Manchester United vs Newcastle

Premier League

Manchester United

HT: 1–0

Newcastle

24' P. Dorgu

26 Dec 2025

21:00

Old Trafford

Stadium

Old Trafford

Manchester, England

Capacity: 76212 Surface: grass Address: Sir Matt Busby Way

Score Summary

Manchester United

1 0

FT HT 1–0

Newcastle

P. Dorgu 24'

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

50% Win

Manchester United 1512 1522 ▲ 10

50% Win

Newcastle 1514 1504 ▼ -10

xPi Expected win probability

51% Win

Manchester United 0.36 0.31 ▼ -0.05

33% Win

Newcastle 0.31 0.22 ▼ -0.09

Top Performers

Top Rated

Patrick Dorgu

Manchester United

8.2

8.2 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Patrick Dorgu

Manchester United

8.2

1 goals

Best Creator

Anthony Gordon

Newcastle

6.9

3 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Manuel Ugarte

Manchester United

6.9

6 tackles · 2 interceptions

Match Momentum

Manchester United 57% Newcastle 43%

Key Stats Snapshot

33 Possession 67

10 Shots 16

4 On Target 3

Form Context

Manchester United

W D L W W

Newcastle

W L L L L

Smart Insight

Manchester United controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Newcastle produced more shot pressure than expected.
Elo movement favors Manchester United after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 46.1%

Draw 27.1%

Away Win 26.8%

Expected Goals 1.60 - 1.17

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City		70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United	1-0	61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool		58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa		58	L W D W L
6	Brighton		50	W W W D W

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

33 Possession 67

4 Shots 3

10 Shots 16

0 Offsides 1

6 Shots Off Goal 6

4 Shots On Goal 3

10 Total Shots 16

33 Ball Possession 67

252 Passes Accurate 548

328 Total Passes 627

77% Passes % 87%

0 Blocked Shots 7

3 Goalkeeper Saves 3

9 Fouls 5

0 Red Cards 0

2 Yellow Cards 1

2 Corner Kicks 11

8 Shots Insidebox 14

2 Shots Outsidebox 2

1.27 expected_goals 1.18

0 goals_prevented 0

Manchester United — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Altay Bayındır	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ayden Heaven	0	-	1	-	3	2	-	-	False	90	26	D	7.5	False	0	-	-	-	34	-	36	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	1
👤 Bendito Mantato	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	70	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Benjamin Šeško	0	1	-	-	7	2	-	-	False	60	30	F	6.3	False	0	-	-	-	9	1	11	-	-	-	-	2	1	1	1
👤 Casemiro	0	-	1	-	6	3	1	-	False	61	18	M	6.7	False	0	-	-	-	29	-	32	-	-	-	-	1	-	2	3
👤 Diogo Dalot	0	-	1	-	5	4	-	-	False	90	2	D	7.5	False	0	-	-	-	18	-	22	-	-	-	-	1	2	1	2
👤 Jack Fletcher	0	-	-	-	5	1	1	-	False	45	38	M	6.3	True	0	-	-	-	7	1	9	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	1
👤 Joshua Zirkzee	0	1	-	-	7	1	-	-	False	30	11	F	6.2	True	0	-	-	-	4	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Leny Yoro	0	-	1	-	4	1	-	-	False	29	15	D	6.7	True	0	-	-	-	5	-	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	-
👤 Lisandro Martínez	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	True	88	6	D	7.3	False	0	-	-	-	34	1	38	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	-
👤 Luke Shaw	1	-	-	-	7	5	1	-	False	88	23	D	7	False	0	-	-	-	23	1	29	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	2
👤 Manuel Ugarte	0	2	3	2	16	8	3	-	False	90	25	M	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	27	1	37	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	6
👤 Mason Mount	0	-	2	-	5	1	1	-	False	45	7	M	6.6	False	0	-	-	-	14	1	21	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Matheus Cunha	1	6	2	4	15	5	2	1	False	90	10	M	6.9	False	0	-	-	-	22	1	27	-	-	-	1	3	-	3	-
👤 Patrick Dorgu	0	2	-	1	14	9	-	3	False	90	13	M	8.2	False	0	-	1	-	17	1	23	-	-	-	3	3	1	2	2
👤 Senne Lammens	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	1	False	90	31	G	7.3	False	0	3	-	-	8	-	30	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Shea Lacey	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	61	F	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tyler Fletcher	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	39	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tyler Fredricson	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	10	33	D	6.7	True	0	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tyrell Malacia	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	10	12	D	6.6	True	0	-	-	-	1	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1

