Newcastle vs Nottingham Forest

Premier League

Newcastle

HT: 0–0

Nottingham Forest

58' Bruno Guimaraes
84' N. Woltemade

05 Oct 2025

15:00

St. James' Park

Stadium

St. James' Park

Newcastle upon Tyne, England

Capacity: 52758 Surface: grass Address: St. James' Street

Score Summary

Newcastle

2 0

FT HT 0–0

Nottingham Forest

Bruno Guimaraes 58'
N. Woltemade 84'

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

52% Win

Newcastle 1496 1503 ▲ 7

48% Win

Nottingham Forest 1481 1474 ▼ -7

xPi Expected win probability

37% Win

Newcastle 0.13 0.22 ▲ 0.10

40% Win

Nottingham Forest 0.02 0.22 ▲ 0.21

Top Performers

Top Rated

Bruno Guimarães

Newcastle

9.5

9.5 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Bruno Guimarães

Newcastle

9.5

1 goals

Best Creator

Kieran Trippier

Newcastle

7.3

3 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Neco Williams

Nottingham Forest

7.2

4 tackles · 0 interceptions

Match Momentum

Newcastle 69% Nottingham Forest 31%

Key Stats Snapshot

51 Possession 49

18 Shots 5

9 On Target 4

Form Context

Newcastle

W L L L L

Nottingham Forest

D W D W W

Smart Insight

Newcastle controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Newcastle generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors Newcastle after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 33.9%

Draw 27.8%

Away Win 38.3%

Expected Goals 1.34 - 1.44

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal	73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City	70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United	61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool	58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa	58	L W D W L
6	Brighton	50	W W W D W

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

51 Possession 49

9 Shots 4

18 Shots 5

0 Offsides 2

4 Shots Off Goal 1

9 Shots On Goal 4

18 Total Shots 5

51 Ball Possession 49

387 Passes Accurate 372

464 Total Passes 452

83% Passes % 82%

5 Blocked Shots 0

4 Goalkeeper Saves 7

16 Fouls 15

0 Red Cards 0

0 Yellow Cards 4

8 Corner Kicks 1

13 Shots Insidebox 4

5 Shots Outsidebox 1

3.45 expected_goals 0.30

1 goals_prevented 1

Newcastle — Player Statistics

Player	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.scored	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Aaron Ramsdale	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	32	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Anthony Elanga	5	2	1	12	3	-	1	False	70	20	F	6.2	False	0	-	-	-	22	2	27	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Anthony Gordon	2	1	1	5	3	-	1	False	70	10	F	6.3	False	0	-	-	-	17	-	22	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Bruno Guimarães	1	1	1	16	10	3	5	True	90	39	M	9.5	False	0	-	1	-	44	1	54	-	-	0	1	1	1	-	-	3
👤 Dan Burn	-	2	-	9	3	2	2	False	90	33	D	6.9	False	1	-	-	-	22	1	28	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Emil Krafth	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	17	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Fabian Schär	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	5	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Harvey Barnes	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	20	11	M	6.5	True	0	-	-	-	3	-	3	-	-	0	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Jacob Murphy	1	-	1	1	1	-	-	False	20	23	M	7	True	0	-	-	-	5	2	10	-	-	0	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Jamaal Lascelles	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	6	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Joe Willock	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	28	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Joelinton	1	1	-	10	4	3	1	False	89	7	M	6.6	False	0	-	-	-	33	1	36	-	-	0	-	2	3	-	3	1
👤 Kieran Trippier	1	3	-	15	5	3	-	False	90	2	D	7.3	False	0	-	-	-	69	3	83	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Lewis Miley	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	1	67	M	-	True	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Malick Thiaw	-	-	-	10	7	1	1	False	90	12	D	7.2	False	0	-	-	-	42	1	46	-	-	0	-	1	2	-	3	1
👤 Nick Pope	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	6.6	False	0	4	-	-	4	-	14	-	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nick Woltemade	-	1	-	9	4	1	2	False	89	27	F	7.2	False	0	-	1	-	17	1	17	-	-	1	-	1	2	-	-	2
👤 Sandro Tonali	1	2	1	9	5	1	1	False	90	8	M	7.2	False	0	-	-	-	61	2	69	-	-	0	-	1	2	-	1	3
👤 Sven Botman	-	-	-	5	2	2	-	False	90	4	D	7.5	False	0	-	-	-	46	1	53	-	-	0	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 William Osula	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	1	18	F	-	True	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-

