Brighton vs Burnley - Football Platform

Premier League

Brighton

HT: 1–0

Burnley

29' G. Rutter
47' Y. Ayari

03 Jan 2026

16:00

Amex Stadium

Stadium

American Express Stadium

Falmer, East Sussex, England

Capacity: 31872 Surface: grass Address: Village Way

Score Summary

Brighton

2 0

FT HT 1–0

Burnley

G. Rutter 29'
Y. Ayari 47'

Elo & xPi Evolution

Elo Expected win probability

60% Win

Brighton 1500 1508 ▲ 8

40% Win

Burnley 1428 1420 ▼ -8

xPi Expected win probability

58% Win

Brighton 0.15 0.33 ▲ 0.18

29% Win

Burnley -0.59 -0.76 ▼ -0.17

Top Performers

Top Rated

Ferdi Kadıoğlu

Brighton

8.6

8.6 rating · 90 min

Most Clinical

Yasin Ayari

Brighton

8.3

1 goals

Best Creator

Ferdi Kadıoğlu

Brighton

8.6

3 key passes · 0 assists

Defensive Leader

Florentino Luís

Burnley

7.0

7 tackles · 2 interceptions

Match Momentum

Brighton 57% Burnley 43%

Key Stats Snapshot

60 Possession 40

15 Shots 5

4 On Target 3

Form Context

Brighton

W W W D W

Burnley

D L L L L

Smart Insight

Brighton controlled momentum for most phases of play.
Brighton generated the clearer shot volume edge.
Elo movement favors Brighton after this result.

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Home Win 52.6%

Draw 25.9%

Away Win 21.5%

Expected Goals 1.74 - 1.04

Standings (Top 6)

Full table

#	Team	Scr	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City		70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United		61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool		58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa		58	L W D W L
6	Brighton	2-0	50	W W W D W

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

60 Possession 40

4 Shots 3

15 Shots 5

3 Offsides 1

7 Shots Off Goal 2

4 Shots On Goal 3

15 Total Shots 5

60 Ball Possession 40

546 Passes Accurate 325

608 Total Passes 396

90% Passes % 82%

4 Blocked Shots 0

2 Goalkeeper Saves 2

7 Fouls 17

0 Red Cards 0

0 Yellow Cards 4

4 Corner Kicks 4

9 Shots Insidebox 4

6 Shots Outsidebox 1

1.45 expected_goals 0.30

-1 goals_prevented -1

Brighton — Player Statistics

Player	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Bart Verbruggen	-	-	-	2	2	-	1	False	90	1	G	7.5	False	0	2	-	-	43	-	45	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Brajan Gruda	3	-	2	11	6	1	2	False	87	8	M	6.6	False	0	-	-	-	22	2	32	-	-	-	-	-	-	1	-
👤 Charalampos Kostoulas	4	-	1	17	10	-	2	False	71	19	F	7.3	False	1	-	-	2	8	1	13	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	2
👤 Danny Welbeck	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	19	18	F	6.5	True	0	-	-	-	7	-	10	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Diego Coppola	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	42	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Diego Gómez	3	3	-	11	3	-	-	False	80	25	M	6.5	False	0	-	-	-	33	-	34	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	3
👤 Ferdi Kadıoğlu	1	-	1	8	5	-	2	False	90	24	D	8.6	False	0	-	-	-	58	3	63	-	-	-	-	-	1	2	1
👤 Georginio Rutter	4	-	-	14	4	1	2	False	71	10	M	6.9	False	0	-	1	-	8	-	8	-	-	-	1	1	-	-	1
👤 Jack Hinshelwood	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	13	M	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 James Milner	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	10	20	M	6.6	True	0	-	-	-	8	-	8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jan Paul van Hecke	2	-	2	7	7	-	-	False	90	6	D	7.6	False	0	-	-	-	87	-	91	-	-	-	1	2	-	-	1
👤 Jason Steele	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	23	G	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Joel Veltman	1	1	-	6	4	-	1	False	90	34	D	7	False	0	-	-	-	46	1	53	-	-	-	-	1	-	2	2
👤 Kaoru Mitoma	2	1	1	7	4	-	1	False	70	22	M	6.6	False	0	-	-	-	29	1	37	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1
👤 Lewis Dunk	1	3	1	11	5	-	-	True	90	5	D	7.9	False	0	-	-	-	123	1	128	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	2
👤 Maxim De Cuyper	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	False	20	29	D	6.9	True	0	-	-	-	17	-	18	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-
👤 Olivier Boscagli	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	21	D	-	True	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Pascal Groß	-	-	-	6	2	3	1	False	19	30	M	6.5	True	0	-	-	1	15	-	17	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Tom Watson	-	-	-	1	-	1	-	False	3	14	F	-	True	0	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Yasin Ayari	1	-	-	10	6	1	2	False	90	26	M	8.3	False	0	-	1	-	42	1	50	-	-	-	1	2	-	1	4

