Brighton vs Newcastle - Football Platform

Premier League

Brighton

HT: 1–0

Newcastle

18 Oct 2025

16:00

Amex Stadium

Stadium

American Express Stadium

Falmer, East Sussex, England

Capacity: 31872 Surface: grass Address: Village Way

Score Summary

Brighton

2 1

FT HT 1–0

Newcastle

D. Welbeck 41'
D. Welbeck 84'

76' N. Woltemade

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

50% Win

Brighton 1502 1510 ▲ 8

50% Win

Newcastle 1503 1496 ▼ -8

xPi Expected win probability

37% Win

Brighton 0.11 0.33 ▲ 0.22

39% Win

Newcastle 0.29 0.22 ▼ -0.07

Top Performers

Top Rated

Danny Welbeck

Brighton

8.6

8.6 rating · 89 min

Most Clinical

Danny Welbeck

Brighton

8.6

2 goals

Best Creator

Georginio Rutter

Brighton

7.3

2 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Dan Burn

Newcastle

6.3

3 tackles · 3 interceptions

Match Momentum

Brighton 62% Newcastle 38%

Key Stats Snapshot

46 Possession 54

13 Shots 16

5 On Target 3

Form Context

Brighton

W W W D W

Newcastle

W L L L L

Smart Insight

Brighton controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Elo movement favors Brighton after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 35.2%

Draw 27.8%

Away Win 37.1%

Expected Goals 1.37 - 1.41

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City		70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United		61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool		58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa		58	L W D W L
6	Brighton	2-1	50	W W W D W

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

46 Possession 54

5 Shots 3

13 Shots 16

3 Offsides 1

3 Shots Off Goal 8

5 Shots On Goal 3

13 Total Shots 16

46 Ball Possession 54

341 Passes Accurate 419

421 Total Passes 491

81% Passes % 85%

5 Blocked Shots 5

2 Goalkeeper Saves 3

9 Fouls 9

0 Red Cards 0

0 Yellow Cards 1

8 Corner Kicks 4

6 Shots Insidebox 10

7 Shots Outsidebox 6

0.91 expected_goals 1.45

0 goals_prevented 0

Brighton — Player Statistics

Player	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Bart Verbruggen	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	False	90	1	G	6.6	False	0	1	2	-	-	14	-	30	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Carlos Baleba	1	2	1	7	3	1	-	False	71	17	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	32	-	32	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	1
👤 Charalampos Kostoulas	1	-	1	4	2	-	-	False	8	19	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Danny Welbeck	1	-	1	8	4	-	1	False	89	18	F	8.6	False	0	0	-	2	-	16	3	21	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	2
👤 Diego Coppola	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	8	42	D	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Diego Gómez	-	-	-	4	2	-	-	False	36	25	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	1	12	1	15	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Ferdi Kadıoğlu	2	-	2	7	5	1	2	False	90	24	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	1	17	-	22	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Georginio Rutter	1	-	1	8	4	-	-	False	71	10	M	7.3	False	1	0	-	-	1	13	2	21	-	-	-	2	2	-	1	2
👤 James Milner	-	1	-	4	-	1	-	False	19	20	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jan Paul van Hecke	-	-	-	9	8	1	3	False	90	6	D	7.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	59	-	68	-	-	-	-	-	3	1	3
👤 Jason Steele	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	23	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lewis Dunk	-	-	-	4	3	-	-	True	90	5	D	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	63	-	67	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Mats Wieffer	2	2	1	12	6	-	-	False	90	27	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	27	-	33	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	3
👤 Maxim De Cuyper	-	1	-	5	2	-	-	False	54	29	D	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	16	-	21	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	1
👤 Nehemiah Oriola	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	58	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Olivier Boscagli	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	21	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Stefanos Tzimas	1	-	1	4	1	1	-	False	19	9	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tom Watson	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	14	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Yankuba Minteh	3	-	1	13	9	2	1	False	89	11	M	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	13	1	24	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	5
👤 Yasin Ayari	5	4	2	15	6	2	1	False	90	26	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	50	3	54	-	-	-	-	2	1	-	2

