Manchester United vs Sunderland

Premier League

Manchester United

HT: 2–0

Sunderland

8' M. Mount
31' B. Sesko

04 Oct 2025

16:00

Old Trafford

Stadium

Old Trafford

Manchester, England

Capacity: 76212 Surface: grass Address: Sir Matt Busby Way

Score Summary

Manchester United

2 0

FT HT 2–0

Sunderland

M. Mount 8'
B. Sesko 31'

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

47% Win

Manchester United 1492 1500 ▲ 8

53% Win

Sunderland 1512 1504 ▼ -8

xPi Expected win probability

55% Win

Manchester United 0.14 0.31 ▲ 0.17

31% Win

Sunderland -0.05 -0.08 ▼ -0.03

Top Performers

Top Rated

Senne Lammens

Manchester United

7.9

7.9 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Mason Mount

Manchester United

7.3

1 goals

Best Creator

Amad Diallo

Manchester United

7.7

3 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Nordi Mukiele

Sunderland

6.5

6 tackles · 1 interceptions

Match Momentum

Manchester United 67% Sunderland 33%

Key Stats Snapshot

50 Possession 50

15 Shots 8

6 On Target 3

Form Context

Manchester United

W D L W W

Sunderland

L W W L L

Smart Insight

Manchester United controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Manchester United generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors Manchester United after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 49.3%

Draw 26.6%

Away Win 24.1%

Expected Goals 1.67 - 1.11

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City		70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United	2-0	61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool		58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa		58	L W D W L
6	Brighton		50	W W W D W

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

50 Possession 50

6 Shots 3

15 Shots 8

1 Offsides 2

7 Shots Off Goal 4

6 Shots On Goal 3

15 Total Shots 8

50 Ball Possession 50

351 Passes Accurate 341

448 Total Passes 428

78% Passes % 80%

2 Blocked Shots 1

3 Goalkeeper Saves 4

10 Fouls 12

0 Red Cards 0

1 Yellow Cards 4

2 Corner Kicks 3

11 Shots Insidebox 5

4 Shots Outsidebox 3

1.84 expected_goals 0.71

0 goals_prevented 0

Manchester United — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Altay Bayındır	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Amad Diallo	0	6	2	3	14	8	-	3	False	90	16	M	7.7	False	0	-	-	1	39	3	39	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	2
👤 Ayden Heaven	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	26	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Benjamin Šeško	0	4	-	1	26	9	3	1	False	90	30	F	7.2	False	0	-	1	-	14	2	22	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	3
👤 Bruno Fernandes	0	-	4	-	6	2	-	2	True	90	8	M	7.6	False	0	-	-	-	39	3	50	-	-	-	1	2	-	2	-
👤 Bryan Mbeumo	0	2	-	-	7	2	1	2	False	77	19	F	6.7	False	1	-	-	-	23	1	28	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	-
👤 Casemiro	1	1	1	1	8	6	1	-	False	85	18	M	7.3	False	0	-	-	-	49	-	60	-	-	-	-	1	1	-	3
👤 Diego León	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	35	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Diogo Dalot	0	-	-	-	3	1	1	-	False	64	2	M	6.6	False	0	-	-	-	18	-	22	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Harry Maguire	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	11	5	D	6.6	True	0	-	-	-	2	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Joshua Zirkzee	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	11	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kobbie Mainoo	0	1	-	-	3	1	-	-	False	13	37	M	6.7	True	0	-	-	-	4	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Leny Yoro	0	-	-	-	4	3	-	-	False	85	15	D	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	41	-	51	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	2
👤 Luke Shaw	0	1	1	-	8	2	2	-	False	90	23	D	6.6	False	0	-	-	-	35	-	41	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Manuel Ugarte	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	11	25	M	6.7	True	0	-	-	-	2	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mason Mount	0	3	2	1	6	1	1	-	False	65	7	F	7.3	False	0	-	1	-	21	1	25	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	-
👤 Matheus Cunha	0	5	1	1	9	2	-	1	False	25	10	F	6.3	True	0	-	-	-	5	-	6	-	-	-	1	3	-	1	-
👤 Matthijs de Ligt	0	-	-	-	8	6	-	-	False	90	4	D	7.2	False	0	-	-	-	38	-	45	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Patrick Dorgu	0	-	-	-	5	3	1	1	False	26	13	D	6.9	True	0	-	-	-	4	1	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Senne Lammens	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	90	31	G	7.9	False	0	3	-	-	17	-	44	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-

