Manchester United vs Brighton - Football Platform

Premier League

Manchester United

HT: 2–0

Brighton

25 Oct 2025

18:30

Old Trafford

Stadium

Old Trafford

Manchester, England

Capacity: 76212 Surface: grass Address: Sir Matt Busby Way

Score Summary

Manchester United

4 2

FT HT 2–0

Brighton

74' D. Welbeck
90' C. Kostoulas

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

50% Win

Manchester United 1508 1516 ▲ 8

50% Win

Brighton 1510 1502 ▼ -8

xPi Expected win probability

50% Win

Manchester United 0.11 0.31 ▲ 0.20

33% Win

Brighton 0.09 0.33 ▲ 0.25

Top Performers

Top Rated

Bryan Mbeumo

Manchester United

9.9

9.9 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Bryan Mbeumo

Manchester United

9.9

2 goals

Best Creator

James Milner

Brighton

7.0

2 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Jan Paul van Hecke

Brighton

6.3

5 tackles · 2 interceptions

Match Momentum

Manchester United 64% Brighton 36%

Key Stats Snapshot

44 Possession 56

13 Shots 17

9 On Target 5

Form Context

Manchester United

W D L W W

Brighton

W W W D W

Smart Insight

Manchester United controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Brighton produced more shot pressure than expected.
Elo movement favors Manchester United after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 45.5%

Draw 27.2%

Away Win 27.3%

Expected Goals 1.59 - 1.19

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City		70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United	4-2	61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool		58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa		58	L W D W L
6	Brighton	4-2	50	W W W D W

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

44 Possession 56

9 Shots 5

13 Shots 17

2 Offsides 2

3 Shots Off Goal 8

9 Shots On Goal 5

13 Total Shots 17

44 Ball Possession 56

361 Passes Accurate 485

442 Total Passes 568

82% Passes % 85%

1 Blocked Shots 4

3 Goalkeeper Saves 5

4 Fouls 13

0 Red Cards 0

2 Yellow Cards 2

1 Corner Kicks 6

7 Shots Insidebox 10

6 Shots Outsidebox 7

1.29 expected_goals 1.12

0 goals_prevented 0

Manchester United — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Altay Bayındır	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Amad Diallo	0	1	2	1	5	2	-	1	False	70	16	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	23	-	30	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Ayden Heaven	0	-	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	25	26	D	6.9	True	1	0	-	-	-	13	1	14	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	1
👤 Benjamin Šeško	1	2	-	-	15	7	1	1	False	82	30	F	6.7	False	1	0	-	-	-	6	1	13	-	-	-	1	2	-	1	-
👤 Bruno Fernandes	0	6	3	3	18	9	1	3	True	90	8	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	44	2	51	-	-	-	2	3	1	2	3
👤 Bryan Mbeumo	0	5	1	4	9	6	-	2	False	90	19	F	9.9	False	0	0	-	2	-	34	2	38	-	-	-	3	3	-	-	-
👤 Casemiro	0	-	1	-	7	4	-	1	False	70	18	M	8.5	False	1	0	-	1	-	25	1	32	-	-	-	1	1	1	2	3
👤 Diogo Dalot	0	1	2	1	5	3	-	-	False	90	2	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	1	20	1	24	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	2
👤 Joshua Zirkzee	0	2	-	1	11	5	-	-	False	8	11	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Kobbie Mainoo	0	2	1	1	6	3	-	-	False	20	37	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	8	1	9	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Leny Yoro	0	-	1	-	6	2	1	-	False	90	15	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	48	-	51	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Luke Shaw	0	-	1	-	5	2	-	-	False	65	23	D	6.9	False	1	0	-	-	-	31	1	35	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Manuel Ugarte	0	-	1	-	5	4	-	1	False	9	25	M	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	7	-	9	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Mason Mount	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	7	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Matheus Cunha	0	3	1	2	13	7	-	2	False	81	10	F	8.9	False	0	0	-	1	1	32	2	36	-	-	-	2	2	-	1	3
👤 Matthijs de Ligt	0	-	2	-	4	2	-	-	False	90	4	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	39	-	43	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	-
👤 Noussair Mazraoui	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	3	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Patrick Dorgu	1	-	1	-	7	4	1	1	False	20	13	D	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Senne Lammens	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	31	G	6.9	False	0	2	3	-	-	23	-	48	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tyrell Malacia	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	12	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Brighton — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Bart Verbruggen	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	6.2	False	0	4	5	-	-	34	-	39	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Carlos Baleba	1	-	-	-	2	1	1	-	False	59	17	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	34	-	42	-	-	-	-	2	-	1	1
👤 Charalampos Kostoulas	0	2	1	2	8	4	1	-	False	11	19	F	7.3	True	0	0	-	1	-	3	-	6	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Danny Welbeck	0	4	1	3	11	4	2	-	False	90	18	F	7.7	False	0	0	-	1	-	19	2	22	-	-	-	2	3	-	-	-
👤 Diego Coppola	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	42	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Diego Gómez	0	-	-	-	8	3	1	-	False	30	25	M	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	14	-	18	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Ferdi Kadıoğlu	1	4	-	3	9	5	2	-	False	90	24	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	1	29	-	37	-	-	-	1	1	-	2	2
👤 Georginio Rutter	0	4	1	3	11	5	1	-	False	79	10	M	6	False	0	0	-	-	-	24	1	33	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 James Milner	0	-	1	-	2	-	-	-	False	31	20	M	7	True	1	0	-	-	-	30	2	30	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jan Paul van Hecke	0	-	1	-	20	11	1	1	False	90	6	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	68	1	78	-	-	-	-	-	1	2	5
👤 Jason Steele	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	23	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lewis Dunk	0	1	3	1	6	3	-	-	True	90	5	D	5.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	86	-	90	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	1
👤 Mats Wieffer	0	2	1	2	15	9	1	1	False	87	27	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	51	2	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	4
👤 Maxim De Cuyper	0	-	2	-	3	1	-	-	False	59	29	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	28	2	31	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Nehemiah Oriola	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	58	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Olivier Boscagli	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	21	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Stefanos Tzimas	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	11	9	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	2	2	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Tom Watson	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	31	14	F	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	8	-	11	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Yankuba Minteh	0	6	-	3	16	7	3	1	False	90	11	M	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	1	10	1	19	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	2
👤 Yasin Ayari	0	-	2	-	5	3	-	1	False	60	26	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	45	-	52	-	-	-	-	1	-	3	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Manchester United and Brighton

