Brentford vs Manchester City - Football Platform

Premier League

Brentford

HT: 0–1

Manchester City

Coach : Guardiola

9' E. Haaland

05 Oct 2025

17:30

Brentford Community Stadium

Stadium

Gtech Community Stadium

Brentford, Middlesex, England

Capacity: 17250 Surface: grass Address: 166 Lionel Rd N, Brentford

Score Summary

Brentford

0 1

FT HT 0–1

Manchester City

9' E. Haaland

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

48% Win

Brentford 1498 1491 ▼ -7

52% Win

Manchester City 1512 1520 ▲ 7

xPi Expected win probability

37% Win

Brentford -0.04 0.51 ▲ 0.55

40% Win

Manchester City 0.31 0.88 ▲ 0.57

Top Performers

Top Rated

Rúben Dias

Manchester City

7.9

7.9 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Erling Haaland

Manchester City

7.3

1 goals

Best Creator

Oscar Bobb

Manchester City

7.0

3 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Mikkel Damsgaard

Brentford

6.6

3 tackles · 2 interceptions

Match Momentum

Brentford 20% Manchester City 80%

Key Stats Snapshot

30 Possession 70

6 Shots 10

1 On Target 4

Form Context

Brentford

D D D D L

Manchester City

D D W W W

Smart Insight

Manchester City carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
Manchester City produced more shot pressure than expected.
Elo movement favors Manchester City after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 34.6%

Draw 27.8%

Away Win 37.6%

Expected Goals 1.36 - 1.42

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City	0-1	70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United		61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool		58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa		58	L W D W L
6	Brighton		50	W W W D W

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

30 Possession 70

1 Shots 4

6 Shots 10

1 Offsides 1

3 Shots Off Goal 2

1 Shots On Goal 4

6 Total Shots 10

30 Ball Possession 70

249 Passes Accurate 698

311 Total Passes 764

80% Passes % 91%

2 Blocked Shots 4

3 Goalkeeper Saves 1

10 Fouls 6

0 Red Cards 0

3 Yellow Cards 2

3 Corner Kicks 2

4 Shots Insidebox 6

2 Shots Outsidebox 4

0.70 expected_goals 0.85

0 goals_prevented 0

Brentford — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Aaron Hickey	0	1	1	-	7	2	1	-	False	90	2	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	29	-	38	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	1
👤 Caoimhin Kelleher	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	False	90	1	G	6.6	False	0	1	3	-	-	22	-	29	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dango Ouattara	1	-	-	-	3	1	1	-	False	22	19	F	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ethan Pinnock	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	5	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Fabio Carvalho	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	1	14	M	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Frank Onyeka	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	17	15	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	-	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Hákon Rafn Valdimarsson	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	12	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Igor Thiago	0	-	-	-	5	3	-	-	False	68	9	F	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	1	6	-	11	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	2
👤 Jordan Henderson	1	-	-	-	4	1	1	1	False	74	6	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	33	1	41	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Keane Lewis-Potter	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	23	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kevin Schade	1	2	1	-	14	5	2	2	False	90	7	F	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	3	2	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	3
👤 Kristoffer Ajer	0	-	-	-	6	3	1	-	False	89	20	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	20	-	25	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	3
👤 Mathias Jensen	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	22	8	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Michael Kayode	0	4	-	1	8	2	1	-	False	90	33	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	17	-	18	-	-	-	-	1	-	2	1
👤 Mikkel Damsgaard	0	1	5	1	12	5	1	1	False	68	24	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	19	-	24	-	-	-	-	-	1	2	3
👤 Nathan Collins	0	-	1	-	5	-	-	-	True	90	22	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	37	-	40	-	-	-	-	-	1	2	-
👤 Rico Henry	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	3	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Sepp van den Berg	0	-	1	-	6	3	1	-	False	90	4	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	35	1	35	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Vitaly Janelt	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	16	27	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	-	10	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Yehor Yarmoliuk	0	1	1	-	8	3	1	-	False	73	18	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	11	-	15	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2

