SC Paderborn 07 vs 1. FC Magdeburg

2. Bundesliga

SC Paderborn 07

HT: 3–2

1. FC Magdeburg

12 Apr 2026

13:30

Home Deluxe Arena

Stadium

Home Deluxe Arena

Paderborn, Germany

Capacity: 15306 Surface: grass Address: Wilfried-Finke-Allee 1

Score Summary

SC Paderborn 07

4 3

FT HT 3–2

1. FC Magdeburg

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

61% Win

SC Paderborn 07 1558 1565 ▲ 8

39% Win

1. FC Magdeburg 1476 1469 ▼ -8

xPi Expected win probability

54% Win

SC Paderborn 07 0.44 0.46 ▲ 0.02

32% Win

1. FC Magdeburg 0.28 0.21 ▼ -0.07

Top Performers

Top Rated

Filip Bilbija

SC Paderborn 07

10.0

10.0 rating · 82 min

Most Clinical

Filip Bilbija

SC Paderborn 07

10.0

4 goals

Best Creator

Laurin Curda

SC Paderborn 07

6.9

2 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Calvin Brackelmann

SC Paderborn 07

7.7

7 tackles · 1 interceptions

Match Momentum

SC Paderborn 07 36% 1. FC Magdeburg 64%

Key Stats Snapshot

42 Possession 58

10 Shots 16

5 On Target 9

Form Context

SC Paderborn 07

W W W D L

1. FC Magdeburg

W W L W L

Smart Insight

1. FC Magdeburg carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
1. FC Magdeburg produced more shot pressure than expected.
Elo movement favors SC Paderborn 07 after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 49.0%

Draw 26.0%

Away Win 25.0%

Expected Goals 1.72 - 1.18

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04		64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07	4-3	58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96		57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg		56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98		51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC		48	W W L D L

Promotion - Bundesliga

2. Bundesliga (Relegation)

42 Possession 58

5 Shots 9

10 Shots 16

0 Offsides 1

3 Shots Off Goal 5

5 Shots On Goal 9

10 Total Shots 16

42 Ball Possession 58

292 Passes Accurate 444

371 Total Passes 512

79% Passes % 87%

2 Blocked Shots 2

6 Goalkeeper Saves 1

15 Fouls 11

0 Red Cards 0

2 Yellow Cards 1

4 Corner Kicks 7

7 Shots Insidebox 9

3 Shots Outsidebox 7

1.74 expected_goals 0.88

-1 goals_prevented -1

SC Paderborn 07 — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Calvin Brackelmann	0	-	-	-	11	9	1	-	False	82	4	D	7.7	False	1	0	-	-	-	35	1	42	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	7
👤 David Kinsombi	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	8	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dennis Seimen	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	False	82	41	G	7.6	False	-	3	6	-	-	25	-	32	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Felix Götze	0	-	-	-	4	1	-	1	True	82	20	D	5.9	False	-	0	-	-	-	37	-	39	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Filip Bilbija	0	1	1	-	9	2	3	1	False	82	7	F	10	False	-	0	-	4	-	10	-	15	-	-	-	5	5	1	-	-
👤 Jonah Sticker	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	10	3	D	6.9	True	-	0	-	-	-	2	1	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kennedy Okpala	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	10	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Laurin Curda	0	1	2	-	15	10	1	1	False	82	17	M	6.9	False	1	0	-	-	-	14	2	20	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	6
👤 Markus Schubert	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mattes Hansen	1	-	-	-	3	2	1	1	False	45	22	M	6.5	False	-	0	-	-	-	24	1	27	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Mika Baur	0	2	-	-	4	1	1	-	False	82	14	M	6.7	False	-	0	-	-	-	31	2	40	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Nick Bätzner	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	9	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Raphael Obermair	1	1	1	1	5	2	1	-	False	72	23	M	6.3	False	1	0	-	-	-	23	1	24	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Ruben Müller	0	3	1	1	10	3	1	1	False	71	2	F	7.2	False	-	0	-	-	-	23	2	26	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Sebastian Klaas	0	-	-	-	3	1	1	-	False	37	26	M	6.7	True	1	0	-	-	-	14	1	15	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Stefano Marino	0	1	-	1	6	4	-	2	False	82	30	F	6.9	False	-	0	-	-	-	11	-	16	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Steffen Tigges	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	False	11	27	F	6.7	True	-	0	-	-	-	1	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Sven Michel	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	11	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tjark Lasse Scheller	0	-	2	-	7	4	-	-	False	82	25	D	5.9	False	-	0	-	-	-	21	-	27	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3