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		34	22	7	5	64	26	38	73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City		33	21	7	5	66	29	37	70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United	4-2	34	17	10	7	60	46	14	61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool		34	17	7	10	57	44	13	58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa		34	17	7	10	47	42	5	58	L W D W L
6	Brighton	4-2	34	13	11	10	48	39	9	50	W W W D W
7	Bournemouth		34	11	16	7	52	52	0	49	D D W W D
8	Chelsea		34	13	9	12	53	45	8	48	L L L L L
9	Brentford		34	13	9	12	49	46	3	48	D D D D L
10	Fulham		34	14	6	14	44	46	-2	48	D W L D W
11	Everton		34	13	8	13	41	41	0	47	L W D L L
12	Sunderland		34	12	10	12	36	45	-9	46	L W W L L
13	Crystal Palace		33	11	10	12	36	39	-3	43	W D W D L
14	Newcastle		34	12	6	16	46	50	-4	42	W L L L L
15	Leeds		34	9	13	12	44	51	-7	40	D D W W D
16	Nottingham Forest		34	10	9	15	41	45	-4	39	D W D W W
17	West Ham		34	9	9	16	42	58	-16	36	D L W D W
18	Tottenham		34	8	10	16	43	53	-10	34	D L L D W
19	Burnley		34	4	8	22	34	68	-34	20	D L L L L
20	Wolves		34	3	8	23	24	62	-38	17	W D L L L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Manchester United and Brighton

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Arsenal	34	80	1
2	Manchester City	33	79	2
3	Manchester United	34	67	3
4	Liverpool	34	65	4
5	Aston Villa	34	63	5
6	Brighton	34	55	8
7	Bournemouth	34	54	9
8	Chelsea	34	55	8
9	Brentford	34	53	9
10	Fulham	34	53	10
11	Everton	34	52	11
12	Sunderland	34	50	12
13	Crystal Palace	33	48	13
14	Newcastle	34	49	13
15	Leeds	34	46	15
16	Nottingham Forest	34	44	15
17	West Ham	34	40	17
18	Tottenham	34	39	17
19	Burnley	34	24	19
20	Wolves	34	22	20

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

45.5%

Home Win

27.2%

Draw

27.3%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Manchester United 1.59

Brighton 1.19

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Manchester United

Brighton

Old Trafford

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)