Manchester City — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Bernardo Silva	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	14	20	M	6.6	True	0	-	-	-	15	-	17	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Erling Haaland	0	-	-	-	5	3	1	1	False	90	9	F	7.3	False	0	-	1	-	10	-	16	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Gianluigi Donnarumma	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	False	90	25	G	7.3	False	0	1	-	-	22	-	26	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 James Trafford	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 John Stones	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	5	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Joško Gvardiol	0	3	-	-	9	5	-	1	False	90	24	D	7.7	False	1	-	-	-	96	1	101	-	-	-	1	1	1	2	1
👤 Jérémy Doku	0	-	-	-	2	-	1	-	False	14	11	F	6.2	True	0	-	-	-	2	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mateo Kovačić	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	8	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Matheus Nunes	1	3	-	2	9	6	1	1	False	90	27	D	7.3	False	0	-	-	-	91	-	101	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Nathan Aké	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	6	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nico González	0	-	-	-	10	7	1	1	False	68	14	M	7	True	0	-	-	-	51	-	60	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	4
👤 Nico O'Reilly	1	2	1	-	11	5	-	-	False	90	33	D	6.6	False	0	-	-	-	81	2	87	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	4
👤 Oscar Bobb	0	5	1	4	10	7	-	1	False	76	52	M	7	False	0	-	-	-	40	3	45	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Phil Foden	0	-	-	-	5	3	1	1	False	90	47	M	6.7	False	0	-	-	-	64	2	69	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	2
👤 Rayan Cherki	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	10	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Rico Lewis	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	82	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Rodri	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	22	16	M	6.6	False	0	-	-	-	23	1	25	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Rúben Dias	0	-	-	-	9	7	1	2	True	90	3	D	7.9	False	0	-	-	-	92	-	95	-	-	-	-	-	1	3	1
👤 Savinho	0	2	-	-	6	2	-	2	False	90	26	M	6.7	False	0	-	-	1	47	-	51	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tijjani Reijnders	0	4	-	4	4	4	-	-	False	76	4	M	7.2	False	0	-	-	-	64	1	68	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Brentford and Manchester City

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		34	22	7	5	64	26	38	73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City	0-1	33	21	7	5	66	29	37	70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United		34	17	10	7	60	46	14	61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool		34	17	7	10	57	44	13	58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa		34	17	7	10	47	42	5	58	L W D W L
6	Brighton		34	13	11	10	48	39	9	50	W W W D W
7	Bournemouth		34	11	16	7	52	52	0	49	D D W W D
8	Chelsea		34	13	9	12	53	45	8	48	L L L L L
9	Brentford	0-1	34	13	9	12	49	46	3	48	D D D D L
10	Fulham		34	14	6	14	44	46	-2	48	D W L D W
11	Everton		34	13	8	13	41	41	0	47	L W D L L
12	Sunderland		34	12	10	12	36	45	-9	46	L W W L L
13	Crystal Palace		33	11	10	12	36	39	-3	43	W D W D L
14	Newcastle		34	12	6	16	46	50	-4	42	W L L L L
15	Leeds		34	9	13	12	44	51	-7	40	D D W W D
16	Nottingham Forest		34	10	9	15	41	45	-4	39	D W D W W
17	West Ham		34	9	9	16	42	58	-16	36	D L W D W
18	Tottenham		34	8	10	16	43	53	-10	34	D L L D W
19	Burnley		34	4	8	22	34	68	-34	20	D L L L L
20	Wolves		34	3	8	23	24	62	-38	17	W D L L L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Brentford and Manchester City

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Arsenal	34	80	1
2	Manchester City	33	79	2
3	Manchester United	34	67	3
4	Liverpool	34	65	4
5	Aston Villa	34	63	5
6	Brighton	34	55	8
7	Bournemouth	34	54	9
8	Chelsea	34	55	8
9	Brentford	34	53	9
10	Fulham	34	53	10
11	Everton	34	52	11
12	Sunderland	34	50	12
13	Crystal Palace	33	48	13
14	Newcastle	34	49	13
15	Leeds	34	46	15
16	Nottingham Forest	34	44	15
17	West Ham	34	40	17
18	Tottenham	34	39	17
19	Burnley	34	24	19
20	Wolves	34	22	20

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

34.6%

Home Win

27.8%

Draw

37.6%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Brentford 1.36

Manchester City 1.42

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Brentford

Manchester City

Gtech Community Stadium

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)