Newcastle vs Arsenal - Football Platform

Premier League

Newcastle

HT: 1–0

Arsenal

Coach : F. Ljungberg

28 Sep 2025

17:30

St. James' Park

Stadium

St. James' Park

Newcastle upon Tyne, England

Capacity: 52758 Surface: grass Address: St. James' Street

Score Summary

Newcastle

1 2

FT HT 1–0

Arsenal

N. Woltemade 34'

84' M. Merino
90' Gabriel

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

47% Win

Newcastle 1496 1488 ▼ -7

53% Win

Arsenal 1515 1522 ▲ 7

xPi Expected win probability

42% Win

Newcastle 0.11 0.22 ▲ 0.12

37% Win

Arsenal 0.25 0.94 ▲ 0.69

Top Performers

Top Rated

Gabriel Magalhães

Arsenal

8.7

8.7 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Nick Woltemade

Newcastle

7.0

1 goals

Best Creator

Sandro Tonali

Newcastle

7.7

3 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Gabriel Magalhães

Arsenal

8.7

3 tackles · 3 interceptions

Match Momentum

Newcastle 30% Arsenal 70%

Key Stats Snapshot

37 Possession 63

8 Shots 20

3 On Target 7

Form Context

Newcastle

W L L L L

Arsenal

W W L L W

Smart Insight

Arsenal carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
Arsenal produced more shot pressure than expected.
Elo movement favors Arsenal after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 39.0%

Draw 27.7%

Away Win 33.2%

Expected Goals 1.45 - 1.32

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal	1-2	73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City		70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United		61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool		58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa		58	L W D W L
6	Brighton		50	W W W D W

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

37 Possession 63

3 Shots 7

8 Shots 20

1 Offsides 0

1 Shots Off Goal 7

3 Shots On Goal 7

8 Total Shots 20

37 Ball Possession 63

194 Passes Accurate 405

279 Total Passes 495

70% Passes % 82%

4 Blocked Shots 6

5 Goalkeeper Saves 2

8 Fouls 9

0 Red Cards 0

2 Yellow Cards 1

7 Corner Kicks 12

7 Shots Insidebox 18

1 Shots Outsidebox 2

0.61 expected_goals 2.04

0 goals_prevented 0

Newcastle — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Aaron Ramsdale	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	32	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Anthony Elanga	0	1	-	-	2	1	-	1	False	24	20	F	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Anthony Gordon	0	2	2	1	10	6	-	2	False	67	10	F	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	10	1	15	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	3
👤 Bruno Guimarães	0	-	3	-	15	8	1	3	True	90	39	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	21	2	26	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Dan Burn	1	-	3	-	21	9	3	-	False	90	33	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	14	-	31	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Emil Krafth	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	17	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Harvey Barnes	0	1	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	1	11	M	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jacob Murphy	0	1	-	1	1	1	-	-	False	66	23	F	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	1	4	-	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jamaal Lascelles	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	13	6	D	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	6	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Joe Willock	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	28	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Joelinton	1	-	2	-	13	3	2	-	False	89	7	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	21	1	32	-	-	-	-	1	1	2	1
👤 Kieran Trippier	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	23	2	D	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	-	8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lewis Miley	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	67	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Malick Thiaw	0	-	-	-	7	5	-	-	False	90	12	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	20	-	23	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	1
👤 Nick Pope	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	False	90	1	G	7.9	False	0	2	5	-	-	14	-	29	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Nick Woltemade	0	-	1	-	10	-	-	-	False	67	27	F	7	False	0	0	-	1	-	9	-	10	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	-
👤 Sandro Tonali	0	1	-	1	5	4	-	-	False	90	8	M	7.7	False	1	0	-	-	-	19	3	27	-	-	-	-	-	1	2	2
👤 Sven Botman	0	-	-	-	9	6	-	-	False	90	4	D	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	35	1	43	-	-	-	-	-	3	1	-
👤 Valentino Livramento	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	2	False	77	21	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	12	-	17	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 William Osula	0	-	-	-	3	-	2	-	False	23	18	F	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Arsenal — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Ben White	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	4	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Bukayo Saka	0	4	-	3	9	5	2	2	True	70	7	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	18	-	28	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Christian Nørgaard	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	16	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Cristhian Mosquera	0	-	-	-	2	-	-	-	False	45	3	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	21	-	24	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	-
👤 David Raya	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	6.7	False	0	1	2	-	-	15	-	31	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Declan Rice	0	1	-	1	9	7	1	-	False	90	41	M	8	False	1	0	-	-	-	75	3	85	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	3
👤 Eberechi Eze	0	2	-	2	8	3	1	-	False	90	10	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	28	1	35	-	-	-	2	3	-	-	-
👤 Gabriel Magalhães	0	-	-	-	15	12	-	1	False	90	6	D	8.7	False	0	0	-	1	-	53	-	60	-	-	-	1	1	2	3	3
👤 Gabriel Martinelli	0	1	-	1	2	2	-	1	False	20	11	F	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jurriën Timber	0	6	1	3	17	8	1	1	False	90	12	D	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	32	3	36	-	-	-	1	2	-	1	2
👤 Kepa Arrizabalaga	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	13	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Leandro Trossard	0	-	1	-	3	1	-	1	False	88	19	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	20	1	27	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Martin Ødegaard	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	8	8	M	7.3	True	1	0	-	-	-	17	1	19	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Martín Zubimendi	0	-	1	-	10	6	-	-	False	82	36	M	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	54	2	60	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	3
👤 Max Dowman	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	56	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mikel Merino	0	-	-	-	5	4	1	1	False	20	23	M	7.9	True	0	0	-	1	-	2	-	4	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	1
👤 Myles Lewis-Skelly	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	False	12	49	D	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	-	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Riccardo Calafiori	1	-	-	-	2	-	1	-	False	70	33	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	22	1	27	-	-	-	-	2	-	-	-
👤 Viktor Gyökeres	0	3	-	1	14	3	-	-	False	90	14	F	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	8	2	13	-	-	-	1	3	-	-	1
👤 William Saliba	0	-	-	-	5	3	1	1	False	45	2	D	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	31	1	36	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Newcastle and Arsenal

