Arminia Bielefeld vs SC Paderborn 07

2. Bundesliga

Arminia Bielefeld

HT: 1–0

SC Paderborn 07

14 Mar 2026

13:00

SchücoArena

Stadium

SchücoArena

Bielefeld, Germany

Capacity: 27300 Surface: grass Address: Melanchthonstr. 31a

Score Summary

Arminia Bielefeld

2 2

FT HT 1–0

SC Paderborn 07

J. Grodowski 24'
M. Corboz 90'

53' S. Marino
62' S. Marino

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

38% Win

Arminia Bielefeld 1459 1462 ▲ 2

62% Win

SC Paderborn 07 1544 1541 ▼ -2

xPi Expected win probability

41% Win

Arminia Bielefeld 0.00 0.07 ▲ 0.07

37% Win

SC Paderborn 07 0.55 0.46 ▼ -0.09

Top Performers

Top Rated

Stefano Marino

SC Paderborn 07

8.7

8.7 rating · 89 min

Most Clinical

Stefano Marino

SC Paderborn 07

8.7

2 goals

Best Creator

Monju Momuluh

Arminia Bielefeld

7.3

4 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Maximilian Bauer

Arminia Bielefeld

6.7

3 tackles · 1 interceptions

Match Momentum

Arminia Bielefeld 69% SC Paderborn 07 31%

Key Stats Snapshot

40 Possession 60

26 Shots 7

9 On Target 4

Form Context

Arminia Bielefeld

L W L D W

SC Paderborn 07

W W W D L

Smart Insight

Arminia Bielefeld controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Arminia Bielefeld generated the clearer shot volume edge.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 38.7%

Draw 27.2%

Away Win 34.1%

Expected Goals 1.49 - 1.39

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04		64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07	2-2	58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96		57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg		56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98		51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC		48	W W L D L

Promotion - Bundesliga

2. Bundesliga (Relegation)

40 Possession 60

9 Shots 4

26 Shots 7

3 Offsides 4

10 Shots Off Goal 2

9 Shots On Goal 4

26 Total Shots 7

40 Ball Possession 60

186 Passes Accurate 325

270 Total Passes 416

69% Passes % 78%

7 Blocked Shots 1

2 Goalkeeper Saves 5

14 Fouls 12

0 Red Cards 0

3 Yellow Cards 2

4 Corner Kicks 1

21 Shots Insidebox 4

5 Shots Outsidebox 3

3.20 expected_goals 0.73

0 goals_prevented 0

Arminia Bielefeld — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.scored	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Arne Sicker	0	-	-	-	6	3	1	1	False	90	17	D	7.2	False	1	0	-	-	-	22	1	34	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Benjamin Boakye	0	-	2	-	6	3	-	1	False	80	27	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	6	-	15	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Christopher Lannert	0	1	-	1	1	1	-	-	False	10	24	D	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	7	-	7	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Felix Hagmann	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	2	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jannik Rochelt	0	1	-	1	1	1	-	-	False	11	22	M	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	1	6	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Joel Grodowski	0	1	1	-	12	3	-	1	False	87	11	F	7.5	False	0	0	-	1	-	12	-	15	-	-	0	-	3	5	-	-	1
👤 Jonas Thomas Kersken	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	6.2	False	0	2	2	-	-	19	-	29	-	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Leo Oppermann	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	18	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Leon Schneider	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	23	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mael Corboz	0	-	1	-	5	1	1	1	True	90	6	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	1	-	14	1	21	-	-	1	-	2	3	1	1	-
👤 Marius Wörl	0	3	-	3	3	3	-	-	False	17	38	M	7.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	9	3	15	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marvin Mehlem	1	2	1	2	10	6	3	3	False	87	10	M	7.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	16	4	22	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Maximilian Bauer	1	1	1	-	10	5	1	1	False	90	5	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	29	1	35	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	1	3
👤 Maximilian Großer	0	-	-	-	9	5	2	1	False	90	19	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	20	-	28	-	-	0	-	1	2	-	1	-
👤 Monju Momuluh	0	6	1	4	13	7	1	2	False	90	14	M	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	1	8	4	12	-	-	0	1	1	2	-	-	1
👤 Noah Joel Sarenren Bazee	0	1	1	-	18	8	1	1	False	73	37	M	5.7	False	0	0	-	-	2	3	-	9	-	-	0	-	1	2	-	-	3
👤 Roberts Uldriķis	0	-	-	-	5	2	1	-	False	17	28	F	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	2	-	-	0	-	1	2	-	-	-
👤 Sam Schreck	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	8	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Semir Telalović	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	11	7	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	2	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Tim Handwerker	1	-	-	-	7	2	3	-	False	73	29	D	6	False	0	0	-	-	-	13	3	18	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-