Newcastle — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Aaron Ramsdale	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	32	G	6.3	False	0	1	3	-	-	19	-	23	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Adedamola Samuel Alabi	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	85	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Alex Murphy	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	37	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Anthony Gordon	0	3	-	2	8	3	1	-	False	90	10	F	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	28	3	34	-	-	-	-	2	-	-	1
👤 Bruno Guimarães	0	3	1	-	10	4	-	3	True	90	39	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	73	1	82	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	1
👤 Fabian Schär	0	-	-	-	7	5	-	-	False	90	5	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	74	-	85	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	1
👤 Harvey Barnes	0	1	1	-	3	-	-	-	False	22	11	M	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	9	1	11	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jacob Murphy	0	-	2	-	5	1	-	-	False	68	23	F	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	1	29	1	32	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jacob Ramsey	0	2	1	1	7	4	1	-	False	68	41	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	28	-	31	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	3
👤 Joe Willock	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	False	13	28	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	9	-	11	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Joelinton	0	1	-	-	5	3	1	-	False	22	7	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	12	-	15	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	2
👤 Leo Shahar	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	61	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lewis Hall	0	8	-	7	16	13	-	3	False	90	3	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	57	1	68	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Lewis Miley	0	-	1	-	6	4	-	1	False	90	67	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	80	1	84	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	1
👤 Malick Thiaw	0	-	-	-	9	5	-	-	False	90	12	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	72	1	79	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Nick Pope	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nick Woltemade	0	3	-	-	7	2	-	-	False	68	27	F	6	False	0	0	-	-	-	8	-	14	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Sandro Tonali	1	1	1	1	9	5	2	2	False	77	8	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	48	1	55	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Sean Neave	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	62	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Yoane Wissa	0	1	-	-	4	2	-	-	False	22	9	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	1	3	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Manchester United and Newcastle

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		34	22	7	5	64	26	38	73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City		33	21	7	5	66	29	37	70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United	1-0	34	17	10	7	60	46	14	61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool		34	17	7	10	57	44	13	58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa		34	17	7	10	47	42	5	58	L W D W L
6	Brighton		34	13	11	10	48	39	9	50	W W W D W
7	Bournemouth		34	11	16	7	52	52	0	49	D D W W D
8	Chelsea		34	13	9	12	53	45	8	48	L L L L L
9	Brentford		34	13	9	12	49	46	3	48	D D D D L
10	Fulham		34	14	6	14	44	46	-2	48	D W L D W
11	Everton		34	13	8	13	41	41	0	47	L W D L L
12	Sunderland		34	12	10	12	36	45	-9	46	L W W L L
13	Crystal Palace		33	11	10	12	36	39	-3	43	W D W D L
14	Newcastle	1-0	34	12	6	16	46	50	-4	42	W L L L L
15	Leeds		34	9	13	12	44	51	-7	40	D D W W D
16	Nottingham Forest		34	10	9	15	41	45	-4	39	D W D W W
17	West Ham		34	9	9	16	42	58	-16	36	D L W D W
18	Tottenham		34	8	10	16	43	53	-10	34	D L L D W
19	Burnley		34	4	8	22	34	68	-34	20	D L L L L
20	Wolves		34	3	8	23	24	62	-38	17	W D L L L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Manchester United and Newcastle

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Arsenal	34	80	1
2	Manchester City	33	79	2
3	Manchester United	34	67	3
4	Liverpool	34	65	4
5	Aston Villa	34	63	5
6	Brighton	34	55	8
7	Bournemouth	34	54	9
8	Chelsea	34	55	8
9	Brentford	34	53	9
10	Fulham	34	53	10
11	Everton	34	52	11
12	Sunderland	34	50	12
13	Crystal Palace	33	48	13
14	Newcastle	34	49	13
15	Leeds	34	46	15
16	Nottingham Forest	34	44	15
17	West Ham	34	40	17
18	Tottenham	34	39	17
19	Burnley	34	24	19
20	Wolves	34	22	20

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

46.1%

Home Win

27.1%

Draw

26.8%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Manchester United 1.60

Newcastle 1.17

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Manchester United

Newcastle

Old Trafford

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)