Burnley — Player Statistics

Player	cards.yellow	dribbles.attempts	dribbles.past	dribbles.success	duels.total	duels.won	fouls.committed	fouls.drawn	games.captain	games.minutes	games.number	games.position	games.rating	games.substitute	goals.assists	goals.conceded	goals.saves	goals.total	offsides	passes.accuracy	passes.key	passes.total	penalty.commited	penalty.saved	penalty.won	shots.on	shots.total	tackles.blocks	tackles.interceptions	tackles.total
👤 Armando Broja	0	-	1	-	12	5	-	1	False	64	27	F	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	6	-	8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Ashley Barnes	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	35	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Bashir Humphreys	1	-	1	-	9	4	2	-	False	90	12	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	36	-	46	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	2
👤 Enock Agyei	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	48	F	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Florentino Luís	1	2	2	2	16	10	3	-	False	90	16	M	7	False	0	0	-	-	-	45	-	50	-	-	-	-	-	1	2	7
👤 George Brierley	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	41	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Hjalmar Ekdal	0	-	-	-	11	4	1	-	False	90	18	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	1	33	-	35	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	2
👤 Jacob Bruun Larsen	0	4	1	2	7	2	-	-	False	55	7	M	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	14	1	16	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Jaidon Anthony	0	4	1	3	13	10	1	3	False	81	11	M	6.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	23	-	32	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	4
👤 Jaydon Banel	0	1	-	-	4	1	1	1	False	9	34	F	6.5	True	0	0	-	-	-	4	-	4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Josh Laurent	1	-	-	-	9	4	2	-	False	90	29	D	6.3	False	0	0	-	-	-	30	-	36	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	4
👤 Kyle Walker	1	1	-	-	5	-	2	-	True	90	2	D	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	40	-	51	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Lesley Ugochukwu	0	1	1	-	7	4	2	-	False	55	8	M	5.9	False	0	0	-	-	-	9	-	14	-	-	-	-	-	1	-	3
👤 Loum Tchaouna	0	-	1	-	3	2	-	1	False	26	17	F	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	6	-	6	-	-	-	2	2	-	-	-
👤 Lucas Pires	0	-	-	-	7	3	1	1	False	90	23	D	6.2	False	0	0	-	-	-	35	-	41	-	-	-	1	1	-	1	2
👤 Marcus Edwards	0	3	-	1	5	1	1	-	False	35	10	F	6.7	True	0	0	-	-	-	7	1	10	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Martin Dúbravka	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	90	1	G	6.6	False	0	2	2	-	-	27	-	33	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Max Weiss	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	13	G	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Oliver Pimlott	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	False	-	54	M	-	True	-	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
👤 Oliver Sonne	0	-	-	-	4	3	1	-	False	35	22	D	6.9	True	0	0	-	-	-	10	-	14	-	-	-	-	1	-	-	1

League standings

Full table

Teams in this match: Brighton and Burnley

#	Team	Scr	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Arsenal		34	22	7	5	64	26	38	73	W W L L W
2	Manchester City		33	21	7	5	66	29	37	70	D D W W W
3	Manchester United		34	17	10	7	60	46	14	61	W D L W W
4	Liverpool		34	17	7	10	57	44	13	58	D L W W W
5	Aston Villa		34	17	7	10	47	42	5	58	L W D W L
6	Brighton	2-0	34	13	11	10	48	39	9	50	W W W D W
7	Bournemouth		34	11	16	7	52	52	0	49	D D W W D
8	Chelsea		34	13	9	12	53	45	8	48	L L L L L
9	Brentford		34	13	9	12	49	46	3	48	D D D D L
10	Fulham		34	14	6	14	44	46	-2	48	D W L D W
11	Everton		34	13	8	13	41	41	0	47	L W D L L
12	Sunderland		34	12	10	12	36	45	-9	46	L W W L L
13	Crystal Palace		33	11	10	12	36	39	-3	43	W D W D L
14	Newcastle		34	12	6	16	46	50	-4	42	W L L L L
15	Leeds		34	9	13	12	44	51	-7	40	D D W W D
16	Nottingham Forest		34	10	9	15	41	45	-4	39	D W D W W
17	West Ham		34	9	9	16	42	58	-16	36	D L W D W
18	Tottenham		34	8	10	16	43	53	-10	34	D L L D W
19	Burnley	2-0	34	4	8	22	34	68	-34	20	D L L L L
20	Wolves		34	3	8	23	24	62	-38	17	W D L L L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Our prediction i

Full predictions

Teams in this match: Brighton and Burnley

#	Team	MP	Pred Pts	Pred #
1	Arsenal	34	80	1
2	Manchester City	33	79	2
3	Manchester United	34	67	3
4	Liverpool	34	65	4
5	Aston Villa	34	63	5
6	Brighton	34	55	8
7	Bournemouth	34	54	9
8	Chelsea	34	55	8
9	Brentford	34	53	9
10	Fulham	34	53	10
11	Everton	34	52	11
12	Sunderland	34	50	12
13	Crystal Palace	33	48	13
14	Newcastle	34	49	13
15	Leeds	34	46	15
16	Nottingham Forest	34	44	15
17	West Ham	34	40	17
18	Tottenham	34	39	17
19	Burnley	34	24	19
20	Wolves	34	22	20

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs)

Relegation - Championship

Predict the score

Loading API predictions…

CatBoost Prediction

Model not available yet. Run train_catboost to train a model.

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Score probability matrix for likely final results

52.6%

Home Win

25.9%

Draw

21.5%

Away Win

Expected Goals

Brighton 1.74

Burnley 1.04

Score Probability Heatmap

Home Goals (rows) Away Goals (columns)

Probability intensity Low High

Brighton

Burnley

American Express Stadium

Prediction (dixon_coles)

Missing Players

Who Is Dominating?

CatBoost Prediction

Our predictions

Dixon-Coles Predictions

Bookmakers (Full API Markets)