Nottingham Forest — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Callum Hudson-Odoi	0	5	-	3	7	3	-	-	False	26	7	F	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	9	-	9	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	-
👤 Chris Wood	0	-	1	-	10	3	2	1	False	64	11	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	1	6	-	11	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dan Ndoye	0	3	-	2	12	6	2	2	False	65	14	F	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	12	2	13	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Dilane Bakwa	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	13	29	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	11	1	13	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Elliot Anderson	1	4	1	3	15	10	2	5	False	90	8	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	59	-	69	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Ibrahim Sangaré	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	6	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Igor Jesus	0	-	-	-	5	4	1	1	False	26	19	F	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Jair	0	1	-	1	4	4	-	-	False	90	23	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	37	-	47	-	-	-	-	-	1	2	2
👤 James McAtee	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	24	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 John Victor	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	13	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Matz Sels	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	26	G	8.6	False	0	2	7	-	-	14	-	29	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Morato	1	-	-	-	4	3	1	1	False	77	4	D	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	39	-	45	-	-	-	-	-	1	2	1
👤 Morgan Gibbs-White	0	2	2	1	13	6	-	4	False	90	10	F	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	42	-	50	-	-	-	1	2	-	1	-
👤 Murillo	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	5	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Neco Williams	1	2	1	2	12	8	2	1	False	90	3	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	36	1	42	-	-	-	1	1	1	-	4
👤 Nicolás Domínguez	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	16	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nicolò Savona	0	1	-	1	5	1	2	-	False	90	37	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	29	-	36	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Nikola Milenković	0	-	-	-	6	4	1	1	False	90	31	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	38	-	41	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Omari Hutchinson	0	-	-	-	2	-	-	-	False	25	21	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	1	9	-	10	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ryan Yates	1	-	-	-	6	2	2	-	True	64	22	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	27	-	29	-	-	-	1	1	1	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Newcastle and Nottingham Forest

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		34	22	7	5	64	26	38	73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City		33	21	7	5	66	29	37	70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United		34	17	10	7	60	46	14	61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool		34	17	7	10	57	44	13	58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa		34	17	7	10	47	42	5	58	L W D W L
6	Brighton		34	13	11	10	48	39	9	50	W W W D W
7	Bournemouth		34	11	16	7	52	52	0	49	D D W W D
8	Chelsea		34	13	9	12	53	45	8	48	L L L L L
9	Brentford		34	13	9	12	49	46	3	48	D D D D L
10	Fulham		34	14	6	14	44	46	-2	48	D W L D W
11	Everton		34	13	8	13	41	41	0	47	L W D L L
12	Sunderland		34	12	10	12	36	45	-9	46	L W W L L
13	Crystal Palace		33	11	10	12	36	39	-3	43	W D W D L
14	Newcastle	2-0	34	12	6	16	46	50	-4	42	W L L L L
15	Leeds		34	9	13	12	44	51	-7	40	D D W W D
16	Nottingham Forest	2-0	34	10	9	15	41	45	-4	39	D W D W W
17	West Ham		34	9	9	16	42	58	-16	36	D L W D W
18	Tottenham		34	8	10	16	43	53	-10	34	D L L D W
19	Burnley		34	4	8	22	34	68	-34	20	D L L L L
20	Wolves		34	3	8	23	24	62	-38	17	W D L L L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Newcastle and Nottingham Forest

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Arsenal	34	80	1
2	Manchester City	33	79	2
3	Manchester United	34	67	3
4	Liverpool	34	65	4
5	Aston Villa	34	63	5
6	Brighton	34	55	8
7	Bournemouth	34	54	9
8	Chelsea	34	55	8
9	Brentford	34	53	9
10	Fulham	34	53	10
11	Everton	34	52	11
12	Sunderland	34	50	12
13	Crystal Palace	33	48	13
14	Newcastle	34	49	13
15	Leeds	34	46	15
16	Nottingham Forest	34	44	15
17	West Ham	34	40	17
18	Tottenham	34	39	17
19	Burnley	34	24	19
20	Wolves	34	22	20

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

33.9%

Home Win

27.8%

Draw

38.3%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Newcastle 1.34

Nottingham Forest 1.44

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Newcastle

Nottingham Forest

St. James' Park

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)