Brighton vs Manchester City - Football Platform

Premier League

Brighton

HT: 0–1

Manchester City

Coach : Guardiola

31 Aug 2025

15:00

Amex Stadium

Stadium

American Express Stadium

Falmer, East Sussex, England

Capacity: 31872 Surface: grass Address: Village Way

Score Summary

Brighton

2 1

FT HT 0–1

Manchester City

J. Milner 67'
B. Gruda 89'

34' E. Haaland

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

49% Win

Brighton 1495 1500 ▲ 5

51% Win

Manchester City 1500 1495 ▼ -5

xPi Expected win probability

39% Win

Brighton 0.08 0.33 ▲ 0.26

37% Win

Manchester City 0.12 0.88 ▲ 0.76

Top Performers

Top Rated

James Trafford

Manchester City

8.3

8.3 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

James Milner

Brighton

7.2

1 goals

Best Creator

Kaoru Mitoma

Brighton

6.9

3 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Joel Veltman

Brighton

6.7

3 tackles · 2 interceptions

Match Momentum

Brighton 70% Manchester City 30%

Key Stats Snapshot

37 Possession 63

12 Shots 12

7 On Target 3

Form Context

Brighton

W W W D W

Manchester City

D D W W W

Smart Insight

Brighton controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Elo movement favors Brighton after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 36.5%

Draw 27.8%

Away Win 35.7%

Expected Goals 1.40 - 1.38

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City	2-1	70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United		61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool		58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa		58	L W D W L
6	Brighton	2-1	50	W W W D W

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

37 Possession 63

7 Shots 3

12 Shots 12

1 Offsides 0

2 Shots Off Goal 8

7 Shots On Goal 3

12 Total Shots 12

37 Ball Possession 63

231 Passes Accurate 486

311 Total Passes 556

74% Passes % 87%

3 Blocked Shots 1

2 Goalkeeper Saves 5

16 Fouls 14

0 Red Cards 0

2 Yellow Cards 2

3 Corner Kicks 2

10 Shots Insidebox 8

2 Shots Outsidebox 4

2.29 expected_goals 1.84

0 goals_prevented 0

Brighton — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.scored	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Bart Verbruggen	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	6.7	False	0	1	2	-	-	23	-	40	-	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Brajan Gruda	0	3	1	2	7	2	1	-	False	29	8	M	7.9	True	0	0	-	1	-	5	1	5	-	-	0	-	2	2	-	-	-
👤 Carlos Baleba	0	-	1	-	3	1	-	-	False	60	17	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	14	-	18	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Danny Welbeck	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	False	61	18	F	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	6	1	10	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Diego Coppola	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	1	42	D	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Diego Gómez	0	-	2	-	11	5	2	1	False	61	25	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	7	-	11	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Ferdi Kadıoğlu	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	24	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Georginio Rutter	0	1	-	-	3	1	-	1	False	29	10	F	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	1	5	-	-	0	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Jack Hinshelwood	0	-	-	-	8	5	2	1	False	61	13	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	17	-	20	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 James Milner	0	-	-	-	5	2	-	-	False	30	20	M	7.2	True	0	0	-	1	-	6	-	7	-	-	1	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Jan Paul van Hecke	1	-	1	-	6	1	1	-	False	90	6	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	34	-	40	-	-	0	-	1	1	1	-	1
👤 Jason Steele	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	23	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Joel Veltman	1	-	1	-	9	7	1	4	False	90	34	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	12	-	19	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	2	3
👤 Kaoru Mitoma	0	1	3	1	14	3	6	-	False	90	22	M	6.9	False	1	0	-	-	1	18	3	24	-	-	0	-	1	1	-	2	2
👤 Lewis Dunk	0	-	1	-	2	1	-	-	True	90	5	D	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	37	-	42	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	1	-
👤 Matt O'Riley	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	33	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Maxim De Cuyper	0	2	1	1	11	6	-	3	False	90	29	D	7.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	35	-	48	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Olivier Boscagli	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	21	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Yankuba Minteh	0	6	3	4	19	11	1	2	False	89	11	M	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	9	1	19	-	-	0	-	1	2	-	1	3
👤 Yasin Ayari	0	1	-	-	6	2	1	1	False	29	26	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	7	2	7	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	1

