Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Nürnberg

2. Bundesliga

Holstein Kiel

HT: 2–2

1. FC Nürnberg

14 Mar 2026

13:00

Holstein-Stadion

Stadium

Holstein-Stadion

Kiel, Germany

Capacity: 15034 Surface: grass Address: Westring 501

Score Summary

Holstein Kiel

2 3

FT HT 2–2

1. FC Nürnberg

A. Kapralik 29'
K. Davidsen 45'

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

46% Win

Holstein Kiel 1458 1449 ▼ -9

54% Win

1. FC Nürnberg 1487 1496 ▲ 9

xPi Expected win probability

35% Win

Holstein Kiel -0.44 -0.27 ▲ 0.18

46% Win

1. FC Nürnberg -0.02 0.08 ▲ 0.10

Top Performers

Top Rated

Mohamed Ali Zoma

1. FC Nürnberg

8.9

8.9 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Julian Justvan

1. FC Nürnberg

8.5

2 goals

Best Creator

John Tolkin

Holstein Kiel

6.9

2 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Adam Markhiev

1. FC Nürnberg

6.6

5 tackles · 3 interceptions

Match Momentum

Holstein Kiel 58% 1. FC Nürnberg 42%

Key Stats Snapshot

62 Possession 38

21 Shots 9

7 On Target 5

Form Context

Holstein Kiel

W D W W W

1. FC Nürnberg

W D L D W

Smart Insight

Holstein Kiel controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Holstein Kiel generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors 1. FC Nürnberg after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 30.7%

Draw 27.0%

Away Win 42.3%

Expected Goals 1.31 - 1.57

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04	64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07	58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96	57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg	56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98	51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC	48	W W L D L

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2. Bundesliga (Relegation)

62 Possession 38

7 Shots 5

21 Shots 9

4 Offsides 1

8 Shots Off Goal 1

7 Shots On Goal 5

21 Total Shots 9

62 Ball Possession 38

394 Passes Accurate 212

473 Total Passes 299

83% Passes % 71%

6 Blocked Shots 3

2 Goalkeeper Saves 4

18 Fouls 13

0 Red Cards 0

3 Yellow Cards 5

7 Corner Kicks 1

15 Shots Insidebox 8

6 Shots Outsidebox 1

3.28 expected_goals 1.22

0 goals_prevented 0

Holstein Kiel — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Adrián Kaprálik	0	3	-	2	8	3	2	-	False	90	20	F	7.3	False	0	0	-	1	-	11	1	16	-	-	-	3	4	-	-	1
👤 Aldin Jakupovic	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	18	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Alexander Bernhardsson	0	2	-	1	13	5	3	1	False	71	11	M	6.9	False	1	0	-	-	1	12	1	15	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 David Zec	1	1	-	-	14	9	2	2	False	90	26	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	54	-	64	-	-	-	-	2	-	2	3
👤 Frederik Roslyng	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	2	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ivan Nekić	1	-	-	-	9	6	1	2	False	77	13	D	6	False	0	0	-	-	-	31	-	42	-	-	-	-	1	-	3	-
👤 John Tolkin	0	1	1	-	7	3	-	1	False	90	47	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	54	2	61	-	-	-	-	-	2	3	2
👤 Jonas Krumrey	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	21	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jonas Meffert	0	-	-	-	9	4	1	2	True	90	28	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	47	2	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Jonas Therkelsen	0	2	2	-	12	2	-	1	False	90	10	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	16	1	24	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Kasper Davidsen	0	1	2	-	12	5	3	2	False	77	15	M	7.3	False	0	0	-	1	1	26	2	34	-	-	-	1	3	-	-	2
👤 Lasse Rosenboom	0	-	-	-	3	2	1	-	False	13	23	D	7.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	11	1	15	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Marco Komenda	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	3	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marko Ivezić	0	-	1	-	8	2	3	-	False	90	6	D	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	55	-	63	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	1
👤 Niklas Niehoff	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	29	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Phil Harres	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	19	19	F	5.9	True	0	0	-	-	1	1	-	1	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Stefan Schwab	1	-	-	-	3	1	-	-	False	13	22	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	1	5	-	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Steven Skrzybski	0	-	-	-	4	2	2	1	False	30	7	F	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	12	-	16	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Timon Weiner	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	False	90	1	G	7.5	False	0	3	2	-	-	43	1	49	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Umut Tohumcu	0	2	-	-	6	1	-	-	False	60	8	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	16	2	17	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1

