holstein Kiel vs SV Elversberg

2. Bundesliga

Holstein Kiel

HT: 0–0

SV Elversberg

61' D. Mokwa Ntusu
63' J. Therkelsen

28 Feb 2026

13:00

Holstein-Stadion

Stadium

Holstein-Stadion

Kiel, Germany

Capacity: 15034 Surface: grass Address: Westring 501

Score Summary

Holstein Kiel

1 1

FT HT 0–0

SV Elversberg

J. Therkelsen 63'

61' D. Mokwa Ntusu

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

39% Win

Holstein Kiel 1463 1465 ▲ 2

61% Win

SV Elversberg 1542 1540 ▼ -2

xPi Expected win probability

33% Win

Holstein Kiel -0.47 -0.27 ▲ 0.21

51% Win

SV Elversberg 0.19 0.33 ▲ 0.14

Top Performers

Top Rated

Jonas Therkelsen

Holstein Kiel

7.9

7.9 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Jonas Therkelsen

Holstein Kiel

7.9

1 goals

Best Creator

Umut Tohumcu

Holstein Kiel

6.9

2 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Lukas Finn Pinckert

SV Elversberg

7.2

5 tackles · 1 interceptions

Match Momentum

Holstein Kiel 50% SV Elversberg 50%

Key Stats Snapshot

53 Possession 47

10 Shots 7

3 On Target 3

Form Context

Holstein Kiel

W D W W W

SV Elversberg

W D L W D

Smart Insight

Momentum stayed balanced with no clear sustained dominance.
Holstein Kiel generated the clearer shot volume edge.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 27.3%

Draw 26.4%

Away Win 46.3%

Expected Goals 1.24 - 1.66

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04		64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07		58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96		57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg	1-1	56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98		51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC		48	W W L D L

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53 Possession 47

3 Shots 3

10 Shots 7

1 Offsides 2

5 Shots Off Goal 2

3 Shots On Goal 3

10 Total Shots 7

53 Ball Possession 47

316 Passes Accurate 280

391 Total Passes 347

81% Passes % 81%

2 Blocked Shots 2

2 Goalkeeper Saves 2

16 Fouls 16

0 Red Cards 0

2 Yellow Cards 2

5 Corner Kicks 7

6 Shots Insidebox 3

4 Shots Outsidebox 4

1.05 expected_goals 0.94

0 goals_prevented 0

Holstein Kiel — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Adrián Kaprálik	0	4	-	1	8	3	-	-	False	79	20	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	3	1	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Alexander Bernhardsson	0	3	-	1	5	2	1	-	False	19	11	F	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	5	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	1
👤 Andu Yobel Kelati	0	-	3	-	8	4	-	2	False	71	16	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	14	-	24	-	-	-	1	2	-	1	-
👤 David Zec	0	1	-	-	5	4	-	2	False	90	26	D	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	48	-	54	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	1
👤 Frederik Roslyng	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	2	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ivan Nekić	1	-	-	-	11	7	3	1	False	90	13	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	24	1	36	-	-	-	-	1	-	2	2
👤 John Tolkin	0	1	2	-	16	10	1	1	False	90	47	D	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	34	1	40	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	5
👤 Jonas Krumrey	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	21	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jonas Meffert	0	-	4	-	13	5	2	2	True	90	28	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	1	40	-	44	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	2
👤 Jonas Therkelsen	0	2	1	1	9	4	1	1	False	90	10	M	7.9	False	0	0	-	1	-	10	1	13	-	-	-	1	1	-	2	2
👤 Kasper Davidsen	0	-	-	-	2	-	-	-	False	11	15	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	1	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Lasse Rosenboom	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	23	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marco Komenda	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	3	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marcus Müller	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	1	25	F	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marko Ivezić	1	-	1	-	11	6	4	-	False	90	6	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	64	-	74	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	5
👤 Niklas Niehoff	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	29	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Phil Harres	0	1	-	-	7	3	-	1	False	89	19	F	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	8	-	-	-	-	2	-	-	-
👤 Stefan Schwab	0	-	-	-	6	3	3	-	False	11	22	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Timon Weiner	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	6.6	False	0	1	2	-	-	44	-	50	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Umut Tohumcu	0	2	1	1	10	5	1	4	False	79	8	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	17	2	24	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-

