Real Madrid vs Bayern München

UEFA Champions League

Real Madrid

Coach : Z. Zidane

HT: 0–1

Bayern München

Coach : V. Kompany

41' L. Diaz
46' H. Kane
74' K. Mbappe

07 Apr 2026

21:00

Bernabéu

First Leg Second Leg

Aggregate 4 - 6

Score Summary

Real Madrid

1 2

FT HT 0–1

Bayern München

K. Mbappe 74'

41' L. Diaz
46' H. Kane

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

40% Win

Real Madrid 1628 1619 ▼ -8

60% Win

Bayern München 1696 1704 ▲ 8

xPi Expected win probability

35% Win

Real Madrid 0.82 0.83 ▲ 0.01

45% Win

Bayern München 1.57 1.57 ▲ 0.00

Top Performers

Top Rated

Manuel Neuer

Bayern München

8.9

8.9 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Kylian Mbappé

Real Madrid

7.9

1 goals

Best Creator

Arda Güler

Real Madrid

7.2

4 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Dayot Upamecano

Bayern München

6.2

3 tackles · 3 interceptions

Match Momentum

Real Madrid 53% Bayern München 47%

Key Stats Snapshot

48 Possession 52

20 Shots 20

9 On Target 8

Form Context

Real Madrid

L W L W L

Bayern München

W L W W W

Smart Insight

Real Madrid controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Elo movement favors Bayern München after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 29.6%

Draw 25.2%

Away Win 45.2%

Expected Goals 1.41 - 1.77

Qualification %

Real Madrid 0.0%

Bayern München 100.0%

Based on 5000 simulations

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		24	W W W W W
2	Bayern München	2-1	21	W L W W W
3	Liverpool		18	W L W W W
4	Tottenham		17	W L W W W
5	Barcelona		16	D L W W W
6	Chelsea		16	D W L W W