Manchester United vs Bournemouth

Premier League

Manchester United

HT: 2–1

Bournemouth

15 Dec 2025

21:00

Old Trafford

Stadium

Old Trafford

Manchester, England

Capacity: 76212 Surface: grass Address: Sir Matt Busby Way

Score Summary

Manchester United

4 4

FT HT 2–1

Bournemouth

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

55% Win

Manchester United 1521 1520 ▼ -1

45% Win

Bournemouth 1487 1488 ▲ 1

xPi Expected win probability

57% Win

Manchester United 0.33 0.31 ▼ -0.02

30% Win

Bournemouth 0.06 0.33 ▲ 0.27

Top Performers

Top Rated

Bruno Fernandes

Manchester United

8.9

8.9 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Matheus Cunha

Manchester United

7.6

1 goals

Best Creator

Bruno Fernandes

Manchester United

8.9

5 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Marcos Senesi

Bournemouth

7.3

5 tackles · 2 interceptions

Match Momentum

Manchester United 50% Bournemouth 50%

Key Stats Snapshot

57 Possession 43

25 Shots 14

9 On Target 9

Form Context

Manchester United

W D L W W

Bournemouth

D D W W D

Smart Insight

Momentum stayed balanced with no clear sustained dominance.
Manchester United generated the clearer shot volume edge.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 51.3%

Draw 26.2%

Away Win 22.5%

Expected Goals 1.71 - 1.07

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City		70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United	4-4	61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool		58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa		58	L W D W L
6	Brighton		50	W W W D W

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

57 Possession 43

9 Shots 9

25 Shots 14

0 Offsides 1

6 Shots Off Goal 5

9 Shots On Goal 9

25 Total Shots 14

57 Ball Possession 43

310 Passes Accurate 202

393 Total Passes 300

79% Passes % 67%

10 Blocked Shots 0

5 Goalkeeper Saves 5

15 Fouls 12

0 Red Cards 0

2 Yellow Cards 3

5 Corner Kicks 4

18 Shots Insidebox 9

7 Shots Outsidebox 5

3.40 expected_goals 1.94

0 goals_prevented 0

Manchester United — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Altay Bayındır	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Amad Diallo	0	4	-	2	13	7	2	3	False	90	16	M	8.2	False	0	0	-	1	-	23	1	28	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	2
👤 Ayden Heaven	0	2	-	1	9	6	1	-	False	90	26	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	37	1	41	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Benjamin Šeško	0	1	-	-	4	-	-	-	False	21	30	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Bruno Fernandes	0	1	4	-	15	6	1	1	True	90	8	M	8.9	False	1	0	-	1	-	43	5	54	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	2
👤 Bryan Mbeumo	0	2	-	-	14	5	1	2	False	89	19	F	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	21	2	27	-	-	-	2	4	-	1	2
👤 Casemiro	1	-	3	-	12	4	2	1	False	61	18	M	7	False	0	0	-	1	-	22	1	28	-	-	-	1	3	-	-	2
👤 Diogo Dalot	1	1	1	-	12	6	2	1	False	90	2	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	28	2	32	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Joshua Zirkzee	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	8	11	F	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Kobbie Mainoo	0	1	-	1	1	1	1	-	False	29	37	M	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	21	1	24	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Leny Yoro	0	-	-	-	10	5	2	-	False	69	15	D	6	False	0	0	-	-	-	24	-	32	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Lisandro Martínez	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	21	6	D	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	10	-	13	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Luke Shaw	0	1	-	1	8	6	1	-	False	89	23	D	6	False	0	0	-	-	-	28	-	35	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Manuel Ugarte	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	25	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mason Mount	0	-	-	-	2	1	1	1	False	69	7	F	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	17	2	20	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Matheus Cunha	0	4	-	2	14	7	1	1	False	90	10	F	7.6	False	0	0	-	1	-	23	3	31	-	-	-	3	4	-	-	2
👤 Patrick Dorgu	0	-	1	-	5	2	-	-	False	8	13	D	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Senne Lammens	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	31	G	6.2	False	0	4	5	-	-	10	-	19	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tyler Fredricson	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	33	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tyrell Malacia	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	12	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Bournemouth — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Adam Smith	1	-	-	-	8	4	5	1	True	90	15	D	5.2	False	1	0	-	-	-	11	1	25	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	-
👤 Adrien Truffert	0	2	2	-	16	6	1	1	False	90	3	D	5	False	0	0	-	-	-	24	-	35	-	-	-	-	-	1	2	3
👤 Alex Scott	0	1	1	1	7	5	-	1	False	85	8	M	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	19	-	26	-	-	-	-	2	1	1	1
👤 Amine Adli	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	21	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Antoine Semenyo	1	2	1	1	19	8	2	1	False	90	24	M	7.3	False	0	0	-	1	1	13	2	22	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Bafodé Diakité	0	-	-	-	12	7	1	-	False	90	18	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	21	-	25	-	-	-	-	-	2	2	2
👤 David Brooks	0	1	-	1	1	1	-	-	False	10	7	M	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	3	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	-
👤 Eli Junior Kroupi	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	12	22	F	7.3	True	0	0	-	1	-	2	-	3	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Enes Unal	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	26	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Evanilson	0	3	-	2	8	4	-	2	False	78	9	F	7.9	False	0	0	-	1	-	10	-	11	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	-
👤 James Hill	0	-	1	-	2	-	-	-	False	10	23	D	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Julio Soler	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	6	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Julián Araujo	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	2	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Justin Kluivert	0	4	1	1	10	4	1	2	False	89	19	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	24	2	28	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Marcos Senesi	1	-	1	-	15	9	1	1	False	90	5	D	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	31	1	49	-	-	-	1	1	4	2	5
👤 Marcus Tavernier	0	1	-	-	11	8	1	4	False	89	16	M	8.2	False	1	0	-	1	-	24	3	30	-	-	-	3	4	-	-	2
👤 Tyler Adams	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	5	12	M	-	False	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Will Dennis	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	40	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Álex Jiménez	0	4	-	3	11	7	-	1	False	90	20	M	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	13	1	18	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Đorđe Petrović	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	6.2	False	0	4	5	-	-	7	-	22	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Manchester United and Bournemouth

