Nottingham Forest vs Leeds - Football Platform

Premier League

Nottingham Forest

HT: 1–1

Leeds

09 Nov 2025

15:00

City Ground

Stadium

The City Ground

Nottingham, Nottinghamshire, England

Capacity: 30576 Surface: grass Address: Pavilion Road

Score Summary

Nottingham Forest

3 1

FT HT 1–1

Leeds

13' L. Nmecha

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

48% Win

Nottingham Forest 1472 1482 ▲ 10

52% Win

Leeds 1485 1474 ▼ -10

xPi Expected win probability

53% Win

Nottingham Forest 0.09 0.22 ▲ 0.14

32% Win

Leeds 0.00 0.39 ▲ 0.39

Top Performers

Top Rated

Ibrahim Sangaré

Nottingham Forest

7.7

7.7 rating · 59 min

Most Clinical

Ibrahim Sangaré

Nottingham Forest

7.7

1 goals

Best Creator

Nicolò Savona

Nottingham Forest

6.6

2 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Neco Williams

Nottingham Forest

7.2

6 tackles · 0 interceptions

Match Momentum

Nottingham Forest 67% Leeds 33%

Key Stats Snapshot

46 Possession 54

14 Shots 10

6 On Target 3

Form Context

Nottingham Forest

D W D W W

Leeds

D D W W D

Smart Insight

Nottingham Forest controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Nottingham Forest generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors Nottingham Forest after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 48.3%

Draw 26.7%

Away Win 24.9%

Expected Goals 1.65 - 1.13

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal	73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City	70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United	61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool	58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa	58	L W D W L
6	Brighton	50	W W W D W

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

46 Possession 54

6 Shots 3

14 Shots 10

2 Offsides 1

2 Shots Off Goal 5

6 Shots On Goal 3

14 Total Shots 10

46 Ball Possession 54

277 Passes Accurate 353

348 Total Passes 435

80% Passes % 81%

6 Blocked Shots 2

2 Goalkeeper Saves 3

10 Fouls 11

0 Red Cards 0

2 Yellow Cards 1

6 Corner Kicks 4

10 Shots Insidebox 5

4 Shots Outsidebox 5

2.55 expected_goals 0.69

0 goals_prevented 0

Nottingham Forest — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.scored	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Arnaud Kalimuendo	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	15	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dan Ndoye	0	2	1	1	10	7	1	2	False	90	14	M	7.6	False	0	0	-	-	1	11	1	14	-	-	0	-	1	2	-	1	3
👤 Elliot Anderson	0	3	-	-	12	5	2	1	False	90	8	M	7.5	False	0	0	-	1	-	38	-	43	-	-	1	-	1	1	1	1	3
👤 Ibrahim Sangaré	1	1	1	1	9	4	3	1	False	59	6	M	7.7	False	0	0	-	1	-	23	1	26	-	-	0	-	1	1	-	1	2
👤 Igor Jesus	0	2	-	-	9	4	-	1	False	59	19	F	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	8	-	12	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Jair	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	23	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 James McAtee	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	24	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 John Victor	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	13	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Matz Sels	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	False	90	26	G	7.3	False	0	1	2	-	-	12	-	22	-	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Morato	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	False	9	4	D	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Morgan Gibbs-White	0	2	-	1	6	2	-	1	True	88	10	M	7.3	False	0	0	-	1	-	20	-	22	-	-	0	-	3	3	-	-	-
👤 Murillo	1	1	-	1	11	5	3	-	False	90	5	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	54	-	63	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	3
👤 Neco Williams	0	2	-	1	15	11	1	2	False	90	3	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	27	2	36	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	6
👤 Nicolás Domínguez	0	-	1	-	6	3	-	-	False	59	16	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	19	2	22	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Nicolò Savona	0	-	1	-	3	2	-	-	False	90	37	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	21	2	29	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Nikola Milenković	0	-	-	-	6	5	-	1	False	90	31	D	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	33	-	40	-	-	0	-	-	-	1	1	2
👤 Omari Hutchinson	0	3	1	2	6	3	-	1	False	31	21	F	7.7	True	1	0	-	-	-	5	1	9	-	-	0	1	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ryan Yates	0	-	-	-	5	3	-	-	False	31	22	M	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	5	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Taiwo Awoniyi	0	1	-	-	6	1	-	-	False	31	9	F	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	1	2	-	4	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Zach Abbott	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	44	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-

