Aston Villa vs Manchester United

Premier League

Aston Villa

HT: 1–1

Manchester United

21 Dec 2025

17:30

Villa Park

Stadium

Villa Park

Birmingham, England

Capacity: 42824 Surface: grass Address: Trinity Road

Score Summary

Aston Villa

2 1

FT HT 1–1

Manchester United

M. Rogers 45'
M. Rogers 57'

45' M. Cunha

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

60% Win

Aston Villa 1594 1602 ▲ 8

40% Win

Manchester United 1520 1512 ▼ -8

xPi Expected win probability

39% Win

Aston Villa 0.05 0.24 ▲ 0.20

37% Win

Manchester United 0.37 0.31 ▼ -0.06

Top Performers

Top Rated

Morgan Rogers

Aston Villa

8.6

8.6 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Morgan Rogers

Aston Villa

8.6

2 goals

Best Creator

John McGinn

Aston Villa

6.7

3 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Manuel Ugarte

Manchester United

6.2

5 tackles · 2 interceptions

Match Momentum

Aston Villa 40% Manchester United 60%

Key Stats Snapshot

43 Possession 57

12 Shots 15

4 On Target 6

Form Context

Aston Villa

L W D W L

Manchester United

W D L W W

Smart Insight

Manchester United carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
Manchester United produced more shot pressure than expected.
Elo movement favors Aston Villa after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 36.9%

Draw 27.8%

Away Win 35.3%

Expected Goals 1.41 - 1.37

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City		70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United	2-1	61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool		58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa	2-1	58	L W D W L
6	Brighton		50	W W W D W

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

43 Possession 57

4 Shots 6

12 Shots 15

3 Offsides 1

3 Shots Off Goal 6

4 Shots On Goal 6

12 Total Shots 15

43 Ball Possession 57

281 Passes Accurate 396

351 Total Passes 460

80% Passes % 86%

5 Blocked Shots 3

5 Goalkeeper Saves 2

4 Fouls 2

0 Red Cards 0

1 Yellow Cards 2

5 Corner Kicks 5

8 Shots Insidebox 5

4 Shots Outsidebox 10

1.54 expected_goals 1.33

0 goals_prevented 0

Aston Villa — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Amadou Onana	0	2	-	1	13	10	1	1	False	84	24	M	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	27	1	30	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	3
👤 Andrés García	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	16	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Boubacar Kamara	0	3	3	-	15	6	2	2	False	88	44	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	27	-	29	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Donyell Malen	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	15	17	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	1	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Emiliano Buendía	0	-	1	-	2	1	-	1	False	11	10	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Emiliano Martínez	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	1	False	90	23	G	6.7	False	0	1	5	-	-	30	-	49	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Evann Guessand	0	1	-	-	2	-	1	-	False	11	29	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ezri Konsa	0	-	-	-	2	-	1	-	False	90	4	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	30	-	34	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	-
👤 George Hemmings	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	53	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ian Maatsen	0	3	2	1	13	6	1	2	False	75	22	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	26	2	31	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	3
👤 John McGinn	0	1	-	1	11	3	1	1	True	84	7	M	6.7	False	1	0	-	-	-	20	3	28	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Lamare Bogarde	1	-	-	-	3	1	1	-	False	2	26	M	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Leon Routh	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	56	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lucas Digne	0	1	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	15	12	D	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Marco Bizot	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	40	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Matty Cash	0	1	-	-	6	1	1	-	False	90	2	D	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	25	-	30	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	1
👤 Morgan Rogers	0	1	-	-	4	1	-	1	False	90	27	M	8.6	False	0	0	-	2	1	13	-	18	-	-	-	3	4	-	1	-
👤 Ollie Watkins	0	-	-	-	6	1	-	-	False	75	11	F	6.5	False	1	0	-	-	1	6	1	9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Victor Lindelöf	0	-	-	-	4	1	1	-	False	90	3	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	47	-	51	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Youri Tielemans	0	-	2	-	18	11	1	4	False	90	8	M	7	False	0	0	-	-	1	19	2	27	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	4