Sunderland — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Anthony Patterson	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Arthur Masuaku	0	1	2	1	6	3	1	-	False	58	26	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	17	1	21	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Bertrand Traoré	1	2	-	2	6	6	1	2	False	58	25	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	18	1	23	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	1
👤 Brian Brobbey	0	-	-	-	5	2	-	1	False	31	9	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Chemsdine Talbi	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	32	7	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	8	1	9	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Chris Rigg	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	11	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dan Neil	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	4	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Daniel Ballard	0	-	-	-	14	11	1	-	False	53	5	D	7.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	33	-	36	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	3
👤 Eliezer Mayenda	0	2	-	1	5	2	-	1	False	32	12	F	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	1	5	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Enzo Le Fée	0	3	-	-	7	2	1	1	False	90	28	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	27	-	38	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Granit Xhaka	1	2	1	2	9	4	1	1	True	90	34	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	55	1	64	-	-	-	1	1	1	2	-
👤 Luke O'Nien	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	13	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lutsharel Geertruida	0	1	1	1	6	4	1	-	False	11	6	D	7.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Noah Sadiki	1	3	1	1	12	5	3	1	False	90	27	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	42	-	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	4	3
👤 Nordi Mukiele	0	1	1	-	10	7	-	-	False	90	20	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	37	-	46	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	6
👤 Omar Alderete	1	1	-	1	9	7	2	-	False	90	15	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	43	-	48	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	1
👤 Robin Roefs	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	22	G	6.7	False	0	2	4	-	-	24	-	42	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Simon Adingra	0	2	-	1	7	3	1	1	False	37	24	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	1	1	1	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Trai Hume	0	1	1	-	8	4	-	1	False	79	32	D	6	False	0	0	-	-	-	24	-	31	-	-	-	-	1	-	2	1
👤 Wilson Isidor	0	1	-	1	5	1	-	-	False	59	18	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	1	3	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Manchester United and Sunderland

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		34	22	7	5	64	26	38	73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City		33	21	7	5	66	29	37	70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United	2-0	34	17	10	7	60	46	14	61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool		34	17	7	10	57	44	13	58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa		34	17	7	10	47	42	5	58	L W D W L
6	Brighton		34	13	11	10	48	39	9	50	W W W D W
7	Bournemouth		34	11	16	7	52	52	0	49	D D W W D
8	Chelsea		34	13	9	12	53	45	8	48	L L L L L
9	Brentford		34	13	9	12	49	46	3	48	D D D D L
10	Fulham		34	14	6	14	44	46	-2	48	D W L D W
11	Everton		34	13	8	13	41	41	0	47	L W D L L
12	Sunderland	2-0	34	12	10	12	36	45	-9	46	L W W L L
13	Crystal Palace		33	11	10	12	36	39	-3	43	W D W D L
14	Newcastle		34	12	6	16	46	50	-4	42	W L L L L
15	Leeds		34	9	13	12	44	51	-7	40	D D W W D
16	Nottingham Forest		34	10	9	15	41	45	-4	39	D W D W W
17	West Ham		34	9	9	16	42	58	-16	36	D L W D W
18	Tottenham		34	8	10	16	43	53	-10	34	D L L D W
19	Burnley		34	4	8	22	34	68	-34	20	D L L L L
20	Wolves		34	3	8	23	24	62	-38	17	W D L L L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Manchester United and Sunderland

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Arsenal	34	80	1
2	Manchester City	33	79	2
3	Manchester United	34	67	3
4	Liverpool	34	65	4
5	Aston Villa	34	63	5
6	Brighton	34	55	8
7	Bournemouth	34	54	9
8	Chelsea	34	55	8
9	Brentford	34	53	9
10	Fulham	34	53	10
11	Everton	34	52	11
12	Sunderland	34	50	12
13	Crystal Palace	33	48	13
14	Newcastle	34	49	13
15	Leeds	34	46	15
16	Nottingham Forest	34	44	15
17	West Ham	34	40	17
18	Tottenham	34	39	17
19	Burnley	34	24	19
20	Wolves	34	22	20

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

49.3%

Home Win

26.6%

Draw

24.1%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Manchester United 1.67

Sunderland 1.11

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Manchester United

Sunderland

Old Trafford

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)