Brentford vs Manchester United

Premier League

Brentford

HT: 2–1

Manchester United

27 Sep 2025

13:30

Brentford Community Stadium

Stadium

Gtech Community Stadium

Brentford, Middlesex, England

Capacity: 17250 Surface: grass Address: 166 Lionel Rd N, Brentford

Score Summary

Brentford

3 1

FT HT 2–1

Manchester United

26' B. Sesko

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

49% Win

Brentford 1490 1498 ▲ 8

51% Win

Manchester United 1500 1492 ▼ -8

xPi Expected win probability

46% Win

Brentford -0.02 0.51 ▲ 0.53

35% Win

Manchester United 0.12 0.31 ▲ 0.19

Top Performers

Top Rated

Igor Thiago

Brentford

8.9

8.9 rating · 89 min

Most Clinical

Igor Thiago

Brentford

8.9

2 goals

Best Creator

Jordan Henderson

Brentford

7.0

2 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Patrick Dorgu

Manchester United

6.6

2 tackles · 2 interceptions

Match Momentum

Brentford 57% Manchester United 43%

Key Stats Snapshot

44 Possession 56

10 Shots 14

8 On Target 6

Form Context

Brentford

D D D D L

Manchester United

W D L W W

Smart Insight

Brentford controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Manchester United produced more shot pressure than expected.
Elo movement favors Brentford after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 42.6%

Draw 27.5%

Away Win 29.9%

Expected Goals 1.53 - 1.25

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City		70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United	3-1	61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool		58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa		58	L W D W L
6	Brighton		50	W W W D W

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

44 Possession 56

8 Shots 6

10 Shots 14

2 Offsides 1

1 Shots Off Goal 4

8 Shots On Goal 6

10 Total Shots 14

44 Ball Possession 56

274 Passes Accurate 370

359 Total Passes 458

76% Passes % 81%

1 Blocked Shots 4

5 Goalkeeper Saves 5

14 Fouls 10

0 Red Cards 0

2 Yellow Cards 2

4 Corner Kicks 2

7 Shots Insidebox 9

3 Shots Outsidebox 5

2.02 expected_goals 2.08

0 goals_prevented 0

Brentford — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Aaron Hickey	0	-	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	75	2	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	28	-	30	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Antoni Milambo	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	17	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Caoimhin Kelleher	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	90	1	G	8.2	False	0	1	5	-	-	16	1	28	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dango Ouattara	0	3	-	-	16	5	3	3	False	75	19	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	8	1	15	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	-
👤 Ethan Pinnock	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	5	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Frank Onyeka	0	2	-	2	4	2	1	-	False	9	15	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Hákon Rafn Valdimarsson	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	12	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Igor Thiago	0	1	-	-	14	6	1	-	False	89	9	F	8.9	False	0	0	-	2	-	9	-	13	-	-	-	2	3	-	-	3
👤 Jordan Henderson	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	81	6	M	7	False	1	0	-	-	1	39	2	44	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Keane Lewis-Potter	0	1	-	1	6	4	1	2	False	15	23	F	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Kevin Schade	1	2	-	-	12	7	1	2	False	90	7	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	12	1	20	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Kristoffer Ajer	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	20	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mathias Jensen	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	9	8	M	7.9	True	0	0	-	1	1	3	-	3	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Michael Kayode	0	1	1	1	12	7	2	1	False	90	33	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	24	-	30	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	3
👤 Mikkel Damsgaard	0	2	-	-	11	3	2	-	False	81	24	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	21	-	31	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Nathan Collins	1	-	-	-	7	2	2	-	True	90	22	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	28	1	43	1	-	-	1	1	2	1	-
👤 Rico Henry	0	1	-	1	2	2	-	-	False	15	3	D	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Sepp van den Berg	0	-	-	-	8	6	-	-	False	90	4	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	33	-	35	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	-
👤 Vitaly Janelt	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	9	27	M	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	7	1	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Yehor Yarmoliuk	0	1	1	1	6	4	1	2	False	90	18	M	7.3	False	1	0	-	-	-	36	1	48	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	1

