Manchester City vs Leeds - Football Platform

Premier League

Manchester City

Coach : Guardiola

HT: 2–0

Leeds

29 Nov 2025

16:00

Etihad Stadium

Stadium

Etihad Stadium

Manchester, England

Capacity: 55097 Surface: grass Address: Rowsley Street

Score Summary

Manchester City

3 2

FT HT 2–0

Leeds

49' D. Calvert-Lewin
68' L. Nmecha

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

60% Win

Manchester City 1534 1542 ▲ 8

40% Win

Leeds 1466 1458 ▼ -8

xPi Expected win probability

63% Win

Manchester City 0.51 0.88 ▲ 0.37

26% Win

Leeds -0.08 0.39 ▲ 0.47

Top Performers

Top Rated

Phil Foden

Manchester City

9.0

9.0 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Phil Foden

Manchester City

9.0

2 goals

Best Creator

Nico O'Reilly

Manchester City

6.5

3 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Ao Tanaka

Leeds

6.3

5 tackles · 1 interceptions

Match Momentum

Manchester City 69% Leeds 31%

Key Stats Snapshot

62 Possession 38

18 Shots 9

9 On Target 4

Form Context

Manchester City

D D W W W

Leeds

D D W W D

Smart Insight

Manchester City controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Manchester City generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors Manchester City after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 56.8%

Draw 24.9%

Away Win 18.3%

Expected Goals 1.82 - 0.95

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City	3-2	70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United		61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool		58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa		58	L W D W L
6	Brighton		50	W W W D W

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

62 Possession 38

9 Shots 4

18 Shots 9

2 Offsides 4

3 Shots Off Goal 3

9 Shots On Goal 4

18 Total Shots 9

62 Ball Possession 38

495 Passes Accurate 265

561 Total Passes 348

88% Passes % 76%

6 Blocked Shots 2

1 Goalkeeper Saves 6

17 Fouls 11

0 Red Cards 0

4 Yellow Cards 1

8 Corner Kicks 1

14 Shots Insidebox 8

4 Shots Outsidebox 1

3.10 expected_goals 1.54

0 goals_prevented 0

Manchester City — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Abdukodir Khusanov	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	45	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Bernardo Silva	1	1	-	-	5	-	2	-	True	89	20	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	59	1	63	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Erling Haaland	0	1	-	-	12	4	2	1	False	90	9	F	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	7	1	10	-	-	-	1	1	1	-	1
👤 Gianluigi Donnarumma	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	25	G	6.9	False	0	2	1	-	-	26	-	29	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 James Trafford	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 John Stones	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	1	5	D	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Joško Gvardiol	1	-	-	-	11	5	1	1	False	90	24	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	1	-	65	1	75	1	-	-	1	2	-	1	1
👤 Jérémy Doku	0	7	1	3	16	6	2	1	False	89	11	M	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	32	3	41	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Matheus Nunes	1	2	2	-	9	1	1	-	False	90	27	D	5.6	False	1	0	-	-	2	52	1	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nathan Aké	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	6	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nico González	0	1	-	1	12	6	2	2	False	90	14	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	63	-	70	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Nico O'Reilly	0	2	1	1	16	9	1	1	False	90	33	D	6.5	False	1	0	-	-	-	35	3	41	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	-
👤 Omar Marmoush	0	1	-	-	2	-	-	-	False	12	7	F	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Phil Foden	0	1	-	-	9	4	3	2	False	90	47	M	9	False	0	0	-	2	-	40	1	46	-	-	-	3	3	1	-	-
👤 Rayan Aït-Nouri	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	21	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Rayan Cherki	0	1	-	-	2	1	-	1	False	15	10	M	7	True	1	0	-	-	-	11	1	12	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Rico Lewis	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	82	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Rúben Dias	0	-	-	-	6	3	1	-	False	90	3	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	68	-	73	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Savinho	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	26	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tijjani Reijnders	0	3	-	2	8	5	2	2	False	75	4	M	7.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	35	1	38	-	-	-	-	1	1	1	1

