Burnley vs Leeds - Football Platform

Premier League

Burnley

HT: 1–0

Leeds

18' L. Ugochukwu
68' L. Tchaouna

18 Oct 2025

16:00

Turf Moor

Stadium

Turf Moor

Burnley, England

Capacity: 22546 Surface: grass Address: Harry Potts Way

Score Summary

Burnley

2 0

FT HT 1–0

Leeds

L. Ugochukwu 18'
L. Tchaouna 68'

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

48% Win

Burnley 1476 1484 ▲ 8

52% Win

Leeds 1493 1485 ▼ -8

xPi Expected win probability

45% Win

Burnley -0.38 -0.76 ▼ -0.38

36% Win

Leeds -0.03 0.39 ▲ 0.42

Top Performers

Top Rated

Martin Dúbravka

Burnley

7.9

7.9 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Loum Tchaouna

Burnley

7.5

1 goals

Best Creator

Gabriel Gudmundsson

Leeds

7.3

4 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Ethan Ampadu

Leeds

7.3

5 tackles · 1 interceptions

Match Momentum

Burnley 43% Leeds 57%

Key Stats Snapshot

31 Possession 69

4 Shots 19

3 On Target 4

Form Context

Burnley

D L L L L

Leeds

D D W W D

Smart Insight

Leeds carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
Leeds produced more shot pressure than expected.
Elo movement favors Burnley after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 41.4%

Draw 27.6%

Away Win 31.0%

Expected Goals 1.50 - 1.27

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal	73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City	70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United	61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool	58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa	58	L W D W L
6	Brighton	50	W W W D W

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

31 Possession 69

3 Shots 4

4 Shots 19

1 Offsides 0

1 Shots Off Goal 12

3 Shots On Goal 4

4 Total Shots 19

31 Ball Possession 69

221 Passes Accurate 526

292 Total Passes 615

76% Passes % 86%

0 Blocked Shots 3

4 Goalkeeper Saves 1

10 Fouls 7

0 Red Cards 0

2 Yellow Cards 1

1 Corner Kicks 5

1 Shots Insidebox 17

3 Shots Outsidebox 2

0.45 expected_goals 2.63

0 goals_prevented 0

Burnley — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Armando Broja	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	27	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ashley Barnes	0	1	-	1	7	5	1	-	False	15	35	F	6.6	True	0	-	-	-	1	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Axel Tuanzebe	0	-	-	-	6	2	-	-	False	90	6	D	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	21	-	26	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Florentino Luís	0	1	1	-	13	5	1	-	False	90	16	M	7.3	False	1	-	-	-	25	1	27	-	-	-	-	1	1	2	3
👤 Hannibal Mejbri	1	-	-	-	5	3	-	-	False	15	28	M	6.6	True	0	-	-	1	-	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Hjalmar Ekdal	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	18	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jacob Bruun Larsen	0	1	1	-	3	1	-	-	False	58	7	M	6.7	False	0	-	-	-	9	-	14	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Jaidon Anthony	1	2	3	-	12	3	2	3	False	83	11	M	6	False	0	-	-	-	13	-	19	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Josh Cullen	0	1	-	-	4	2	1	1	True	90	24	M	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	38	1	43	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	-
👤 Josh Laurent	0	-	-	-	3	1	-	-	False	13	29	M	6.7	True	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kyle Walker	0	-	-	-	5	3	2	1	False	90	2	D	7.6	False	1	-	-	-	30	1	36	-	-	-	-	-	-	4	1
👤 Lesley Ugochukwu	0	-	-	-	6	3	-	2	False	83	8	M	7.9	False	0	-	1	-	13	-	18	-	-	-	1	1	1	3	-
👤 Loum Tchaouna	0	1	1	-	4	-	-	-	False	32	17	F	7.5	True	0	-	1	-	2	-	3	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	-
👤 Lucas Pires	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	23	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marcus Edwards	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	10	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Martin Dúbravka	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	90	1	G	7.9	False	0	4	-	-	17	-	26	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Max Weiss	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	13	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Maxime Estève	0	-	-	-	5	3	1	-	False	90	5	D	7.3	False	0	-	-	-	20	-	26	-	-	-	-	-	1	2	2
👤 Quilindschy Hartman	0	-	-	-	6	4	-	-	False	90	3	D	7	False	0	-	-	-	24	-	33	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	4
👤 Zian Flemming	0	2	-	1	14	4	2	-	False	77	19	F	6.3	False	0	-	-	-	7	-	14	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1