Manchester United — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.missed	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Altay Bayındır	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	6.3	False	0	3	5	-	-	15	-	22	-	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ayden Heaven	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	26	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Benjamin Šeško	0	1	-	-	7	3	-	-	False	90	30	F	7.3	False	0	0	-	1	-	8	1	15	-	0	-	-	4	4	-	-	-
👤 Bruno Fernandes	1	1	1	-	6	3	1	2	True	90	8	M	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	54	1	70	-	1	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Bryan Mbeumo	0	1	2	-	10	3	-	1	False	90	19	F	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	18	3	27	-	0	-	1	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Diego León	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	35	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Diogo Dalot	0	-	-	-	2	1	1	-	False	90	2	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	38	3	44	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Harry Maguire	0	-	-	-	6	4	-	-	False	66	5	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	25	-	31	-	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Joshua Zirkzee	0	-	1	-	3	-	-	-	False	14	11	F	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	2	-	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Kobbie Mainoo	0	-	-	-	3	1	1	-	False	24	37	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	20	-	24	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Leny Yoro	0	-	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	24	15	D	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	19	-	21	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Luke Shaw	0	1	-	-	5	2	-	-	False	81	23	D	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	47	-	58	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Manuel Ugarte	0	1	-	-	11	6	1	1	False	66	25	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	28	-	33	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Mason Mount	0	-	1	-	5	3	-	1	False	9	7	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	7	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Matheus Cunha	0	2	1	1	12	6	2	3	False	90	10	F	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	20	1	22	-	0	-	-	1	2	-	-	2
👤 Matthijs de Ligt	0	-	-	-	10	6	1	1	False	90	4	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	52	-	55	-	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	3
👤 Patrick Dorgu	1	3	-	1	21	12	3	5	False	85	13	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	1	20	-	27	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	2	2
👤 Senne Lammens	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	31	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tom Heaton	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	22	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tyler Fredricson	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	33	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Brentford and Manchester United

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		34	22	7	5	64	26	38	73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City		33	21	7	5	66	29	37	70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United	3-1	34	17	10	7	60	46	14	61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool		34	17	7	10	57	44	13	58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa		34	17	7	10	47	42	5	58	L W D W L
6	Brighton		34	13	11	10	48	39	9	50	W W W D W
7	Bournemouth		34	11	16	7	52	52	0	49	D D W W D
8	Chelsea		34	13	9	12	53	45	8	48	L L L L L
9	Brentford	3-1	34	13	9	12	49	46	3	48	D D D D L
10	Fulham		34	14	6	14	44	46	-2	48	D W L D W
11	Everton		34	13	8	13	41	41	0	47	L W D L L
12	Sunderland		34	12	10	12	36	45	-9	46	L W W L L
13	Crystal Palace		33	11	10	12	36	39	-3	43	W D W D L
14	Newcastle		34	12	6	16	46	50	-4	42	W L L L L
15	Leeds		34	9	13	12	44	51	-7	40	D D W W D
16	Nottingham Forest		34	10	9	15	41	45	-4	39	D W D W W
17	West Ham		34	9	9	16	42	58	-16	36	D L W D W
18	Tottenham		34	8	10	16	43	53	-10	34	D L L D W
19	Burnley		34	4	8	22	34	68	-34	20	D L L L L
20	Wolves		34	3	8	23	24	62	-38	17	W D L L L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Brentford and Manchester United

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Arsenal	34	80	1
2	Manchester City	33	79	2
3	Manchester United	34	67	3
4	Liverpool	34	65	4
5	Aston Villa	34	63	5
6	Brighton	34	55	8
7	Bournemouth	34	54	9
8	Chelsea	34	55	8
9	Brentford	34	53	9
10	Fulham	34	53	10
11	Everton	34	52	11
12	Sunderland	34	50	12
13	Crystal Palace	33	48	13
14	Newcastle	34	49	13
15	Leeds	34	46	15
16	Nottingham Forest	34	44	15
17	West Ham	34	40	17
18	Tottenham	34	39	17
19	Burnley	34	24	19
20	Wolves	34	22	20

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Predict the score

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

42.6%

Home Win

27.5%

Draw

29.9%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Brentford 1.53

Manchester United 1.25

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Brentford

Manchester United

Gtech Community Stadium

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)