Manchester United — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Altay Bayındır	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ayden Heaven	0	1	-	1	9	7	-	-	False	90	26	D	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	41	-	48	-	-	-	-	-	2	1	2
👤 Bendito Mantato	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	70	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Benjamin Šeško	0	1	-	-	4	2	1	-	False	73	30	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	7	-	9	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Bruno Fernandes	0	2	-	1	5	3	-	2	True	45	8	M	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	24	1	27	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Diogo Dalot	1	3	-	2	11	7	2	1	False	90	2	M	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	29	-	35	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	3
👤 Jack Fletcher	0	1	-	-	6	3	-	-	False	17	38	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	-	8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Joshua Zirkzee	0	-	-	-	2	1	-	1	False	17	11	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Leny Yoro	0	-	-	-	3	1	1	-	False	84	15	D	7	False	0	0	-	-	1	52	-	55	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	1
👤 Lisandro Martínez	0	1	-	-	4	2	1	-	False	45	6	D	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	29	1	32	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Luke Shaw	0	-	-	-	4	2	2	-	False	90	23	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	63	-	70	-	-	-	-	-	1	4	2
👤 Manuel Ugarte	1	1	2	1	15	8	4	1	False	73	25	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	27	-	32	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	5
👤 Mason Mount	0	3	1	1	13	4	2	-	False	90	7	F	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	34	1	45	-	-	-	-	2	-	1	3
👤 Matheus Cunha	0	2	-	-	9	4	1	2	False	90	10	F	7.9	False	0	0	-	1	-	37	2	42	-	-	-	3	6	-	-	2
👤 Patrick Dorgu	0	2	-	1	16	13	-	4	False	90	13	M	7.9	False	1	0	-	-	-	23	3	28	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	5
👤 Senne Lammens	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	31	G	7	False	0	2	2	-	-	19	-	24	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Shea Lacey	0	1	-	1	2	1	-	-	False	11	61	F	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Tom Heaton	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	22	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tyler Fredricson	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	33	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tyrell Malacia	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	12	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Aston Villa and Manchester United

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		34	22	7	5	64	26	38	73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City		33	21	7	5	66	29	37	70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United	2-1	34	17	10	7	60	46	14	61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool		34	17	7	10	57	44	13	58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa	2-1	34	17	7	10	47	42	5	58	L W D W L
6	Brighton		34	13	11	10	48	39	9	50	W W W D W
7	Bournemouth		34	11	16	7	52	52	0	49	D D W W D
8	Chelsea		34	13	9	12	53	45	8	48	L L L L L
9	Brentford		34	13	9	12	49	46	3	48	D D D D L
10	Fulham		34	14	6	14	44	46	-2	48	D W L D W
11	Everton		34	13	8	13	41	41	0	47	L W D L L
12	Sunderland		34	12	10	12	36	45	-9	46	L W W L L
13	Crystal Palace		33	11	10	12	36	39	-3	43	W D W D L
14	Newcastle		34	12	6	16	46	50	-4	42	W L L L L
15	Leeds		34	9	13	12	44	51	-7	40	D D W W D
16	Nottingham Forest		34	10	9	15	41	45	-4	39	D W D W W
17	West Ham		34	9	9	16	42	58	-16	36	D L W D W
18	Tottenham		34	8	10	16	43	53	-10	34	D L L D W
19	Burnley		34	4	8	22	34	68	-34	20	D L L L L
20	Wolves		34	3	8	23	24	62	-38	17	W D L L L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Aston Villa and Manchester United

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Arsenal	34	80	1
2	Manchester City	33	79	2
3	Manchester United	34	67	3
4	Liverpool	34	65	4
5	Aston Villa	34	63	5
6	Brighton	34	55	8
7	Bournemouth	34	54	9
8	Chelsea	34	55	8
9	Brentford	34	53	9
10	Fulham	34	53	10
11	Everton	34	52	11
12	Sunderland	34	50	12
13	Crystal Palace	33	48	13
14	Newcastle	34	49	13
15	Leeds	34	46	15
16	Nottingham Forest	34	44	15
17	West Ham	34	40	17
18	Tottenham	34	39	17
19	Burnley	34	24	19
20	Wolves	34	22	20

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

36.9%

Home Win

27.8%

Draw

35.3%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Aston Villa 1.41

Manchester United 1.37

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Aston Villa

Manchester United

Villa Park

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)