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal	1-2	34	22	7	5	64	26	38	73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City		33	21	7	5	66	29	37	70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United		34	17	10	7	60	46	14	61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool		34	17	7	10	57	44	13	58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa		34	17	7	10	47	42	5	58	L W D W L
6	Brighton		34	13	11	10	48	39	9	50	W W W D W
7	Bournemouth		34	11	16	7	52	52	0	49	D D W W D
8	Chelsea		34	13	9	12	53	45	8	48	L L L L L
9	Brentford		34	13	9	12	49	46	3	48	D D D D L
10	Fulham		34	14	6	14	44	46	-2	48	D W L D W
11	Everton		34	13	8	13	41	41	0	47	L W D L L
12	Sunderland		34	12	10	12	36	45	-9	46	L W W L L
13	Crystal Palace		33	11	10	12	36	39	-3	43	W D W D L
14	Newcastle	1-2	34	12	6	16	46	50	-4	42	W L L L L
15	Leeds		34	9	13	12	44	51	-7	40	D D W W D
16	Nottingham Forest		34	10	9	15	41	45	-4	39	D W D W W
17	West Ham		34	9	9	16	42	58	-16	36	D L W D W
18	Tottenham		34	8	10	16	43	53	-10	34	D L L D W
19	Burnley		34	4	8	22	34	68	-34	20	D L L L L
20	Wolves		34	3	8	23	24	62	-38	17	W D L L L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Newcastle and Arsenal

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Arsenal	34	80	1
2	Manchester City	33	79	2
3	Manchester United	34	67	3
4	Liverpool	34	65	4
5	Aston Villa	34	63	5
6	Brighton	34	55	8
7	Bournemouth	34	54	9
8	Chelsea	34	55	8
9	Brentford	34	53	9
10	Fulham	34	53	10
11	Everton	34	52	11
12	Sunderland	34	50	12
13	Crystal Palace	33	48	13
14	Newcastle	34	49	13
15	Leeds	34	46	15
16	Nottingham Forest	34	44	15
17	West Ham	34	40	17
18	Tottenham	34	39	17
19	Burnley	34	24	19
20	Wolves	34	22	20

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

39.0%

Home Win

27.7%

Draw

33.2%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Newcastle 1.45

Arsenal 1.32

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Newcastle

Arsenal

St. James' Park

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)