Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest

Premier League

Bournemouth

HT: 2–0

Nottingham Forest

25' M. Tavernier
40' E. J. Kroupi

26 Oct 2025

15:00

Vitality Stadium

Stadium

Vitality Stadium

Bournemouth, Dorset, England

Capacity: 12000 Surface: grass Address: Dean Court, Kings Park

Score Summary

Bournemouth

2 0

FT HT 2–0

Nottingham Forest

M. Tavernier 25'
E. J. Kroupi 40'

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

55% Win

Bournemouth 1517 1523 ▲ 7

45% Win

Nottingham Forest 1478 1470 ▼ -9

xPi Expected win probability

49% Win

Bournemouth -0.02 0.33 ▲ 0.35

34% Win

Nottingham Forest -0.04 0.22 ▲ 0.26

Top Performers

Top Rated

Adrien Truffert

Bournemouth

7.7

7.7 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Marcus Tavernier

Bournemouth

7.2

1 goals

Best Creator

Marcus Tavernier

Bournemouth

7.2

3 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Adrien Truffert

Bournemouth

7.7

3 tackles · 4 interceptions

Match Momentum

Bournemouth 56% Nottingham Forest 44%

Key Stats Snapshot

52 Possession 48

13 Shots 8

5 On Target 4

Form Context

Bournemouth

D D W W D

Nottingham Forest

D W D W W

Smart Insight

Bournemouth controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Bournemouth generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors Bournemouth after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 45.1%

Draw 27.2%

Away Win 27.6%

Expected Goals 1.58 - 1.19

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal	73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City	70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United	61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool	58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa	58	L W D W L
6	Brighton	50	W W W D W

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

52 Possession 48

5 Shots 4

13 Shots 8

3 Offsides 0

4 Shots Off Goal 2

5 Shots On Goal 4

13 Total Shots 8

52 Ball Possession 48

359 Passes Accurate 318

447 Total Passes 409

80% Passes % 78%

4 Blocked Shots 2

4 Goalkeeper Saves 3

17 Fouls 7

0 Red Cards 0

3 Yellow Cards 1

6 Corner Kicks 4

5 Shots Insidebox 3

8 Shots Outsidebox 5

0.58 expected_goals 0.37

-1 goals_prevented -1

Bournemouth — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Adrien Truffert	0	2	-	1	13	10	2	2	False	90	3	D	7.7	False	0	-	-	-	31	-	40	-	-	-	-	1	-	4	3
👤 Alex Scott	0	1	-	-	7	2	2	-	False	80	8	M	6.6	False	0	-	-	-	35	-	42	-	-	-	1	1	-	2	2
👤 Amine Adli	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	False	21	21	F	6.5	True	0	-	-	2	3	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Antoine Semenyo	0	4	-	2	11	5	2	1	False	89	24	M	7.5	False	0	-	-	1	26	1	32	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Bafodé Diakité	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	18	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ben Gannon-Doak	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	11	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 David Brooks	1	4	-	2	7	2	2	-	False	21	7	M	6.3	True	0	-	-	-	3	-	7	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	-
👤 Eli Junior Kroupi	0	-	-	-	3	1	-	-	False	69	22	F	7.3	False	0	-	1	-	14	1	19	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	-
👤 Enes Unal	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	1	26	F	-	True	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Julio Soler	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	6	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Justin Kluivert	1	2	-	1	7	1	2	-	False	69	19	M	6.2	False	0	-	-	-	23	1	29	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Lewis Cook	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	1	4	M	-	True	0	-	-	-	-	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marcos Senesi	1	-	-	-	9	3	2	-	False	90	5	D	7.2	False	0	-	-	-	56	-	67	-	-	-	-	-	2	-	-
👤 Marcus Tavernier	0	1	1	-	10	5	1	2	True	89	16	M	7.2	False	0	-	1	-	28	3	35	-	-	-	2	3	-	-	-
👤 Ryan Christie	0	-	1	-	2	-	-	-	False	10	10	M	6.3	True	0	-	-	-	5	-	8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tyler Adams	0	1	-	1	13	5	3	-	False	90	12	M	6.6	False	1	-	-	-	37	1	44	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	3
👤 Veljko Milosavljević	0	-	-	-	9	4	-	-	False	90	44	D	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	46	-	51	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Will Dennis	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	40	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Álex Jiménez	0	1	-	-	5	2	-	2	False	90	20	D	7.3	False	0	-	-	-	30	1	39	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	-
👤 Đorđe Petrović	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	7	False	0	4	-	-	22	-	29	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-

