Nottingham Forest vs Manchester United

Premier League

Nottingham Forest

HT: 0–1

Manchester United

01 Nov 2025

16:00

City Ground

Stadium

The City Ground

Nottingham, Nottinghamshire, England

Capacity: 30576 Surface: grass Address: Pavilion Road

Score Summary

Nottingham Forest

2 2

FT HT 0–1

Manchester United

M. Gibbs-White 48'
N. Savona 50'

34' Casemiro
81' A. Diallo

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

43% Win

Nottingham Forest 1470 1471 ▲ 1

57% Win

Manchester United 1516 1515 ▼ -1

xPi Expected win probability

48% Win

Nottingham Forest -0.03 0.22 ▲ 0.25

34% Win

Manchester United 0.10 0.31 ▲ 0.21

Top Performers

Top Rated

Casemiro

Manchester United

8.0

8.0 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Nicolò Savona

Nottingham Forest

7.5

1 goals

Best Creator

Bruno Fernandes

Manchester United

7.2

4 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Murillo

Nottingham Forest

7.2

2 tackles · 6 interceptions

Match Momentum

Nottingham Forest 30% Manchester United 70%

Key Stats Snapshot

41 Possession 59

17 Shots 18

3 On Target 7

Form Context

Nottingham Forest

D W D W W

Manchester United

W D L W W

Smart Insight

Manchester United carried stronger momentum across the match profile.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 44.2%

Draw 27.3%

Away Win 28.4%

Expected Goals 1.56 - 1.21

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City		70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United	2-2	61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool		58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa		58	L W D W L
6	Brighton		50	W W W D W

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

41 Possession 59

3 Shots 7

17 Shots 18

2 Offsides 1

8 Shots Off Goal 6

3 Shots On Goal 7

17 Total Shots 18

41 Ball Possession 59

263 Passes Accurate 442

350 Total Passes 525

75% Passes % 84%

6 Blocked Shots 5

4 Goalkeeper Saves 1

17 Fouls 0

0 Red Cards 0

1 Yellow Cards 1

8 Corner Kicks 5

11 Shots Insidebox 8

6 Shots Outsidebox 10

1.93 expected_goals 1.12

0 goals_prevented 0

Nottingham Forest — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Arnaud Kalimuendo	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	15	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Callum Hudson-Odoi	0	3	-	2	7	4	1	-	False	89	7	M	7.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	18	4	20	-	-	-	-	3	1	-	2
👤 Dan Ndoye	1	1	2	-	14	4	3	1	False	90	14	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	1	20	-	22	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	3
👤 Douglas Luiz	0	1	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	14	12	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	7	1	8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Elliot Anderson	0	2	1	2	14	7	2	3	False	90	8	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	47	3	63	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	1
👤 Ibrahim Sangaré	0	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	False	1	6	M	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Igor Jesus	0	2	-	-	22	5	1	1	False	78	19	F	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	1	8	-	12	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Jair	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	23	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 James McAtee	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	24	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 John Victor	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	13	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Matz Sels	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	26	G	6.3	False	0	2	4	-	-	9	-	31	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Morato	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	4	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Morgan Gibbs-White	0	1	-	1	9	5	-	-	True	90	10	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	1	-	23	2	35	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	-
👤 Murillo	0	-	-	-	7	5	-	-	False	90	5	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	22	-	28	-	-	-	-	1	2	6	2
👤 Neco Williams	0	1	-	-	5	4	-	-	False	90	3	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	22	-	24	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	4
👤 Nicolò Savona	0	-	3	-	10	5	1	-	False	90	37	D	7.5	False	0	0	-	1	-	22	-	29	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	4
👤 Nikola Milenković	0	-	-	-	5	4	-	-	False	90	31	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	30	-	37	-	-	-	-	2	3	-	-
👤 Omari Hutchinson	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	21	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ryan Yates	0	-	-	-	6	2	2	1	False	76	22	M	6.6	True	1	0	-	-	-	32	1	37	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Taiwo Awoniyi	0	-	1	-	3	-	-	-	False	12	9	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	1	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Manchester United — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Altay Bayındır	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Amad Diallo	0	2	1	-	11	4	-	1	False	90	16	M	7.6	False	0	0	-	1	1	36	1	44	-	-	-	3	4	1	-	1
👤 Ayden Heaven	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	26	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Benjamin Šeško	0	-	-	-	3	-	-	-	False	90	30	F	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	9	-	13	-	-	-	-	2	-	-	-
👤 Bruno Fernandes	0	-	2	-	6	3	-	2	True	90	8	M	7.2	False	1	0	-	-	-	66	4	75	-	-	-	-	1	-	2	-
👤 Bryan Mbeumo	0	5	-	2	10	4	1	-	False	90	19	F	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	34	3	41	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	-
👤 Casemiro	0	1	2	1	19	10	3	-	False	90	18	M	8	False	0	0	-	1	-	52	3	63	-	-	-	1	2	1	1	3
👤 Diogo Dalot	0	2	-	-	8	3	1	1	False	68	2	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	21	-	24	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Harry Maguire	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	5	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Joshua Zirkzee	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	11	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kobbie Mainoo	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	37	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Leny Yoro	0	-	-	-	6	5	-	-	False	77	15	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	46	-	52	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	3
👤 Luke Shaw	0	1	-	1	9	7	1	1	False	90	23	D	7.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	65	-	74	-	-	-	-	-	3	-	2
👤 Manuel Ugarte	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	25	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mason Mount	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	7	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Matheus Cunha	0	5	-	3	17	11	1	5	False	90	10	F	7.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	33	4	36	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	1
👤 Matthijs de Ligt	0	-	-	-	11	11	-	-	False	90	4	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	40	-	47	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Noussair Mazraoui	1	2	-	1	2	1	-	-	False	13	3	D	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	10	-	11	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Patrick Dorgu	0	1	-	-	2	-	-	-	False	22	13	D	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	-	7	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	-
👤 Senne Lammens	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	31	G	6.3	False	0	2	1	-	-	24	-	38	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Nottingham Forest and Manchester United

