Chelsea vs Brighton - Football Platform

Premier League

Chelsea

HT: 1–0

Brighton

27 Sep 2025

16:00

Stamford Bridge

Stadium

Stamford Bridge

London, England

Capacity: 41841 Surface: grass Address: Fulham Road

Score Summary

Chelsea

1 3

FT HT 1–0

Brighton

E. Fernandez 24'

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

50% Win

Chelsea 1497 1490 ▼ -8

50% Win

Brighton 1495 1503 ▲ 8

xPi Expected win probability

48% Win

Chelsea 0.08 0.81 ▲ 0.73

34% Win

Brighton 0.06 0.33 ▲ 0.28

Top Performers

Top Rated

Danny Welbeck

Brighton

8.6

8.6 rating · 23 min

Most Clinical

Danny Welbeck

Brighton

8.6

2 goals

Best Creator

Robert Sánchez

Chelsea

5.7

2 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Jan Paul van Hecke

Brighton

8.3

4 tackles · 2 interceptions

Match Momentum

Chelsea 50% Brighton 50%

Key Stats Snapshot

60 Possession 40

13 Shots 12

3 On Target 3

Form Context

Chelsea

L L L L L

Brighton

W W W D W

Smart Insight

Momentum stayed balanced with no clear sustained dominance.
Elo movement favors Brighton after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 43.7%

Draw 27.4%

Away Win 28.9%

Expected Goals 1.55 - 1.23

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City		70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United		61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool		58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa		58	L W D W L
6	Brighton	1-3	50	W W W D W

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

60 Possession 40

3 Shots 3

13 Shots 12

2 Offsides 2

4 Shots Off Goal 7

3 Shots On Goal 3

13 Total Shots 12

60 Ball Possession 40

396 Passes Accurate 266

470 Total Passes 316

84% Passes % 84%

6 Blocked Shots 2

0 Goalkeeper Saves 2

9 Fouls 16

1 Red Cards 0

3 Yellow Cards 5

5 Corner Kicks 7

7 Shots Insidebox 8

6 Shots Outsidebox 4

1.81 expected_goals 2.28

1 goals_prevented 1

Chelsea — Player Statistics

Player	cards.red	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Alejandro Garnacho	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	49	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Andrey Santos	0	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	False	54	17	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	16	1	19	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Benoît Badiashile	0	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	11	5	D	6	True	0	0	-	-	-	8	-	9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Enzo Fernández	0	0	1	2	-	13	8	-	4	False	90	8	M	7.5	False	0	0	-	1	-	44	1	51	-	-	-	2	4	-	-	3
👤 Estêvão	0	0	5	1	3	11	6	-	-	False	63	41	F	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	16	-	18	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	3
👤 Filip Jørgensen	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	12	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jamie Gittens	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	11	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jorrel Hato	0	0	1	1	1	4	3	-	-	False	79	21	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	46	-	55	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	1
👤 Josh Acheampong	0	0	2	-	2	4	2	-	-	False	36	34	D	5.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	13	-	14	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 João Pedro	0	0	3	-	-	18	7	2	3	False	90	20	F	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	24	2	28	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Malo Gusto	0	0	-	-	-	5	4	-	1	False	27	27	D	6	True	0	0	-	-	-	9	-	11	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Marc Cucurella	0	1	1	1	1	9	4	2	-	False	90	3	D	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	31	1	38	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	3
👤 Marc Guiu	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	38	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Moisés Caicedo	0	0	2	-	1	12	8	2	4	False	90	25	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	53	-	57	-	-	-	-	-	1	2	3
👤 Pedro Neto	0	0	5	1	1	10	4	-	2	False	79	7	F	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	2	16	1	17	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Reece James	0	1	2	1	1	11	4	2	-	True	90	24	D	7.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	41	1	46	-	-	-	1	1	-	3	1
👤 Robert Sánchez	0	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	2	False	90	1	G	5.7	False	0	3	-	-	-	31	2	55	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Roméo Lavia	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	11	45	M	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	12	-	13	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	-
👤 Trevoh Chalobah	1	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	False	53	23	D	5.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	36	-	39	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tyrique George	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	32	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Brighton — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Bart Verbruggen	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	7.9	False	0	1	2	-	-	16	-	20	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Brajan Gruda	0	1	1	-	4	2	-	1	False	23	8	M	6.9	True	1	0	-	-	-	8	1	9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Carlos Baleba	0	2	1	1	10	3	4	1	False	67	17	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	14	-	17	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	-
👤 Danny Welbeck	1	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	False	23	18	F	8.6	True	0	0	-	2	-	1	-	2	-	-	-	2	3	-	1	-
👤 Diego Coppola	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	42	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Diego Gómez	0	1	1	1	12	6	2	2	False	85	25	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	15	-	17	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	3
👤 Ferdi Kadıoğlu	0	1	1	1	7	4	1	-	False	90	24	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	22	1	27	-	-	-	-	-	2	-	2
👤 Georginio Rutter	0	1	-	-	6	2	1	1	False	85	10	F	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	1	9	1	14	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	1
👤 James Milner	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	20	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jan Paul van Hecke	1	-	-	-	10	8	2	1	False	90	6	D	8.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	52	-	58	-	-	-	-	-	2	2	4
👤 Jason Steele	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	23	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Joel Veltman	1	-	-	-	6	4	1	1	False	55	34	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	1	6	-	9	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	1
👤 Kaoru Mitoma	0	4	2	1	12	5	-	2	False	67	22	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	7	-	9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lewis Dunk	1	-	-	-	4	2	1	-	True	90	5	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	53	-	57	-	-	-	-	1	-	3	1
👤 Mats Wieffer	1	1	1	1	7	3	2	-	False	35	27	M	6.9	True	1	0	-	-	-	16	1	19	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Maxim De Cuyper	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	19	29	D	7.3	True	0	0	-	1	-	5	-	6	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Olivier Boscagli	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	21	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Stefanos Tzimas	0	-	-	-	3	2	-	-	False	19	9	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	2
👤 Yankuba Minteh	0	6	2	2	15	5	2	-	False	90	11	M	6.3	False	1	0	-	-	-	16	1	21	-	-	-	-	2	-	1	2
👤 Yasin Ayari	0	1	-	-	4	2	-	-	False	90	26	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	26	2	30	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	2

