Chelsea vs Aston Villa - Football Platform

Premier League

Chelsea

HT: 1–0

Aston Villa

27 Dec 2025

18:30

Stamford Bridge

Stadium

Stamford Bridge

London, England

Capacity: 41841 Surface: grass Address: Fulham Road

Score Summary

Chelsea

1 2

FT HT 1–0

Aston Villa

Joao Pedro 37'

63' O. Watkins
84' O. Watkins

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

40% Win

Chelsea 1534 1526 ▼ -8

60% Win

Aston Villa 1602 1610 ▲ 8

xPi Expected win probability

55% Win

Chelsea 0.28 0.81 ▲ 0.53

31% Win

Aston Villa 0.06 0.24 ▲ 0.19

Top Performers

Top Rated

Ollie Watkins

Aston Villa

9.2

9.2 rating · 32 min

Most Clinical

Ollie Watkins

Aston Villa

9.2

2 goals

Best Creator

Reece James

Chelsea

8.3

3 key passes · 1 assists

Defensive Leader

Reece James

Chelsea

8.3

7 tackles · 2 interceptions

Match Momentum

Chelsea 27% Aston Villa 73%

Key Stats Snapshot

63 Possession 37

14 Shots 11

3 On Target 8

Form Context

Chelsea

L L L L L

Aston Villa

L W D W L

Smart Insight

Aston Villa carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
Chelsea generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors Aston Villa after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 49.8%

Draw 26.5%

Away Win 23.7%

Expected Goals 1.68 - 1.10

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City		70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United		61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool		58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa	1-2	58	L W D W L
6	Brighton		50	W W W D W

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

63 Possession 37

3 Shots 8

14 Shots 11

N/A Offsides N/A

4 Shots Off Goal 1

3 Shots On Goal 8

14 Total Shots 11

63 Ball Possession 37

469 Passes Accurate 257

528 Total Passes 321

89% Passes % 80%

7 Blocked Shots 2

6 Goalkeeper Saves 2

16 Fouls 8

0 Red Cards 0

5 Yellow Cards 3

6 Corner Kicks 7

8 Shots Insidebox 7

6 Shots Outsidebox 4

2.14 expected_goals 1.19

0 goals_prevented 0

Chelsea — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Alejandro Garnacho	0	-	-	-	5	3	2	1	False	69	49	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	24	2	28	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	2
👤 Andrey Santos	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	17	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Benoît Badiashile	0	-	1	-	7	4	1	1	False	90	5	D	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	77	-	82	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	1
👤 Cole Palmer	0	1	-	1	6	3	-	1	False	72	10	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	23	-	29	-	-	-	1	2	-	2	1
👤 Enzo Fernández	1	1	-	-	14	7	4	3	False	90	8	M	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	39	1	43	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	4
👤 Estêvão	0	2	1	1	3	1	-	-	False	18	41	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Filip Jørgensen	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	12	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jamie Gittens	0	2	-	2	4	3	-	-	False	21	11	F	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Josh Acheampong	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	34	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 João Pedro	0	1	-	1	6	5	1	-	False	69	20	F	7.6	False	0	0	-	1	-	5	-	8	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	2
👤 Liam Delap	1	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	21	9	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Malo Gusto	0	-	-	-	3	3	-	-	False	21	27	D	6.6	True	0	0	-	-	-	10	-	12	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3
👤 Marc Cucurella	0	-	-	-	4	4	-	1	False	69	3	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	30	1	34	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	2
👤 Moisés Caicedo	1	-	1	-	11	4	6	-	False	90	25	M	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	62	1	66	-	-	-	-	-	2	-	2
👤 Pedro Neto	0	2	2	1	5	2	-	-	False	90	7	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	38	2	46	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Reece James	1	-	-	-	7	7	-	-	True	90	24	D	8.3	False	1	0	-	-	-	59	3	62	-	-	-	-	1	-	2	7
👤 Robert Sánchez	0	-	-	-	1	1	1	-	False	90	1	G	7.7	False	0	2	6	-	-	25	-	31	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tosin Adarabioyo	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	4	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Trevoh Chalobah	1	-	1	-	11	4	1	1	False	90	23	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	70	-	75	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Wesley Fofana	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	29	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Aston Villa — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Amadou Onana	0	-	-	-	2	2	-	1	False	31	24	M	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	12	-	13	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Andrés García	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	16	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Boubacar Kamara	1	1	1	-	9	3	1	2	False	83	44	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	27	-	34	-	-	-	1	1	1	-	1
👤 Donyell Malen	0	-	-	-	4	1	-	-	False	59	17	F	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Emiliano Buendía	0	1	1	-	11	4	2	2	False	58	10	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	18	1	23	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Emiliano Martínez	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	23	G	7.2	False	0	1	2	-	-	27	-	37	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ezri Konsa	0	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	False	90	4	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	34	-	36	-	-	-	-	-	2	-	-
👤 George Hemmings	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	53	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ian Maatsen	0	2	1	-	5	-	1	-	False	83	22	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	17	-	19	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	-
👤 Jadon Sancho	0	3	-	2	4	2	-	-	False	31	19	F	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	14	-	15	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Jamaldeen Jimoh	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	20	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 John McGinn	0	-	1	-	6	4	1	3	True	59	7	M	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lamare Bogarde	0	-	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	13	26	M	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Lucas Digne	0	-	1	-	1	-	-	-	False	13	12	D	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	2	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	-
👤 Marco Bizot	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	40	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Matty Cash	1	-	1	-	8	5	1	2	False	90	2	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	14	1	21	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	2
👤 Morgan Rogers	1	3	-	-	17	5	1	2	False	90	27	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	15	3	21	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Ollie Watkins	0	3	-	2	5	3	-	-	False	32	11	F	9.2	True	0	0	-	2	-	4	-	8	-	-	-	4	4	-	-	-
👤 Victor Lindelöf	0	-	-	-	3	1	-	-	False	90	3	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	32	-	34	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	1
👤 Youri Tielemans	0	3	-	2	10	5	1	2	False	90	8	M	7.2	False	1	0	-	-	-	33	2	42	-	-	-	-	-	2	1	1

