Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City

Premier League

Nottingham Forest

HT: 0–0

Manchester City

Coach : Guardiola

27 Dec 2025

13:30

City Ground

Stadium

The City Ground

Nottingham, Nottinghamshire, England

Capacity: 30576 Surface: grass Address: Pavilion Road

Score Summary

Nottingham Forest

1 2

FT HT 0–0

Manchester City

O. Hutchinson 54'

48' T. Reijnders
83' R. Cherki

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

38% Win

Nottingham Forest 1502 1494 ▼ -8

62% Win

Manchester City 1586 1594 ▲ 8

xPi Expected win probability

37% Win

Nottingham Forest 0.21 0.22 ▲ 0.02

38% Win

Manchester City 0.66 0.88 ▲ 0.23

Top Performers

Top Rated

Rayan Cherki

Manchester City

8.5

8.5 rating · 89 min

Most Clinical

Omari Hutchinson

Nottingham Forest

7.3

1 goals

Best Creator

Rayan Cherki

Manchester City

8.5

3 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Elliot Anderson

Nottingham Forest

7.5

4 tackles · 3 interceptions

Match Momentum

Nottingham Forest 29% Manchester City 71%

Key Stats Snapshot

34 Possession 66

7 Shots 16

2 On Target 5

Form Context

Nottingham Forest

D W D W W

Manchester City

D D W W W

Smart Insight

Manchester City carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
Manchester City produced more shot pressure than expected.
Elo movement favors Manchester City after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 35.7%

Draw 27.8%

Away Win 36.5%

Expected Goals 1.38 - 1.40

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City	1-2	70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United		61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool		58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa		58	L W D W L
6	Brighton		50	W W W D W

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

34 Possession 66

2 Shots 5

7 Shots 16

1 Offsides 1

2 Shots Off Goal 4

2 Shots On Goal 5

7 Total Shots 16

34 Ball Possession 66

219 Passes Accurate 536

293 Total Passes 595

75% Passes % 90%

3 Blocked Shots 7

3 Goalkeeper Saves 1

5 Fouls 13

0 Red Cards 0

1 Yellow Cards 2

5 Corner Kicks 5

5 Shots Insidebox 9

2 Shots Outsidebox 7

0.55 expected_goals 1.45

0 goals_prevented 0

Nottingham Forest — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Arnaud Kalimuendo	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	15	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Callum Hudson-Odoi	0	4	1	1	6	2	-	1	False	89	7	M	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	14	-	15	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Dilane Bakwa	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	1	29	F	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Douglas Luiz	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	12	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Elliot Anderson	1	4	1	2	15	10	1	2	False	90	8	M	7.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	47	1	56	-	-	-	-	-	1	3	4
👤 Igor Jesus	0	1	-	-	16	6	3	4	False	90	19	F	6.7	False	1	0	-	-	1	10	1	14	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 James McAtee	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	24	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 John Victor	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	13	G	6.3	False	0	2	3	-	-	13	-	27	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Matz Sels	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	26	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Morato	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	4	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Morgan Gibbs-White	0	2	1	1	7	2	-	-	True	90	10	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	23	1	27	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	1
👤 Murillo	0	1	-	-	6	4	-	-	False	90	5	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	23	-	30	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	3
👤 Neco Williams	0	3	3	1	11	5	-	3	False	90	3	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	21	-	26	-	-	-	1	1	1	1	1
👤 Nicolás Domínguez	0	-	1	-	5	4	-	-	False	87	16	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	15	-	18	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	3
👤 Nicolò Savona	0	-	1	-	4	3	-	1	False	90	37	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	22	1	39	-	-	-	-	1	1	1	1
👤 Nikola Milenković	0	-	1	-	7	6	-	1	False	90	31	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	11	-	18	-	-	-	-	-	2	1	1
👤 Oleksandr Zinchenko	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	35	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Omari Hutchinson	0	2	2	1	9	4	-	1	False	90	21	M	7.3	False	0	0	-	1	-	19	-	21	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Taiwo Awoniyi	0	-	-	-	2	-	1	-	False	9	9	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Zach Abbott	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	44	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Manchester City — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Abdukodir Khusanov	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	45	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Bernardo Silva	0	2	-	1	3	2	-	-	True	90	20	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	53	2	57	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Divine Mukasa	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	63	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Erling Haaland	0	-	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	90	9	F	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	1	5	1	7	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Gianluigi Donnarumma	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	25	G	6.2	False	0	1	1	-	-	14	-	17	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 James Trafford	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	1	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Joško Gvardiol	0	-	-	-	15	8	3	1	False	90	24	D	7.3	False	1	0	-	-	-	92	1	98	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	3
👤 Matheus Nunes	0	2	-	2	11	8	2	-	False	90	27	D	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	70	1	74	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	5
👤 Nathan Aké	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	1	6	D	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nico González	0	-	1	-	8	4	1	1	False	90	14	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	66	2	77	-	-	-	-	1	1	-	2
👤 Nico O'Reilly	1	5	-	3	17	7	2	-	False	90	33	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	45	2	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Phil Foden	0	3	3	2	10	3	1	1	False	90	47	M	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	30	2	38	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	-
👤 Rayan Cherki	0	4	1	2	9	5	-	1	False	89	10	M	8.5	False	1	0	-	1	-	42	3	48	-	-	-	2	3	-	1	2
👤 Reigan Heskey	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	92	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Rico Lewis	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	82	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Rodri	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	16	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ryan McAidoo	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	56	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Rúben Dias	1	-	-	-	5	3	2	-	False	90	3	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	89	-	94	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	-
👤 Savinho	0	3	-	1	4	1	1	-	False	17	26	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	9	-	11	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Tijjani Reijnders	0	2	1	-	4	-	1	-	False	73	4	M	7	False	0	0	-	1	-	19	2	22	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	-

