Manchester United vs Arsenal - Football Platform

Premier League

Manchester United

HT: 0–1

Arsenal

Coach : F. Ljungberg

13' R. Calafiori

17 Aug 2025

17:30

Old Trafford

Stadium

Old Trafford

Manchester, England

Capacity: 76212 Surface: grass Address: Sir Matt Busby Way

Score Summary

Manchester United

0 1

FT HT 0–1

Arsenal

13' R. Calafiori

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

50% Win

Manchester United 1500 1495 ▼ -5

50% Win

Arsenal 1500 1505 ▲ 5

xPi Expected win probability

44% Win

Manchester United 0.00 0.31 ▲ 0.31

36% Win

Arsenal 0.00 0.94 ▲ 0.94

Top Performers

Top Rated

David Raya

Arsenal

8.2

8.2 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Riccardo Calafiori

Arsenal

8.2

1 goals

Best Creator

Bruno Fernandes

Manchester United

7.9

5 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

William Saliba

Arsenal

7.3

4 tackles · 1 interceptions

Match Momentum

Manchester United 70% Arsenal 30%

Key Stats Snapshot

61 Possession 39

22 Shots 9

7 On Target 3

Form Context

Manchester United

W D L W W

Arsenal

W W L L W

Smart Insight

Manchester United controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Manchester United generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors Arsenal after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 36.1%

Draw 27.8%

Away Win 36.1%

Expected Goals 1.39 - 1.39

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal	0-1	73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City		70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United	0-1	61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool		58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa		58	L W D W L
6	Brighton		50	W W W D W

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

61 Possession 39

7 Shots 3

22 Shots 9

1 Offsides 2

7 Shots Off Goal 3

7 Shots On Goal 3

22 Total Shots 9

61 Ball Possession 39

393 Passes Accurate 219

475 Total Passes 294

83% Passes % 74%

8 Blocked Shots 3

2 Goalkeeper Saves 7

10 Fouls 19

0 Red Cards 0

1 Yellow Cards 4

3 Corner Kicks 4

15 Shots Insidebox 5

7 Shots Outsidebox 4

1.52 expected_goals 1.31

0 goals_prevented 0

Manchester United — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Altay Bayındır	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	2	False	90	1	G	6.5	False	0	1	2	-	-	35	-	45	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Amad Diallo	0	2	-	2	7	7	-	2	False	35	16	F	7.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	16	1	19	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	3
👤 Ayden Heaven	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	26	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Benjamin Šeško	0	-	-	-	3	1	1	-	False	25	30	F	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	2	4	-	-	-	-	2	-	-	-
👤 Bruno Fernandes	0	2	4	1	14	7	1	2	True	90	8	M	7.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	46	5	55	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Bryan Mbeumo	0	1	-	1	9	4	1	3	False	90	19	F	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	24	1	30	-	-	-	2	3	-	-	-
👤 Casemiro	0	-	1	-	7	6	-	2	False	65	18	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	25	1	33	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Diogo Dalot	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	55	2	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	1	14	1	15	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Harry Maguire	0	-	-	-	2	-	1	-	False	10	5	D	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Joshua Zirkzee	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	11	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kobbie Mainoo	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	37	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Leny Yoro	0	-	1	-	10	6	1	-	False	90	15	D	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	58	-	64	-	-	-	-	-	-	4	1
👤 Luke Shaw	0	-	1	-	8	6	1	-	False	80	23	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	44	1	57	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Manuel Ugarte	0	-	-	-	3	-	2	-	False	25	25	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	17	1	19	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Mason Mount	0	-	-	-	4	2	-	-	False	65	7	F	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	20	2	26	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Matheus Cunha	0	6	1	4	20	8	-	3	False	90	10	F	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	14	1	16	-	-	-	3	3	-	-	1
👤 Matthijs de Ligt	0	-	1	-	15	9	1	1	False	90	4	D	7.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	49	1	57	-	-	-	1	2	2	-	2
👤 Patrick Dorgu	1	2	-	1	18	11	1	4	False	90	13	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	22	-	28	-	-	-	-	2	1	-	4
👤 Tom Heaton	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	22	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tyler Fredricson	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	33	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Arsenal — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Ben White	0	1	1	1	9	5	2	-	False	71	4	D	7.3	False	0	-	-	-	17	1	21	-	-	-	-	1	1	1	2
👤 Bukayo Saka	0	8	1	3	17	6	-	-	False	90	7	F	6.3	False	0	-	-	-	15	1	16	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Cristhian Mosquera	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	3	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 David Raya	1	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	90	1	G	8.2	False	0	7	-	-	13	-	28	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Declan Rice	0	-	-	-	3	-	1	-	False	83	41	M	6.3	False	0	-	-	-	20	-	25	-	-	-	-	1	1	-	-
👤 Ethan Nwaneri	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	22	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Gabriel Magalhães	0	1	1	-	11	6	1	2	False	90	6	D	7	False	0	-	-	-	19	-	27	-	-	-	-	-	3	-	1
👤 Gabriel Martinelli	0	1	-	-	4	2	-	1	False	60	11	F	6.3	False	0	-	-	-	3	1	5	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Jurriën Timber	1	4	-	-	9	3	2	1	False	19	12	D	6.3	True	0	-	-	-	2	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Kai Havertz	0	2	1	1	10	5	-	2	False	30	29	F	6.6	True	0	-	-	-	5	-	9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kepa Arrizabalaga	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	13	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Leandro Trossard	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	19	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Martin Ødegaard	0	5	-	3	8	5	1	1	True	90	8	M	7.7	False	0	-	-	-	31	1	44	-	-	-	1	2	-	1	1
👤 Martín Zubimendi	0	-	1	-	8	4	2	-	False	90	36	M	7.3	False	0	-	-	-	39	-	45	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	3
👤 Mikel Merino	0	-	-	-	4	1	1	-	False	8	23	M	6.5	True	0	-	-	-	2	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Myles Lewis-Skelly	1	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	False	18	49	D	6.7	True	0	-	-	-	1	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Noni Madueke	0	1	2	-	6	1	1	1	False	30	20	F	6.5	True	0	-	-	-	7	1	8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Riccardo Calafiori	1	-	1	-	6	3	2	-	False	72	33	D	8.2	False	0	-	1	1	19	-	21	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Viktor Gyökeres	0	1	-	-	13	3	3	2	False	60	14	F	6	False	0	-	-	1	4	-	9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 William Saliba	0	1	1	1	13	8	2	-	False	90	2	D	7.3	False	0	-	-	-	22	-	26	-	-	-	-	-	2	1	4