1. FC Magdeburg — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Alexander Ahl Holmstrom	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	11	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Alexander Nollenberger	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	3	17	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Baris Atik	0	4	-	2	8	4	-	2	False	79	23	F	6.9	False	-	0	-	-	-	29	1	35	-	-	-	1	4	-	-	-
👤 Connor Krempicki	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	13	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dariusz Stalmach	0	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	False	3	6	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dominik Reimann	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	True	82	1	G	6.3	False	-	4	1	-	-	26	-	31	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Falko Michel	0	-	-	-	10	4	5	2	False	82	21	M	6.6	False	-	0	-	-	-	58	2	61	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	1
👤 Herbert Bockhorn	0	1	1	1	9	7	1	2	False	82	7	D	6.2	False	-	0	-	-	-	33	-	39	-	-	-	1	2	-	1	2
👤 Jean Hugonet	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	24	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Laurin Ulrich	0	7	-	2	18	9	-	1	False	82	8	M	8	False	-	0	-	1	-	27	1	32	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	5
👤 Lubambo Musonda	0	3	1	1	7	2	-	1	False	82	19	D	6.3	False	-	0	-	1	-	33	-	37	-	-	-	1	2	1	1	-
👤 Marcus Mathisen	0	1	-	1	6	4	1	-	False	82	16	D	6.5	False	-	0	-	-	-	69	2	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Mateusz Żukowski	1	-	-	-	5	1	1	-	False	82	22	F	7.6	False	1	0	-	1	-	11	1	14	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	1
👤 Noah Pesch	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	10	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Philipp Hercher	0	-	-	-	4	1	1	-	False	37	27	D	5.9	True	-	0	-	-	1	5	1	8	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	1
👤 Rayan Ghrieb	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	29	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Richmond Tachie	0	2	-	-	2	-	-	-	False	45	18	F	6.5	False	-	0	-	-	-	5	-	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Robert Kampa	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	40	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Silas Gnaka	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	1	False	79	25	M	7.2	False	-	0	-	-	-	37	1	39	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Tobias Müller	0	-	-	-	7	4	-	-	False	82	5	D	6.2	False	-	0	-	-	-	65	-	69	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: SC Paderborn 07 and 1. FC Magdeburg

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	FC Schalke 04		31	19	7	5	48	28	20	64	D W W W W
2	SC Paderborn 07	4-3	31	17	7	7	54	38	16	58	W W W D L
3	Hannover 96		31	16	9	6	53	37	16	57	W D W D W
4	SV Elversberg		31	16	8	7	55	35	20	56	W D L W D
5	SV Darmstadt 98		31	13	12	6	55	40	15	51	D L L L D
6	Hertha BSC		31	13	9	9	44	36	8	48	W W L D L
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern		31	14	4	13	49	46	3	46	L W W L L
8	1. FC Nürnberg		31	11	8	12	40	41	-1	41	W D L D W
9	Karlsruher SC		31	11	7	13	48	59	-11	40	W L W L L
10	VfL Bochum		31	10	9	12	45	44	1	39	L L W L W
11	Holstein Kiel		31	10	8	13	40	43	-3	38	W D W W W
12	Dynamo Dresden		31	9	8	14	50	50	0	35	L L W W L
13	Arminia Bielefeld		31	9	8	14	46	47	-1	35	L W L D W
14	Eintracht Braunschweig		31	9	7	15	34	50	-16	34	L D L D W
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf		31	10	4	17	30	48	-18	34	L L L L W
16	1. FC Magdeburg	4-3	31	10	3	18	48	56	-8	33	W W L W L
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth		31	9	6	16	44	65	-21	33	L L D W L
18	Preußen Münster		31	6	10	15	34	54	-20	28	L D D L L

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2. Bundesliga (Relegation)

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: SC Paderborn 07 and 1. FC Magdeburg

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	FC Schalke 04	31	69	1
2	SC Paderborn 07	31	62	3
3	Hannover 96	31	61	3
4	SV Elversberg	31	60	3
5	SV Darmstadt 98	31	55	5
6	Hertha BSC	31	51	6
7	1. FC Kaiserslautern	31	50	7
8	1. FC Nürnberg	31	45	9
9	Karlsruher SC	31	43	10
10	VfL Bochum	31	43	10
11	Holstein Kiel	31	41	11
12	Dynamo Dresden	31	39	13
13	Arminia Bielefeld	31	40	12
14	Eintracht Braunschweig	31	38	15
15	Fortuna Düsseldorf	31	38	15
16	1. FC Magdeburg	31	38	14
17	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	31	36	16
18	Preußen Münster	31	31	18

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2. Bundesliga (Relegation)

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Our predictions

xpi

Home Win 43.6%

Draw 20.5%

Away Win 35.8%

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

49.0%

Home Win

26.0%

Draw

25.0%

Away Win

Expected Goals

SC Paderborn 07 1.72

1. FC Magdeburg 1.18

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

SC Paderborn 07

1. FC Magdeburg

Home Deluxe Arena

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

xpi

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)