Leeds — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Anton Stach	0	2	-	-	11	7	1	1	False	90	18	M	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	36	2	46	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Ao Tanaka	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	22	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Brenden Aaronson	0	7	1	1	16	8	-	4	False	74	11	F	7.2	False	1	0	-	-	-	14	1	15	-	-	-	-	1	1	-	3
👤 Daniel James	0	-	-	-	2	-	1	-	False	16	7	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	1	5	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	-
👤 Dominic Calvert-Lewin	0	1	-	-	5	2	1	-	False	16	9	F	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	3	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	-
👤 Ethan Ampadu	0	-	1	-	9	4	3	1	True	90	4	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	32	-	42	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	2
👤 Gabriel Gudmundsson	0	3	-	2	10	4	1	1	False	82	3	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	19	-	23	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	1
👤 Ilia Gruev	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	44	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jack Harrison	0	1	2	-	4	-	1	-	False	8	20	F	5.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	7	-	8	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jaka Bijol	0	1	-	1	6	4	-	-	False	82	15	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	65	-	71	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 James Justin	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	24	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jayden Bogle	0	3	-	1	10	4	1	-	False	90	2	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	1	22	-	29	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	2
👤 Joe Rodon	0	-	1	-	13	7	-	-	False	90	6	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	66	-	80	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	2
👤 Joël Piroe	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	16	10	F	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	9	-	9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Karl Darlow	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	26	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lucas Perri	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	6.2	False	0	3	3	-	-	29	-	36	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lukas Nmecha	0	-	-	-	5	2	1	-	False	74	14	F	7.6	False	0	0	-	1	-	4	-	5	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	1
👤 Noah Okafor	0	4	-	-	7	2	1	1	False	90	19	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	9	1	16	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Pascal Struijk	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	8	5	D	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	13	-	16	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Sean Longstaff	1	1	2	-	9	5	-	2	False	74	8	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	24	-	31	-	-	-	-	-	1	3	2

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Nottingham Forest and Leeds

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		34	22	7	5	64	26	38	73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City		33	21	7	5	66	29	37	70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United		34	17	10	7	60	46	14	61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool		34	17	7	10	57	44	13	58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa		34	17	7	10	47	42	5	58	L W D W L
6	Brighton		34	13	11	10	48	39	9	50	W W W D W
7	Bournemouth		34	11	16	7	52	52	0	49	D D W W D
8	Chelsea		34	13	9	12	53	45	8	48	L L L L L
9	Brentford		34	13	9	12	49	46	3	48	D D D D L
10	Fulham		34	14	6	14	44	46	-2	48	D W L D W
11	Everton		34	13	8	13	41	41	0	47	L W D L L
12	Sunderland		34	12	10	12	36	45	-9	46	L W W L L
13	Crystal Palace		33	11	10	12	36	39	-3	43	W D W D L
14	Newcastle		34	12	6	16	46	50	-4	42	W L L L L
15	Leeds	3-1	34	9	13	12	44	51	-7	40	D D W W D
16	Nottingham Forest	3-1	34	10	9	15	41	45	-4	39	D W D W W
17	West Ham		34	9	9	16	42	58	-16	36	D L W D W
18	Tottenham		34	8	10	16	43	53	-10	34	D L L D W
19	Burnley		34	4	8	22	34	68	-34	20	D L L L L
20	Wolves		34	3	8	23	24	62	-38	17	W D L L L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Nottingham Forest and Leeds

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Arsenal	34	80	1
2	Manchester City	33	79	2
3	Manchester United	34	67	3
4	Liverpool	34	65	4
5	Aston Villa	34	63	5
6	Brighton	34	55	8
7	Bournemouth	34	54	9
8	Chelsea	34	55	8
9	Brentford	34	53	9
10	Fulham	34	53	10
11	Everton	34	52	11
12	Sunderland	34	50	12
13	Crystal Palace	33	48	13
14	Newcastle	34	49	13
15	Leeds	34	46	15
16	Nottingham Forest	34	44	15
17	West Ham	34	40	17
18	Tottenham	34	39	17
19	Burnley	34	24	19
20	Wolves	34	22	20

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Predict the score

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

48.3%

Home Win

26.7%

Draw

24.9%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Nottingham Forest 1.65

Leeds 1.13

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Nottingham Forest

Leeds

The City Ground

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)