1. FC Magdeburg vs Karlsruher SC

2. Bundesliga

1. FC Magdeburg

HT: 0–1

Karlsruher SC

01 Mar 2026

13:30

Avnet Arena

Score Summary

1. FC Magdeburg

1 3

FT HT 0–1

Karlsruher SC

D. Stalmach 66'

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

49% Win

1. FC Magdeburg 1470 1460 ▼ -10

51% Win

Karlsruher SC 1476 1486 ▲ 10

xPi Expected win probability

55% Win

1. FC Magdeburg 0.17 0.21 ▲ 0.03

31% Win

Karlsruher SC -0.49 -0.56 ▼ -0.07

Top Performers

Top Rated

Hans Christian Bernat

Karlsruher SC

8.2

8.2 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Louey Ben Farhat

Karlsruher SC

8.2

2 goals

Best Creator

Dariusz Stalmach

1. FC Magdeburg

7.9

4 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Falko Michel

1. FC Magdeburg

6.6

3 tackles · 1 interceptions

Match Momentum

1. FC Magdeburg 56% Karlsruher SC 44%

Key Stats Snapshot

63 Possession 37

23 Shots 8

9 On Target 7

Form Context

1. FC Magdeburg

W W L W L

Karlsruher SC

W L W L L

Smart Insight

1. FC Magdeburg controlled momentum for most phases of play.
1. FC Magdeburg generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors Karlsruher SC after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 49.6%

Draw 25.9%

Away Win 24.5%

Expected Goals 1.73 - 1.17

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04	64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07	58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96	57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg	56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98	51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC	48	W W L D L

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63 Possession 37

9 Shots 7

23 Shots 8

0 Offsides 1

9 Shots Off Goal 0

9 Shots On Goal 7

23 Total Shots 8

63 Ball Possession 37

447 Passes Accurate 211

520 Total Passes 308

86% Passes % 69%

5 Blocked Shots 1

4 Goalkeeper Saves 8

9 Fouls 12

0 Red Cards 0

2 Yellow Cards 4

6 Corner Kicks 2

15 Shots Insidebox 6

8 Shots Outsidebox 2

2.65 expected_goals 0.79

0 goals_prevented 0

1. FC Magdeburg — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Alexander Ahl Holmstrom	0	-	-	-	2	1	-	1	False	8	11	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Alexander Nollenberger	0	-	-	-	3	2	-	1	False	90	17	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	42	2	45	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	1
👤 Baris Atik	0	1	1	-	4	1	-	1	False	90	23	F	8	False	1	0	-	-	-	33	2	38	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dariusz Stalmach	0	1	2	1	7	3	1	-	False	45	6	M	7.9	True	0	0	-	1	-	22	4	27	-	-	-	1	2	1	-	1
👤 Dominik Reimann	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	True	90	1	G	6.2	False	0	3	4	-	-	31	-	40	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Falko Michel	1	5	-	2	20	10	5	2	False	90	21	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	50	1	62	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	3
👤 Jean Hugonet	0	-	-	-	4	2	-	1	False	45	24	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	51	1	53	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Laurin Ulrich	0	1	-	1	8	4	-	1	False	82	8	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	29	1	33	-	-	-	1	2	-	1	1
👤 Lubambo Musonda	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	19	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marcus Mathisen	0	-	-	-	3	3	-	-	False	45	16	D	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	33	1	38	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Mateusz Żukowski	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	90	22	F	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	10	3	14	-	-	-	2	4	-	-	-
👤 Max Geschwill	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	28	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Maximilian Breunig	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	9	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Noah Kruth	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	30	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Noah Pesch	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	10	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Philipp Hercher	0	-	-	-	3	3	-	1	False	90	27	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	30	1	37	-	-	-	1	2	-	1	-
👤 Rayan Ghrieb	0	1	-	1	2	2	-	1	False	33	29	F	7.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	12	3	19	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	-
👤 Richmond Tachie	0	-	-	-	5	2	-	1	False	57	18	F	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	7	-	10	-	-	-	1	2	-	1	1
👤 Silas Gnaka	0	-	1	-	5	2	-	1	False	45	25	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	24	-	27	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Tobias Müller	1	-	2	-	9	3	3	1	False	90	5	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	72	-	76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1