Leeds — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Anton Stach	0	-	-	-	5	2	2	1	False	73	18	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	42	-	49	-	-	-	1	2	-	1	-
👤 Ao Tanaka	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	9	22	M	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	13	1	15	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Brenden Aaronson	0	1	-	1	5	2	1	-	False	66	11	F	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	18	2	21	-	-	-	1	1	-	3	1
👤 Daniel James	0	2	-	-	4	2	-	-	False	24	7	M	7.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	2	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Dominic Calvert-Lewin	0	1	-	-	12	5	-	-	False	90	9	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	11	1	14	-	-	-	-	4	-	-	-
👤 Ethan Ampadu	0	-	-	-	6	5	1	-	True	81	4	M	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	64	-	70	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	5
👤 Gabriel Gudmundsson	0	5	-	4	13	8	1	2	False	90	3	D	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	46	4	56	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Ilia Gruev	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	44	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jack Harrison	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	1	False	66	20	F	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	29	1	33	-	-	-	-	2	-	1	1
👤 Jaka Bijol	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	15	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 James Justin	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	24	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jayden Bogle	0	2	1	1	9	3	1	1	False	90	2	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	37	-	46	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	-
👤 Joe Rodon	0	-	-	-	8	7	1	-	False	90	6	D	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	93	1	103	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	1
👤 Joël Piroe	0	-	-	-	2	-	-	-	False	17	10	F	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	8	-	11	-	-	-	-	2	-	1	-
👤 Karl Darlow	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	26	G	5.9	False	0	2	1	-	-	15	-	25	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lucas Perri	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lukas Nmecha	0	-	-	-	3	3	-	-	False	24	14	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	4	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	-
👤 Pascal Struijk	1	-	-	-	19	12	-	3	False	90	5	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	91	-	100	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Sean Longstaff	0	1	1	-	6	3	-	2	False	90	8	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	52	4	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	-
👤 Sebastiaan Bornauw	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	23	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Burnley and Leeds

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		34	22	7	5	64	26	38	73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City		33	21	7	5	66	29	37	70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United		34	17	10	7	60	46	14	61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool		34	17	7	10	57	44	13	58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa		34	17	7	10	47	42	5	58	L W D W L
6	Brighton		34	13	11	10	48	39	9	50	W W W D W
7	Bournemouth		34	11	16	7	52	52	0	49	D D W W D
8	Chelsea		34	13	9	12	53	45	8	48	L L L L L
9	Brentford		34	13	9	12	49	46	3	48	D D D D L
10	Fulham		34	14	6	14	44	46	-2	48	D W L D W
11	Everton		34	13	8	13	41	41	0	47	L W D L L
12	Sunderland		34	12	10	12	36	45	-9	46	L W W L L
13	Crystal Palace		33	11	10	12	36	39	-3	43	W D W D L
14	Newcastle		34	12	6	16	46	50	-4	42	W L L L L
15	Leeds	2-0	34	9	13	12	44	51	-7	40	D D W W D
16	Nottingham Forest		34	10	9	15	41	45	-4	39	D W D W W
17	West Ham		34	9	9	16	42	58	-16	36	D L W D W
18	Tottenham		34	8	10	16	43	53	-10	34	D L L D W
19	Burnley	2-0	34	4	8	22	34	68	-34	20	D L L L L
20	Wolves		34	3	8	23	24	62	-38	17	W D L L L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Burnley and Leeds

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Arsenal	34	80	1
2	Manchester City	33	79	2
3	Manchester United	34	67	3
4	Liverpool	34	65	4
5	Aston Villa	34	63	5
6	Brighton	34	55	8
7	Bournemouth	34	54	9
8	Chelsea	34	55	8
9	Brentford	34	53	9
10	Fulham	34	53	10
11	Everton	34	52	11
12	Sunderland	34	50	12
13	Crystal Palace	33	48	13
14	Newcastle	34	49	13
15	Leeds	34	46	15
16	Nottingham Forest	34	44	15
17	West Ham	34	40	17
18	Tottenham	34	39	17
19	Burnley	34	24	19
20	Wolves	34	22	20

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

41.4%

Home Win

27.6%

Draw

31.0%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Burnley 1.50

Leeds 1.27

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Burnley

Leeds

Turf Moor

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)