Burnley vs Newcastle - Football Platform

Premier League

Burnley

HT: 1–2

Newcastle

30 Dec 2025

20:30

Turf Moor

Stadium

Turf Moor

Burnley, England

Capacity: 22546 Surface: grass Address: Harry Potts Way

Score Summary

Burnley

1 3

FT HT 1–2

Newcastle

J. Laurent 23'

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

40% Win

Burnley 1436 1428 ▼ -8

60% Win

Newcastle 1504 1512 ▲ 8

xPi Expected win probability

32% Win

Burnley -0.56 -0.76 ▼ -0.20

53% Win

Newcastle 0.33 0.22 ▼ -0.11

Top Performers

Top Rated

Bruno Guimarães

Newcastle

8.5

8.5 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Josh Laurent

Burnley

7.2

1 goals

Best Creator

Lucas Pires

Burnley

6.7

4 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Kyle Walker

Burnley

7.3

4 tackles · 2 interceptions

Match Momentum

Burnley 31% Newcastle 69%

Key Stats Snapshot

48 Possession 52

15 Shots 20

4 On Target 9

Form Context

Burnley

D L L L L

Newcastle

W L L L L

Smart Insight

Newcastle carried stronger momentum across the match profile.
Newcastle produced more shot pressure than expected.
Elo movement favors Newcastle after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 25.0%

Draw 26.8%

Away Win 48.2%

Expected Goals 1.13 - 1.65

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal	73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City	70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United	61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool	58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa	58	L W D W L
6	Brighton	50	W W W D W

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

48 Possession 52

4 Shots 9

15 Shots 20

1 Offsides 2

8 Shots Off Goal 5

4 Shots On Goal 9

15 Total Shots 20

48 Ball Possession 52

349 Passes Accurate 389

439 Total Passes 467

79% Passes % 83%

3 Blocked Shots 6

4 Goalkeeper Saves 2

9 Fouls 3

0 Red Cards 0

2 Yellow Cards 1

3 Corner Kicks 4

8 Shots Insidebox 13

7 Shots Outsidebox 7

1.09 expected_goals 2.31

0 goals_prevented 0

Burnley — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Armando Broja	0	3	1	2	20	9	1	3	False	90	27	F	6.9	False	1	0	-	-	-	13	2	18	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	2
👤 Ashley Barnes	0	-	-	-	2	-	-	-	False	9	35	F	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Bashir Humphreys	0	-	-	-	6	2	1	-	False	75	12	D	7.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	57	-	63	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Florentino Luís	1	2	1	-	11	4	1	-	False	88	16	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	51	1	56	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	4
👤 Hjalmar Ekdal	0	-	-	-	9	8	-	-	False	90	18	D	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	-	35	-	43	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	1
👤 Jacob Bruun Larsen	0	1	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	16	7	F	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Jaidon Anthony	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	11	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jaydon Banel	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	34	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Josh Laurent	0	2	2	1	12	7	2	-	False	90	29	D	7.2	False	0	0	-	1	-	25	3	38	-	-	-	1	2	1	2	2
👤 Kyle Walker	1	1	-	-	8	7	-	-	True	90	2	M	7.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	29	-	42	-	-	-	-	-	2	2	4
👤 Lesley Ugochukwu	0	-	-	-	11	7	1	-	False	88	8	M	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	43	1	54	-	-	-	-	-	1	1	4
👤 Loum Tchaouna	0	-	-	-	2	-	-	-	False	74	17	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	21	1	27	-	-	-	1	4	-	-	-
👤 Lucas Pires	0	1	1	-	9	3	2	-	False	90	23	M	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	1	29	4	33	-	-	-	-	2	1	2	3
👤 Marcus Edwards	0	6	1	2	12	3	1	-	False	90	10	F	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	21	3	24	-	-	-	2	4	-	-	1
👤 Martin Dúbravka	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	5.9	False	0	3	4	-	-	15	-	28	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Max Weiss	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	13	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Maxime Estève	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	15	5	D	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	5	-	7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Mike Trésor	0	1	-	-	2	-	-	-	False	9	31	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	3	-	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Oliver Pimlott	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	54	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Oliver Sonne	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	22	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Newcastle — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Aaron Ramsdale	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	32	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Adedamola Samuel Alabi	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	85	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Alex Murphy	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	37	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Anthony Gordon	0	7	2	3	16	7	-	1	False	80	10	F	6.5	False	0	0	-	-	-	23	-	29	-	-	-	-	1	-	1	3
👤 Bruno Guimarães	0	2	-	1	12	8	-	1	True	90	39	M	8.5	False	0	0	-	1	-	37	3	41	-	-	-	2	3	-	1	5
👤 Fabian Schär	0	-	-	-	11	8	2	-	False	90	5	D	7.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	57	1	69	-	-	-	1	1	1	1	1
👤 Harvey Barnes	0	-	-	-	4	3	-	2	False	72	11	F	6.7	False	0	0	-	-	1	12	1	15	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	1
👤 Jacob Murphy	0	1	-	-	2	1	-	-	False	18	23	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	8	-	8	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1
👤 Jacob Ramsey	0	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	False	10	41	M	6.3	True	0	0	-	-	-	9	-	9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Joe Willock	0	1	-	-	3	2	-	-	False	1	28	M	-	True	0	0	-	-	-	1	-	2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Joelinton	1	1	1	-	16	10	1	2	False	89	7	M	8.2	False	0	0	-	1	-	41	4	53	-	-	-	1	1	-	2	2
👤 Leo Shahar	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	61	D	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lewis Hall	0	2	-	2	14	6	-	2	False	90	3	D	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	44	1	50	-	-	-	-	-	1	3	2
👤 Lewis Miley	0	-	1	-	6	4	-	-	False	90	67	D	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	45	-	48	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	2
👤 Malick Thiaw	0	-	-	-	3	2	-	-	False	90	12	D	6.6	False	0	0	-	-	-	40	-	40	-	-	-	1	1	1	1	-
👤 Nick Pope	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	6.3	False	0	1	2	-	-	12	-	26	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Nick Woltemade	0	-	-	-	5	1	-	-	False	10	27	F	6.2	True	0	0	-	-	-	2	-	5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Sandro Tonali	0	1	1	-	6	2	-	1	False	90	8	M	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	49	-	60	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-
👤 Sean Neave	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	62	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Yoane Wissa	0	1	-	-	9	3	-	-	False	80	9	F	7.3	False	0	0	-	1	1	9	-	12	-	-	-	2	4	-	-	1

