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13

HT: 1–0

11 Jan 2026
13:00
Live Ratings
Derby
Leeds

Stadium

Pride Park

Derby

Score Summary
Derby
1 3
FT HT 1–0
Leeds
Elo & xPi Evolution
Elo Expected win probability
53% Win
Derby 1500 1495 β–Ό -5
47% Win
Leeds 1478 1489 β–² 11
xPi Expected win probability
48% Win
Derby 0.00 -0.14 β–Ό -0.14
34% Win
Leeds 0.10 0.39 β–² 0.29
Top Performers

Top Rated

Wilfried Gnonto

Wilfried Gnonto

Leeds

7.9

7.9 rating Β· 86 min

Most Clinical

Ben Brereton DΓ­az

Ben Brereton DΓ­az

Derby

7.2

1 goals

Best Creator

Noah Okafor

Noah Okafor

Leeds

6.3

4 key passes Β· 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Lewis Travis

Lewis Travis

Derby

6.7

4 tackles Β· 1 interceptions

Match Momentum
Derby 15% Leeds 85%
Key Stats Snapshot
34 Possession 66
7 Shots 22
2 On Target 11
Form Context

Derby

L

Leeds

W D W D L
Smart Insight
  • Leeds carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
  • Leeds produced more shot pressure than expected.
  • Elo movement favors Leeds after this result.
Prediction (dixon_coles)
Home Win 37.5%
Draw 25.0%
Away Win 37.5%
Expected Goals 1.65 - 1.65
Qualification %
Derby 0.0%
Leeds 100.0%
Based on 5000 simulations
#TeamScrPtsForm
1 Macclesfield 18 W W W W L
2 Maldon & Tiptree 18 W W W W L
3 Whitstable Town 16 W D W W L
4 Weston-super-Mare 16 W W W W L
5 Runcorn Linnets 16 W W D W L
6 Manchester City 15 W W W W W