Brighton vs Aston Villa - Football Platform

Premier League

Brighton

HT: 2–2

Aston Villa

03 Dec 2025

20:30

Amex Stadium

Stadium

American Express Stadium

Falmer, East Sussex, England

Capacity: 31872 Surface: grass Address: Village Way

Score Summary

Brighton

3 4

FT HT 2–2

Aston Villa

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

46% Win

Brighton 1529 1520 ▼ -9

54% Win

Aston Villa 1559 1569 ▲ 9

xPi Expected win probability

47% Win

Brighton 0.24 0.33 ▲ 0.10

35% Win

Aston Villa 0.01 0.24 ▲ 0.23

Top Performers

Top Rated

Ollie Watkins

Aston Villa

8.6

8.6 rating · 86 min

Most Clinical

Jan Paul van Hecke

Brighton

7.6

2 goals

Best Creator

Morgan Rogers

Aston Villa

7.2

3 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Mats Wieffer

Brighton

6.5

6 tackles · 2 interceptions

Match Momentum

Brighton 41% Aston Villa 59%

Key Stats Snapshot

56 Possession 44

16 Shots 14

7 On Target 10

Form Context

Brighton

W W W D W

Aston Villa

L W D W L

Smart Insight

Aston Villa carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
Elo movement favors Aston Villa after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 43.1%

Draw 27.5%

Away Win 29.5%

Expected Goals 1.54 - 1.24

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City		70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United		61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool		58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa	3-4	58	L W D W L
6	Brighton	3-4	50	W W W D W

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

56 Possession 44

7 Shots 10

16 Shots 14

4 Offsides 1

6 Shots Off Goal 2

7 Shots On Goal 10

16 Total Shots 14

56 Ball Possession 44

404 Passes Accurate 300

473 Total Passes 362

85% Passes % 83%

3 Blocked Shots 2

6 Goalkeeper Saves 4

10 Fouls 9

0 Red Cards 0

2 Yellow Cards 2

5 Corner Kicks 6

12 Shots Insidebox 12

4 Shots Outsidebox 2

2.21 expected_goals 2.41

0 goals_prevented 0

Brighton — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Bart Verbruggen	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	8.3	False	0	4	6	-	-	50	-	56	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Brajan Gruda	0	3	2	-	14	4	2	2	False	77	8	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	1	13	-	16	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Carlos Baleba	0	3	1	2	10	6	-	1	False	78	17	M	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	29	-	34	-	-	-	-	-	1	3	2
👤 Charalampos Kostoulas	0	-	-	-	4	4	-	1	False	13	19	F	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	2	6	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	2
👤 Danny Welbeck	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	23	18	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	5	-	-	-	1	3	-	-	-
👤 Diego Coppola	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	42	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Diego Gómez	1	1	3	1	11	6	1	-	False	90	25	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	21	-	29	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	4
👤 Ferdi Kadıoğlu	0	-	1	-	2	1	-	-	False	67	24	D	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	1	21	-	22	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Jack Hinshelwood	0	1	-	1	3	1	-	-	False	66	13	M	6.3	True	1	0	-	-	-	26	1	29	-	-	-	-	2	-	-	-
👤 Jan Paul van Hecke	0	-	-	-	9	3	2	-	False	90	6	D	7.6	False	0	0	-	2	-	40	-	50	-	-	-	3	3	-	3	2
👤 Jason Steele	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	23	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Joe Knight	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	49	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Joel Veltman	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	12	34	D	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	13	-	14	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lewis Dunk	0	1	1	1	7	1	-	-	True	90	5	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	91	-	101	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	-
👤 Mats Wieffer	0	1	2	-	20	12	2	2	False	90	27	D	6.5	False	1	0	-	-	-	39	1	49	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	6
👤 Maxim De Cuyper	0	3	1	3	7	5	-	2	False	90	29	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	29	2	33	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Nehemiah Oriola	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	58	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Olivier Boscagli	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	21	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Stefanos Tzimas	0	-	1	-	4	1	1	-	False	24	9	F	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	1	4	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Yankuba Minteh	0	9	1	5	18	10	2	1	False	90	11	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	1	19	3	24	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	4

