Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Holstein Kiel

2. Bundesliga

Fortuna Düsseldorf

HT: 0–0

Holstein Kiel

10 Apr 2026

18:30

Merkur Spiel-Arena

Stadium

Merkur Spiel-Arena

Düsseldorf

Score Summary

Fortuna Düsseldorf

1 2

FT HT 0–0

Holstein Kiel

C. Itten 71'

50' P. Harres
79' I. Nekic

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

50% Win

Fortuna Düsseldorf 1460 1450 ▼ -10

50% Win

Holstein Kiel 1460 1470 ▲ 10

xPi Expected win probability

49% Win

Fortuna Düsseldorf -0.15 -0.18 ▼ -0.03

34% Win

Holstein Kiel -0.26 -0.27 ▼ 0.00

Top Performers

Top Rated

Ivan Nekić

Holstein Kiel

8.2

8.2 rating · 99 min

Most Clinical

Cedric Itten

Fortuna Düsseldorf

7.7

1 goals

Best Creator

Adrián Kaprálik

Holstein Kiel

6.6

3 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Anouar El Azzouzi

Fortuna Düsseldorf

7.3

6 tackles · 0 interceptions

Match Momentum

Fortuna Düsseldorf 57% Holstein Kiel 43%

Key Stats Snapshot

58 Possession 42

12 Shots 11

4 On Target 3

Form Context

Fortuna Düsseldorf

L L L L W

Holstein Kiel

W D W W W

Smart Insight

Fortuna Düsseldorf controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Elo movement favors Holstein Kiel after this result.

Prediction (catboost)

Home Win 25.2%

Draw 23.2%

Away Win 51.6%

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04	64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07	58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96	57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg	56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98	51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC	48	W W L D L

Promotion - Bundesliga

2. Bundesliga (Relegation)

58 Possession 42

4 Shots 3

12 Shots 11

3 Offsides 0

3 Shots Off Goal 6

4 Shots On Goal 3

12 Total Shots 11

58 Ball Possession 42

395 Passes Accurate 294

471 Total Passes 354

84% Passes % 83%

5 Blocked Shots 2

1 Goalkeeper Saves 3

13 Fouls 13

0 Red Cards 0

2 Yellow Cards 4

6 Corner Kicks 3

6 Shots Insidebox 8

6 Shots Outsidebox 3

0.81 expected_goals 1.42

0 goals_prevented 0

Fortuna Düsseldorf — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Anouar El Azzouzi	0	1	1	-	12	8	2	2	False	99	8	M	7.3	False	-	0	-	-	-	41	1	49	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	6
👤 Cedric Itten	0	3	-	1	10	4	3	-	False	99	13	F	7.7	False	-	0	-	1	-	9	1	15	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	1
👤 Christian Rasmussen	0	1	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	16	10	F	6.7	False	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Elias Egouli	0	-	-	-	9	6	2	1	False	99	44	D	7.3	False	-	0	-	-	-	65	-	69	-	-	-	-	1	1	2	3
👤 Florent Muslija	1	-	-	-	3	2	1	-	False	65	24	M	6.6	False	-	0	-	-	-	18	1	24	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Florian Kastenmeier	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	True	99	33	G	6.7	False	-	2	1	-	-	29	-	35	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jesper Daland	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	False	65	2	D	6.6	False	-	0	-	-	-	35	-	38	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	2
👤 Jordi Paulina	0	2	-	-	6	4	-	1	False	34	27	F	7.3	True	-	0	-	-	1	14	-	15	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Julian Hettwer	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	11	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kilian Sauck	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	29	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Luca Raimund	0	2	1	2	10	6	2	-	False	61	7	M	6.5	False	-	0	-	-	-	16	-	24	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	3
👤 Marcel Lotka	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marin Ljubičić	0	2	-	1	6	2	-	1	False	83	20	F	6.5	True	-	0	-	-	1	19	-	22	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Moritz Heyer	1	1	-	-	3	2	-	1	False	34	5	D	6.5	True	-	0	-	-	-	11	-	12	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Satoshi Tanaka	0	1	2	1	9	6	1	4	False	99	16	M	7.2	False	1	0	-	-	-	39	1	46	-	-	-	-	1	-	4	1
👤 Shinta Karl Appelkamp	0	1	1	-	8	4	1	2	False	99	23	M	6.3	False	-	0	-	-	-	26	3	29	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Sotiris Alexandropoulos	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	14	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tim Breithaupt	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	6	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tim Christopher Oberdorf	0	-	-	-	4	1	-	-	False	99	15	D	6.3	False	-	0	-	-	-	49	-	63	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Valgeir Lunddal	0	-	-	-	3	2	1	-	False	38	12	D	6.6	True	-	0	-	-	1	24	1	29	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	-