1. FC Nürnberg — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Adam Markhiev	1	-	-	-	17	11	3	4	False	90	6	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	29	-	37	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	5
👤 Adriano Grimaldi	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	33	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Berkay Yılmaz	0	1	2	-	16	9	-	4	False	90	21	D	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	20	1	29	-	-	-	-	-	1	2	1
👤 Christian Mathenia	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	26	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Eric Porstner	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	41	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Finn Ole Becker	1	1	-	-	2	-	1	-	False	24	25	M	6.6	True	1	0	-	-	-	2	1	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Henri Koudossou	0	-	-	-	5	4	-	-	False	90	8	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	18	-	29	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	3
👤 Jan Reichert	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	True	90	1	G	7.3	False	0	2	4	-	-	27	-	38	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Javier Fernandez	0	-	-	-	3	3	-	-	False	10	20	M	7.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Julian Justvan	0	1	-	-	6	1	1	-	False	79	10	F	8.5	False	0	0	-	2	-	11	1	18	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	1
👤 Luka Lochoshvili	0	2	1	2	11	8	-	2	False	90	24	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	24	-	37	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Mohamed Ali Zoma	0	2	-	1	14	9	1	4	False	90	23	F	8.9	False	1	0	-	1	1	10	1	10	-	-	-	1	2	-	1	1
👤 Noah Le Bret Maboulou	0	2	-	1	6	2	2	-	False	41	37	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Piet Scobel	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	10	39	F	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Rabby Nzingoula	1	-	-	-	6	4	1	3	False	45	22	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	10	1	12	-	-	-	1	1	1	-	1
👤 Rafael Lubach	1	-	-	-	7	3	1	-	False	66	18	M	6.6	False	1	0	-	-	-	13	1	17	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Styopa Mkrtchyan	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	11	44	D	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Tarek Buchmann	1	1	-	1	7	3	1	-	False	86	28	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	21	-	27	-	-	-	1	1	2	1	1
👤 Tim Janisch	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	32	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tom Baack	0	1	-	1	7	4	2	1	False	90	5	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	22	-	31	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	2

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Holstein Kiel and 1. FC Nürnberg

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04		31	19	7	5	48	28	20	64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07		31	17	7	7	54	38	16	58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96		31	16	9	6	53	37	16	57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg		31	16	8	7	55	35	20	56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98		31	13	12	6	55	40	15	51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC		31	13	9	9	44	36	8	48	W W L D L
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern		31	14	4	13	49	46	3	46	L W W L L
8	1. FC Nürnberg	2-3	31	11	8	12	40	41	-1	41	W D L D W
9	Karlsruher SC		31	11	7	13	48	59	-11	40	W L W L L
10	VfL Bochum		31	10	9	12	45	44	1	39	L L W L W
11	Holstein Kiel	2-3	31	10	8	13	40	43	-3	38	W D W W W
12	Dynamo Dresden		31	9	8	14	50	50	0	35	L L W W L
13	Arminia Bielefeld		31	9	8	14	46	47	-1	35	L W L D W
14	Eintracht Braunschweig		31	9	7	15	34	50	-16	34	L D L D W
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf		31	10	4	17	30	48	-18	34	L L L L W
16	1. FC Magdeburg		31	10	3	18	48	56	-8	33	W W L W L
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth		31	9	6	16	44	65	-21	33	L L D W L
18	Preußen Münster		31	6	10	15	34	54	-20	28	L D D L L

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Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Holstein Kiel and 1. FC Nürnberg

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	FC Schalke 04	31	69	1
2	SC Paderborn 07	31	62	3
3	Hannover 96	31	61	3
4	SV Elversberg	31	60	3
5	SV Darmstadt 98	31	55	5
6	Hertha BSC	31	51	6
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern	31	50	7
8	1. FC Nürnberg	31	45	9
9	Karlsruher SC	31	43	10
10	VfL Bochum	31	43	10
11	Holstein Kiel	31	41	11
12	Dynamo Dresden	31	39	13
13	Arminia Bielefeld	31	40	12
14	Eintracht Braunschweig	31	38	15
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf	31	38	15
16	1. FC Magdeburg	31	38	14
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	31	36	16
18	Preußen Münster	31	31	18

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Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

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Our predictions

xpi

Home Win 43.6%

Draw 20.5%

Away Win 35.8%

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

30.7%

Home Win

27.0%

Draw

42.3%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Holstein Kiel 1.31

1. FC Nürnberg 1.57

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Holstein Kiel

1. FC Nürnberg

Holstein-Stadion

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

xpi

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)