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Manchester United and Arsenal

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal	0-1	34	22	7	5	64	26	38	73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City		33	21	7	5	66	29	37	70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United	0-1	34	17	10	7	60	46	14	61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool		34	17	7	10	57	44	13	58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa		34	17	7	10	47	42	5	58	L W D W L
6	Brighton		34	13	11	10	48	39	9	50	W W W D W
7	Bournemouth		34	11	16	7	52	52	0	49	D D W W D
8	Chelsea		34	13	9	12	53	45	8	48	L L L L L
9	Brentford		34	13	9	12	49	46	3	48	D D D D L
10	Fulham		34	14	6	14	44	46	-2	48	D W L D W
11	Everton		34	13	8	13	41	41	0	47	L W D L L
12	Sunderland		34	12	10	12	36	45	-9	46	L W W L L
13	Crystal Palace		33	11	10	12	36	39	-3	43	W D W D L
14	Newcastle		34	12	6	16	46	50	-4	42	W L L L L
15	Leeds		34	9	13	12	44	51	-7	40	D D W W D
16	Nottingham Forest		34	10	9	15	41	45	-4	39	D W D W W
17	West Ham		34	9	9	16	42	58	-16	36	D L W D W
18	Tottenham		34	8	10	16	43	53	-10	34	D L L D W
19	Burnley		34	4	8	22	34	68	-34	20	D L L L L
20	Wolves		34	3	8	23	24	62	-38	17	W D L L L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Manchester United and Arsenal

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Arsenal	34	80	1
2	Manchester City	33	79	2
3	Manchester United	34	67	3
4	Liverpool	34	65	4
5	Aston Villa	34	63	5
6	Brighton	34	55	8
7	Bournemouth	34	54	9
8	Chelsea	34	55	8
9	Brentford	34	53	9
10	Fulham	34	53	10
11	Everton	34	52	11
12	Sunderland	34	50	12
13	Crystal Palace	33	48	13
14	Newcastle	34	49	13
15	Leeds	34	46	15
16	Nottingham Forest	34	44	15
17	West Ham	34	40	17
18	Tottenham	34	39	17
19	Burnley	34	24	19
20	Wolves	34	22	20

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

36.1%

Home Win

27.8%

Draw

36.1%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Manchester United 1.39

Arsenal 1.39

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Manchester United

Arsenal

Old Trafford

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)