SV Elversberg — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Amara Condé	1	2	-	1	7	5	1	1	False	90	6	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	31	1	37	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Carlo Sickinger	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	23	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 David Mokwa	0	-	-	-	4	-	2	-	False	73	42	F	7.2	False	0	0	-	1	2	4	-	5	-	-	-	1	1	1	-	-
👤 Felix Keidel	1	-	-	-	5	3	1	3	False	17	43	D	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	11	-	12	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Florian Le Joncour	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	3	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Frederik Schmahl	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	1	17	M	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Immanuel Pherai	0	1	-	1	12	5	5	3	False	59	22	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	15	-	17	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Jan Gyamerah	0	1	-	-	4	2	1	-	False	73	30	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	18	-	27	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Jarzinho Malanga	0	1	-	1	6	2	1	-	False	31	14	M	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	9	-	13	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Lasse Günther	0	-	-	-	7	4	-	-	False	31	21	D	7.2	True	1	0	-	-	-	13	1	15	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Luca Schnellbacher	0	-	-	-	4	2	-	2	False	17	24	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	3	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Lukas Finn Pinckert	0	1	1	1	14	9	2	1	True	90	19	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	23	1	28	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	5
👤 Lukas Petkov	0	12	-	7	28	15	1	2	False	90	25	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	15	1	22	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Maximilian Rohr	0	-	-	-	3	3	-	1	False	90	31	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	40	-	45	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Nicholas Mickelson	0	2	-	1	3	2	-	1	False	59	2	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	15	-	18	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Nicolas Kristof	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	20	G	6.7	False	0	1	2	-	-	23	-	32	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Raif Adam	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	15	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tim Boss	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	28	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tom Zimmerschied	0	1	-	-	6	2	1	2	False	89	29	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	25	2	29	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Łukasz Poręba	0	-	3	-	9	1	1	-	False	90	8	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	36	-	44	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	1

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Holstein Kiel and SV Elversberg

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04		31	19	7	5	48	28	20	64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07		31	17	7	7	54	38	16	58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96		31	16	9	6	53	37	16	57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg	1-1	31	16	8	7	55	35	20	56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98		31	13	12	6	55	40	15	51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC		31	13	9	9	44	36	8	48	W W L D L
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern		31	14	4	13	49	46	3	46	L W W L L
8	1. FC Nürnberg		31	11	8	12	40	41	-1	41	W D L D W
9	Karlsruher SC		31	11	7	13	48	59	-11	40	W L W L L
10	VfL Bochum		31	10	9	12	45	44	1	39	L L W L W
11	Holstein Kiel	1-1	31	10	8	13	40	43	-3	38	W D W W W
12	Dynamo Dresden		31	9	8	14	50	50	0	35	L L W W L
13	Arminia Bielefeld		31	9	8	14	46	47	-1	35	L W L D W
14	Eintracht Braunschweig		31	9	7	15	34	50	-16	34	L D L D W
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf		31	10	4	17	30	48	-18	34	L L L L W
16	1. FC Magdeburg		31	10	3	18	48	56	-8	33	W W L W L
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth		31	9	6	16	44	65	-21	33	L L D W L
18	Preußen Münster		31	6	10	15	34	54	-20	28	L D D L L

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Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Holstein Kiel and SV Elversberg

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	FC Schalke 04	31	69	1
2	SC Paderborn 07	31	62	3
3	Hannover 96	31	61	3
4	SV Elversberg	31	60	3
5	SV Darmstadt 98	31	55	5
6	Hertha BSC	31	51	6
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern	31	50	7
8	1. FC Nürnberg	31	45	9
9	Karlsruher SC	31	43	10
10	VfL Bochum	31	43	10
11	Holstein Kiel	31	41	11
12	Dynamo Dresden	31	39	13
13	Arminia Bielefeld	31	40	12
14	Eintracht Braunschweig	31	38	15
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf	31	38	15
16	1. FC Magdeburg	31	38	14
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	31	36	16
18	Preußen Münster	31	31	18

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

27.3%

Home Win

26.4%

Draw

46.3%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Holstein Kiel 1.24

SV Elversberg 1.66

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Holstein Kiel

SV Elversberg

Holstein-Stadion

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)