Leeds vs Aston Villa - Football Platform

Premier League

Leeds

HT: 1–0

Aston Villa

23 Nov 2025

15:00

Elland Road

Stadium

Elland Road

Leeds, West Yorkshire, England

Capacity: 40204 Surface: grass Address: Elland Road

Score Summary

Leeds

1 2

FT HT 1–0

Aston Villa

L. Nmecha 8'

48' M. Rogers
75' M. Rogers

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

41% Win

Leeds 1474 1466 ▼ -8

59% Win

Aston Villa 1535 1544 ▲ 8

xPi Expected win probability

52% Win

Leeds -0.06 0.39 ▲ 0.46

33% Win

Aston Villa -0.07 0.24 ▲ 0.32

Top Performers

Top Rated

Morgan Rogers

Aston Villa

8.3

8.3 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Morgan Rogers

Aston Villa

8.3

2 goals

Best Creator

Donyell Malen

Aston Villa

7.5

2 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Ethan Ampadu

Leeds

7.2

5 tackles · 2 interceptions

Match Momentum

Leeds 62% Aston Villa 38%

Key Stats Snapshot

48 Possession 52

14 Shots 14

5 On Target 3

Form Context

Leeds

D D W W D

Aston Villa

L W D W L

Smart Insight

Leeds controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Elo movement favors Aston Villa after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 46.9%

Draw 27.0%

Away Win 26.1%

Expected Goals 1.62 - 1.16

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City		70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United		61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool		58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa	1-2	58	L W D W L
6	Brighton		50	W W W D W

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

48 Possession 52

5 Shots 3

14 Shots 14

4 Offsides 2

5 Shots Off Goal 7

5 Shots On Goal 3

14 Total Shots 14

48 Ball Possession 52

339 Passes Accurate 358

400 Total Passes 449

85% Passes % 80%

4 Blocked Shots 4

2 Goalkeeper Saves 3

18 Fouls 16

0 Red Cards 0

5 Yellow Cards 1

3 Corner Kicks 3

9 Shots Insidebox 8

5 Shots Outsidebox 6

1.79 expected_goals 1.58

0 goals_prevented 0

Leeds — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Anton Stach	0	1	1	-	6	2	1	1	False	23	18	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	10	-	10	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Ao Tanaka	1	2	2	1	11	6	2	2	False	48	22	M	7.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	29	1	30	-	-	-	-	-	1	3	3
👤 Brenden Aaronson	0	5	1	1	14	6	1	1	False	80	11	F	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	1	19	-	22	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	3
👤 Daniel James	0	1	-	1	2	2	-	1	False	19	7	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	9	1	9	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	-
👤 Dominic Calvert-Lewin	0	1	-	1	6	3	2	-	False	19	9	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	1	1	-	1	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Ethan Ampadu	1	-	-	-	8	6	1	1	True	90	4	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	48	2	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	5
👤 Gabriel Gudmundsson	0	2	2	2	12	9	1	2	False	90	3	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	22	1	29	-	-	-	-	1	1	-	5
👤 Ilia Gruev	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	44	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jaka Bijol	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	15	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 James Justin	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	24	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jayden Bogle	1	3	-	1	9	6	1	3	False	90	2	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	1	26	1	35	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Joe Rodon	0	-	1	-	7	3	1	-	False	90	6	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	40	2	43	-	-	-	-	-	1	4	2
👤 Joël Piroe	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	10	10	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	1	4	-	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Karl Darlow	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	26	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lucas Perri	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	5.9	False	0	2	2	-	-	9	-	20	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lukas Nmecha	0	2	-	-	15	4	2	-	False	71	14	F	7.6	False	0	0	-	1	-	8	1	13	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Noah Okafor	0	4	2	2	12	5	1	1	False	80	19	F	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	10	-	14	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Pascal Struijk	1	-	1	-	8	3	1	-	False	90	5	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	61	-	65	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	-
👤 Sean Longstaff	0	1	2	-	10	5	3	2	False	90	8	M	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	37	2	42	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	3
👤 Wilfried Gnonto	1	-	-	-	3	2	1	2	False	10	29	F	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	1	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Aston Villa — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Boubacar Kamara	0	1	-	1	11	10	-	2	False	90	44	M	7.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	41	2	54	-	-	-	-	-	1	2	2
👤 Donyell Malen	0	2	-	1	5	3	-	1	False	45	17	F	7.5	True	1	0	-	-	-	5	2	6	-	-	-	-	2	-	-	1
👤 Emiliano Buendía	0	-	-	-	5	3	1	1	False	45	10	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	9	-	14	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	2
👤 Emiliano Martínez	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	90	23	G	7.3	False	0	1	3	-	-	23	-	32	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Evann Guessand	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	29	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ezri Konsa	0	-	-	-	5	1	-	-	False	90	4	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	62	-	64	-	-	-	-	-	2	-	1
👤 George Hemmings	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	53	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ian Maatsen	0	-	1	-	9	4	1	-	False	45	22	D	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	12	-	15	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Jadon Sancho	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	22	19	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	1	10	-	11	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 John McGinn	1	3	2	2	16	6	4	2	True	68	7	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	26	1	31	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Lamare Bogarde	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	False	13	26	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Lucas Digne	0	-	-	-	4	3	-	1	False	45	12	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	13	-	18	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Marco Bizot	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	40	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Matty Cash	0	1	2	1	12	6	3	1	False	90	2	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	24	2	27	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	3
👤 Morgan Rogers	0	9	1	4	18	5	2	1	False	90	27	F	8.3	False	0	0	-	2	-	13	2	20	-	-	-	2	2	-	1	-
👤 Ollie Watkins	0	5	-	2	10	4	1	1	False	68	11	F	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	1	5	1	9	-	-	-	1	3	-	-	-
👤 Pau Torres	0	1	1	-	10	6	-	1	False	90	14	D	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	55	-	68	-	-	-	-	-	2	-	3
👤 Ross Barkley	0	1	1	-	4	1	1	1	False	22	6	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	10	-	13	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Victor Lindelöf	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	3	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Youri Tielemans	0	1	1	1	12	9	2	4	False	84	8	M	7.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	45	2	60	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Leeds and Aston Villa

