Newcastle vs Burnley - Football Platform

Premier League

Newcastle

HT: 2–0

Burnley

06 Dec 2025

16:00

St. James' Park

Stadium

St. James' Park

Newcastle upon Tyne, England

Capacity: 52758 Surface: grass Address: St. James' Street

Score Summary

Newcastle

2 1

FT HT 2–0

Burnley

Bruno Guimaraes 31'
A. Gordon 45'

90' Z. Flemming

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

59% Win

Newcastle 1514 1523 ▲ 8

41% Win

Burnley 1449 1441 ▼ -8

xPi Expected win probability

63% Win

Newcastle 0.28 0.22 ▼ -0.06

26% Win

Burnley -0.69 -0.76 ▼ -0.07

Top Performers

Top Rated

Bruno Guimarães

Newcastle

9.2

9.2 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Bruno Guimarães

Newcastle

9.2

1 goals

Best Creator

Valentino Livramento

Newcastle

6.9

2 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Jacob Bruun Larsen

Burnley

7.3

6 tackles · 1 interceptions

Match Momentum

Newcastle 70% Burnley 30%

Key Stats Snapshot

70 Possession 30

17 Shots 9

7 On Target 3

Form Context

Newcastle

W L L L L

Burnley

D L L L L

Smart Insight

Newcastle controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Newcastle generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors Newcastle after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 57.0%

Draw 24.8%

Away Win 18.1%

Expected Goals 1.83 - 0.95

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal	73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City	70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United	61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool	58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa	58	L W D W L
6	Brighton	50	W W W D W

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

70 Possession 30

7 Shots 3

17 Shots 9

3 Offsides 2

7 Shots Off Goal 3

7 Shots On Goal 3

17 Total Shots 9

70 Ball Possession 30

554 Passes Accurate 188

611 Total Passes 259

91% Passes % 73%

3 Blocked Shots 3

2 Goalkeeper Saves 6

9 Fouls 11

0 Red Cards 1

2 Yellow Cards 2

9 Corner Kicks 9

6 Shots Insidebox 5

11 Shots Outsidebox 4

1.77 expected_goals 1.61

0 goals_prevented 0

Newcastle — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.scored	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Aaron Ramsdale	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	90	32	G	7	False	0	1	2	-	-	26	-	29	-	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Alex Murphy	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	37	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Anthony Elanga	0	7	1	1	13	3	-	1	False	90	20	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	32	-	37	-	-	0	-	1	2	-	-	1
👤 Anthony Gordon	0	3	-	3	8	6	1	3	False	74	10	F	8.6	False	0	0	-	1	-	36	2	43	-	-	1	-	1	3	-	-	-
👤 Bruno Guimarães	0	1	-	1	8	6	1	4	True	90	39	M	9.2	False	0	0	-	1	-	69	1	74	-	-	0	-	3	4	-	-	1
👤 Dan Burn	0	-	1	-	3	2	-	-	False	63	33	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	35	-	38	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Fabian Schär	0	-	-	-	14	7	3	-	False	90	5	D	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	1	70	-	79	-	-	0	-	1	2	1	-	3
👤 Harvey Barnes	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	11	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jacob Murphy	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	23	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jacob Ramsey	1	2	-	1	5	4	2	-	False	89	41	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	56	1	60	1	-	0	-	-	1	-	-	2
👤 Joe Willock	0	-	1	-	3	2	-	-	False	63	28	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	27	1	32	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	-	2
👤 Joelinton	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	16	7	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	13	1	14	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 John Ruddy	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	26	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lewis Hall	0	-	-	-	5	5	-	-	False	27	3	D	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	32	1	34	-	-	0	-	1	1	-	-	3
👤 Lewis Miley	0	1	-	1	3	2	-	-	False	27	67	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	13	1	13	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Malick Thiaw	0	-	-	-	6	6	-	-	False	90	12	D	7.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	62	-	68	-	-	0	-	-	-	1	-	1
👤 Nick Woltemade	0	1	1	1	3	1	-	-	False	74	27	F	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	1	11	-	12	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Sandro Tonali	0	1	-	1	2	1	1	-	False	1	8	M	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Valentino Livramento	1	1	-	-	11	6	1	2	False	90	21	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	1	65	2	70	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	4
👤 Yoane Wissa	0	-	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	16	9	F	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	7	-	8	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-