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Burnley and Newcastle

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		34	22	7	5	64	26	38	73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City		33	21	7	5	66	29	37	70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United		34	17	10	7	60	46	14	61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool		34	17	7	10	57	44	13	58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa		34	17	7	10	47	42	5	58	L W D W L
6	Brighton		34	13	11	10	48	39	9	50	W W W D W
7	Bournemouth		34	11	16	7	52	52	0	49	D D W W D
8	Chelsea		34	13	9	12	53	45	8	48	L L L L L
9	Brentford		34	13	9	12	49	46	3	48	D D D D L
10	Fulham		34	14	6	14	44	46	-2	48	D W L D W
11	Everton		34	13	8	13	41	41	0	47	L W D L L
12	Sunderland		34	12	10	12	36	45	-9	46	L W W L L
13	Crystal Palace		33	11	10	12	36	39	-3	43	W D W D L
14	Newcastle	1-3	34	12	6	16	46	50	-4	42	W L L L L
15	Leeds		34	9	13	12	44	51	-7	40	D D W W D
16	Nottingham Forest		34	10	9	15	41	45	-4	39	D W D W W
17	West Ham		34	9	9	16	42	58	-16	36	D L W D W
18	Tottenham		34	8	10	16	43	53	-10	34	D L L D W
19	Burnley	1-3	34	4	8	22	34	68	-34	20	D L L L L
20	Wolves		34	3	8	23	24	62	-38	17	W D L L L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Burnley and Newcastle

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Arsenal	34	80	1
2	Manchester City	33	79	2
3	Manchester United	34	67	3
4	Liverpool	34	65	4
5	Aston Villa	34	63	5
6	Brighton	34	55	8
7	Bournemouth	34	54	9
8	Chelsea	34	55	8
9	Brentford	34	53	9
10	Fulham	34	53	10
11	Everton	34	52	11
12	Sunderland	34	50	12
13	Crystal Palace	33	48	13
14	Newcastle	34	49	13
15	Leeds	34	46	15
16	Nottingham Forest	34	44	15
17	West Ham	34	40	17
18	Tottenham	34	39	17
19	Burnley	34	24	19
20	Wolves	34	22	20

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Predict the score

Loading API predictions…

CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

25.0%

Home Win

26.8%

Draw

48.2%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Burnley 1.13

Newcastle 1.65

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Burnley

Newcastle

Turf Moor

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)