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Nottingham Forest and Manchester City

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		34	22	7	5	64	26	38	73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City	1-2	33	21	7	5	66	29	37	70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United		34	17	10	7	60	46	14	61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool		34	17	7	10	57	44	13	58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa		34	17	7	10	47	42	5	58	L W D W L
6	Brighton		34	13	11	10	48	39	9	50	W W W D W
7	Bournemouth		34	11	16	7	52	52	0	49	D D W W D
8	Chelsea		34	13	9	12	53	45	8	48	L L L L L
9	Brentford		34	13	9	12	49	46	3	48	D D D D L
10	Fulham		34	14	6	14	44	46	-2	48	D W L D W
11	Everton		34	13	8	13	41	41	0	47	L W D L L
12	Sunderland		34	12	10	12	36	45	-9	46	L W W L L
13	Crystal Palace		33	11	10	12	36	39	-3	43	W D W D L
14	Newcastle		34	12	6	16	46	50	-4	42	W L L L L
15	Leeds		34	9	13	12	44	51	-7	40	D D W W D
16	Nottingham Forest	1-2	34	10	9	15	41	45	-4	39	D W D W W
17	West Ham		34	9	9	16	42	58	-16	36	D L W D W
18	Tottenham		34	8	10	16	43	53	-10	34	D L L D W
19	Burnley		34	4	8	22	34	68	-34	20	D L L L L
20	Wolves		34	3	8	23	24	62	-38	17	W D L L L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Nottingham Forest and Manchester City

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Arsenal	34	80	1
2	Manchester City	33	79	2
3	Manchester United	34	67	3
4	Liverpool	34	65	4
5	Aston Villa	34	63	5
6	Brighton	34	55	8
7	Bournemouth	34	54	9
8	Chelsea	34	55	8
9	Brentford	34	53	9
10	Fulham	34	53	10
11	Everton	34	52	11
12	Sunderland	34	50	12
13	Crystal Palace	33	48	13
14	Newcastle	34	49	13
15	Leeds	34	46	15
16	Nottingham Forest	34	44	15
17	West Ham	34	40	17
18	Tottenham	34	39	17
19	Burnley	34	24	19
20	Wolves	34	22	20

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

35.7%

Home Win

27.8%

Draw

36.5%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Nottingham Forest 1.38

Manchester City 1.40

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Nottingham Forest

Manchester City

The City Ground

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)