Nottingham Forest — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Arnaud Kalimuendo	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	1	15	F	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Callum Hudson-Odoi	0	2	-	-	4	1	1	-	False	45	7	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	9	1	11	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dan Ndoye	0	-	1	-	7	3	2	1	False	83	14	M	6	False	0	0	-	-	-	22	-	30	-	-	-	-	1	-	2	2
👤 Douglas Luiz	1	-	-	-	6	6	-	2	False	45	12	M	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	25	-	26	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	3
👤 Elliot Anderson	0	1	-	1	13	8	1	2	False	90	8	M	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	43	2	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	3
👤 Ibrahim Sangaré	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	6	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Igor Jesus	0	-	-	-	6	5	-	1	False	45	19	F	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	8	1	12	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Jair	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	23	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 John Victor	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	13	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Matz Sels	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	26	G	5.7	False	0	2	3	-	-	16	-	30	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Morato	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	4	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Morgan Gibbs-White	0	-	1	-	7	4	1	1	True	89	10	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	17	1	26	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	-
👤 Murillo	0	-	-	-	5	5	-	1	False	90	5	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	39	-	48	-	-	-	-	-	3	-	3
👤 Neco Williams	0	1	1	1	10	8	-	3	False	90	3	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	24	-	32	-	-	-	1	2	-	2	3
👤 Nicolás Domínguez	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	False	11	16	M	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	7	1	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Nicolò Savona	0	1	2	-	11	6	1	2	False	90	37	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	26	-	33	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	3
👤 Nikola Milenković	0	-	-	-	4	3	-	1	False	90	31	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	40	-	51	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Omari Hutchinson	0	3	1	-	9	1	1	1	False	45	21	F	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	16	1	17	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ryan Yates	0	-	1	-	4	2	-	1	False	45	22	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	17	-	22	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Taiwo Awoniyi	0	-	-	-	10	4	-	1	False	45	9	F	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	9	-	10	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Bournemouth and Nottingham Forest

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		34	22	7	5	64	26	38	73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City		33	21	7	5	66	29	37	70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United		34	17	10	7	60	46	14	61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool		34	17	7	10	57	44	13	58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa		34	17	7	10	47	42	5	58	L W D W L
6	Brighton		34	13	11	10	48	39	9	50	W W W D W
7	Bournemouth	2-0	34	11	16	7	52	52	0	49	D D W W D
8	Chelsea		34	13	9	12	53	45	8	48	L L L L L
9	Brentford		34	13	9	12	49	46	3	48	D D D D L
10	Fulham		34	14	6	14	44	46	-2	48	D W L D W
11	Everton		34	13	8	13	41	41	0	47	L W D L L
12	Sunderland		34	12	10	12	36	45	-9	46	L W W L L
13	Crystal Palace		33	11	10	12	36	39	-3	43	W D W D L
14	Newcastle		34	12	6	16	46	50	-4	42	W L L L L
15	Leeds		34	9	13	12	44	51	-7	40	D D W W D
16	Nottingham Forest	2-0	34	10	9	15	41	45	-4	39	D W D W W
17	West Ham		34	9	9	16	42	58	-16	36	D L W D W
18	Tottenham		34	8	10	16	43	53	-10	34	D L L D W
19	Burnley		34	4	8	22	34	68	-34	20	D L L L L
20	Wolves		34	3	8	23	24	62	-38	17	W D L L L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Bournemouth and Nottingham Forest

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Arsenal	34	80	1
2	Manchester City	33	79	2
3	Manchester United	34	67	3
4	Liverpool	34	65	4
5	Aston Villa	34	63	5
6	Brighton	34	55	8
7	Bournemouth	34	54	9
8	Chelsea	34	55	8
9	Brentford	34	53	9
10	Fulham	34	53	10
11	Everton	34	52	11
12	Sunderland	34	50	12
13	Crystal Palace	33	48	13
14	Newcastle	34	49	13
15	Leeds	34	46	15
16	Nottingham Forest	34	44	15
17	West Ham	34	40	17
18	Tottenham	34	39	17
19	Burnley	34	24	19
20	Wolves	34	22	20

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

45.1%

Home Win

27.2%

Draw

27.6%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Bournemouth 1.58

Nottingham Forest 1.19

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Bournemouth

Nottingham Forest

Vitality Stadium

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)