Karlsruher SC — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Andreas Müller	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	16	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Christoph Kobald	1	-	1	-	7	3	2	1	False	90	22	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	38	-	44	-	-	-	-	-	2	3	-
👤 David Herold	0	-	-	-	3	2	-	-	False	90	20	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	22	-	28	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Dženis Burnić	1	-	-	-	4	3	-	-	False	83	7	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	13	-	21	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Fabian Schleusener	0	-	-	-	2	1	-	1	False	21	24	F	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Hans Christian Bernat	1	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	False	90	1	G	8.2	False	0	1	8	-	-	16	-	42	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Hyeok-kyu Kwon	1	1	2	1	9	6	1	1	False	69	8	M	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	16	-	20	-	-	-	-	-	2	-	3
👤 Leon Opitz	0	1	-	1	3	1	-	-	False	8	17	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Louey Ben Farhat	0	1	-	1	9	2	4	-	False	82	19	F	8.2	False	0	0	-	2	1	5	1	11	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	1
👤 Marcel Franke	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	90	28	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	18	-	25	-	-	-	1	1	1	-	-
👤 Marvin Wanitzek	0	1	-	-	6	2	-	-	True	90	10	M	7.3	False	1	0	-	1	-	25	2	37	-	-	-	3	3	-	2	-
👤 Meiko Wäschenbach	0	1	-	1	3	2	-	1	False	21	21	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Paul Scholl	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	15	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Philipp Forster	0	2	-	1	4	1	1	-	False	14	11	M	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	1	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Rafael Pinto Pedrosa	0	1	1	-	6	2	2	1	False	45	36	D	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	11	-	12	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Robin Himmelmann	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	30	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Roko Šimić	0	1	-	1	12	6	1	2	False	69	9	F	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	9	1	13	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	2
👤 Sebastian Jung	0	-	-	-	3	3	-	-	False	45	2	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	11	-	14	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Shio Fukuda	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	13	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Stephan Ambrosius	0	-	1	-	3	1	1	1	False	90	5	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	17	-	27	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: 1. FC Magdeburg and Karlsruher SC

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04		31	19	7	5	48	28	20	64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07		31	17	7	7	54	38	16	58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96		31	16	9	6	53	37	16	57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg		31	16	8	7	55	35	20	56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98		31	13	12	6	55	40	15	51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC		31	13	9	9	44	36	8	48	W W L D L
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern		31	14	4	13	49	46	3	46	L W W L L
8	1. FC Nürnberg		31	11	8	12	40	41	-1	41	W D L D W
9	Karlsruher SC	1-3	31	11	7	13	48	59	-11	40	W L W L L
10	VfL Bochum		31	10	9	12	45	44	1	39	L L W L W
11	Holstein Kiel		31	10	8	13	40	43	-3	38	W D W W W
12	Dynamo Dresden		31	9	8	14	50	50	0	35	L L W W L
13	Arminia Bielefeld		31	9	8	14	46	47	-1	35	L W L D W
14	Eintracht Braunschweig		31	9	7	15	34	50	-16	34	L D L D W
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf		31	10	4	17	30	48	-18	34	L L L L W
16	1. FC Magdeburg	1-3	31	10	3	18	48	56	-8	33	W W L W L
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth		31	9	6	16	44	65	-21	33	L L D W L
18	Preußen Münster		31	6	10	15	34	54	-20	28	L D D L L

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Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: 1. FC Magdeburg and Karlsruher SC

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	FC Schalke 04	31	69	1
2	SC Paderborn 07	31	62	3
3	Hannover 96	31	61	3
4	SV Elversberg	31	60	3
5	SV Darmstadt 98	31	55	5
6	Hertha BSC	31	51	6
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern	31	50	7
8	1. FC Nürnberg	31	45	9
9	Karlsruher SC	31	43	10
10	VfL Bochum	31	43	10
11	Holstein Kiel	31	41	11
12	Dynamo Dresden	31	39	13
13	Arminia Bielefeld	31	40	12
14	Eintracht Braunschweig	31	38	15
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf	31	38	15
16	1. FC Magdeburg	31	38	14
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	31	36	16
18	Preußen Münster	31	31	18

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

49.6%

Home Win

25.9%

Draw

24.5%

Away Win

Expected Goals

1. FC Magdeburg 1.73

Karlsruher SC 1.17

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

1. FC Magdeburg

Karlsruher SC

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

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