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		34	22	7	5	64	26	38	73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City		33	21	7	5	66	29	37	70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United	4-4	34	17	10	7	60	46	14	61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool		34	17	7	10	57	44	13	58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa		34	17	7	10	47	42	5	58	L W D W L
6	Brighton		34	13	11	10	48	39	9	50	W W W D W
7	Bournemouth	4-4	34	11	16	7	52	52	0	49	D D W W D
8	Chelsea		34	13	9	12	53	45	8	48	L L L L L
9	Brentford		34	13	9	12	49	46	3	48	D D D D L
10	Fulham		34	14	6	14	44	46	-2	48	D W L D W
11	Everton		34	13	8	13	41	41	0	47	L W D L L
12	Sunderland		34	12	10	12	36	45	-9	46	L W W L L
13	Crystal Palace		33	11	10	12	36	39	-3	43	W D W D L
14	Newcastle		34	12	6	16	46	50	-4	42	W L L L L
15	Leeds		34	9	13	12	44	51	-7	40	D D W W D
16	Nottingham Forest		34	10	9	15	41	45	-4	39	D W D W W
17	West Ham		34	9	9	16	42	58	-16	36	D L W D W
18	Tottenham		34	8	10	16	43	53	-10	34	D L L D W
19	Burnley		34	4	8	22	34	68	-34	20	D L L L L
20	Wolves		34	3	8	23	24	62	-38	17	W D L L L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Manchester United and Bournemouth

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Arsenal	34	80	1
2	Manchester City	33	79	2
3	Manchester United	34	67	3
4	Liverpool	34	65	4
5	Aston Villa	34	63	5
6	Brighton	34	55	8
7	Bournemouth	34	54	9
8	Chelsea	34	55	8
9	Brentford	34	53	9
10	Fulham	34	53	10
11	Everton	34	52	11
12	Sunderland	34	50	12
13	Crystal Palace	33	48	13
14	Newcastle	34	49	13
15	Leeds	34	46	15
16	Nottingham Forest	34	44	15
17	West Ham	34	40	17
18	Tottenham	34	39	17
19	Burnley	34	24	19
20	Wolves	34	22	20

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

51.3%

Home Win

26.2%

Draw

22.5%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Manchester United 1.71

Bournemouth 1.07

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Manchester United

Bournemouth

Old Trafford

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)