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Chelsea and Brighton

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		34	22	7	5	64	26	38	73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City		33	21	7	5	66	29	37	70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United		34	17	10	7	60	46	14	61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool		34	17	7	10	57	44	13	58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa		34	17	7	10	47	42	5	58	L W D W L
6	Brighton	1-3	34	13	11	10	48	39	9	50	W W W D W
7	Bournemouth		34	11	16	7	52	52	0	49	D D W W D
8	Chelsea	1-3	34	13	9	12	53	45	8	48	L L L L L
9	Brentford		34	13	9	12	49	46	3	48	D D D D L
10	Fulham		34	14	6	14	44	46	-2	48	D W L D W
11	Everton		34	13	8	13	41	41	0	47	L W D L L
12	Sunderland		34	12	10	12	36	45	-9	46	L W W L L
13	Crystal Palace		33	11	10	12	36	39	-3	43	W D W D L
14	Newcastle		34	12	6	16	46	50	-4	42	W L L L L
15	Leeds		34	9	13	12	44	51	-7	40	D D W W D
16	Nottingham Forest		34	10	9	15	41	45	-4	39	D W D W W
17	West Ham		34	9	9	16	42	58	-16	36	D L W D W
18	Tottenham		34	8	10	16	43	53	-10	34	D L L D W
19	Burnley		34	4	8	22	34	68	-34	20	D L L L L
20	Wolves		34	3	8	23	24	62	-38	17	W D L L L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Chelsea and Brighton

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Arsenal	34	80	1
2	Manchester City	33	79	2
3	Manchester United	34	67	3
4	Liverpool	34	65	4
5	Aston Villa	34	63	5
6	Brighton	34	55	8
7	Bournemouth	34	54	9
8	Chelsea	34	55	8
9	Brentford	34	53	9
10	Fulham	34	53	10
11	Everton	34	52	11
12	Sunderland	34	50	12
13	Crystal Palace	33	48	13
14	Newcastle	34	49	13
15	Leeds	34	46	15
16	Nottingham Forest	34	44	15
17	West Ham	34	40	17
18	Tottenham	34	39	17
19	Burnley	34	24	19
20	Wolves	34	22	20

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

43.7%

Home Win

27.4%

Draw

28.9%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Chelsea 1.55

Brighton 1.23

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Chelsea

Brighton

Stamford Bridge

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)