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Chelsea and Aston Villa

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		34	22	7	5	64	26	38	73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City		33	21	7	5	66	29	37	70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United		34	17	10	7	60	46	14	61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool		34	17	7	10	57	44	13	58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa	1-2	34	17	7	10	47	42	5	58	L W D W L
6	Brighton		34	13	11	10	48	39	9	50	W W W D W
7	Bournemouth		34	11	16	7	52	52	0	49	D D W W D
8	Chelsea	1-2	34	13	9	12	53	45	8	48	L L L L L
9	Brentford		34	13	9	12	49	46	3	48	D D D D L
10	Fulham		34	14	6	14	44	46	-2	48	D W L D W
11	Everton		34	13	8	13	41	41	0	47	L W D L L
12	Sunderland		34	12	10	12	36	45	-9	46	L W W L L
13	Crystal Palace		33	11	10	12	36	39	-3	43	W D W D L
14	Newcastle		34	12	6	16	46	50	-4	42	W L L L L
15	Leeds		34	9	13	12	44	51	-7	40	D D W W D
16	Nottingham Forest		34	10	9	15	41	45	-4	39	D W D W W
17	West Ham		34	9	9	16	42	58	-16	36	D L W D W
18	Tottenham		34	8	10	16	43	53	-10	34	D L L D W
19	Burnley		34	4	8	22	34	68	-34	20	D L L L L
20	Wolves		34	3	8	23	24	62	-38	17	W D L L L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Chelsea and Aston Villa

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Arsenal	34	80	1
2	Manchester City	33	79	2
3	Manchester United	34	67	3
4	Liverpool	34	65	4
5	Aston Villa	34	63	5
6	Brighton	34	55	8
7	Bournemouth	34	54	9
8	Chelsea	34	55	8
9	Brentford	34	53	9
10	Fulham	34	53	10
11	Everton	34	52	11
12	Sunderland	34	50	12
13	Crystal Palace	33	48	13
14	Newcastle	34	49	13
15	Leeds	34	46	15
16	Nottingham Forest	34	44	15
17	West Ham	34	40	17
18	Tottenham	34	39	17
19	Burnley	34	24	19
20	Wolves	34	22	20

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Predict the score

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CatBoost Prediction

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Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

49.8%

Home Win

26.5%

Draw

23.7%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Chelsea 1.68

Aston Villa 1.10

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Chelsea

Aston Villa

Stamford Bridge

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)