Newcastle — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Aaron Ramsdale	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	32	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Anthony Elanga	0	1	1	-	4	2	-	1	False	45	20	F	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	13	-	14	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Anthony Gordon	0	12	1	4	17	7	-	2	False	70	10	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	21	2	22	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Bruno Guimarães	0	3	-	-	14	5	2	3	True	86	39	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	1	33	1	39	-	-	-	1	2	1	-	2
👤 Dan Burn	1	-	2	-	14	4	2	-	False	90	33	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	37	1	47	-	-	-	-	-	2	3	3
👤 Emil Krafth	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	17	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Fabian Schär	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	5	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Harvey Barnes	0	2	-	1	2	1	-	-	False	20	11	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	5	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Jacob Murphy	0	2	-	2	4	4	-	-	False	45	23	M	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	14	1	19	-	-	-	-	2	-	-	1
👤 Jacob Ramsey	0	-	2	-	3	-	-	-	False	20	41	M	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	15	1	15	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Joe Willock	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	28	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Joelinton	0	-	1	-	7	5	-	2	False	45	7	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	21	-	26	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	3
👤 Kieran Trippier	0	1	2	1	8	4	1	-	False	90	2	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	49	1	57	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Lewis Miley	0	1	-	1	2	2	-	-	False	45	67	M	7	True	1	0	-	-	-	34	2	35	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Malick Thiaw	0	-	1	-	7	5	-	-	False	90	12	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	52	-	59	-	-	-	-	1	1	-	1
👤 Nick Pope	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	90	1	G	6.9	False	0	2	3	-	-	11	-	19	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nick Woltemade	0	2	-	1	10	5	2	1	False	90	27	F	7.3	False	0	0	-	1	-	13	-	16	-	-	-	1	3	-	-	1
👤 Sandro Tonali	0	-	1	-	3	1	-	-	False	70	8	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	41	2	47	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Sven Botman	0	-	-	-	8	3	1	-	False	90	4	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	62	-	70	-	-	-	-	1	1	-	1
👤 William Osula	0	-	-	-	2	-	1	-	False	12	18	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Brighton and Newcastle

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		34	22	7	5	64	26	38	73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City		33	21	7	5	66	29	37	70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United		34	17	10	7	60	46	14	61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool		34	17	7	10	57	44	13	58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa		34	17	7	10	47	42	5	58	L W D W L
6	Brighton	2-1	34	13	11	10	48	39	9	50	W W W D W
7	Bournemouth		34	11	16	7	52	52	0	49	D D W W D
8	Chelsea		34	13	9	12	53	45	8	48	L L L L L
9	Brentford		34	13	9	12	49	46	3	48	D D D D L
10	Fulham		34	14	6	14	44	46	-2	48	D W L D W
11	Everton		34	13	8	13	41	41	0	47	L W D L L
12	Sunderland		34	12	10	12	36	45	-9	46	L W W L L
13	Crystal Palace		33	11	10	12	36	39	-3	43	W D W D L
14	Newcastle	2-1	34	12	6	16	46	50	-4	42	W L L L L
15	Leeds		34	9	13	12	44	51	-7	40	D D W W D
16	Nottingham Forest		34	10	9	15	41	45	-4	39	D W D W W
17	West Ham		34	9	9	16	42	58	-16	36	D L W D W
18	Tottenham		34	8	10	16	43	53	-10	34	D L L D W
19	Burnley		34	4	8	22	34	68	-34	20	D L L L L
20	Wolves		34	3	8	23	24	62	-38	17	W D L L L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Brighton and Newcastle

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Arsenal	34	80	1
2	Manchester City	33	79	2
3	Manchester United	34	67	3
4	Liverpool	34	65	4
5	Aston Villa	34	63	5
6	Brighton	34	55	8
7	Bournemouth	34	54	9
8	Chelsea	34	55	8
9	Brentford	34	53	9
10	Fulham	34	53	10
11	Everton	34	52	11
12	Sunderland	34	50	12
13	Crystal Palace	33	48	13
14	Newcastle	34	49	13
15	Leeds	34	46	15
16	Nottingham Forest	34	44	15
17	West Ham	34	40	17
18	Tottenham	34	39	17
19	Burnley	34	24	19
20	Wolves	34	22	20

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Predict the score

Loading API predictions…

CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

35.2%

Home Win

27.8%

Draw

37.1%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Brighton 1.37

Newcastle 1.41

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Brighton

Newcastle

American Express Stadium

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)