Burnley — Player Statistics

Player	cards.red	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.scored	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Armando Broja	0	0	4	-	-	27	8	2	2	False	86	27	F	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	8	1	13	-	-	0	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Florentino Luís	0	0	-	1	-	7	2	2	-	False	65	16	M	6	False	0	0	-	-	-	19	-	25	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Hjalmar Ekdal	0	0	1	1	1	6	2	-	-	False	89	18	D	6	False	0	0	-	-	-	15	-	17	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	1	1
👤 Jacob Bruun Larsen	0	0	-	-	-	8	7	-	-	False	86	7	F	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	17	-	23	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	1	6
👤 Jaidon Anthony	0	0	1	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	12	11	F	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	1	1	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Joe Worrall	0	0	-	-	-	2	1	1	-	False	45	4	D	7.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	-	6	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Josh Cullen	0	0	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	True	90	24	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	31	1	37	-	-	0	-	1	1	-	1	-
👤 Josh Laurent	0	1	-	1	-	5	2	1	-	False	25	29	M	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	5	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	2	2
👤 Kyle Walker	0	1	3	3	2	13	3	3	1	False	90	2	D	5.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	16	-	22	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lesley Ugochukwu	0	0	-	2	-	7	2	1	2	False	90	8	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	1	17	2	26	1	-	0	-	-	-	1	1	-
👤 Loum Tchaouna	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	17	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lucas Pires	1	0	1	-	1	3	2	1	-	False	43	23	D	5.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	13	-	14	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Lyle Foster	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	45	9	F	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	1	3	1	4	-	-	0	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Marcus Edwards	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	1	10	F	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	1	1	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Martin Dúbravka	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	7.2	False	0	2	6	-	-	15	-	38	-	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Max Weiss	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	13	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Maxime Estève	0	0	-	-	-	6	3	-	-	False	90	5	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	20	1	25	-	-	0	-	-	-	2	-	1
👤 Mike Trésor	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	31	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Quilindschy Hartman	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	3	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Zian Flemming	0	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	False	12	19	M	7	True	0	0	-	1	-	1	-	2	-	-	1	-	1	2	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Newcastle and Burnley

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		34	22	7	5	64	26	38	73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City		33	21	7	5	66	29	37	70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United		34	17	10	7	60	46	14	61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool		34	17	7	10	57	44	13	58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa		34	17	7	10	47	42	5	58	L W D W L
6	Brighton		34	13	11	10	48	39	9	50	W W W D W
7	Bournemouth		34	11	16	7	52	52	0	49	D D W W D
8	Chelsea		34	13	9	12	53	45	8	48	L L L L L
9	Brentford		34	13	9	12	49	46	3	48	D D D D L
10	Fulham		34	14	6	14	44	46	-2	48	D W L D W
11	Everton		34	13	8	13	41	41	0	47	L W D L L
12	Sunderland		34	12	10	12	36	45	-9	46	L W W L L
13	Crystal Palace		33	11	10	12	36	39	-3	43	W D W D L
14	Newcastle	2-1	34	12	6	16	46	50	-4	42	W L L L L
15	Leeds		34	9	13	12	44	51	-7	40	D D W W D
16	Nottingham Forest		34	10	9	15	41	45	-4	39	D W D W W
17	West Ham		34	9	9	16	42	58	-16	36	D L W D W
18	Tottenham		34	8	10	16	43	53	-10	34	D L L D W
19	Burnley	2-1	34	4	8	22	34	68	-34	20	D L L L L
20	Wolves		34	3	8	23	24	62	-38	17	W D L L L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Newcastle and Burnley

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Arsenal	34	80	1
2	Manchester City	33	79	2
3	Manchester United	34	67	3
4	Liverpool	34	65	4
5	Aston Villa	34	63	5
6	Brighton	34	55	8
7	Bournemouth	34	54	9
8	Chelsea	34	55	8
9	Brentford	34	53	9
10	Fulham	34	53	10
11	Everton	34	52	11
12	Sunderland	34	50	12
13	Crystal Palace	33	48	13
14	Newcastle	34	49	13
15	Leeds	34	46	15
16	Nottingham Forest	34	44	15
17	West Ham	34	40	17
18	Tottenham	34	39	17
19	Burnley	34	24	19
20	Wolves	34	22	20

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Predict the score

Loading API predictions…

CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

57.0%

Home Win

24.8%

Draw

18.1%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Newcastle 1.83

Burnley 0.95

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Newcastle

Burnley

St. James' Park

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)