SC Paderborn 07 — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Calvin Brackelmann	1	-	3	-	9	4	1	-	False	90	4	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	42	-	54	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	1
👤 David Kinsombi	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	8	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dennis Seimen	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	2	False	90	41	G	7.9	False	0	2	5	-	-	34	-	39	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Felix Götze	0	-	-	-	10	6	-	-	True	90	20	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	57	-	64	-	-	-	1	1	1	3	1
👤 Filip Bilbija	0	-	-	-	6	2	1	1	False	67	7	F	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	8	-	12	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Jonah Sticker	0	-	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	14	3	D	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Kennedy Okpala	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	10	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Laurin Curda	0	2	1	1	8	4	1	1	False	76	17	M	6.9	False	1	0	-	-	1	18	1	23	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Markus Schubert	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mattes Hansen	0	-	2	-	2	-	-	-	False	1	22	M	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	-
👤 Mika Baur	0	-	1	-	8	4	1	1	False	90	14	M	6.6	False	1	0	-	-	1	32	2	43	1	-	-	1	1	-	1	2
👤 Nick Bätzner	0	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	False	1	9	M	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Niklas Mohr	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	24	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Raphael Obermair	0	4	1	3	10	6	2	-	False	90	23	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	28	1	36	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Ruben Müller	0	2	-	1	8	6	-	2	False	76	2	F	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	26	-	33	-	-	-	-	1	1	-	2
👤 Santiago Castaneda	1	2	2	1	13	6	3	2	False	89	5	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	31	-	41	-	-	-	-	1	1	-	1
👤 Sebastian Klaas	0	1	-	1	3	1	-	-	False	23	26	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Stefano Marino	0	-	-	-	10	7	2	5	False	89	30	F	8.7	False	0	0	-	2	1	8	-	13	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	-
👤 Steffen Tigges	0	1	-	1	3	2	-	-	False	14	27	F	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	1
👤 Tjark Lasse Scheller	0	1	-	-	12	6	1	-	False	90	25	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	1	28	1	42	-	-	-	-	-	2	2	1

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Arminia Bielefeld and SC Paderborn 07

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04		31	19	7	5	48	28	20	64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07	2-2	31	17	7	7	54	38	16	58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96		31	16	9	6	53	37	16	57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg		31	16	8	7	55	35	20	56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98		31	13	12	6	55	40	15	51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC		31	13	9	9	44	36	8	48	W W L D L
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern		31	14	4	13	49	46	3	46	L W W L L
8	1. FC Nürnberg		31	11	8	12	40	41	-1	41	W D L D W
9	Karlsruher SC		31	11	7	13	48	59	-11	40	W L W L L
10	VfL Bochum		31	10	9	12	45	44	1	39	L L W L W
11	Holstein Kiel		31	10	8	13	40	43	-3	38	W D W W W
12	Dynamo Dresden		31	9	8	14	50	50	0	35	L L W W L
13	Arminia Bielefeld	2-2	31	9	8	14	46	47	-1	35	L W L D W
14	Eintracht Braunschweig		31	9	7	15	34	50	-16	34	L D L D W
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf		31	10	4	17	30	48	-18	34	L L L L W
16	1. FC Magdeburg		31	10	3	18	48	56	-8	33	W W L W L
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth		31	9	6	16	44	65	-21	33	L L D W L
18	Preußen Münster		31	6	10	15	34	54	-20	28	L D D L L

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2. Bundesliga (Relegation)

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Arminia Bielefeld and SC Paderborn 07

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	FC Schalke 04	31	69	1
2	SC Paderborn 07	31	62	3
3	Hannover 96	31	61	3
4	SV Elversberg	31	60	3
5	SV Darmstadt 98	31	55	5
6	Hertha BSC	31	51	6
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern	31	50	7
8	1. FC Nürnberg	31	45	9
9	Karlsruher SC	31	43	10
10	VfL Bochum	31	43	10
11	Holstein Kiel	31	41	11
12	Dynamo Dresden	31	39	13
13	Arminia Bielefeld	31	40	12
14	Eintracht Braunschweig	31	38	15
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf	31	38	15
16	1. FC Magdeburg	31	38	14
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	31	36	16
18	Preußen Münster	31	31	18

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Our predictions

xpi

Home Win 43.6%

Draw 20.5%

Away Win 35.8%

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

38.7%

Home Win

27.2%

Draw

34.1%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Arminia Bielefeld 1.49

SC Paderborn 07 1.39

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Arminia Bielefeld

SC Paderborn 07

SchücoArena

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

xpi

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)