Manchester City — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Abdukodir Khusanov	1	-	-	-	9	6	1	2	False	85	45	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	59	-	67	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	4
👤 Bernardo Silva	0	-	-	-	7	2	3	1	True	72	20	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	44	-	52	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Ederson	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	31	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Erling Haaland	0	-	-	-	6	5	1	1	False	90	9	F	7.3	False	0	0	-	1	-	6	-	9	-	-	-	3	7	-	-	-
👤 James Trafford	0	1	-	1	2	2	-	-	False	90	1	G	8.3	False	0	2	5	-	-	32	-	42	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 John Stones	0	-	1	-	3	2	-	-	False	90	5	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	70	-	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Jérémy Doku	0	2	-	1	3	1	1	-	False	18	11	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	7	2	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Manuel Akanji	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	25	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Matheus Nunes	0	1	-	1	4	4	1	-	False	85	27	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	42	-	48	1	-	-	-	-	1	1	-
👤 Nathan Aké	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	6	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nico González	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	14	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nico O'Reilly	0	2	-	1	5	4	-	-	False	18	33	M	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	8	-	9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Omar Marmoush	0	5	-	4	15	8	1	2	False	72	7	F	7.9	False	1	0	-	-	-	23	2	27	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	2
👤 Oscar Bobb	0	4	1	3	14	7	2	3	False	90	52	F	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	25	-	29	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	1
👤 Rayan Aït-Nouri	1	3	3	-	16	5	4	1	False	90	21	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	26	1	33	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	3
👤 Rico Lewis	0	-	1	-	2	1	-	1	False	14	82	D	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	-	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Rodri	0	2	2	1	9	6	-	2	False	90	16	M	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	87	1	100	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	1
👤 Rúben Dias	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	14	3	D	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Tijjani Reijnders	0	3	-	2	9	5	-	2	False	90	4	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	54	2	60	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 İlkay Gündoğan	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	19	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Brighton and Manchester City

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		34	22	7	5	64	26	38	73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City	2-1	33	21	7	5	66	29	37	70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United		34	17	10	7	60	46	14	61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool		34	17	7	10	57	44	13	58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa		34	17	7	10	47	42	5	58	L W D W L
6	Brighton	2-1	34	13	11	10	48	39	9	50	W W W D W
7	Bournemouth		34	11	16	7	52	52	0	49	D D W W D
8	Chelsea		34	13	9	12	53	45	8	48	L L L L L
9	Brentford		34	13	9	12	49	46	3	48	D D D D L
10	Fulham		34	14	6	14	44	46	-2	48	D W L D W
11	Everton		34	13	8	13	41	41	0	47	L W D L L
12	Sunderland		34	12	10	12	36	45	-9	46	L W W L L
13	Crystal Palace		33	11	10	12	36	39	-3	43	W D W D L
14	Newcastle		34	12	6	16	46	50	-4	42	W L L L L
15	Leeds		34	9	13	12	44	51	-7	40	D D W W D
16	Nottingham Forest		34	10	9	15	41	45	-4	39	D W D W W
17	West Ham		34	9	9	16	42	58	-16	36	D L W D W
18	Tottenham		34	8	10	16	43	53	-10	34	D L L D W
19	Burnley		34	4	8	22	34	68	-34	20	D L L L L
20	Wolves		34	3	8	23	24	62	-38	17	W D L L L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Brighton and Manchester City

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Arsenal	34	80	1
2	Manchester City	33	79	2
3	Manchester United	34	67	3
4	Liverpool	34	65	4
5	Aston Villa	34	63	5
6	Brighton	34	55	8
7	Bournemouth	34	54	9
8	Chelsea	34	55	8
9	Brentford	34	53	9
10	Fulham	34	53	10
11	Everton	34	52	11
12	Sunderland	34	50	12
13	Crystal Palace	33	48	13
14	Newcastle	34	49	13
15	Leeds	34	46	15
16	Nottingham Forest	34	44	15
17	West Ham	34	40	17
18	Tottenham	34	39	17
19	Burnley	34	24	19
20	Wolves	34	22	20

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

36.5%

Home Win

27.8%

Draw

35.7%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Brighton 1.40

Manchester City 1.38

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Brighton

Manchester City

American Express Stadium

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)