Leeds — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.missed	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Ao Tanaka	0	-	3	-	12	7	1	-	False	89	22	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	18	-	25	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1	5
👤 Brenden Aaronson	0	-	-	-	3	3	-	-	False	9	11	M	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	4	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Daniel James	0	1	-	1	5	4	-	1	False	45	7	F	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	1	2	-	3	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Dominic Calvert-Lewin	0	1	-	1	14	6	1	3	False	45	9	F	7.9	True	0	0	-	1	2	1	-	4	-	0	-	1	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Ethan Ampadu	0	2	-	1	3	2	-	1	True	90	4	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	46	-	54	-	0	-	-	1	1	-	1	-
👤 Gabriel Gudmundsson	0	1	-	1	5	5	-	1	False	21	3	D	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	3	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Ilia Gruev	0	1	1	-	11	4	4	-	False	90	44	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	38	2	40	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	1	4
👤 Illan Meslier	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	16	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jack Harrison	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	20	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jaka Bijol	0	-	-	-	5	2	1	-	False	45	15	D	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	20	-	24	-	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	2
👤 James Justin	0	-	-	-	4	4	-	3	False	69	24	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	21	-	28	-	0	-	-	-	-	2	1	-
👤 Jayden Bogle	0	1	1	-	7	4	1	2	False	90	2	D	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	18	-	30	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Joe Rodon	1	-	1	-	4	3	-	-	False	90	6	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	34	-	39	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	-	3
👤 Joël Piroe	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	10	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lucas Perri	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	7.7	False	0	3	6	-	-	23	-	45	-	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lukas Nmecha	0	-	-	-	11	7	2	1	False	82	14	F	6.5	False	0	0	-	1	1	7	-	10	-	1	-	-	2	3	-	-	1
👤 Noah Okafor	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	8	19	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Pascal Struijk	0	-	1	-	12	7	-	2	False	90	5	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	25	-	28	-	0	-	-	-	1	2	1	1
👤 Sam Byram	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	25	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Wilfried Gnonto	0	-	-	-	11	6	1	3	False	45	29	F	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	9	1	11	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	3

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Manchester City and Leeds

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		34	22	7	5	64	26	38	73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City	3-2	33	21	7	5	66	29	37	70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United		34	17	10	7	60	46	14	61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool		34	17	7	10	57	44	13	58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa		34	17	7	10	47	42	5	58	L W D W L
6	Brighton		34	13	11	10	48	39	9	50	W W W D W
7	Bournemouth		34	11	16	7	52	52	0	49	D D W W D
8	Chelsea		34	13	9	12	53	45	8	48	L L L L L
9	Brentford		34	13	9	12	49	46	3	48	D D D D L
10	Fulham		34	14	6	14	44	46	-2	48	D W L D W
11	Everton		34	13	8	13	41	41	0	47	L W D L L
12	Sunderland		34	12	10	12	36	45	-9	46	L W W L L
13	Crystal Palace		33	11	10	12	36	39	-3	43	W D W D L
14	Newcastle		34	12	6	16	46	50	-4	42	W L L L L
15	Leeds	3-2	34	9	13	12	44	51	-7	40	D D W W D
16	Nottingham Forest		34	10	9	15	41	45	-4	39	D W D W W
17	West Ham		34	9	9	16	42	58	-16	36	D L W D W
18	Tottenham		34	8	10	16	43	53	-10	34	D L L D W
19	Burnley		34	4	8	22	34	68	-34	20	D L L L L
20	Wolves		34	3	8	23	24	62	-38	17	W D L L L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Manchester City and Leeds

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Arsenal	34	80	1
2	Manchester City	33	79	2
3	Manchester United	34	67	3
4	Liverpool	34	65	4
5	Aston Villa	34	63	5
6	Brighton	34	55	8
7	Bournemouth	34	54	9
8	Chelsea	34	55	8
9	Brentford	34	53	9
10	Fulham	34	53	10
11	Everton	34	52	11
12	Sunderland	34	50	12
13	Crystal Palace	33	48	13
14	Newcastle	34	49	13
15	Leeds	34	46	15
16	Nottingham Forest	34	44	15
17	West Ham	34	40	17
18	Tottenham	34	39	17
19	Burnley	34	24	19
20	Wolves	34	22	20

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Predict the score

Loading API predictions…

CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

56.8%

Home Win

24.9%

Draw

18.3%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Manchester City 1.82

Leeds 0.95

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Manchester City

Leeds

Etihad Stadium

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)