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		34	22	7	5	64	26	38	73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City		33	21	7	5	66	29	37	70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United	2-2	34	17	10	7	60	46	14	61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool		34	17	7	10	57	44	13	58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa		34	17	7	10	47	42	5	58	L W D W L
6	Brighton		34	13	11	10	48	39	9	50	W W W D W
7	Bournemouth		34	11	16	7	52	52	0	49	D D W W D
8	Chelsea		34	13	9	12	53	45	8	48	L L L L L
9	Brentford		34	13	9	12	49	46	3	48	D D D D L
10	Fulham		34	14	6	14	44	46	-2	48	D W L D W
11	Everton		34	13	8	13	41	41	0	47	L W D L L
12	Sunderland		34	12	10	12	36	45	-9	46	L W W L L
13	Crystal Palace		33	11	10	12	36	39	-3	43	W D W D L
14	Newcastle		34	12	6	16	46	50	-4	42	W L L L L
15	Leeds		34	9	13	12	44	51	-7	40	D D W W D
16	Nottingham Forest	2-2	34	10	9	15	41	45	-4	39	D W D W W
17	West Ham		34	9	9	16	42	58	-16	36	D L W D W
18	Tottenham		34	8	10	16	43	53	-10	34	D L L D W
19	Burnley		34	4	8	22	34	68	-34	20	D L L L L
20	Wolves		34	3	8	23	24	62	-38	17	W D L L L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Nottingham Forest and Manchester United

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Arsenal	34	80	1
2	Manchester City	33	79	2
3	Manchester United	34	67	3
4	Liverpool	34	65	4
5	Aston Villa	34	63	5
6	Brighton	34	55	8
7	Bournemouth	34	54	9
8	Chelsea	34	55	8
9	Brentford	34	53	9
10	Fulham	34	53	10
11	Everton	34	52	11
12	Sunderland	34	50	12
13	Crystal Palace	33	48	13
14	Newcastle	34	49	13
15	Leeds	34	46	15
16	Nottingham Forest	34	44	15
17	West Ham	34	40	17
18	Tottenham	34	39	17
19	Burnley	34	24	19
20	Wolves	34	22	20

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

44.2%

Home Win

27.3%

Draw

28.4%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Nottingham Forest 1.56

Manchester United 1.21

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Nottingham Forest

Manchester United

The City Ground

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)