Aston Villa — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Amadou Onana	0	-	2	-	11	6	-	-	False	90	24	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	1	-	30	-	37	-	-	-	1	2	-	2	4
👤 Andrés García	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	16	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Boubacar Kamara	0	2	2	1	8	4	-	2	False	70	44	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	16	1	19	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Donyell Malen	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	13	17	F	6.9	True	0	0	-	1	-	2	-	2	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	-
👤 Emiliano Buendía	0	-	1	-	3	1	-	-	False	11	10	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Evann Guessand	0	1	-	1	7	2	2	-	False	86	29	M	5.2	False	1	0	-	-	-	7	1	11	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	1
👤 Ezri Konsa	0	1	-	1	6	6	-	2	False	90	4	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	44	-	49	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	1
👤 Ian Maatsen	0	6	3	5	19	10	-	-	False	70	22	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	21	2	25	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	4
👤 Jadon Sancho	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	19	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 John McGinn	1	1	1	-	9	2	1	-	True	77	7	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	13	-	14	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	2
👤 Lamare Bogarde	0	-	1	-	2	1	-	1	False	11	26	M	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Lucas Digne	0	1	1	-	3	-	-	-	False	20	12	D	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Marco Bizot	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	40	G	5.9	False	0	3	4	-	-	38	-	46	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Matty Cash	0	1	1	1	6	4	1	-	False	90	2	D	7.3	False	1	0	-	-	-	26	2	33	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Morgan Rogers	0	6	-	2	15	5	2	1	False	90	27	M	7.2	False	1	0	-	-	-	24	3	33	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	1
👤 Ollie Watkins	0	-	-	-	8	5	1	3	False	86	11	F	8.6	False	0	0	-	2	1	10	2	13	-	-	-	3	3	-	1	1
👤 Pau Torres	0	1	-	1	7	6	1	1	False	90	14	D	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	60	-	69	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	3
👤 Ronnie Hollingshead	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	60	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Victor Lindelöf	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	3	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Youri Tielemans	0	1	1	1	6	4	1	-	False	20	8	M	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	1	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Brighton and Aston Villa

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		34	22	7	5	64	26	38	73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City		33	21	7	5	66	29	37	70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United		34	17	10	7	60	46	14	61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool		34	17	7	10	57	44	13	58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa	3-4	34	17	7	10	47	42	5	58	L W D W L
6	Brighton	3-4	34	13	11	10	48	39	9	50	W W W D W
7	Bournemouth		34	11	16	7	52	52	0	49	D D W W D
8	Chelsea		34	13	9	12	53	45	8	48	L L L L L
9	Brentford		34	13	9	12	49	46	3	48	D D D D L
10	Fulham		34	14	6	14	44	46	-2	48	D W L D W
11	Everton		34	13	8	13	41	41	0	47	L W D L L
12	Sunderland		34	12	10	12	36	45	-9	46	L W W L L
13	Crystal Palace		33	11	10	12	36	39	-3	43	W D W D L
14	Newcastle		34	12	6	16	46	50	-4	42	W L L L L
15	Leeds		34	9	13	12	44	51	-7	40	D D W W D
16	Nottingham Forest		34	10	9	15	41	45	-4	39	D W D W W
17	West Ham		34	9	9	16	42	58	-16	36	D L W D W
18	Tottenham		34	8	10	16	43	53	-10	34	D L L D W
19	Burnley		34	4	8	22	34	68	-34	20	D L L L L
20	Wolves		34	3	8	23	24	62	-38	17	W D L L L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Brighton and Aston Villa

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Arsenal	34	80	1
2	Manchester City	33	79	2
3	Manchester United	34	67	3
4	Liverpool	34	65	4
5	Aston Villa	34	63	5
6	Brighton	34	55	8
7	Bournemouth	34	54	9
8	Chelsea	34	55	8
9	Brentford	34	53	9
10	Fulham	34	53	10
11	Everton	34	52	11
12	Sunderland	34	50	12
13	Crystal Palace	33	48	13
14	Newcastle	34	49	13
15	Leeds	34	46	15
16	Nottingham Forest	34	44	15
17	West Ham	34	40	17
18	Tottenham	34	39	17
19	Burnley	34	24	19
20	Wolves	34	22	20

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

43.1%

Home Win

27.5%

Draw

29.5%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Brighton 1.54

Aston Villa 1.24

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Brighton

Aston Villa

American Express Stadium

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)