Holstein Kiel — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Adrián Kaprálik	1	1	-	-	8	2	3	1	False	99	20	M	6.6	False	1	0	-	-	-	9	3	13	-	-	-	-	-	2	-	1
👤 David Zec	0	4	1	2	14	6	3	2	False	99	26	D	6.5	False	-	0	-	-	-	52	-	54	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Frederik Roslyng	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	7	2	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	1	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Ikem Ugoh	0	1	-	-	7	3	-	2	False	92	49	M	6.5	False	-	0	-	-	-	16	-	21	-	-	-	-	2	-	-	-
👤 Ivan Nekić	0	1	-	-	6	5	-	1	False	99	13	D	8.2	False	-	0	-	1	-	29	-	33	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	2
👤 John Tolkin	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	False	7	47	D	-	False	-	0	-	-	-	3	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jonas Krumrey	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	21	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jonas Meffert	1	-	1	-	6	2	1	1	False	99	28	M	6.7	False	-	0	-	-	-	29	1	34	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	1
👤 Jonas Therkelsen	0	1	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	39	10	M	6.2	True	-	0	-	-	-	3	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lasse Rosenboom	0	1	-	-	6	4	1	-	False	99	23	D	6.6	False	-	0	-	-	-	21	1	27	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	2
👤 Lenny Borges	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	43	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Leon Parduzi	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	40	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marcus Müller	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	25	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marko Ivezić	0	1	2	-	12	3	2	-	False	92	6	D	6.2	True	-	0	-	-	-	48	1	56	-	-	-	-	-	2	-	2
👤 Niklas Niehoff	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	7	29	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Phil Harres	0	1	1	-	7	1	1	-	False	99	19	F	7.2	False	-	0	-	1	-	6	-	9	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Stefan Schwab	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	22	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Steven Skrzybski	1	3	-	2	9	4	1	2	True	60	7	M	7	False	-	0	-	-	-	23	3	26	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Timon Weiner	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	99	1	G	6.3	False	-	1	3	-	-	35	-	50	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Umut Tohumcu	1	1	-	1	7	5	1	3	False	92	8	M	7	False	1	0	-	-	-	19	2	22	-	-	-	-	2	1	-	1

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Fortuna Düsseldorf and Holstein Kiel

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04		31	19	7	5	48	28	20	64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07		31	17	7	7	54	38	16	58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96		31	16	9	6	53	37	16	57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg		31	16	8	7	55	35	20	56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98		31	13	12	6	55	40	15	51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC		31	13	9	9	44	36	8	48	W W L D L
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern		31	14	4	13	49	46	3	46	L W W L L
8	1. FC Nürnberg		31	11	8	12	40	41	-1	41	W D L D W
9	Karlsruher SC		31	11	7	13	48	59	-11	40	W L W L L
10	VfL Bochum		31	10	9	12	45	44	1	39	L L W L W
11	Holstein Kiel	1-2	31	10	8	13	40	43	-3	38	W D W W W
12	Dynamo Dresden		31	9	8	14	50	50	0	35	L L W W L
13	Arminia Bielefeld		31	9	8	14	46	47	-1	35	L W L D W
14	Eintracht Braunschweig		31	9	7	15	34	50	-16	34	L D L D W
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf	1-2	31	10	4	17	30	48	-18	34	L L L L W
16	1. FC Magdeburg		31	10	3	18	48	56	-8	33	W W L W L
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth		31	9	6	16	44	65	-21	33	L L D W L
18	Preußen Münster		31	6	10	15	34	54	-20	28	L D D L L

Promotion - Bundesliga

2. Bundesliga (Relegation)

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Fortuna Düsseldorf and Holstein Kiel

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	FC Schalke 04	31	69	1
2	SC Paderborn 07	31	62	3
3	Hannover 96	31	61	3
4	SV Elversberg	31	60	3
5	SV Darmstadt 98	31	55	5
6	Hertha BSC	31	51	6
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern	31	50	7
8	1. FC Nürnberg	31	45	9
9	Karlsruher SC	31	43	10
10	VfL Bochum	31	43	10
11	Holstein Kiel	31	41	11
12	Dynamo Dresden	31	39	13
13	Arminia Bielefeld	31	40	12
14	Eintracht Braunschweig	31	38	15
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf	31	38	15
16	1. FC Magdeburg	31	38	14
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	31	36	16
18	Preußen Münster	31	31	18

Promotion - Bundesliga

2. Bundesliga (Relegation)

Predict the score

Loading API predictions…

CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Our predictions

catboost

Home Win 25.2%

Draw 23.2%

Away Win 51.6%

xpi

Home Win 43.6%

Draw 20.5%

Away Win 35.8%

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

50.2%

Home Win

25.8%

Draw

24.0%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Fortuna Düsseldorf 1.75

Holstein Kiel 1.15

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Fortuna Düsseldorf

Holstein Kiel

Merkur Spiel-Arena

Prediction (catboost)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

catboost

xpi

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)