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		34	22	7	5	64	26	38	73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City		33	21	7	5	66	29	37	70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United		34	17	10	7	60	46	14	61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool		34	17	7	10	57	44	13	58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa	1-2	34	17	7	10	47	42	5	58	L W D W L
6	Brighton		34	13	11	10	48	39	9	50	W W W D W
7	Bournemouth		34	11	16	7	52	52	0	49	D D W W D
8	Chelsea		34	13	9	12	53	45	8	48	L L L L L
9	Brentford		34	13	9	12	49	46	3	48	D D D D L
10	Fulham		34	14	6	14	44	46	-2	48	D W L D W
11	Everton		34	13	8	13	41	41	0	47	L W D L L
12	Sunderland		34	12	10	12	36	45	-9	46	L W W L L
13	Crystal Palace		33	11	10	12	36	39	-3	43	W D W D L
14	Newcastle		34	12	6	16	46	50	-4	42	W L L L L
15	Leeds	1-2	34	9	13	12	44	51	-7	40	D D W W D
16	Nottingham Forest		34	10	9	15	41	45	-4	39	D W D W W
17	West Ham		34	9	9	16	42	58	-16	36	D L W D W
18	Tottenham		34	8	10	16	43	53	-10	34	D L L D W
19	Burnley		34	4	8	22	34	68	-34	20	D L L L L
20	Wolves		34	3	8	23	24	62	-38	17	W D L L L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Leeds and Aston Villa

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Arsenal	34	80	1
2	Manchester City	33	79	2
3	Manchester United	34	67	3
4	Liverpool	34	65	4
5	Aston Villa	34	63	5
6	Brighton	34	55	8
7	Bournemouth	34	54	9
8	Chelsea	34	55	8
9	Brentford	34	53	9
10	Fulham	34	53	10
11	Everton	34	52	11
12	Sunderland	34	50	12
13	Crystal Palace	33	48	13
14	Newcastle	34	49	13
15	Leeds	34	46	15
16	Nottingham Forest	34	44	15
17	West Ham	34	40	17
18	Tottenham	34	39	17
19	Burnley	34	24	19
20	Wolves	34	22	20

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

46.9%

Home Win

27.0%

Draw

26.1%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Leeds 1.62

Aston Villa 1.16

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Leeds

Aston Villa

Elland Road

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)